Japan Box-Office: On Hiatus
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NatsuLian
Waitress in LA
Joined: Thu Jul 16, 2015 12:09 am
Posts: 25
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 Re: Japan Box Office: Updated Weekend Forecast (Umi no Hi WK Thanks Corpse! How does Movie 18's admissions compare to Movie 17's at this point? Thanks in advance.
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| Sat Jul 18, 2015 12:29 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37152
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: Japan Box Office: Updated Weekend Forecast (Umi no Hi WK As I mentioned, it's practically mirroring it with just a few hundred admissions separating them on the first day at nearly half the theaters across Japan.
Up 293 admissions at 109 Cinemas.
Up 350 admissions at Movix Cinemas.
Up 488 admissions at Kinezo Cinemas.
Down 53 admissions at United Cinemas.
Down 742 admissions at Toho Cinemas.
So, it's up 336 admissions in total across the usual locations (43% of the market).
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Sat Jul 18, 2015 12:36 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37152
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Forecast (Umi no Hi Weekend) Usual Locations - Saturday Admissions (43% of Market)
10AM > 11AM > 12PM > 1PM > 2PM > 3PM > 4PM > 7PM > Final
24,326 -> 27,257 -> 31,097 -> 61,339 -> 64,382 -> 69,550 -> 85,311 -> 102,837 -> 127,815 - Hero 2 (NEW)
16,339 -> 27,685 -> 32,440 -> 42,368 -> 48,705 -> 54,630 -> 60,943 -> 67,816 -> 67,942 - Pokemon XY: Hoopa and the Clash of Ages (NEW)
4,814 -> 8,524 -> 13,883 -> 19,652 -> 25,075 -> 34,117 -> 40,822 -> 54,248 -> 66,063 - The Boy and the Beast (Week 2)
6,602 -> 12,938 -> 16,436 -> 22,930 -> 30,140 -> 34,552 -> 42,665 -> 52,047 -> 59,793 - Inside Out (NEW)
3,601 -> 5,572 -> 9,445 -> 14,019 -> 16,078 -> 20,897 -> 25,801 -> 34,146 -> 44,536 - Terminator: Genisys (Week 2)
2,577 -> 3,878 -> 7,152 -> 9,061 -> 10,279 -> 15,983 -> 18,093 -> 24,042 -> 31,117 - Avengers: Age of Ultron (Week 3)
Usual Locations - Sunday Admissions (43% of Market)
10AM > 11AM > 12PM > 1PM > 2PM > 3PM > 4PM > 7PM > Final
14,635 -> 24,640 - Hero 2 (NEW)
12,673 -> 23,435 - Pokemon XY: Hoopa and the Clash of Ages (NEW)
7,878 -> 15,695 - Inside Out (NEW)
6,860 -> 12,627 - The Boy and the Beast (Week 2)
5,210 -> 8,546 - Terminator: Genisys (Week 2)
3,716 -> 5,261 - Avengers: Age of Ultron (Week 3)
Note: Typhoon Nangka will be affecting all of Japan through the weekend, so weekend admissions could be a bit deflated as a result.
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Sat Jul 18, 2015 10:04 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37152
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Forecast (Umi no Hi Weekend) Usual Locations - Saturday Admissions (43% of Market)
10AM > 11AM > 12PM > 1PM > 2PM > 3PM > 4PM > 7PM > Final
24,326 -> 27,257 -> 31,097 -> 61,339 -> 64,382 -> 69,550 -> 85,311 -> 102,837 -> 127,815 - Hero 2 (NEW)
16,339 -> 27,685 -> 32,440 -> 42,368 -> 48,705 -> 54,630 -> 60,943 -> 67,816 -> 67,942 - Pokemon XY: Hoopa and the Clash of Ages (NEW)
4,814 -> 8,524 -> 13,883 -> 19,652 -> 25,075 -> 34,117 -> 40,822 -> 54,248 -> 66,063 - The Boy and the Beast (Week 2)
6,602 -> 12,938 -> 16,436 -> 22,930 -> 30,140 -> 34,552 -> 42,665 -> 52,047 -> 59,793 - Inside Out (NEW)
3,601 -> 5,572 -> 9,445 -> 14,019 -> 16,078 -> 20,897 -> 25,801 -> 34,146 -> 44,536 - Terminator: Genisys (Week 2)
2,577 -> 3,878 -> 7,152 -> 9,061 -> 10,279 -> 15,983 -> 18,093 -> 24,042 -> 31,117 - Avengers: Age of Ultron (Week 3)
Usual Locations - Sunday Admissions (43% of Market)
10AM > 11AM > 12PM > 1PM > 2PM > 3PM > 4PM > 7PM > Final
14,635 -> 24,640 -> 34,004 - Hero 2 (NEW)
12,673 -> 23,435 -> 31,113 - Pokemon XY: Hoopa and the Clash of Ages (NEW)
7,878 -> 15,695 -> 22,409 - Inside Out (NEW)
6,860 -> 12,627 -> 20,034 - The Boy and the Beast (Week 2)
5,210 -> 8,546 -> 13,639 - Terminator: Genisys (Week 2)
3,716 -> 5,261 -> 10,129 - Avengers: Age of Ultron (Week 3)
Note: Typhoon Nangka will be affecting all of Japan through the weekend, so weekend admissions could be a bit deflated as a result.
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Sat Jul 18, 2015 11:04 pm |
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NatsuLian
Waitress in LA
Joined: Thu Jul 16, 2015 12:09 am
Posts: 25
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Re: Japan Box Office: Updated Weekend Forecast (Umi no Hi WK Thanks Corpse! Could you, if possible, give me data regarding the best multipliers of all time in Japan? Thanks in advance.
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| Sat Jul 18, 2015 11:10 pm |
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vinnygambini
Child Actor
Joined: Sat Jul 11, 2015 3:18 am
Posts: 31
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Re: Japan Box Office: Updated Weekend Forecast (Umi no Hi WK Are Sunday admissions higher than Saturdays usually?
Seems as such for many, excluding Pokemon which is odd since I thought Sunday=family time.
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| Sat Jul 18, 2015 11:22 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37152
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: Japan Box Office: Updated Weekend Forecast (Umi no Hi WK vinnygambini wrote: Are Sunday admissions higher than Saturdays usually?
Seems as such for many, excluding Pokemon which is odd since I thought Sunday=family time. Yeah, Sunday is the busiest day of the week, especially for family films and films that skew towards senior citizens. That is unless a film is skewing 90%+ towards females, then Wednesday is the biggest day since females get 50% off tickets that day. It's not, however, a rule that everything increases on Sundays. Sometimes openers don't, and certain films that have a built-in-fanbase won't increase on Sundays, either, early in their run. Pokemon skews very young and towards families, but that also includes a fanbase. Tomorrow is also a holiday and the start of Summer vacation, so this Sunday can behave a bit differently. _________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Sat Jul 18, 2015 11:35 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37152
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: Japan Box Office: Updated Weekend Forecast (Umi no Hi WK NatsuLian wrote: Thanks Corpse! Could you, if possible, give me data regarding the best multipliers of all time in Japan? Thanks in advance.
02. 30.37 - Spirited Away (July, 2001)
03. 26.99 - Princess Mononoke (July, 1997)
04. 26.13 - Avatar (Dec., 2009)
05. 23.21 - Departures (Sept., 2008)
06. 19.96 - Les Miserabes (Dec., 2012)
07. 16.44 - The Cat Returns (July, 2002)
08. 16.15 - The Eternal Zero (Dec., 2013)
09. 15.69 - Monsters, Inc. (Mar., 2002)
10. 15.26 - Big Hero 6 (Dec., 2014)
11. 15.25 - The Last Samurai (Dec., 2003)
12. 14.98 - Ponyo (July, 2008)
13. 14.84 - Howl's Moving Castle (Nov., 2004)
14. 14.81 - Always: Sunset on Third Street (Nov., 2005)
15. 14.25 - Confessions (June, 2010)
16. 13.96 - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! (July, 2003)
17. 13.83 - Thermae Romae (Apr., 2012)
18. 13.64 - Crying Out Love, in the Center of the World (May, 2004)
19. 13.09 - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (Dec., 2001)
20. 12.98 - Summer Wars (Aug., 2009)
21. 12.88 - Ted (Jan., 2013)
22. 12.51 - The Wind Rises (July, 2013)
23. 12.50 - The Phantom of the Opera (Jan., 2005)
24. 12.48 - Pirates of the Caribbean: Curse of the Black Pearl (Aug., 2003)
25. 12.24 - Finding Nemo (Dec., 2003)If you're wondering what kind of multiplier Inside Out will get, it should land between 9-12. That's become the typical range for Pixar, Ghibli (formally), and recently Mamoru Hosoda/Studio Chizu films this time of year. _________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Sat Jul 18, 2015 11:37 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37152
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Forecast (Umi no Hi Weekend) Usual Locations - Saturday Admissions (43% of Market)
10AM > 11AM > 12PM > 1PM > 2PM > 3PM > 4PM > 7PM > Final
24,326 -> 27,257 -> 31,097 -> 61,339 -> 64,382 -> 69,550 -> 85,311 -> 102,837 -> 127,815 - Hero 2 (NEW)
16,339 -> 27,685 -> 32,440 -> 42,368 -> 48,705 -> 54,630 -> 60,943 -> 67,816 -> 67,942 - Pokemon XY: Hoopa and the Clash of Ages (NEW)
4,814 -> 8,524 -> 13,883 -> 19,652 -> 25,075 -> 34,117 -> 40,822 -> 54,248 -> 66,063 - The Boy and the Beast (Week 2)
6,602 -> 12,938 -> 16,436 -> 22,930 -> 30,140 -> 34,552 -> 42,665 -> 52,047 -> 59,793 - Inside Out (NEW)
3,601 -> 5,572 -> 9,445 -> 14,019 -> 16,078 -> 20,897 -> 25,801 -> 34,146 -> 44,536 - Terminator: Genisys (Week 2)
2,577 -> 3,878 -> 7,152 -> 9,061 -> 10,279 -> 15,983 -> 18,093 -> 24,042 -> 31,117 - Avengers: Age of Ultron (Week 3)
Usual Locations - Sunday Admissions (43% of Market)
10AM > 11AM > 12PM > 1PM > 2PM > 3PM > 4PM > 7PM > Final
14,635 -> 24,640 -> 34,004 -> 48,404 - Hero 2 (NEW)
12,673 -> 23,435 -> 31,113 -> 39,871 - Pokemon XY: Hoopa and the Clash of Ages (NEW)
6,860 -> 12,627 -> 20,034 -> 28,701 - The Boy and the Beast (Week 2)
7,878 -> 15,695 -> 22,409 -> 28,508 - Inside Out (NEW)
5,210 -> 8,546 -> 13,639 -> 20,680 - Terminator: Genisys (Week 2)
3,716 -> 5,261 -> 10,129 -> 13,199 - Avengers: Age of Ultron (Week 3)
Note: Typhoon Nangka will be affecting all of Japan through the weekend, so weekend admissions could be a bit deflated as a result.
The Boy and the Beast overtakes Inside Out for the day much, much earlier than yesterday (1PM versus 7PM).
Disney/Pixar needs to avoid July when Mamoru Hosoda/Studio Chizu releases a film in the future. His films seem to hurt Pixar's releases a lot more than Hayao Miyazaki/Studio Ghibli releases ever did in the past.
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Sun Jul 19, 2015 12:04 am |
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NatsuLian
Waitress in LA
Joined: Thu Jul 16, 2015 12:09 am
Posts: 25
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Re: Japan Box Office: Updated Weekend Forecast (Umi no Hi WK Sorry for barraging you with questions BUT (  ) how does competition work in Japan in terms of multiple movies aiming for a similar demographic, is it similar to the US box office or completely different, how much are movies that are not Pokemon, Yokai Watch etc... affected by competition and reviews, and is it true that competition doesn't really matter that much in Japan and how popular is the Despicable Me brand and how well should Minions perform? Thanks in advance.
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| Sun Jul 19, 2015 12:47 am |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37152
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: Japan Box Office: Updated Weekend Forecast (Umi no Hi WK In regard to Competition:
Competition generally only affects films when it comes to screens/showtimes. There are rarely any cases of one film hurting another, even if similar films are released at the same time.
For example, three big films just opened this weekend and everything is going to avoid a 40% drop except maybe Terminator: Genisys, although it could still drop sub-40%, too.
Half of this weekend's Top 10 are also animated films, and they're not really affecting one another except for possibly Inside Out looking to be affected by The Boy and the Beast (just like Brave was by Wolf Children in 2012). It's one of a few known examples of a film hurting another outside of competing for screens/showtimes.
In regard to Reviews:
They do matter, but it really comes down to WOM rather than simple positive/negative reviews.
There are many cases every year where a very well-reviewed film has mediocre legs, and poorly-reviewed films end up having strong legs. In the majority of cases, strong reviews haven't proven a key factor in generating interest where they wasn't much to begin with.
In regard to Despicable Me/Minions:
The first Despicable Me film surprises, earning over ¥1 billion. That isn't an impressive sum in itself, but it is for an imported non-Disney animated title. Then, the sequel managed to cross the ¥2 billion milestone. They've also sold fairly well on DVD, so they do seem to have gained an audience.
As for Minions, it'll be interesting to track. I don't think the Japanese are captivated by the minions themselves as the rest of the world, rather Gru and the kids seem to be more popular characters. Spin-off titles in general rarely perform better than main franchise films, too, so I'm not expecting Minions to outgross Despicable Me 2, but achieving ¥2 billion again is certainly possible.
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Sun Jul 19, 2015 1:12 am |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37152
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Forecast (Umi no Hi Weekend) Usual Locations - Saturday Admissions (43% of Market)
10AM > 11AM > 12PM > 1PM > 2PM > 3PM > 4PM > 7PM > Final
24,326 -> 27,257 -> 31,097 -> 61,339 -> 64,382 -> 69,550 -> 85,311 -> 102,837 -> 127,815 - Hero 2 (NEW)
16,339 -> 27,685 -> 32,440 -> 42,368 -> 48,705 -> 54,630 -> 60,943 -> 67,816 -> 67,942 - Pokemon XY: Hoopa and the Clash of Ages (NEW)
4,814 -> 8,524 -> 13,883 -> 19,652 -> 25,075 -> 34,117 -> 40,822 -> 54,248 -> 66,063 - The Boy and the Beast (Week 2)
6,602 -> 12,938 -> 16,436 -> 22,930 -> 30,140 -> 34,552 -> 42,665 -> 52,047 -> 59,793 - Inside Out (NEW)
3,601 -> 5,572 -> 9,445 -> 14,019 -> 16,078 -> 20,897 -> 25,801 -> 34,146 -> 44,536 - Terminator: Genisys (Week 2)
2,577 -> 3,878 -> 7,152 -> 9,061 -> 10,279 -> 15,983 -> 18,093 -> 24,042 -> 31,117 - Avengers: Age of Ultron (Week 3)
Usual Locations - Sunday Admissions (43% of Market)
10AM > 11AM > 12PM > 1PM > 2PM > 3PM > 4PM > 7PM > Final
14,635 -> 24,640 -> 34,004 -> 48,404 -> 60,600 - Hero 2 (NEW)
12,673 -> 23,435 -> 31,113 -> 39,871 -> 50,335 - Pokemon XY: Hoopa and the Clash of Ages (NEW)
7,878 -> 15,695 -> 22,409 -> 28,508 -> 42,983 - Inside Out (NEW)
6,860 -> 12,627 -> 20,034 -> 28,701 -> 39,413 - The Boy and the Beast (Week 2)
5,210 -> 8,546 -> 13,639 -> 20,680 -> 25,185 - Terminator: Genisys (Week 2)
3,716 -> 5,261 -> 10,129 -> 13,199 -> 15,940 - Avengers: Age of Ultron (Week 3)
Note: Typhoon Nangka will be affecting all of Japan through the weekend, so weekend admissions could be a bit deflated as a result.
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Sun Jul 19, 2015 1:15 am |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37152
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Forecast (Umi no Hi Weekend) Usual Locations - Saturday Admissions (43% of Market)
10AM > 11AM > 12PM > 1PM > 2PM > 3PM > 4PM > 7PM > Final
24,326 -> 27,257 -> 31,097 -> 61,339 -> 64,382 -> 69,550 -> 85,311 -> 102,837 -> 127,815 - Hero 2 (NEW)
16,339 -> 27,685 -> 32,440 -> 42,368 -> 48,705 -> 54,630 -> 60,943 -> 67,816 -> 67,942 - Pokemon XY: Hoopa and the Clash of Ages (NEW)
4,814 -> 8,524 -> 13,883 -> 19,652 -> 25,075 -> 34,117 -> 40,822 -> 54,248 -> 66,063 - The Boy and the Beast (Week 2)
6,602 -> 12,938 -> 16,436 -> 22,930 -> 30,140 -> 34,552 -> 42,665 -> 52,047 -> 59,793 - Inside Out (NEW)
3,601 -> 5,572 -> 9,445 -> 14,019 -> 16,078 -> 20,897 -> 25,801 -> 34,146 -> 44,536 - Terminator: Genisys (Week 2)
2,577 -> 3,878 -> 7,152 -> 9,061 -> 10,279 -> 15,983 -> 18,093 -> 24,042 -> 31,117 - Avengers: Age of Ultron (Week 3)
Usual Locations - Sunday Admissions (43% of Market)
10AM > 11AM > 12PM > 1PM > 2PM > 3PM > 4PM > 7PM > Final
14,635 -> 24,640 -> 34,004 -> 48,404 -> 60,600 -> 74,367 - Hero 2 (NEW)
12,673 -> 23,435 -> 31,113 -> 39,871 -> 50,335 -> 55,833 - Pokemon XY: Hoopa and the Clash of Ages (NEW)
6,860 -> 12,627 -> 20,034 -> 28,701 -> 39,413 -> 51,995 - The Boy and the Beast (Week 2)
7,878 -> 15,695 -> 22,409 -> 28,508 -> 42,983 -> 49,705 - Inside Out (NEW)
5,210 -> 8,546 -> 13,639 -> 20,680 -> 25,185 -> 32,882 - Terminator: Genisys (Week 2)
3,716 -> 5,261 -> 10,129 -> 13,199 -> 15,940 -> 23,856 - Avengers: Age of Ultron (Week 3)
Note: Typhoon Nangka will be affecting all of Japan through the weekend, so weekend admissions could be a bit deflated as a result.
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Sun Jul 19, 2015 2:19 am |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37152
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Forecast (Umi no Hi Weekend) Usual Locations - Saturday Admissions (43% of Market)
10AM > 11AM > 12PM > 1PM > 2PM > 3PM > 4PM > 7PM > Final
24,326 -> 27,257 -> 31,097 -> 61,339 -> 64,382 -> 69,550 -> 85,311 -> 102,837 -> 127,815 - Hero 2 (NEW)
16,339 -> 27,685 -> 32,440 -> 42,368 -> 48,705 -> 54,630 -> 60,943 -> 67,816 -> 67,942 - Pokemon XY: Hoopa and the Clash of Ages (NEW)
4,814 -> 8,524 -> 13,883 -> 19,652 -> 25,075 -> 34,117 -> 40,822 -> 54,248 -> 66,063 - The Boy and the Beast (Week 2)
6,602 -> 12,938 -> 16,436 -> 22,930 -> 30,140 -> 34,552 -> 42,665 -> 52,047 -> 59,793 - Inside Out (NEW)
3,601 -> 5,572 -> 9,445 -> 14,019 -> 16,078 -> 20,897 -> 25,801 -> 34,146 -> 44,536 - Terminator: Genisys (Week 2)
2,577 -> 3,878 -> 7,152 -> 9,061 -> 10,279 -> 15,983 -> 18,093 -> 24,042 -> 31,117 - Avengers: Age of Ultron (Week 3)
Usual Locations - Sunday Admissions (43% of Market)
10AM > 11AM > 12PM > 1PM > 2PM > 3PM > 4PM > 7PM > Final
14,635 -> 24,640 -> 34,004 -> 48,404 -> 60,600 -> 74,367 -> 90,080 - Hero 2 (NEW)
12,673 -> 23,435 -> 31,113 -> 39,871 -> 50,335 -> 55,833 -> 62,909 - Pokemon XY: Hoopa and the Clash of Ages (NEW)
6,860 -> 12,627 -> 20,034 -> 28,701 -> 39,413 -> 51,995 -> 62,231 - The Boy and the Beast (Week 2)
7,878 -> 15,695 -> 22,409 -> 28,508 -> 42,983 -> 49,705 -> 60,854 - Inside Out (NEW)
5,210 -> 8,546 -> 13,639 -> 20,680 -> 25,185 -> 32,882 -> 38,987 - Terminator: Genisys (Week 2)
3,716 -> 5,261 -> 10,129 -> 13,199 -> 15,940 -> 23,856 -> 26,910 - Avengers: Age of Ultron (Week 3)
Note: Typhoon Nangka will be affecting all of Japan through the weekend, so weekend admissions could be a bit deflated as a result.
Hero 2 is looking mighty impressive. It's on pace to beat yesterday, despite yesterday's stage greetings. So much for that Sunday drop-off, heh. There's a good chance it can reach ¥800 million+ over the weekend with possibly 600,000 admissions, delivering the best opening weekend for any live-action film this year. It'll be tough for Attack on Titan or Jurassic World to beat that on their opening weekends next month.
And this is turning out to be one strong Sunday. The typhoon doesn't seem to be affecting the box office at all, or if it has, it just deflated yesterday a bit.
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Sun Jul 19, 2015 3:09 am |
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vinnygambini
Child Actor
Joined: Sat Jul 11, 2015 3:18 am
Posts: 31
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Re: Japan Box Office: Updated Weekend Forecast (Umi no Hi WK Don't know if important news or not, Toho claims that the Pokemon series has now reached a cumulative of over 70 million admissions. They are aiming for a 3 Billion Yen gross + http://www.hochi.co.jp/entertainment/20 ... 50234.html
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| Sun Jul 19, 2015 11:45 am |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37152
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Forecast (Umi no Hi Weekend) Usual Locations - Saturday Admissions (43% of Market)
10AM > 11AM > 12PM > 1PM > 2PM > 3PM > 4PM > 7PM > Final
24,326 -> 27,257 -> 31,097 -> 61,339 -> 64,382 -> 69,550 -> 85,311 -> 102,837 -> 127,815 - Hero 2 (NEW)
16,339 -> 27,685 -> 32,440 -> 42,368 -> 48,705 -> 54,630 -> 60,943 -> 67,816 -> 67,942 - Pokemon XY: Hoopa and the Clash of Ages (NEW)
4,814 -> 8,524 -> 13,883 -> 19,652 -> 25,075 -> 34,117 -> 40,822 -> 54,248 -> 66,063 - The Boy and the Beast (Week 2)
6,602 -> 12,938 -> 16,436 -> 22,930 -> 30,140 -> 34,552 -> 42,665 -> 52,047 -> 59,793 - Inside Out (NEW)
3,601 -> 5,572 -> 9,445 -> 14,019 -> 16,078 -> 20,897 -> 25,801 -> 34,146 -> 44,536 - Terminator: Genisys (Week 2)
2,577 -> 3,878 -> 7,152 -> 9,061 -> 10,279 -> 15,983 -> 18,093 -> 24,042 -> 31,117 - Avengers: Age of Ultron (Week 3)
Usual Locations - Sunday Admissions (43% of Market)
10AM > 11AM > 12PM > 1PM > 2PM > 3PM > 4PM > 7PM > Final
14,635 -> 24,640 -> 34,004 -> 48,404 -> 60,600 -> 74,367 -> 90,080 -> 110,148 -> 134,682 - Hero 2 (NEW)
6,860 -> 12,627 -> 20,034 -> 28,701 -> 39,413 -> 51,995 -> 62,231 -> 79,554 -> 92,136 - The Boy and the Beast (Week 2)
7,878 -> 15,695 -> 22,409 -> 28,508 -> 42,983 -> 49,705 -> 60,854 -> 72,707 -> 79,977 - Inside Out (NEW)
12,673 -> 23,435 -> 31,113 -> 39,871 -> 50,335 -> 55,833 -> 62,909 -> 68,583 -> 68,641 - Pokemon XY: Hoopa and the Clash of Ages (NEW)
5,210 -> 8,546 -> 13,639 -> 20,680 -> 25,185 -> 32,882 -> 38,987 -> 49,877 -> 60,421 - Terminator: Genisys (Week 2)
3,716 -> 5,261 -> 10,129 -> 13,199 -> 15,940 -> 23,856 -> 26,910 -> 34,985 -> 42,212 - Avengers: Age of Ultron (Week 3)
Usual Locations - Weekend Admissions (43% of Market)
262,497 - Hero 2 (NEW)
158,199 (-27%) - The Boy and the Beast (Week 2)
139,770 - Inside Out (NEW)
136,583 - Pokemon XY: Hoopa and the Clash of Ages (NEW)
105,004 (-32%) - Terminator: Genisys (Week 2)
73,329 (-28%) - Avengers: Age of Ultron (Week 3)
The very, very impressive Sunday results lead to a very strong weekend.
I'll post the Weekend Estimates shortly!
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Sun Jul 19, 2015 11:56 am |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37152
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: Japan Box Office: Updated Weekend Forecast (Umi no Hi WK It's true. I had it the franchise over 69 million admissions after last year's film earlier this year. I update the biggest movie franchises in Japan once in awhile (last time was back in March). Pokemon is the 5th most-attended movie franchise in Japan, after: Doraemon > Godzilla > Otoko wa Tsurai yo > Harry Potter. _________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Sun Jul 19, 2015 12:03 pm |
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vinnygambini
Child Actor
Joined: Sat Jul 11, 2015 3:18 am
Posts: 31
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Re: Japan Box Office: Updated Weekend Forecast (Umi no Hi WK So technically, this new Pokemon movie did better than the last judging by last year:
Toho, Movix, 109, Kinezo Combined Weekend Admissions [7/19-20]:
120,558 - Pokemon XY: The Cocoon of Destruction & Diancie (NEW)
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| Sun Jul 19, 2015 12:04 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37152
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: Japan Box Office: Updated Weekend Forecast (Umi no Hi WK vinnygambini wrote: So technically, this new Pokemon movie did better than the last judging by last year:
Toho, Movix, 109, Kinezo Combined Weekend Admissions [7/19-20]:
120,558 - Pokemon XY: The Cocoon of Destruction & Diancie (NEW) It actually doesn't appear so. Last year didn't include United Cinemas yet. If you exclude United Cinemas this year, then this year's film sold 114,787 admissions, down -5% from last year's film. I'm working on the weekend estimates right now, so sit tight. _________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Sun Jul 19, 2015 12:07 pm |
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vinnygambini
Child Actor
Joined: Sat Jul 11, 2015 3:18 am
Posts: 31
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Re: Japan Box Office: Updated Weekend Forecast (Umi no Hi WK Corpse wrote: vinnygambini wrote: So technically, this new Pokemon movie did better than the last judging by last year:
Toho, Movix, 109, Kinezo Combined Weekend Admissions [7/19-20]:
120,558 - Pokemon XY: The Cocoon of Destruction & Diancie (NEW) It actually doesn't appear so. Last year didn't include United Cinemas yet. If you exclude United Cinemas this year, then this year's film sold 114,787 admissions, down -5% from last year's film. I'm working on the weekend estimates right now, so sit tight. 
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| Sun Jul 19, 2015 12:08 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37152
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: Japan Box-Office: Usual Locations - Seating/Showtimes Usual Locations - Weekend Admissions [43% of Market]
07/18-19
#Admissions (% change), [#theaters/#showings] - Film (Week of Release)
262,497 (-), [149/2,129] - Hero 2 (NEW)
158,199 (-27%), [147/2,064] - The Boy and the Beast (Week 2)
139,770 (-), [151/2,181] - Inside Out (NEW)
136,583 (-), [148/1,526] - Pokemon XY: Hoopa and the Clash of Ages (NEW)
105,004 (-32%), [148/1,991] - Terminator: Genysis (Week 2)
73,329 (-28%), [149/1,819] - Avengers: Age of Ultron (Week 3)
58,582 (+29%), [77/383] - Love Live! The School Idol Movie (Week 6)
14,929 (-31%), [64/385] - Shaun the Sheep Movie (Week 3)
14,181 (-24%), [146/432] - Mad Max: Fury Road (Week 5)
10,422 (-21%), [84/337] - Anpanman: Mija and the Magic Lamp (Week 3)
7,413 (-40%), [119/540] - Ari no Mama de Itai (Week 2)
6,967 (-56%), [132/301] - Sea Town Diary (Week 6)
Weekend Estimates up next.
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Sun Jul 19, 2015 12:19 pm |
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NatsuLian
Waitress in LA
Joined: Thu Jul 16, 2015 12:09 am
Posts: 25
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Re: Japan Box Office: Updated Weekend Forecast (Umi no Hi WK Pokemo has an audience reception of 4.0 compared to IO's 3.82.
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| Sun Jul 19, 2015 12:38 pm |
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NatsuLian
Waitress in LA
Joined: Thu Jul 16, 2015 12:09 am
Posts: 25
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Re: Japan Box Office: Updated Weekend Forecast (Umi no Hi WK How plausible is a 15x for Inside Out? Personally, I think that would be the highest it can get and my guess would be 12x or 13x.
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| Sun Jul 19, 2015 12:43 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37152
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: Japan Box Office: Updated Weekend Forecast (Umi no Hi WK NatsuLian wrote: How plausible is a 15x for Inside Out? Personally, I think that would be the highest it can get and my guess would be 12x or 13x. A 15x+ is very unlikely since it didn't debut very high. The films that earn those multipliers generally do so because they don't lose hardly any screens/showtimes due to remaining atop the box-office for weeks or months at a time. Inside Out will be the target of harsher screen/showtime loss as the second wave of Summer tentpoles are being released in a few weeks. It should get at least a 9/10x, though. _________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
Last edited by Corpse on Sun Jul 19, 2015 12:49 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Sun Jul 19, 2015 12:48 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37152
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Estimates Weekend Estimates (07/18-19) 01 (--) ¥810,000,000 ($6.5 million), 0, ¥810,000,000 ($6.5 million), Hero 2 (Toho) NEW
02 (01) ¥476,000,000 ($3.8 million), -28%, ¥1,550,000,000 ($12.4 million), The Boy and the Beast (Toho) Week 2
03 (--) ¥415,000,000 ($3.4 million), 0, ¥415,000,000 ($3.4 million), Inside Out (Disney) NEW
04 (--) ¥380,000,000 ($3.1 million), 0, ¥380,000,000 ($3.1 million), Pokemon XY: Hoopa and the Clash of Ages (Toho) NEW
05 (02) ¥339,000,000 ($2.7 million), -34%, ¥1,380,000,000 ($11.2 million), Terminator: Genisys (Paramount) Week 2
06 (03) ¥274,000,000 ($2.2 million), -29%, ¥2,180,000,000 ($17.6 million), Avengers: Age of Ultron (Disney) Week 3
07 (04) ¥155,000,000 ($1.3 million), +25%, ¥1,830,000,000 ($14.9 million), Love Live! The School Idol Movie (Shochiku) Week 6
08 (05) ¥52,000,000 ($420,000), -30%, ¥300,000,000 ($2.4 million), Shaun the Sheep Movie (Tohokushinsha) Week 3
09 (06) ¥51,000,000 ($410,000), -25%, ¥1,390,000,000 ($11.3 million), Mad Max: Fury Road (Warner Bros.) Week 5
10 (08) ¥41,000,000 ($330,000), -19%, ¥225,000,000 ($1.9 million), Anpanman: Mija and the Magic Lamp (Toho Video Division) Week 3
>Hero 2 looks to have delivered the biggest opening weekend for a live-action film this year, with estimates putting it just above the ¥800 million mark. And with an an estimated weekend of 560,000 admissions, it also sold more tickets than any live-action film this year, too.
This opening does come in a little higher than expectations, with a possible sub-20% drop-off opening weekend from the original hit film from 2007. Tomorrow's a holiday, too, Umi no Hi, and the start of Summer vacation, so it's 3-day total is definitely going above the ¥1 billion mark (possibly even above ¥1.1 billion).
The opening is pretty close to Umizaru: Brave Hearts from three years ago over this weekend, and it finished above ¥7 billion. If Hero 2 has equivalent legs, it won't finish far from its predecessor's ¥8.15 billion total and will likely be the highest-grossing live-action film this year (depending on Jurassic World's performance next month).
>The Boy and the Beast holds strong, while dropping to second place, managing to hold off the latest entries from Disney/Pixar and Pokemon. The second weekend drop is similar to Mamoru Hosoda's last film, Wolf Children, and it went on to earn a multiplier above 11 (and Summer Wars almost hit 13 before that).
Mamoru Hosoda/Studio Chizu are definitely mainstream draws now, nearing Hayao Miyazaki/Studio Ghibli levels, and Beast will probably exceed the ¥7 billion milestone, if not go even higher to make a run at becoming the highest-grossing film of 2015.
>Inside Out has to settle for third place, it appears, and while the debut is well-below films like Big Hero 6, Frozen, and Monsters University, those comparisons are kind of unfair for many reasons.
Pixar's latest is running almost in-line with Pixar's original films like Wall-E and Ratatouille, which outside of Monsters Inc. and Finding Nemo, most of Pixar's original films didn't blockbuster-status. And taking into account being hindered by a Mamaru Hosoda film again like in 2012, the debut for Inside Out looks satisfactory to me and it shouldn't have an issue reaching ¥4 billion.
>Pokemon XY: Hoopa and the Clash of Ages mirrored last year's film on Saturday, but fell a bit behind on Sunday and for the overall weekend at the usual locations. I think it'll come in above Inside Out's weekend admissions, but the low avg. ticket price will make it really difficult to come ahead in gross.
Unless it played better than last year's film at Aeon Cinemas, its best chain that's unaccounted for, the new film may have decreased once again, but it's hard to say right now. If it decreased, it should only be by 5% or so, but this is still a sign the film franchise continues to struggle.
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Sun Jul 19, 2015 12:48 pm |
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