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March 1-3 Predictions
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=90441		 Page 1 of 1
Author:  zwackerm [ Fri Feb 23, 2024 9:37 am ]
Post subject:  March 1-3 Predictions
Dune Part 2- 85m
The Chosen-3m
Author:  publicenemy#1 [ Fri Feb 23, 2024 12:10 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: March 1-3 Predictions
Fuck it, let's go with 100m+ for the weekend. Think WoM will push to big Sat/Sun.

Let's go with 103m.
Author:  Shack [ Fri Feb 23, 2024 2:01 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: March 1-3 Predictions
Got to have something blow up after all these bad months. 100+
Author:  MadGez [ Fri Feb 23, 2024 4:56 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: March 1-3 Predictions
Dune 2 - $114m
Author:  Rev [ Fri Feb 23, 2024 5:42 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: March 1-3 Predictions
DUNE 2 - 118.5m
The Chosen - 4.5m
Author:  Excel [ Fri Feb 23, 2024 6:19 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: March 1-3 Predictions
Resales show $80mish for DUNE 2, maybe epic review will bump it a bit
Author:  Steve [ Sat Feb 24, 2024 10:48 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: March 1-3 Predictions
I think if it doubles the opening of Part 1 that’s a huge success. So $82m or so opening weekend. $100m OW would be incredible / insane for this dry ass geeky sci fi series.
Author:  Barrabás [ Sun Feb 25, 2024 1:15 am ]
Post subject:  Re: March 1-3 Predictions
Dune 2: $85M
Author:  publicenemy#1 [ Mon Feb 26, 2024 2:34 am ]
Post subject:  Re: March 1-3 Predictions
... well after seeing it I am very keen to see how big Dune is. It's pretty much gonna be a must see.
Author:  Keyser Söze [ Mon Feb 26, 2024 7:00 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: March 1-3 Predictions
As expected presales for thursday and rest of the weekend are exploding post early fan shows yesterday. I am thinking 13m previews including early fan screenings and around 100m OW. It could go higher depending on how things go.
Author:  Barrabás [ Mon Feb 26, 2024 7:07 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: March 1-3 Predictions
Keyser Söze wrote:
As expected presales for thursday and rest of the weekend are exploding post early fan shows yesterday. I am thinking 13m previews including early fan screenings and around 100m OW. It could go higher depending on how things go.


Lord, I would jump for joy if this happens. Because if this really goes nuclear and does $300M+ domestic they're probably not going to stop at Messiah. We'll get a Children of Dune two-part adaptation at the very least.
Author:  Shack [ Mon Feb 26, 2024 7:17 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: March 1-3 Predictions
Since Dune is definitely out opening the Marvels total (it was winning 7-0) I have created a new poll
Author:  O [ Tue Feb 27, 2024 5:00 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: March 1-3 Predictions
Dune already has $18M in advance ticket sales ($11.5M from top 3 theater chains).

However, non-premium sales are OK so higher priced premium tickets are driving this.

Still, pretty good to already be at almost 50% of the OW of its predecessor just with presales!

Source: DHD
Author:  Barrabás [ Tue Feb 27, 2024 5:55 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: March 1-3 Predictions
Just bought a bunch Warner Discovery stock. Cmon Dune!! if it opens massive then it will tell Wall Street the studio just found its next huge franchise, and the stock could easily jump since it’s so low right now.
Author:  O [ Tue Feb 27, 2024 6:24 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: March 1-3 Predictions
WB's 2024 slate is looking pretty good though I feel Dune/Joker are the only sure things. I do give them props for at least taking chances with a pretty diverse film slate. Havings Twisters play ahead of Dune is smart, that trailer should be seen on a big screen.

Dune 2
Godzilla/Kong
Challengers
Furiosa
Horizon (2)
Twisters
Trap
Beetlejuice
Joker
Alto Knights
LOTR
Author:  MadGez [ Tue Feb 27, 2024 9:03 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: March 1-3 Predictions
Strong slate for WB. That would be quite the comeback.
Author:  Keyser Söze [ Wed Feb 28, 2024 1:56 am ]
Post subject:  Re: March 1-3 Predictions
Keyser Söze wrote:
As expected presales for thursday and rest of the weekend are exploding post early fan shows yesterday. I am thinking 13m previews including early fan screenings and around 100m OW. It could go higher depending on how things go.


I think sales on Monday was definitely boosted by WOM from early screenings. Today the sales did not accelerate as much as what I expected. its more flattish for previews while weekend did increase a bit. Let us see how rest of presales and more importantly walkups go. It has way more shows than Oppenheimer and has all the Imax/PLF. Oppenheimer(and Barbie) were definitely capacity constrained in major markets. Then went over 50% for previews which is extremely rare. Dune wont be anywhere close and so will be able to grow better on thursday.

It needs much better finish to hit 100m but I am hopeful considering universal rave its having both with critics and audience. Early WOM from Korea is also rave.
Author:  O [ Wed Feb 28, 2024 3:39 am ]
Post subject:  Re: March 1-3 Predictions
I've only found 2 movies that were 2 hrs and 45 min or longer that managed to pull a $100M+ OW outside the summer and holiday weekends (The Batman $134M at 2 hr 56 min and Endgame $357M at 3 hr 1 min).

Maybe the length of the film and it being March which tends to be busy it's a harder ask to see a long movie vs catching Oppenheimer would have been in late July.
Author:  publicenemy#1 [ Thu Feb 29, 2024 11:15 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: March 1-3 Predictions
Damn. Probably jumped the gun on Dune doing 100m lolol my area it's not filling up regular screens
Author:  Flava'd vs The World [ Fri Mar 01, 2024 12:00 am ]
Post subject:  Re: March 1-3 Predictions
Dune 2 rocked so hard. Hope its gets a mammoth performance worthy of its name.
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