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| Taylor v Scorsese weekend thread http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=90239 |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Fri Oct 20, 2023 11:12 am ] |
| Post subject: | Taylor v Scorsese weekend thread |
Taylor grossed $5.9m Thursday. That seems pretty good. Killers of the Flowers Moon grossed $2.7m previews. Eh. I think legs will be good as people will probably not be rushing to see this. Even I didn't see it last night as I'm planning on seeing it when I'm ready for a 3 and a half hour drama lol |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Fri Oct 20, 2023 1:41 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Taylor v Scorsese weekend thread |
This only is last night right? There were no other preview nights? If so, it's decent and would indicate a 30m+ weekend. |
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| Author: | O [ Fri Oct 20, 2023 2:50 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Taylor v Scorsese weekend thread |
That's great for Eras. Was not expecting that much from Thursday showings. A decent enough hold can maybe keep $200M in the running. Not bad for Moon for the length of movie on a Thursday. Bodes well for its run though it certainly feels leggy vs a rush out. |
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| Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Fri Oct 20, 2023 2:54 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Taylor v Scorsese weekend thread |
Seems good for both. I see a few sell outs for both tonight. Hopefully they can hit atleast $30M for the weekend. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Fri Oct 20, 2023 5:33 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Taylor v Scorsese weekend thread |
Apparently deadline sees just a 22m weekend with a 9m Friday for KOTFM. I feel like it’s definitely the type of movie to increase saturday so no idea how they get this projection. |
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| Author: | O [ Fri Oct 20, 2023 5:52 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Taylor v Scorsese weekend thread |
Wow Disney's rerelease of Nightmare Before Christmas is looking at $1.45M / $4.3M 3day from 1650 theaters this weekend. Overall this weekend has a lot of good stuff happening! Could make the top 5. 1993 release: $50M 2000 release: $377K 2006 3D release: $8.7M 2007 release: $14M 2008 3D release: $5.3M 2009 3D release: $1.1M 2020 release: $2.3M 30th anniversary 2023 release already looks to blow all the other re-releases out of the water. Still another 11 days till Halloween and can still do well leading to Christmas. Domestic total before this release: $77.4M Could be at $82M by the end of the weekend. Not bad for a 30 year old movie that only became a classic years later. Give it 1-2 more years and will eventually be $100M+! |
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| Author: | MadGez [ Fri Oct 20, 2023 7:38 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Taylor v Scorsese weekend thread |
O wrote: Wow Disney's rerelease of Nightmare Before Christmas is looking at $1.45M / $4.3M 3day from 1650 theaters this weekend. Overall this weekend has a lot of good stuff happening! Could make the top 5. 1993 release: $50M 2000 release: $377K 2006 3D release: $8.7M 2008 3D release: $5.3M 2009 3D release: $1.1M 2020 release: $2.3M 30th anniversary 2023 release already looks to blow all the other re-releases out of the water. Still another 11 days till Halloween and can still do well leading to Christmas. Domestic total before this release: $77.4M Could be at $82M by the end of the weekend. Not bad for a 30 year old movie that only became a classic years later. Give it 1-2 more years and will eventually be $100M+! That would smash the slowest to $100m by years - maybe decades haha? |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Fri Oct 20, 2023 7:44 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Taylor v Scorsese weekend thread |
I'm planning on seeing Nightmare this weekend; maybe next year they can put it on premium screens |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Fri Oct 20, 2023 8:46 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Taylor v Scorsese weekend thread |
publicenemy#1 wrote: I'm planning on seeing Nightmare this weekend; maybe next year they can put it on premium screens It’s in 4DX near me. |
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| Author: | Keyser Söze [ Sat Oct 21, 2023 12:34 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Taylor v Scorsese weekend thread |
Charlie is saying 10.5m for Eras and 9.5m for Flower Moon(including previews). Looks like 33m for Eras and 26m for Flower Moon this weekend. I must admit I am disappointed by the opening. Lack of Leo marketing the movie did limit its potential apart from Marty making it inaccessible with its humongous length. |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Sat Oct 21, 2023 1:08 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Taylor v Scorsese weekend thread |
Lol if it has the same performance as The Departed |
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| Author: | MadGez [ Sat Oct 21, 2023 2:18 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Taylor v Scorsese weekend thread |
Keyser Söze wrote: Charlie is saying 10.5m for Eras and 9.5m for Flower Moon(including previews). Looks like 33m for Eras and 26m for Flower Moon this weekend. I must admit I am disappointed by the opening. Lack of Leo marketing the movie did limit its potential apart from Marty making it inaccessible with its humongous length. I think not having both Leo and DeNiro doing press together for this really hurt. I’d say a good $5-10m left on the table. The length is a factor too. I really do hope it doesn't feel too long even though i usually like longer films - i just hope ut isbt stretched out to the point if boredem. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Sat Oct 21, 2023 10:04 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Taylor v Scorsese weekend thread |
As long as they keep it off Apple, Flower moon should hit 100m with Oscar noms. |
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| Author: | O [ Sun Oct 22, 2023 1:25 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Taylor v Scorsese weekend thread |
Oh, one big note I missed earlier, 2023 box office has FINALLY surpassed 2022! Biggest box office since 2019 as the post Covid recovery continues. Annual box office is up to $7,380,961,547, passing $7,369,357,270! Five Nights at Freddy's certainly helps. The Marvels Nov. 10th and then Hunger Games will bite but Trolls should hold up. Need Napoleon and Wish to overperform. Wonka has 16 days in 2023 but Christmas movies have limited shelf time before 2024. $8B+ is still a good milestone but almost feels like we could have made a play for $9B if November tentpoles were stronger and Dune stayed. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Sun Oct 22, 2023 1:03 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Taylor v Scorsese weekend thread |
Solid opening for Flower Moon but was hoping for more. Still for a film of its type very good and hopefully this is the start of a long run through the end of the year. |
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| Author: | O [ Sun Oct 22, 2023 1:12 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Taylor v Scorsese weekend thread |
Eras broke a number of barriers this weekend. -First concert movie ever to repeat at #1. -First concert movie ever to pass $100M+ Very impressive considering this wasn't even on the calendar and came out of nowhere. Hope at least for box office sake Beyonce's concert movie does decently so there's a new viable box office path for this type of movie in the future. |
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| Author: | Barrabás [ Sun Oct 22, 2023 3:31 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Taylor v Scorsese weekend thread |
For a $200M film and Leo's first major starring role in theatres since Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, this is disappointing. Revenant did $39M with lower ticket prices. |
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| Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Sun Oct 22, 2023 3:59 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Taylor v Scorsese weekend thread |
Yeah it's not that great. Oppenheimer did not spark a huge wave of overperforming American History films after all. Hopefully it will leg it out to $100M for a moral victory. |
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| Author: | Shack [ Sun Oct 22, 2023 5:05 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Taylor v Scorsese weekend thread |
Too long |
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| Author: | MadGez [ Sun Oct 22, 2023 7:27 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Taylor v Scorsese weekend thread |
Yeah not great for Flower Moon. I do think the long running time + lack of star interviews hurt it. Hopefully it legs it to $100m. BTW - this weekend was down on the same weekends in 2021 and 2022 which is dismal. Bring on Freddys! |
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| Author: | Thegun [ Mon Oct 23, 2023 3:19 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Taylor v Scorsese weekend thread |
I wonder if Eras will be the first 90 million opener to fail to hit 200 million. |
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| Author: | O [ Tue Oct 24, 2023 4:16 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Taylor v Scorsese weekend thread |
Moon got $2,048,670 on Monday for a $25,302,325 total. That feels very strong considering Tuesday will go up and it only opened to $23.3M. The long movie length could get some nice weekdays as people spread out their viewings. Dune did $1,745,453 first Monday following Halloween off of a $41M 3day. Also yay for Nightmare Before Christmas rising to #3 on Monday. Could even reach #2 later this week. Hope it holds really well next weekend and maybe makes a run for $90M! The Nightmare Before Chri… $374,033 $82,021,400 Hocus Pocus $56,679 $48,511,773 also looks like it will pass $50M from this run. If they had released it right before Hocus Pocus 2 (which should have gone theatrical) as a double feature, probably could have made it to $70M+ by now. |
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| Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Wed Oct 25, 2023 4:01 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Taylor v Scorsese weekend thread |
Weekday numbers have been great during the Eras era. Since she doesn't play on the weekdays, everyone else gets those big screens and thus more money. I specifically waited till Monday on Killers for that reason. |
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| Author: | O [ Wed Oct 25, 2023 10:49 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Taylor v Scorsese weekend thread |
Haunted Mansion could have cleaned up this month. Family film + Halloween. Still hasn't passed $68M yet. Killers of the Flower Moon $2,902,013 for $28.2M total. Different season of course but Shutter Island did $3,149,100 its first Tues in Feb. 2010 off a $41M OW. As a better case scenario of everything going in Moon's favor, it would follow The Departed's 4.92X multiplier from a $26.9M OW in Oct. 2006. That opened over a long weekend so could argue it may have approached Moon's OW unadjusted of $23.25M otherwise give or take $1-1.5M. The Departed dropped -29.2% weekend 2 (impacted by a holiday weekend steeper Sun drop). But if Moon somehow matches that multiplier would have a final total of $114.5M. The Departed was 2 hrs 31 min vs Moon's 3 hours and 26 minutes so hoping it can get to a 5X multiplier. A 4.3X would get it to $100M so that seems like a good benchmark. Based on its weekday dailies, could be at $32M going into weekend 2. With a 35% drop would be at $47.1M |
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