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 Best Picture 2016 
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Extraordinary

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
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Post Best Picture 2016
We're in October; time to make predictions. My current lineup:

Arrival
Fences
Jackie
La La Land
Loving
Manchester by the Sea
Moonlight
Silence

Other possibilities:
20th Century Women
Nocturnal Animals
Sully
Lion


Mon Oct 17, 2016 2:24 pm
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Post Re: Best Picture 2016
If Captain Phillips and Bridge of Spies got in, I don't see how Sully can miss.

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Mon Oct 17, 2016 6:39 pm
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Post Re: Best Picture 2016
Is The Founder not in contention? Everything about it seems muted at this point, but it could gain traction between now and the Oscars.

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Mon Oct 17, 2016 8:32 pm
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Devil's Advocate
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Post Re: Best Picture 2016
Arrival is 100% on RT (46 reviews) but only 80 on MC with no 100s

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Tue Oct 18, 2016 2:50 pm
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Post Re: Best Picture 2016
What happened to the Birth of a Nation?

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Tue Oct 18, 2016 5:10 pm
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Post Re: Best Picture 2016
The controversy itself aside, I've heard that the movie out now is different from what they showed at Sundance (apparently there was more ancestors-asJedi-holograms stuff). The reviews took a dip in the past month and maybe it has to do with such differences.

I think it might get some technical nominations but all the new developments regarding the film in the last 3 months killed its chances in any major category.


Tue Oct 18, 2016 5:35 pm
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Post Re: Best Picture 2016
I think for most regional/critics circle awards where it's down to 5 noms, we'll see:

Arrival
La La Land
Manchester by the Sea
Moonlight
And a wildcard #5.


Tue Oct 18, 2016 5:38 pm
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Sbil

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
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Post Re: Best Picture 2016
Arrival
Fences
Jackie
La La Land
Lion
Manchester by the Sea
Moonlight
Silence
Sully

I think Hell or High Water can sneak in there too.


Wed Oct 19, 2016 4:59 pm
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Rachel McAdams Fan
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Post Re: Best Picture 2016
Oh god please no Sully nomination.

Birth of a Nation will probably not get any nominations.

I think right now:

La La Land
Manchester By The Sea
Moonlight
Arrival
Hidden Figures
Jackie
Silence


Not sure about the others.


Wed Oct 19, 2016 5:35 pm
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Post Re: Best Picture 2016
Hopefully La La Land or Arrival win.


Wed Oct 19, 2016 5:36 pm
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Post Re: Best Picture 2016
Hopefully La La Land or Arrival win.


Wed Oct 19, 2016 5:37 pm
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Post Re: Best Picture 2016
I'd be shocked if La La Land didn't win.


Wed Oct 19, 2016 5:52 pm
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Post Re: Best Picture 2016
thompsoncory wrote:
I'd be shocked if La La Land didn't win.


Don't jinx it!


Wed Oct 19, 2016 6:09 pm
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Extraordinary

Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 10:19 pm
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Post Re: Best Picture 2016
If it were not for Gibson's past hacksaw ridge would be a contender. Critics seem to overlook his past but i doubt the academy will.


Mon Oct 24, 2016 3:55 pm
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Post Re: Best Picture 2016
What past? His Best Picture and Best Director past? ;)

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Fri Oct 28, 2016 7:55 pm
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Post Re: Best Picture 2016
Oh man, there is so many potentially great films for me still to catch this year. It might save the year. The Girl on the Train, The Accountant, Hacksaw Ridge, Live By Night, La La Land, Bleed for This, Gold, Fences, Arrival, Allied, Kidnap, American Pastoral, Desierto, and In a Valley of Violence. Really looking forward to these.

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Fri Oct 28, 2016 10:41 pm
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Post Re: Best Picture 2016
Algren wrote:
Oh man, there is so many potentially great films for me still to catch this year. It might save the year. The Girl on the Train, The Accountant, Hacksaw Ridge, Live By Night, La La Land, Bleed for This, Gold, Fences, Arrival, Allied, Kidnap, American Pastoral, Desierto, and In a Valley of Violence. Really looking forward to these.


Seen four of those and only one was great.

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Fri Oct 28, 2016 11:27 pm
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Post Re: Best Picture 2016
From the guy that loved Doctor Strange and only anticipates Rogue One in December, that's no surprise.

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Sat Oct 29, 2016 12:13 am
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Post Re: Best Picture 2016
I never said I only anticipate Rogue One. The question was which one I anticipate most. I anticipate about a dozen of December releases.

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Sat Oct 29, 2016 1:03 am
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Post Re: Best Picture 2016
Algren wrote:
From the guy that loved Doctor Strange and anticipates Rogue One the most in December, that's no surprise.


Fixed. ;)

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Sat Oct 29, 2016 2:40 am
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Post Re: Best Picture 2016
You can't turn in any direction at the moment, without being berated to see Moonlight.

(Which makes me all the less eager to see it.)


Sat Oct 29, 2016 6:13 am
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Post Re: Best Picture 2016
This race sorely needs a mainstream movie in it (in addition to Arrival). Otherwise it will be a snoozer of an Oscars. I'm hoping Passengers gets in if it's great.

Sully was a good movie, but there wasn't anything special about it.


Sun Oct 30, 2016 10:25 am
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Post Re: Best Picture 2016
tree and a half wrote:
You can't turn in any direction at the moment, without being berated to see Moonlight.

(Which makes me all the less eager to see it.)


I'm glad to see you're fully embracing your Bradley past.

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Mon Oct 31, 2016 10:38 am
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Post Re: Best Picture 2016
SolC9 wrote:
This race sorely needs a mainstream movie in it (in addition to Arrival). Otherwise it will be a snoozer of an Oscars. I'm hoping Passengers gets in if it's great.

Sully was a good movie, but there wasn't anything special about it.


I think one sci-fi film for the Oscars is enough. Silence, La La Land should each at least approach 100 million. And never bet against Denzel in Fences.


Mon Oct 31, 2016 10:42 am
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Post Re: Best Picture 2016
neo_wolf wrote:
If it were not for Gibson's past hacksaw ridge would be a contender. Critics seem to overlook his past but i doubt the academy will.

Didn't he get a 10 minute standing ovation Venice Film Festival? I would be more surprised if it didn' get nominated.


Mon Oct 31, 2016 4:47 pm
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