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 What are everyone's Oscar predictions? 
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Wallflower
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Post What are everyone's Oscar predictions?
Mine:

BEST PICTURE - La La Land
BEST DIRECTOR - Damien Chazelle, La La Land
BEST ACTRESS - Emma Stone, La La Land
BEST ACTOR - Denzel Washington, Fences
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS - Viola Davis, Fences
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR - Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY - Moonlight
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY - Manchester By The Sea
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY - La La Land
BEST COSTUME DESIGN - La La Land
BEST FILM EDITING - La La Land
BEST MAKEUP - Star Trek Beyond
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN - La La Land
BEST SCORE - La La Land
BEST SONG - "City of Stars," La La Land
BEST SOUND EDITING - Hacksaw Ridge
BEST SOUND MIXING - La La Land
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS - The Jungle Book
BEST ANIMATED - Zootopia
BEST DOCUMENTARY - O.J.: Made in America
FOREIGN LANGUAGE - The Salesman
ANIMATED SHORT - Piper
DOCUMENTARY SHORT - Joe's Violin
LIVE ACTION SHORT - Ennemis Interieurs


Thu Feb 23, 2017 2:30 am
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Post Re: What are everyone's Oscar predictions?
For the major categories only...

BEST PICTURE - La La Land
BEST DIRECTOR - Berry Jenkins, Moonlight
BEST ACTRESS - Emma Stone, La La Land
BEST ACTOR - Denzel Washington, Fences
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS - Viola Davis, Fences
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR - Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY - Moonlight
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY - Manchester By The Sea
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS - The Jungle Book
BEST ANIMATED - Kubo & the 2 Strings

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Thu Feb 23, 2017 7:25 am
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The Wall
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Post Re: What are everyone's Oscar predictions?
Rev wrote:
For the major categories only...

BEST PICTURE - La La Land
BEST DIRECTOR - Berry Jenkins, Moonlight
BEST ACTRESS - Emma Stone, La La Land
BEST ACTOR - Denzel Washington, Fences
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS - Viola Davis, Fences
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR - Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY - Moonlight
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY - Manchester By The Sea
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS - The Jungle Book
BEST ANIMATED - Kubo & the 2 Strings

It's (unfortunately) a fantasy scenario where LLL won't dominate.


Thu Feb 23, 2017 8:19 am
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There will be some BIG upsets this year because there are tons more black voters, and the ONLY reason they are there is to vote up the black nominees. La La Land will not win so easily, or at all. Expect to see Fences, Moonlight, and Hidden Figures take big awards. In any normal year, sure, La La Land is sweeping.

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Last edited by Algren on Thu Feb 23, 2017 8:47 am, edited 1 time in total.



Thu Feb 23, 2017 8:30 am
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Post Re: What are everyone's Oscar predictions?
PICTURE - LA LA LAND
DIRECTOR - DAMIEN CH
ACTOR - CASEY AFFLECK
ACTRESS - EMMA STONE
SUPP ACTOR - DEV PATEL
SUPP ACTRESS - VIOLA DAVIS

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Thu Feb 23, 2017 8:35 am
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Post Re: What are everyone's Oscar predictions?
La La Land does not deserve any tech awards.


Thu Feb 23, 2017 10:09 am
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The Wall
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Post Re: What are everyone's Oscar predictions?
zwackerm wrote:
La La Land does not deserve any tech awards.

Fixed.


Thu Feb 23, 2017 10:18 am
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Post Re: What are everyone's Oscar predictions?
La La Land's technical achievements are the best part of the movie. It will win direction, actress, cinematography, editing, screenplay, set design, score and song.

Hidden Figures will win Picture and adapted screenplay.

Denzel, Dev and Viola will win the other acting awards.


Thu Feb 23, 2017 1:35 pm
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Post Re: What are everyone's Oscar predictions?
Flava'd vs The World wrote:
La La Land's technical achievements are the best part of the movie. It will win direction, actress, cinematography, editing, screenplay, set design, score and song.

Hidden Figures will win Picture and adapted screenplay.

Denzel, Dev and Viola will win the other acting awards.

Cinematography and editing were better in Arrival. Art and costume design were better in every other nominee. They just wore regular clothes in regular surroundings.


Thu Feb 23, 2017 1:47 pm
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Post Re: What are everyone's Oscar predictions?
Flava'd vs The World wrote:
La La Land's technical achievements are the best part of the movie. It will win direction, actress, cinematography, editing, screenplay, set design, score and song.

Hidden Figures will win Picture and adapted screenplay.

Denzel, Dev and Viola will win the other acting awards.


You're really predicting Hidden Figures to win Best Picture? I loved that movie, but...good luck with that prediction.


Thu Feb 23, 2017 2:03 pm
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Post Re: What are everyone's Oscar predictions?
For everything:

Best Picture
LA LA LAND

Best Director
Damien Chazelle, LA LA LAND

Best Actor in a Leading Role
Viggo Mortensen, CAPTAIN FANTASTIC

Best Actress in a Leading Role
Emma Stone, LA LA LAND

Best Actor in a Supporting Role
Mahershala Ali, MOONLIGHT

Best Actress in a Supporting Role
Naomie Harris, MOONLIGHT

Best Adapted Screenplay
ARRIVAL, screenplay by Eric Heisserer

Best Original Screenplay
LA LA LAND, written by Damien Chazelle

Best Animated Feature Film
ZOOTOPIA

Best Cinematography
LA LA LAND, Linus Sandgren

Best Costume Design
FANTASTIC BEASTS AND WHERE TO FIND THEM, Colleen Atwood

Best Film Editing
LA LA LAND, Tom Cross

Best Documentary Feature
I AM NOT YOUR NEGRO

Best Documentary (Short Subject)
WATANI: MY HOMELAND

Best Foreign Language Film
THE SALESMAN (Iran)

Best Makeup and Hairstyling
SUICIDE SQUAD, Alessandro Bertolazzi, Giorgio Gregorini and Christopher Nelson

Best Music (Original Score)
LA LA LAND, Justin Hurwitz

Best Music (Original Song)
MOANA, "How Far I'll Go," music and lyric by Lin-Manuel Miranda

Best Production Design
LA LA LAND, David Wasco (Production Design); Sandy Reynolds-Wasco (Set Decoration)

Best Short Film (Animated)
BORROWED TIME

Best Short Film (Live Action)
SILENT NIGHTS

Best Sound Editing
LA LA LAND, Ai-Ling Lee and Mildred Iatrou Morgan

Best Sound Mixing
ARRIVAL, Bernard Gariépy Strobl and Claude La Haye

Best Visual Effects
THE JUNGLE BOOK, Robert Legato, Adam Valdez, Andrew R. Jones and Dan Lemmon

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Thu Feb 23, 2017 3:42 pm
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Post Re: What are everyone's Oscar predictions?
BEST PICTURE - La La Land
BEST DIRECTOR - Damien Chazelle, La La Land
BEST ACTRESS - Emma Stone, La La Land
BEST ACTOR - Casey Affleck, Fences
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS - Viola Davis, Fences
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR - Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY - Moonlight
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY - Manchester By The Sea
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY - Arrival
BEST COSTUME DESIGN - Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
BEST FILM EDITING - La La Land
BEST MAKEUP - Star Trek Beyond
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN - La La Land
BEST SCORE - La La Land
BEST SONG - "City of Stars," La La Land
BEST SOUND EDITING - La La Land
BEST SOUND MIXING - La La Land
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS - The Jungle Book
BEST ANIMATED - Zootopia

La La Land will win 9 of its 14. Hopefully no more than that lol. Spread the love!


Thu Feb 23, 2017 6:22 pm
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Post Re: What are everyone's Oscar predictions?
Didn't many older Academy members (i.e. members that would vote for La La Land just because it reminds them of the golden era of cinema) have their membership revoked? Partner that with the added black voters and I think there will be upsets.

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Thu Feb 23, 2017 9:42 pm
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Post Re: What are everyone's Oscar predictions?
Hacksaw Ridge has odds of 1-3 to win Best Sound Editing. say "experts".

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Fri Feb 24, 2017 1:43 am
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The Wall
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Post Re: What are everyone's Oscar predictions?
I doubt they changed more than 5% members. The change like that needs to happen gradually over years. Not in 1 year. Maybe that was enough to shake up the nominations a bit and give more awareness to the problem. It won't matter much in the outcome.


Fri Feb 24, 2017 6:35 am
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Post Re: What are everyone's Oscar predictions?
zwackerm wrote:
BEST ACTOR - Casey Affleck, Fences

:huh:


Fri Feb 24, 2017 8:10 am
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Post Re: What are everyone's Oscar predictions?
Picture: La La Land
Director: Chazelle
Actor: Washington
Actress: Stone
Supporting Actor: Ali
Supporting Actress: Davis
Adapted Screenplay: Moonlight
Original Screenplay: La La Land
Animated Feature: Zootopia
Cinematography: La La Land
Costume Design: Jackie
Editing: La La Land
Makeup and Hairstyling: Suicide Squad
Score: La La Land
Original Song: How Far I'll Go
Production Design: Passengers
Sound Editing: Arrival
Sound Mixing: La La Land
Visual Effects: The Jungle Book


Fri Feb 24, 2017 8:16 am
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Post Re: What are everyone's Oscar predictions?
Algren wrote:
Didn't many older Academy members (i.e. members that would vote for La La Land just because it reminds them of the golden era of cinema) have their membership revoked? Partner that with the added black voters and I think there will be upsets.


I think a lot of the people they removed didn't even vote.

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Fri Feb 24, 2017 10:41 am
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Post Re: What are everyone's Oscar predictions?
publicenemy#1 wrote:
zwackerm wrote:
BEST ACTOR - Casey Affleck, Fences

:huh:

he clearly means hidden fences

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I don't think. I predict. ;)


Fri Feb 24, 2017 1:54 pm
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Post Re: What are everyone's Oscar predictions?
_axiom wrote:
I doubt they changed more than 5% members. The change like that needs to happen gradually over years. Not in 1 year. Maybe that was enough to shake up the nominations a bit and give more awareness to the problem. It won't matter much in the outcome.


Chippy wrote:
Algren wrote:
Didn't many older Academy members (i.e. members that would vote for La La Land just because it reminds them of the golden era of cinema) have their membership revoked? Partner that with the added black voters and I think there will be upsets.


I think a lot of the people they removed didn't even vote.


Hope you two are right.

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Sat Feb 25, 2017 1:45 am
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Post Re: What are everyone's Oscar predictions?
Yeah they cleaned house with the people who didn't vote. The active voters still remain.


Sat Feb 25, 2017 6:30 am
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Post Re: What are everyone's Oscar predictions?
http://www.metacritic.com/feature/predi ... ers?ref=hp

It's gonna be a Yawn Yawn Night.


Sat Feb 25, 2017 9:48 am
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Post Re: What are everyone's Oscar predictions?
Here are my predictions.

BEST PICTURE - La La Land (will follow the trend of past awards, plus it has the celebrating film element that older voters like).
BEST DIRECTOR - Damien Chazelle, La La Land (DGA will usually follows suit)
BEST ACTRESS - Emma Stone, La La Land (SAG win almost seals this).
BEST ACTOR - Denzel Washington, Fences (Won the SAG, plus Affleck being sued for sexual harassment will hurt him).
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS - Viola Davis, Fences (Should have won for the Help)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR - Mahershala Ali, Moonlight (A virtual sweep for him).
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY - Moonlight (It won the WGA)
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY - Manchester By The Sea (Lonergan is overdue)
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY - La La Land (The long shots are too amazing to pass up)
BEST COSTUME DESIGN - La La Land (Jackie might take it, but there is too much love for this film).
BEST FILM EDITING - La La Land (It won the ACE)
BEST MAKEUP - Star Trek Beyond (Will voters even vote for Suicide Squad)
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN - La La Land (Again, too much love).
BEST SCORE - La La Land (Ditto)
BEST SONG - "City of Stars," La La Land (It's the best song of the bunch)
BEST SOUND EDITING - Hacksaw Ridge (War film always win this category)
BEST SOUND MIXING - La La Land (Musicals have the upper hand here)
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS - The Jungle Book (There is not one scene where a visual effect does not appear)
BEST ANIMATED - Zootopia (It's Crash with Animals. All kidding aside, it's the most adult of the bunch)
BEST DOCUMENTARY - O.J.: Made in America (Who couldn't resist the 8-hour epic).
FOREIGN LANGUAGE - Toni Erdmann (Sales Man could have taken it, but could the travel ban could hurt it. Plus, the academy tends to like the lighter fare)
ANIMATED SHORT - Piper (Relatable story, no dialogue, check).
DOCUMENTARY SHORT - Joe's Violin (Holocaust survivor, need I say more).
LIVE ACTION SHORT - Ennemis Interieurs (My film teacher says it's the best one).

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Sun Feb 26, 2017 1:40 am
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Post Re: What are everyone's Oscar predictions?
Lonergan is overdue? For what? Rocky and Bullwinkle? ;)

No way will that be part of the narrative if he wins. He's written, like, 7 films, three of which were Rocky and Bullwinkle, Analyze This, and Analyze That. It is hardly a Leo pre-The Revenant type of situation.

And I am not sure the Academy is ready to award Denzel his third acting Oscar just yet. I get that Affleck has the sexual harrassment thing against him, but he got nominated, so they mustn't think it's such a big deal (and this was years ago!). Plus, Affleck has already won the Golden Globe and BAFTA for his performance. Many BAFTA voters also vote for the Oscars. I'd go for Affleck there.

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Sun Feb 26, 2017 2:07 am
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Post Re: What are everyone's Oscar predictions?
BEST PICTURE - La La Land
BEST DIRECTOR - Damien Chazelle
BEST ACTRESS - Emma Stone
BEST ACTOR - Denzel Washington
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS - Viola Davis
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR - Dev Patal
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY - Moonlight
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY - La La Land
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY - La La Land
BEST COSTUME DESIGN - Florence Foster Jenkins
BEST FILM EDITING - Hacksaw Ridge
BEST MAKEUP - A Man Called Ove
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN - Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
BEST SCORE - La La Land
BEST SONG - How Far I'll Go
BEST SOUND EDITING - Hacksaw Ridge
BEST SOUND MIXING - Hacksaw Ridge
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS - Doctor Strange
BEST ANIMATED - Zootopia
BEST DOCUMENTARY - O.J.: Made in America
FOREIGN LANGUAGE - Land of Mine
ANIMATED SHORT - Borrowed Time
DOCUMENTARY SHORT - 4.1 Miles
LIVE ACTION SHORT - Time Code


Sun Feb 26, 2017 4:18 pm
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