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March 15-17 Predictions
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=90458		 Page 1 of 1
Author:  zwackerm [ Fri Mar 08, 2024 9:08 am ]
Post subject:  March 15-17 Predictions
Arthur the King- 11m
Love Lies Bleeding- 4m
One Life- 500k
American Society of Magical Negroes-2m

KFP4 -45%
Dune -33%
Author:  flip1 [ Sat Mar 09, 2024 3:29 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: March 15-17 Predictions
Arthur the King- 8m (not enough theaters)
KFP4 -48%
Dune -36%
Author:  MadGez [ Sat Mar 09, 2024 6:05 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: March 15-17 Predictions
One Life is a good film but it wont make much of a splash.

Arthur should get to double digits. Dog films tend to overperform.
Author:  O [ Sun Mar 10, 2024 2:24 am ]
Post subject:  Re: March 15-17 Predictions
Given KFP is driven by teens and young 20 somethings could have a stronger hit than the usual family movie. It should recover over the next few weeks with more family audiences but wouldn't be shocked by a 50% drop so Dune could sneak back to #1 if it stabilizes even more.
Author:  Algren [ Tue Mar 12, 2024 7:41 am ]
Post subject:  Re: March 15-17 Predictions
MadGez wrote:
Arthur should get to double digits. Dog films tend to overperform.


But Wahlberg films tend to underperform. Result: a low single digit opening.
Author:  O [ Tue Mar 12, 2024 12:32 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: March 15-17 Predictions
KFP4 Monday # $4.7M

Down $0.1M from Dune's # ($4.8M) but clearly benefitting from Spring Break. KFP3 made $1.75M (Jan) on its first Monday, KFP2 made $13.2M (Memorial Day), and KFP1 made $6.3M (June).

KFP4 had the perfect release date. No family films, start of Spring break and Easter in a few weeks. So much will depend on its hold next weekend given how much 18-34 drove the OW but clearing $165M to become the second biggest KFP movie since the original unadjusted seems fairly doable for it.
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