World of KJ :: View topic - July 12-14 predictions

publicenemy#1 wrote:

Cool to see. Hope we see strong drops this weekend. I'm using my code on Princess Mononoke since those Ghibli releases don't work for A-list lol

Flava'd vs The World wrote:

publicenemy#1 wrote:

Cool to see. Hope we see strong drops this weekend. I'm using my code on Princess Mononoke since those Ghibli releases don't work for A-list lol

How does the tmobile thing work? I've googled it but no help. Cause I would love to get a $5 ticket for Princess Mononoke.

O wrote:

Can you walk through the box office here Keyser?

If TMobile does a $5 promo, and DM does $15M on Tuesday, were those $5 tickets contributing $5 to the box office each or is it more an average ticket ($10-12) contribution to the box office number but studio or TMobile cover that extra $5?

How much of that $15M is actually $15M or is there padding of artificial grosses here that a studio is covering?

O wrote:

Author:	Shack [ Sun Jul 07, 2024 5:29 pm ]
Post subject:	July 12-14 predictions
Fly Me to the Moon only real opener

Author:	publicenemy#1 [ Sun Jul 07, 2024 7:01 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: July 12-14 predictions
Longlegs probably opening in enough theaters to open above that.

Author:	zwackerm [ Sun Jul 07, 2024 7:23 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: July 12-14 predictions
Long legs 8 Fly Me to the Moon 15 Tatum is a draw he can get this to the teens.

Author:	Magic Mike [ Mon Jul 08, 2024 12:52 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: July 12-14 predictions
Longlegs - 23 Million Fly Me to the Moon - 5 Million I upped my Longlegs predictions by a couple million. Not only are Thursday shows pretty full, but Friday evening shows are too. It looks poised to be this summer's horror sleeper. Good for NEON. They deserve this. I think this is probably the most exciting movie to follow at the box office this summer.

Author:	Algren [ Mon Jul 08, 2024 1:52 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: July 12-14 predictions
I also don't see anyone caring about Tatum/ScarJo in a 60s-set comedy-drama about the NASA Moon landing. I'll go: Daddy Longlegs $8 million Fly Tatum to the Moon $4.3 million

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July 12-14 predictions http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=90602	Page 1 of 2

Author:	flip1 [ Mon Jul 08, 2024 2:29 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: July 12-14 predictions
Longlegs really depends on how many theaters it’s releasing in. Fly me to the Moon: 13m Longlegs (assuming 2.7k theaters): 11m

Author:	Keyser Söze [ Mon Jul 08, 2024 11:25 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: July 12-14 predictions
Long legs sales are on a tear today. I am expecting a mini break out for now. Previews should be 3m ish and OW around low 20s. Fly me to moon I am not tracking sales but based on other reports seem awful in ticket sales. I am expecting it to bomb. high single digits due to the star cast.

Author:	O [ Mon Jul 08, 2024 11:28 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: July 12-14 predictions
Reviews seem decent for Moon but they should have opened it or The Omen during the Solar Eclipse when space interest was sky high. Seems easy to forget it now and a long time ago that Apollo 13 and Armageddon could anchor summer box office with space films. That's very promising for LongLegs. Cage's comeback post Pig is picking up speed. Could this be his Taken comeback like what that did for Neeson? It could be his biggest non-animated film in 12+ years.

Author:	MadGez [ Tue Jul 09, 2024 12:53 am ]
Post subject:	Re: July 12-14 predictions
Longlegs - 21m Fly Me to the Moon - 10m Fly Me to the Moon seems light weight and frivolous. Don't think it will have much of an impact.

Author:	O [ Tue Jul 09, 2024 4:05 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: July 12-14 predictions
Inside Out 2 made $3.7M on Monday (Global tally now a fun $1.234B)! DM4 $9.3M with the exact same Monday drop (-56%) as DM2 which had similar days. If it follows the daily trends could drop 48% next weekend but likely better since DM2 had Grown Ups 2 and Pacific Rim in its 2nd weekend ($79M combined in openings).

Author:	Shack [ Tue Jul 09, 2024 5:03 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: July 12-14 predictions
I think that's a good drop for DM4.

Author:	Algren [ Tue Jul 09, 2024 5:55 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: July 12-14 predictions
$20m for Longlegs? Yeah, I'll believe it when I see it.

Author:	O [ Wed Jul 10, 2024 5:49 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: July 12-14 predictions
$15M Tuesday for DM4, far surpassing DM2. Granted, there was a $5 mobile promotion I believe but that's 72% of it's Sunday gross. Expecting a big drop for Wed. Inside Out 2 $5,581,053 -50% $543,529,558 Wow at Inside Out pulling such a big gross against DM4. Going to coast past $600M+. A Quiet Place: Day One $3,354,641 -50% $99,774,672

Author:	Shack [ Wed Jul 10, 2024 5:54 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: July 12-14 predictions
15 million for DM? Plus it has relatively open 2nd weekend.

Author:	Keyser Söze [ Wed Jul 10, 2024 9:53 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: July 12-14 predictions
Charlie is saying 10m/4.75m wednesday for DM4/IO2. This has to bee the biggest impact due to TMobile Tuesday promo. Obviously $5 ticket to see any movie in any format(including PLF) makes it incredibly attractive. TMobile has 99m post paid customers !!! of course majority wont use it as they dont bother to even download the T-Life App. Still the impact will be seen till this weekend. Expect really strong holds and even good positive impact to Long legs and Fly me to the moon.

Author:	Flava'd vs The World [ Thu Jul 11, 2024 11:12 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: July 12-14 predictions
Has anyone been to a Phoenix theater? Went to one tonight that used to be a regal and damn... they fixed it up really nice. Huge screen and dolby sound. Longlegs was pretty crowded and on two screens (of 10?) Movie is very cinematic. WoM should be strong, but some parts might turn people off.

Author:	Keyser Söze [ Thu Jul 11, 2024 11:58 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: July 12-14 predictions
Deadline is saying 3m previews. I think it go up a bit from that. it seems to be playing well based on most reports. Of course the previews started only at 7PM(it feels ridiculous to say only for 7PM but we are used to 3PM start now). it also played mostly in 1 screen or at most 2 regular screens at most multiplex Fly me is around 800K plus whatever it did with early shows last weekend. Unless it has huge walkups from tomorrow night its looking like a bust.

Author:	O [ Fri Jul 12, 2024 12:03 am ]
Post subject:	Re: July 12-14 predictions
Thanks for your response on the $5 ticket. Funny how Scarlett jumped on Jurassic Park right after Moon. Maybe she knew all along she needed another guaranteed blockbster? "Previews" now include Wed, weekend before showings, etc. I heard there is a 30th anniversary Lion King release happening this weekend. It's made $400M+ already domestically in previews going back to 1994.

Author:	publicenemy#1 [ Wed Jul 10, 2024 11:18 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: July 12-14 predictions
Cool to see. Hope we see strong drops this weekend. I'm using my code on Princess Mononoke since those Ghibli releases don't work for A-list lol

Author:	Keyser Söze [ Thu Jul 11, 2024 4:36 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: July 12-14 predictions
if you have TMobile post paid, download T Life app and you can get the coupon code. Go to Atom and book the ticket. They are waiving even booking fees here. Flava, sent you a PM.

Author:	publicenemy#1 [ Thu Jul 11, 2024 4:42 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: July 12-14 predictions
Flava'd vs The World wrote: publicenemy#1 wrote: Cool to see. Hope we see strong drops this weekend. I'm using my code on Princess Mononoke since those Ghibli releases don't work for A-list lol How does the tmobile thing work? I've googled it but no help. Cause I would love to get a $5 ticket for Princess Mononoke. If you have T-Mobile download the T-Life app and then you can redeem the code to use on Atom

Author:	O [ Thu Jul 11, 2024 5:31 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: July 12-14 predictions
Can you walk through the box office here Keyser? If TMobile does a $5 promo, and DM does $15M on Tuesday, were those $5 tickets contributing $5 to the box office each or is it more an average ticket ($10-12) contribution to the box office number but studio or TMobile cover that extra $5? How much of that $15M is actually $15M or is there padding of artificial grosses here that a studio is covering?

Author:	zwackerm [ Thu Jul 11, 2024 6:07 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: July 12-14 predictions
O wrote: Can you walk through the box office here Keyser? If TMobile does a $5 promo, and DM does $15M on Tuesday, were those $5 tickets contributing $5 to the box office each or is it more an average ticket ($10-12) contribution to the box office number but studio or TMobile cover that extra $5? How much of that $15M is actually $15M or is there padding of artificial grosses here that a studio is covering? If I’m correct, T-Mobile is subsidizing the studio for the rest of the ticket?

Author:	Keyser Söze [ Thu Jul 11, 2024 6:55 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: July 12-14 predictions
O wrote: Can you walk through the box office here Keyser? If TMobile does a $5 promo, and DM does $15M on Tuesday, were those $5 tickets contributing $5 to the box office each or is it more an average ticket ($10-12) contribution to the box office number but studio or TMobile cover that extra $5? How much of that $15M is actually $15M or is there padding of artificial grosses here that a studio is covering? My expectation is studio would calculate based on flat ticket price. Its like for A-List customers buying a ticket. Its not same as retail but its not something very low. Based on market tier the theater reports these at certain rate and that is how studio calculates the ticket price. In the case of TMobile/Atom, there are multiple stakeholders here who all would have to take some small cut i believe. But Tmobile has to be the biggest as they get the benefit of sticky customers. but its win win for all of them. Studios get to report bigger BO, theaters get more folks come into the multiplex and so will buy popcorn/drinks/food etc and its publicity for Atom as well.

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