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 January 17-20 Predictions 

Can Wolf Man open to 30m?
Yes 17%  17%  [ 1 ]
No 83%  83%  [ 5 ]
Total votes : 6

 January 17-20 Predictions 
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Hold the door!

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Post January 17-20 Predictions
Wolf Man 35/43
One of them Days 10/13

Plus seems like Room Next Door and September 5 are getting notable expansion.


Fri Jan 10, 2025 9:42 am
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Wallflower
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Post Re: January 17-20 Predictions
I say no, but would love to be wrong.


Fri Jan 10, 2025 3:25 pm
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Post Re: January 17-20 Predictions
Julia Garner being the mom instead of older sister is weird.

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Fri Jan 10, 2025 3:43 pm
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Wallflower
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Post Re: January 17-20 Predictions
Shack wrote:
Julia Garner being the mom instead of older sister is weird.


I mean, she is 30, and the actress playing the daughter is 9, so it's not that weird. Julia Garner just looks younger.


Sing Sing finally goes wide this weekend. Hopefully it can catch on this time, as it seems to be a huge crowd-pleaser that could really take off under the right circumstances.


Fri Jan 10, 2025 4:21 pm
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Post Re: January 17-20 Predictions
Variety sees Wolf Man at 17-21 Million over the 4-Day holiday. That seems low to me. I hope it does better than that. They need to hurry up and release the reviews.

They have One of Them Days at 8-13 Million over the 4-Day.

September 5 expands to 120 theaters.


Tue Jan 14, 2025 7:41 pm
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Hold the door!

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Post Re: January 17-20 Predictions
Magic Mike wrote:
Shack wrote:
Julia Garner being the mom instead of older sister is weird.


I mean, she is 30, and the actress playing the daughter is 9, so it's not that weird. Julia Garner just looks younger.


Sing Sing finally goes wide this weekend. Hopefully it can catch on this time, as it seems to be a huge crowd-pleaser that could really take off under the right circumstances.


Sing sing is not playing near me which is strange because we have The Brutalist which is not yet wide


Tue Jan 14, 2025 8:17 pm
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Post Re: January 17-20 Predictions
Wolf Man presales are anemic. its gonna under perform this week. One of them days is not doing much but that being driven to black audience, I think will be driven by walkups.

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Tue Jan 14, 2025 9:26 pm
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Post Re: January 17-20 Predictions
My theater gets Sing Sing and Anora for the first time, and we get The Room Next Door, Wish You Were Here, Autumn and the Black Jaguar, and of course, the two new wide openers. We also get The Substance back, which I'm really excited to see on the big screen again where it deserves to be seen, and we get Conclave and The Wild Robot back.


Tue Jan 14, 2025 9:41 pm
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Post Re: January 17-20 Predictions
Maybe Companion can be the January horror standout if Wolf Man isn’t it.

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Tue Jan 14, 2025 10:11 pm
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Post Re: January 17-20 Predictions
It would have to be leggy, because I don't see a great opening for it. They're only spending 10 Million to market it. The average marketing budget for wide release films is 30 Million on the low end. I hope it does well as it's supposed to be great, but buzz seems muted for the time being.


Tue Jan 14, 2025 10:20 pm
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Dont Mess with the Gez
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Post Re: January 17-20 Predictions
Magic Mike wrote:
Variety sees Wolf Man at 17-21 Million over the 4-Day holiday. That seems low to me. I hope it does better than that. They need to hurry up and release the reviews.

They have One of Them Days at 8-13 Million over the 4-Day.

September 5 expands to 120 theaters.


I'd be happy with One of Them Days doing that for my derby considering its a Round 15 pick.

That would be low for Wolf Man. I was expecting a $30m+ breakout.

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Wed Jan 15, 2025 1:01 am
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Post Re: January 17-20 Predictions
One of Them Days has 100% on Rotten Tomatoes with 13 reviews. I've read quite a few reactions from advanced screenings saying it's hilarious. With strong WOM, it could be decently leggy. The competition is pretty weak until "Captain America" comes out. I bet it gets an A/A- CinemaScore.


Wed Jan 15, 2025 1:35 pm
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Post Re: January 17-20 Predictions
The Wolf Man reviews I've skimmed aren't very encouraging, which is a shame. This excerpt from one of the positive ones, in particular, doesn't inspire confidence.

"With Wolf Man, the werewolf lore you thought you knew is remixed and transformed in a harrowing horror picture about facing the generational trauma of modern toxic masculinity."

Lame! Hopefully it's not just another limp tale about how men are evil (and/or incompetent), which is just so fresh and such an original vision to find in a horror film these days. :mer:


Wed Jan 15, 2025 2:02 pm
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Post Re: January 17-20 Predictions
Sounds like garbage.

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Wed Jan 15, 2025 6:30 pm
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Post Re: January 17-20 Predictions
One of Them Days is still 100% with 25 reviews. This is wild. I'm glad it's supposed to be good as I thought it looked really fun and had planned on seeing it.


Last edited by Magic Mike on Thu Jan 16, 2025 4:18 am, edited 1 time in total.



Wed Jan 15, 2025 8:14 pm
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Post Re: January 17-20 Predictions
Great. Hope One of Them Days does well.

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Thu Jan 16, 2025 12:21 am
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Post Re: January 17-20 Predictions
The unfortunate aspect of many award-season movies expanding this weekend is that, with the Oscar nomination date pushed to Thursday, they won't even benefit from the nominations. Many theaters will likely remove these films by next weekend. If they're smart, they'll keep them for a showtime or two, as the Oscar nominations should provide a boost. Unfortunately, I doubt many theaters will consider this. I can't see mine being smart enough to. They always make really dumb decisions. :P


Thu Jan 16, 2025 4:04 pm
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Post Re: January 17-20 Predictions
I wanted to go see One of Them Days or Brutalist but its so damn cold out. Will be hovering in the 20s for this weekend ... then on Monday/Tuesday theres a high of like 8 lol. Combine that with the fires closing many California theaters and numbers will likely be pretty low this weekend for all films.


Thu Jan 16, 2025 5:37 pm
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Post Re: January 17-20 Predictions
I haven't seen many movies lately for the same reason. We have 4 degrees on Saturday, -5 on Sunday, and -10 on Monday. I hate to leave the house. :sweat:


Thu Jan 16, 2025 8:54 pm
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Hold the door!

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Post Re: January 17-20 Predictions
Brutalist is worth it.

But that’s why you don’t live in Minnesota lol


Thu Jan 16, 2025 9:10 pm
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Post Re: January 17-20 Predictions
Oh believe me, every winter I ask myself why I do.


Fri Jan 17, 2025 12:14 am
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Post Re: January 17-20 Predictions
Wolf Man did 1.4 Million in previews, and One of Them Days did 1.3 Million. That's pretty bad for Wolf Man, but good for One of Them Days. Maybe that could be #1 this weekend. At the very least, it might beat Wolf Man.


Fri Jan 17, 2025 12:21 pm
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Hold the door!

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Post Re: January 17-20 Predictions
Is that One of Them Days number pure Thursday or did it have sneaks?

Might be front loaded but seems really good.


Fri Jan 17, 2025 12:46 pm
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Post Re: January 17-20 Predictions
I didn't hear anything about any paid sneak previews, so it should just be Thursday. It was performing surprisingly well at many theaters I checked last night. It was doing better than Wolf Man at a lot of them, although Wolf Man did benefit from premium screens.


Fri Jan 17, 2025 12:54 pm
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Post Re: January 17-20 Predictions
Magic Mike wrote:
Wolf Man did 1.4 Million in previews, and One of Them Days did 1.3 Million.


Yikes for Wolf Man

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Fri Jan 17, 2025 12:58 pm
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