Apparently the budget for KFP is only
85m
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| March 8-10 #'s http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=90457 |
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| Author: | O [ Fri Mar 08, 2024 3:56 am ] |
| Post subject: | March 8-10 #'s |
KFP4 previews $3.5M according to Charlie. Even with earlier showings, that seems great. Sat/Sun matinees should be strong. Maybe can pull $50M. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Fri Mar 08, 2024 9:01 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: March 8-10 #'s |
That points to 50m how? If it followed Migrations multiplier it would miss 30m. |
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| Author: | Keyser Söze [ Fri Mar 08, 2024 12:59 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: March 8-10 #'s |
Migrations was pre christmas. Eve fell over the weekend affecting the IM. KFP seem to be walkup driven and so should have strong IM this weekend. |
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| Author: | O [ Fri Mar 08, 2024 3:36 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: March 8-10 #'s |
It's not apples to apples, but a comparison for reference could be Avatar 2's 4th weekend. Wed Jan. 4 $7.5M Thur Jan. 5 $6.8M -8.6% Dune 2 Wed $6.7, Thur $6.4M Approximate $45,838,986 4th weekend for Avatar could be the floor for Dune. Avatar was already seen by nearly $446M worth of people up to its 3rd weekend. Dune still has a backlog for premium showings. That weekend Avatar also faced M3Gan which Imaginary could have been if it had a bit more virality. |
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| Author: | KC [ Fri Mar 08, 2024 6:23 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: March 8-10 #'s |
Per Deadline KFP4 - 52 mil Dune 2 - 41 mil |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Fri Mar 08, 2024 6:47 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: March 8-10 #'s |
Wow. Pretty strong for KFP. Should get to $150m+ with such a weak slate. Imaginary doing 10m with a 10m budget also sounds pretty solid. |
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| Author: | Barrabás [ Fri Mar 08, 2024 7:08 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: March 8-10 #'s |
Was hoping for better for Dune I won't lie. I guess $300M isn't happening anymore. Hopefully it can get to $250M. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Fri Mar 08, 2024 7:31 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: March 8-10 #'s |
They don’t give a Friday number. So who knows what they’re basing 41m off of. |
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| Author: | Jiffy [ Fri Mar 08, 2024 8:55 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: March 8-10 #'s |
zwackerm wrote: They don’t give a Friday number. So who knows what they’re basing 41m off of. Supposedly $12.5m |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Fri Mar 08, 2024 9:17 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: March 8-10 #'s |
It should avoid a 50% drop with 12.5m |
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| Author: | O [ Sat Mar 09, 2024 1:06 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: March 8-10 #'s |
Charlie is saying ~$14.75M FRI for KFP4, $18.5M opening day. $53-58M weekend. Dune: $12.5M. $45M weekend. (-61.2% Friday). Even with inflation, KFP4 may not be far off from KFP1's OW/total. Solid chance for $200M+ with Spring break and Easter. I do wonder how frontloaded the Friday is though with Spring Break starting. For context, KFP3 went up 73.7% on its first Sat in late January. If this one followed the same multiplier it would be at $73.1M which isn't likely so there must be frontloadedness. For Dune, that Friday drop puts $300M out the window. Still will reach a big total but should stabilize with lots of fans driving last Friday's business. |
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| Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Sat Mar 09, 2024 2:29 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: March 8-10 #'s |
Monster weekend for Panda. Very disappointing for Dune even though its still technically good. This movie should be having Avatarian leges.I didn't think it was guaranteed to $300M but $260-280M seemed reasonable. Now? Dunno. |
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| Author: | O [ Sat Mar 09, 2024 3:11 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: March 8-10 #'s |
Empire has Dune 2 at $13M+ for Friday so hope it keeps going up! |
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| Author: | Shack [ Sat Mar 09, 2024 11:50 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: March 8-10 #'s |
Wow I'm pretty surprised by KFP. Thought it was a nobody asked for this movie. |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Sat Mar 09, 2024 12:40 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: March 8-10 #'s |
This is the biggest animated opening post 2020 besides Spiderverse right...? Good for DreamWorks. |
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| Author: | flip1 [ Sat Mar 09, 2024 12:53 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: March 8-10 #'s |
publicenemy#1 wrote: This is the biggest animated opening post 2020 besides Spiderverse right...? Good for DreamWorks. Don’t forget about Mario |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Sat Mar 09, 2024 1:21 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: March 8-10 #'s |
Oh yeah lol |
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| Author: | MadGez [ Sat Mar 09, 2024 6:01 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: March 8-10 #'s |
And Minions 2…. |
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| Author: | MadGez [ Sat Mar 09, 2024 6:04 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: March 8-10 #'s |
KFP4 proves that a severe lack of family product does indeed help. There may also be a bit of nostalgia in play (similar to Minions). Dreamworks better start thinking about Shrek Returns. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Sat Mar 09, 2024 7:15 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: March 8-10 #'s |
It’s shocking that Shrek 4 and Puss in Boots 3 haven’t been fast tracked after the success of the Last Wish |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Sat Mar 09, 2024 8:57 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: March 8-10 #'s |
Apparently the budget for KFP is only 85m
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| Author: | Mau [ Sun Mar 10, 2024 12:22 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: March 8-10 #'s |
Lisan Al-Gaib! |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Sun Mar 10, 2024 1:01 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: March 8-10 #'s |
zwackerm wrote: Apparently the budget for KFP is only 85mI guess they wanted to avoid 100m+ for getting the rest of the previous cast. Good for them I guess although I didn't really think the film was strong. The next Shrek should be as good as the last Puss in Boots |
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| Author: | O [ Sun Mar 10, 2024 1:18 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: March 8-10 #'s |
KFP4 will be one of the biggest successes of the year. Biggest shocker, families aren't driving it!!! -Possible $200M+ total (Sat $24M, $43M 2day total). Chance to be the biggest KFP film unadjusted. -First 3 movies had budgets $130M-150M. The new film had half the budget ($85M). -KFP4 will be higher than KFP3 adjusted for inflation and just below KFP2 from 13 years ago ($67M). -DW has rebooted Croods, Puss In Boots (inevitably Shrek), Panda while reducing budgets. -Puss In Boots 2 also had a lower budget than the original as well as KFP. -Demographics: 58% male, 67% 13-24 (huge with teens/early 20s that grew up with KFP). -18-24 at 48% of the audience. Had more youth appeal than Dune 2. -44% Latino/Hispanic, 18% Asian, 11% Black and only 22% Caucasian. -6% PLF ticket sales, 17% 3D. West/South had strong results with El Paso the top grossing theater. Diverse GenZ males drove KFP4 as a success. Family audiences aren't the biggest driver here with <33%. Very in sync with the Minions Gentleman trend. This tells me there will be a bit of a rush out this weekend but it should be balanced over the next few weeks by family audiences. Kudos to Universal for cost controls and delivering strong box office (Puss 1 $130M to Puss 2 $90-110M budget, KFP1 $130M/KFP2 $150M/KFP3 $145M to $85M budget). They also somehow managed to keep Mario at a $100M budget). |
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| Author: | Shack [ Sun Mar 10, 2024 3:56 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: March 8-10 #'s |
KFP2 only adjusts to 219 million despite coming off 315 mil adjusted original and being an awesome movie. It's crazy KFP4 could challenge that. |
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