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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 19397
Location: San Diego
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 Stitch and MI weekend thread 14m for Stitch and around 8m for MI from Deadline.
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| Fri May 23, 2025 11:26 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32601
Location: the last free city
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Re: Stitch and MI weekend thread higher preview numbers than Moana 2 AND Inside Out 2
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Is it 2028 yet?
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| Fri May 23, 2025 11:44 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 21525
Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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Re: Stitch and MI weekend thread Rev wrote: higher preview numbers than Moana 2 AND Inside Out 2 Moana 2 was a Tuesday so not a great comp.
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| Fri May 23, 2025 12:42 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40434
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Re: Stitch and MI weekend thread Little Mermaid's multiplier would get Stitch to 130m for 3 days, 160m 4 days, but maybe it can be a bit more weekend centric.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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| Fri May 23, 2025 12:48 pm |
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rftapeout
Speed Racer
Joined: Wed Dec 18, 2019 4:20 pm
Posts: 114
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Re: Stitch and MI weekend thread My theory is try to use Memorial Day movie to compare to Memorial Day movie. Alladin (2019) had $7 million previews that led to opening weekend of $91 million, a multiple of 13. The Little Mermaid (2023) had $10.3 million previews that led to a $95.6 million opening weekend, a multiple of 9.28. Inside Out 2's Thursday preview occurred June 13, 2024, when many schools were already closed for summer.
My second question is what character drives fans to see the movie: Lilo (young girl), Stitch (alien), or Nani (Lilo's older teenage sister). The advantage that Alladin and The Little Mermaid have is that the main character is a teenager: Alladin and Ariel. Lilo on the other hand is younger than a teenager. For this reason I believe (and it shows in my prediction for the bi-monthly contest) that Lilo and Stitch will have a multiple less than 9.28. My prediction is Lilo and Stitch will have a 3 day gross below $130 million.
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| Fri May 23, 2025 1:59 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6748
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Re: Stitch and MI weekend thread no chance for Lilo to go that low. Q is if its hitting 150m or not. Presales are very strong for the weekend. We will know based on walkups today.
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The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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| Fri May 23, 2025 2:13 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6748
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Re: Stitch and MI weekend thread Charlie is saying 55m for Lilo and 24.5m for MI8 including previews. Lilo is behaving like Mermaid past 2 days than family flicks. Its presales were double of IO2/Mine a week back and now its going to fall short of both movies OW. Still really good. I am seeing 175-180m for Lilo and 75m ish for MI8. MI8 got screwed due to Lilo dominating the plexes. it has fewest showtimes among 50m+ openers that I remember in a long time.
_________________
The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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| Fri May 23, 2025 11:48 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40434
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Re: Stitch and MI weekend thread Lilo vs Minecraft could be close for total.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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| Sat May 24, 2025 12:07 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40434
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Re: Stitch and MI weekend thread Wait MI's budget is FOUR hundred million?
Seems decent for Friendship, nice to see a new comedy get word of mouth.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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| Sun May 25, 2025 1:20 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm
Posts: 6324
Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: Stitch and MI weekend thread Shack wrote: Wait MI's budget is FOUR hundred million?
Scientology money laundering
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| Sun May 25, 2025 9:12 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35231
Location: Minnesota
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Re: Stitch and MI weekend thread Shack wrote: Seems decent for Friendship, nice to see a new comedy get word of mouth. Hopefully they double the theater count this weekend. It's not like anything else is coming out.
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| Wed May 28, 2025 12:56 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40434
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Re: Stitch and MI weekend thread Sinners with fairly low ratio of 79 million internationally to 261 domestically. The Peele movies also were largely appealing to domestic.
The Amateur 95 worldwide on 60 million budget isn't amazing but is probably acceptable considering middle aged guys can stream it.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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| Thu May 29, 2025 1:16 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 23316
Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: Stitch and MI weekend thread The Amateur could have easily been a 10-15m grosser as it seems to be the stuff of streaming these days.
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| Thu May 29, 2025 6:47 pm |
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