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 Oscar Predictions 
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Post Re: Oscar Predictions
Except The Post is winning BP.

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Wed Jan 03, 2018 2:45 pm
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Post Re: Oscar Predictions
I am thinking Dunkirk is the big loser on nomination day and Nolan is once again snubbed for Director. Looking at the Best Picture nominees it's basically all minorities, females and LGBT and Dunkirk is the one that stands out like a sore thumb. Just like how Ed Sheeran couldn't even get a best album nomination for Divide, awards shows are dead for white male stuff right now. The argument against it is the remaining voters on the other side who went for Hacksaw last year still need something to vote for, but that'll sneak it into the Picture field

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Fri Jan 05, 2018 2:09 pm
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Post Re: Oscar Predictions
Shack wrote:
I am thinking Dunkirk is the big loser on nomination day and Nolan is once again snubbed for Director. Looking at the Best Picture nominees it's basically all minorities, females and LGBT and Dunkirk is the one that stands out like a sore thumb. Just like how Ed Sheeran couldn't even get a best album nomination for Divide, awards shows are dead for white male stuff right now. The argument against it is the remaining voters on the other side who went for Hacksaw last year still need something to vote for, but that'll sneak it into the Picture field


Ed Sheeran was snubbed because the Grammys have a (literal) secret committee that rearranges the nominations for the big four categories based on the Top 20 most voted. From those Top 20 entries, they can pick and choose whatever they want for the nominations based on politics, ratings, etc.

Whereas the Oscars don't have any such rearranging and the nominees are purely based on what the Academy votes for.

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Sat Jan 06, 2018 4:04 pm
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Post Re: Oscar Predictions
The conservative wing of the Academy, which should not get underplayed, will get Nolan his nomination

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Sun Jan 07, 2018 12:58 am
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Post Re: Oscar Predictions
There's really no way Nolan is missing a Director nomination.

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Sun Jan 07, 2018 1:49 am
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Post Re: Oscar Predictions
I guess if Tyldum for Imitation Game which looked like a made for TV movie could get in it's hard to miss BD with a WWII film

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Sun Jan 07, 2018 7:09 am
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Post Re: Oscar Predictions
I'm now worried Shack will be right. After Natalie Portman's snappy comment the academy might feel presured to nominate two female drectors. That's great news for Dee Rees, but bad for either Nolan or Martin. Nolan seems like the obvious man out right now.


Mon Jan 08, 2018 1:20 am
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Post Re: Oscar Predictions
Gerwig will probably win Director now.

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Mon Jan 08, 2018 2:53 am
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Post Re: Oscar Predictions
Gerwig is not winning BD.

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MadGez wrote:
Listen to Magnus he knows his shit.
Darth Indiana Bond wrote:
Magnus is right
trixster wrote:
magnus is my hero
Loyal wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Magnus is the fucking voice of reason.
That's scary.
bABA wrote:
fuck Magnus
zwackerm wrote:
You're incredibly overrated and and if they made a Pixar film about you it would gross less than The Good Dinosaur.


Mon Jan 08, 2018 2:57 am
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Post Re: Oscar Predictions
Flava'd vs The World wrote:
I'm now worried Shack will be right. After Natalie Portman's snappy comment the academy might feel presured to nominate two female drectors. That's great news for Dee Rees, but bad for either Nolan or Martin. Nolan seems like the obvious man out right now.


Another thing to consider is that directing kids has an impressive track record of getting Best Director nominations as seen by Zeitlin and Abrahamson surprise nominations. So Sean Baker for The Florida Project is a sleeper to steal a Director nomination

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Mon Jan 08, 2018 3:04 am
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Post Re: Oscar Predictions
Lady Bird for BP. This is the sexual harassment response year

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Mon Jan 08, 2018 3:13 am
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Post Re: Oscar Predictions
Magnus wrote:
Gerwig is not winning BD.


We'll see. All women will rally behind her I'm sure.

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Mon Jan 08, 2018 3:35 am
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Post Re: Oscar Predictions
Magic Mike wrote:
Gerwig will probably win Director now.


She remains a strong contender. But yeah, given that "women" was the theme of the Globes, female voters might rally behind her. Other nominees will split the vote. Director is plurality voting, so no need for a majority to win.


Mon Jan 08, 2018 5:00 am
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Post Re: Oscar Predictions
Kaluuya got the loudest applause. I think his nod is set in stone or is that generally accepted already?

I guess Oldman will win the award due to his long body of work and I guess this performance.

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Mon Jan 08, 2018 9:48 am
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Post Re: Oscar Predictions
Shack wrote:
Lady Bird for BP. This is the sexual harassment response year


You do realize that a Three billboards deals with sexual harassment more than LadyBird does.

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MadGez wrote:
Listen to Magnus he knows his shit.
Darth Indiana Bond wrote:
Magnus is right
trixster wrote:
magnus is my hero
Loyal wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Magnus is the fucking voice of reason.
That's scary.
bABA wrote:
fuck Magnus
zwackerm wrote:
You're incredibly overrated and and if they made a Pixar film about you it would gross less than The Good Dinosaur.


Mon Jan 08, 2018 11:40 am
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Post Re: Oscar Predictions
3B has a male writer and director though. So technically that is mansplaining.


Mon Jan 08, 2018 3:13 pm
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Post Re: Oscar Predictions
Some people are saying 3B has a race problem

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Mon Jan 08, 2018 3:28 pm
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Post Re: Oscar Predictions
Magic Mike wrote:
Magnus wrote:
Gerwig is not winning BD.


We'll see. All women will rally behind her I'm sure.


I know. Shows what a bunch of misandrists they all are.

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Mon Jan 08, 2018 3:57 pm
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Post Re: Oscar Predictions
Shack wrote:
Some people are saying 3B has a race problem


What exactly is that supposed to mean? You didn't say "racist" outright so I assume it's a separate but related category of moral crime.

Sorry, I'm not up to date with all the GoodThink Liberal terms du jour.

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Mon Jan 08, 2018 4:32 pm
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Post Re: Oscar Predictions
Barrabás wrote:
Shack wrote:
Some people are saying 3B has a race problem


What exactly is that supposed to mean? You didn't say "racist" outright so I assume it's a separate but related category of moral crime.

Sorry, I'm not up to date with all the GoodThink Liberal terms du jour.


https://psmag.com/social-justice/three- ... ad-on-race

https://www.usatoday.com/story/life/ent ... 977024001/

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Mon Jan 08, 2018 5:32 pm
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Post Re: Oscar Predictions
Best Picture : Lady Bird vs. Three Billboards

Best Director – GDT vs Nolan (Gerwig has a shot though)

Best Actor – Oldman

Best Actress – McDormand Vs Ronan (too close to call)

Best Supporting Actress – Shoot-out: Metcalf

Best Supporting Actor – Rockwell (he has the momentum now over Dafoe)

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Mon Jan 08, 2018 8:37 pm
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Post Re: Oscar Predictions
McDormand seems to be leading but I feel like they would love to give an Oscar to young hot Robbie at this point in her career

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Tue Jan 09, 2018 1:49 am
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Post Re: Oscar Predictions
I saw a good point made that if Gerwig misses Best Director nomination, backlash leads it to Argo its way to BP

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Tue Jan 09, 2018 1:34 pm
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Post Re: Oscar Predictions
If Franco is nominated and Gerwig and Peele are not

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Wed Jan 10, 2018 4:29 am
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Post Re: Oscar Predictions
Barrabás wrote:
Shack wrote:
Some people are saying 3B has a race problem


What exactly is that supposed to mean? You didn't say "racist" outright so I assume it's a separate but related category of moral crime.

Sorry, I'm not up to date with all the GoodThink Liberal terms du jour.


Maybe you have changed, but aren't you a Good Think Liberal?

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Wed Jan 10, 2018 1:12 pm
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