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November 3-5 Predictions
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=90242		 Page 1 of 2
Author:  zwackerm [ Fri Oct 27, 2023 9:26 am ]
Post subject:  November 3-5 Predictions
Dune Part 2- 102m

Wait never mind. The most anticipated movie of the rest of the year was moved to March. Instead we have…

The Marsh King’s Daughter? Maybe 2-3m?
Author:  Shack [ Fri Oct 27, 2023 9:46 am ]
Post subject:  Re: November 3-5 Predictions
Huge FNAF drop
Author:  Flava'd vs The World [ Fri Oct 27, 2023 3:36 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: November 3-5 Predictions
I think Dune could have actually opened to $100M in this market. Would certainly be the biggest movie of November. Such a shame.

FNAF is gonna drop over 75%. Halloween being on Tuesday will burn off whatever demand it still had left over opening weekend. It might still have enough juice to beat Eras, but we shall see.

Is Priscella opening wide? I guess that could make like $3-4M.
Author:  Magic Mike [ Sun Oct 29, 2023 4:23 am ]
Post subject:  Re: November 3-5 Predictions
Flava'd vs The World wrote:
Is Priscella opening wide? I guess that could make like $3-4M.


It is. It joins What Happens Later and The Marsh King's Daughter as the only 3 wide releases. Definitely a slower weekend.
Author:  Shack [ Sun Oct 29, 2023 3:27 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: November 3-5 Predictions
Well it might be a good week for the forum to be having issues
Author:  MadGez [ Sun Oct 29, 2023 4:54 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: November 3-5 Predictions
Absird that the first weekend of November is this pathetic.

Agree Dune should have stayed put but i guess 24 is so weak that it may do even better there (hopefully with the actors doing press too). I guess the Timothy/zendaya/butler group press interviews and premiere attendance footage was too good to pass up.
Author:  publicenemy#1 [ Sun Oct 29, 2023 5:05 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: November 3-5 Predictions
Trolls should've opened this weekend...
Author:  Flava'd vs The World [ Sun Oct 29, 2023 5:06 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: November 3-5 Predictions
It is still so bizarre that Marvels didn't move up. Or move back. Or move anywhere cause the release date it has couldn't be any worse.
Author:  Shack [ Sun Oct 29, 2023 7:06 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: November 3-5 Predictions
They definitely could’ve put one of the three animated films here
Author:  publicenemy#1 [ Sun Oct 29, 2023 8:33 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: November 3-5 Predictions
Strike could possibly end in a few days. If it does Dune could've benefited from aggressive promo lol oh well
Author:  Keyser Söze [ Sun Oct 29, 2023 11:45 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: November 3-5 Predictions
lul before the storm weekend. Not that weekend following next will be crazy but either way there will be chaos :-)

I took my daughter for "FINAF" and the multiplex was full of teens today. I wonder if the buzz around the movie will completely disappear after OW or it will see better than expected OW. I could see it drop "just" low 60% instead of something crazy like 75% as predicted above.
Author:  Algren [ Mon Oct 30, 2023 3:51 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: November 3-5 Predictions
I'm going with a 72% drop.
Author:  Flava'd vs The World [ Tue Oct 31, 2023 12:24 am ]
Post subject:  Re: November 3-5 Predictions
Hmm Freddy going up from estimates isn't something a -75%+ dropper would do.
Author:  publicenemy#1 [ Tue Oct 31, 2023 2:47 am ]
Post subject:  Re: November 3-5 Predictions
I think drop will be in the 60s. Probably like 63%
Author:  O [ Tue Oct 31, 2023 3:38 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: November 3-5 Predictions
Oppenheimer is coming back to Imax for a week starting this weekend. Seems very smart given the state of the box office.
Author:  Magic Mike [ Thu Nov 02, 2023 1:25 am ]
Post subject:  Re: November 3-5 Predictions
It's insane Trolls opens and a few days later Wish does. We have many weeks with nothing new for kids, and then two big releases back to back. Trolls should have opened this weekend. There's no major release.
Author:  O [ Thu Nov 02, 2023 12:40 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: November 3-5 Predictions
Wed daily post Halloween has Freddy at $2.7M, Moon at $1M.

Feels like Moon could maybe at least pull an under 50% drop this weekend. Freddy is looking probably at high $20Ms? 65% drop would give it $28M second weekend.
Author:  Magic Mike [ Fri Nov 03, 2023 2:03 am ]
Post subject:  Re: November 3-5 Predictions
I feel like Moon will stabilize a lot this weekend. I'd say under 35% for the drop. Wouldn't even be shocked if it dropped below 30%. Hopefully I'm right. The drop last weekend was awful.
Author:  MadGez [ Fri Nov 03, 2023 2:14 am ]
Post subject:  Re: November 3-5 Predictions
Yeah Flower Moon is adding theatres too. It should stabilise somewhat
Author:  O [ Sat Nov 04, 2023 12:33 am ]
Post subject:  Re: November 3-5 Predictions
DHD has Freddy at $17M+ for the weekend.

What a wasted opportunity for the first week of Nov to be one of the weakest weekends of the year. Then a jam packed second half of Nov.
Author:  Magic Mike [ Sat Nov 04, 2023 11:04 am ]
Post subject:  Re: November 3-5 Predictions
Massive drop for Freddy's.

Priscilla had a pretty good start.
Author:  Keyser Söze [ Sat Nov 04, 2023 11:49 am ]
Post subject:  Re: November 3-5 Predictions
in the same Deadline article.

Quote:
t can be argued that part of the expected slowdown next weekend with the opening of Disney/Marvel Studios’ The Marvels stems from the studio’s inability to promote the pic properly at a Comic-Cons. Even if a strike settles this weekend, it’s not clear whether the pic’s cast will be able to attend the movie’s “fan event” in Las Vegas this coming week. It would not be shocking if we see The Marvels charting one of the lowest openings for a Marvel Studios movie next weekend in November with less than $70M –lower than 2021’s The Eternals ($71.2M)— the movie not only a sequel to 2019’s Captain Marvel but also a crossover from Disney+ series, Ms. Marvel. Presales for Captain Marvel are pacing behind that of Black Adam and The Flash were here (those respective openings at $67M and $55M).


I dont think deadline has gone low enough. Its pace is absolutely abysmal. Probably closer to mega bombs like Shazam 2 and Blue Beetle than Flash. Black Adam actually finished well in presales. There is a scenario that it could finish close to Morbius !!!
Author:  MadGez [ Sun Nov 05, 2023 9:09 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: November 3-5 Predictions
History will be kind to Black Adam's box office considering all that followed.
Author:  O [ Sun Nov 05, 2023 11:55 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: November 3-5 Predictions
Ant Man may look like a masterpiece after Marvel 2's performance.

GOTG3 also probably could have pulled $500M if it still had MCU magic behind it. It's run in the end was fantastic given the headwinds against it.

Also shocking that we had a $181,339,761 OW from Wakanda this same weekend last year and this year couldn't get 1 movie over $20M. $56,653,465 total for the top 10. :sweat:

Era's dropped just 8.4% PTA this weekend. The release of 1989 likely certainly helped keep the movie in fans' minds. If it plays well in Thanksgiving and can get back screens during Christmas I almost wouldn't be shocked to see it get a big bump and play well that week. If the holiday movies do disappoint, we'll probably get Oppenheimer, Barbie and Eras back to save the day.
Author:  Shack [ Mon Nov 06, 2023 1:19 am ]
Post subject:  Re: November 3-5 Predictions
The Marvels total being below Ant Man 3’s opening weekend would be a wild turn of events
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