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May 17-19 Predictions http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=90520 |
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Author: | zwackerm [ Fri May 10, 2024 7:37 am ] |
Post subject: | May 17-19 Predictions |
IF 33m Back to Black 4m The Strangers 11m |
Author: | Shack [ Fri May 10, 2024 1:59 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: May 17-19 Predictions |
Modest 20s opening like the Fall Guy and then it depends on the reviews, if it's bad that and Garfield coming out next week would get ugly for it. |
Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Fri May 10, 2024 2:50 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: May 17-19 Predictions |
Flopppppppppp - <$20M |
Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Fri May 10, 2024 2:52 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: May 17-19 Predictions |
Kinda shocked tracking has this at 40m. I'm gonna guess mid 20s. |
Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Fri May 10, 2024 3:03 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: May 17-19 Predictions |
I thought The Strangers would be doa as well, but the horror subreddit seems pretty hyped for it. Apparently the original cut of the movie was 4 hours long, but they split it up and will release a trilogu over the course of the year instead? Kinda interesting, though I also kinda wish they did it like Fear Street and released a chapter every weekend just to see how the box office would go. |
Author: | Keyser Söze [ Fri May 10, 2024 7:37 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: May 17-19 Predictions |
Presales are trash but this is a family flick. Let us see how things go. I ultimately predicted 29m in monthly game. That would be good in comps to where it is now. Could go even lower. |
Author: | O [ Fri May 10, 2024 8:59 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: May 17-19 Predictions |
If If succeeds it will be a Shrek type run. Nothing big out of the gate. Garfield will be big though so would need to be exceptional. |
Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Sat May 11, 2024 3:57 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: May 17-19 Predictions |
Yeah, obviously in an ideal world people would have enough money and time to see all the movies like we do. But if you're a family on a budget and Garfield + Inside Out are coming out within the next month ... well who is gonna be spending that money on something that the kids might not love? |
Author: | Shack [ Wed May 15, 2024 11:41 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: May 17-19 Predictions |
55% on RT |
Author: | MadGez [ Wed May 15, 2024 7:07 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: May 17-19 Predictions |
IF 35m Back to Black 4m The Strangers 9m (no idea about this one) I think IF will have a decent OW - neither breakout nor outright flop. |
Author: | O [ Thu May 16, 2024 2:28 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: May 17-19 Predictions |
First big family film in 11 weeks and only the 2nd one since Christmas nearly 5 months later. If will benefit from being something for families. A mid April launch would have been great for it too. |
Author: | Shack [ Thu May 16, 2024 10:34 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: May 17-19 Predictions |
If it does meh I'd second guess the release date instead of going for a holiday legs run. |
Author: | Keyser Söze [ Fri May 17, 2024 12:11 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: May 17-19 Predictions |
Mediocre walkups today. I am thinking 1.5-1.75m preview range. Friday has big show count and hopefully walkups are way better. I am still sticking to high 20s for now. |
Author: | O [ Fri May 17, 2024 12:38 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: May 17-19 Predictions |
I'm not convinced If will do $20M+ yet. It should get there but can see a lot of people skip it who might catch it over the long weekend. Doesn't feel like a rush factor at all. And it's also the season of underperformances it seems! Overperformance at all will be from no family films and a Monday holiday in Canada. |
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