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| February 14-17 Predictions http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=90949 |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Fri Feb 07, 2025 8:51 am ] |
| Post subject: | February 14-17 Predictions |
Captain America: Brave New World 106/126 Paddington In Peru 15/19 |
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| Author: | Keyser Söze [ Sat Feb 08, 2025 1:02 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: February 14-17 Predictions |
Cap 4 is all about reception. Based on PS today its looking at 40m Friday including previews(13/27 split). VD might impact saturday increase. I am seeing 85-90m 3 day and 105-110m till Presidents day. On the Poll, its well below Ant 3 in pre sales. Its going to catch up but the gap is too much at the moment. |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Sat Feb 08, 2025 1:30 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: February 14-17 Predictions |
100m+ 3-day would be nice. Have been expecting high 70s/low 80s. |
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| Author: | Magic Mike [ Sat Feb 08, 2025 2:15 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: February 14-17 Predictions |
I would love to see Paddington do well, but it's never been a big hit in the US. The excellent second film, which held a 100% rating on Rotten Tomatoes for the longest time before someone ruined it, only made $41 million here after opening to $11 million over 3 days and $15 million over a 4-day weekend. Has the audience really grown that much since then? |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Sat Feb 08, 2025 4:58 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: February 14-17 Predictions |
I was thinking inflation would help it not lose too much audience from film 2. |
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| Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Sun Feb 09, 2025 4:40 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: February 14-17 Predictions |
The first Paddington actually did much better than 2, despite that most people would agree that P2 is the better film. I think Peru can at least rebound to the first's $70Mish total. |
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| Author: | flip1 [ Sun Feb 09, 2025 6:26 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: February 14-17 Predictions |
Capt 4: 88m Paddington 3: 16m |
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| Author: | Keyser Söze [ Wed Feb 12, 2025 1:01 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: February 14-17 Predictions |
Meta score starts at 46 but only 8 reviews. Get your pitchforks out :-) |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Wed Feb 12, 2025 1:26 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: February 14-17 Predictions |
hopefully the barren release slate can help it have ok legs anyway. |
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| Author: | Keyser Söze [ Wed Feb 12, 2025 1:30 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: February 14-17 Predictions |
RT is at 48% with 61 reviews. I am expecting brutal legs. 1st there is very little hook with Mackie playing Cap which is a terrible idea. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Wed Feb 12, 2025 1:41 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: February 14-17 Predictions |
A lot of reviews are saying "at least its better than Ant-Man 3" lol typical cope. I'm still excited for it but it needed good reviews for anyone but fans to care. |
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| Author: | Shack [ Wed Feb 12, 2025 1:47 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: February 14-17 Predictions |
Even the social media reactions were mixed. |
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| Author: | Keyser Söze [ Wed Feb 12, 2025 1:53 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: February 14-17 Predictions |
zwackerm wrote: A lot of reviews are saying "at least its better than Ant-Man 3" lol typical cope. I'm still excited for it but it needed good reviews for anyone but fans to care. wrap Quote: There’s nothing brave about this movie. There’s nothing new either. And sure, it technically takes place in the world, but one out of three is bad. DiscussionFilm Quote: ‘CAPTAIN AMERICA: BRAVE NEW WORLD’ suffers from underdeveloped plot lines, jarring CGI & terribly edited fight scenes. Maybe that could be forgiven if the film delivered enough thrills… It doesn’t. |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Wed Feb 12, 2025 2:25 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: February 14-17 Predictions |
Oof. Ya this will probably not do 200m+. |
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| Author: | Algren [ Wed Feb 12, 2025 3:34 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: February 14-17 Predictions |
It will still make more money than it deserves. |
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| Author: | Keyser Söze [ Wed Feb 12, 2025 4:04 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: February 14-17 Predictions |
Kudos to Disney on releasing the reactions/reviews only in the 11hr. Cap branding was enough for presales. |
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| Author: | MadGez [ Wed Feb 12, 2025 5:36 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: February 14-17 Predictions |
It's still going to be a minor win for current state MCU as it should at least get to $180-200m (though may fall short). Audience reaction may be slightly better than that of the critics. Apparently, the Marvel/MCU intro was scrapped for this film lol. Marvel does not want to associate with the MCU brand it seems. That's how much damage was done!! |
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| Author: | Keyser Söze [ Thu Feb 13, 2025 1:27 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: February 14-17 Predictions |
Final prediction for the weekend. Cap 4 - 12m previews/90m 3 day/103m 4 day (it will trend like Ant 3 than Guardians over the weekend) Paddington - low double digits over 3 day/14-15m over 4 day weekend Ne zha 2 - it opened yesterday(750K according to Charlie). its presales are stronger than Paddington but release is small and its only in Mandarin. So 8-9m till Monday. |
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