90m opening
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| June 30-July 2nd Predictions http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=90059 |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Fri Jun 23, 2023 9:44 am ] |
| Post subject: | June 30-July 2nd Predictions |
Indiana Jones and The Dial of Destiny 75m It has a fresh tomato now. Hopefully will help it. |
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| Author: | Algren [ Fri Jun 23, 2023 1:43 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: June 30-July 2nd Predictions |
Below. $59m |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Fri Jun 23, 2023 2:29 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: June 30-July 2nd Predictions |
I'm not really feeling it'll do the numbers I thought it would. It should do more than Transformers though... $67m. |
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| Author: | O [ Fri Jun 23, 2023 4:01 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: June 30-July 2nd Predictions |
Sadly I'm getting a Blade Runner 2 type feeling here. Was supposed to do a lot more due to the fanbase coming than it did. Movies that are far too long (2.5 hrs+), and maybe should have come out sooner. Despite Ford being IJ, I feel like he should reprise his role in AFO. Younger generations I feel would show up for that a lot more than they would for IJ now. |
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| Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Fri Jun 23, 2023 4:17 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: June 30-July 2nd Predictions |
An Air Force One sequel would be pretty hype in this exact spot. I'm still not counting out Indy though. Just like with Flash, I'll believe the low numbers only when I see them. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Fri Jun 23, 2023 4:24 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: June 30-July 2nd Predictions |
Indiana Jones 4 adjusts to well over 150m OW if you account for the fact it opened on Thursday. Less than half of that would be just unbelievable |
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| Author: | Keyser Söze [ Sat Jun 24, 2023 12:19 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: June 30-July 2nd Predictions |
I predicted 62m in the monthly game after looking at tepid presales. I am probably smidgen high. Analysis of all the presales seen today points to median OW of 55m. !!! https://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topi ... nt=4531860 |
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| Author: | lilmac [ Mon Jun 26, 2023 10:03 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: June 30-July 2nd Predictions |
Keyser Söze wrote: I predicted 62m in the monthly game after looking at tepid presales. I am probably smidgen high. Analysis of all the presales seen today points to median OW of 55m. !!! https://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topi ... nt=4531860 Play in our derby |
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| Author: | Rev [ Tue Jun 27, 2023 8:46 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: June 30-July 2nd Predictions |
90m opening
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| Author: | Corpse [ Tue Jun 27, 2023 10:02 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: June 30-July 2nd Predictions |
Anyone know the budget for Ruby Gillman? Doesn't seem widely available, and the one source I did see was saying $180 million... It's the only one though, so not sure if it's reliable. |
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| Author: | Barrabás [ Tue Jun 27, 2023 3:50 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: June 30-July 2nd Predictions |
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny: $52M |
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| Author: | Rev [ Tue Jun 27, 2023 7:04 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: June 30-July 2nd Predictions |
Corpse wrote: Anyone know the budget for Ruby Gillman? Doesn't seem widely available, and the one source I did see was saying $180 million... It's the only one though, so not sure if it's reliable. Quote: https://deadline.com/2023/06/indiana-jones-and-the-dial-of-destiny-box-office-projection-2-1235425453/ Universal has DreamWorks Animation’s $70M movie Ruby Gillman, Teenage Kraken,  it might bomb and not top $30m domestic. hoping it doesn't
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Tue Jun 27, 2023 7:17 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: June 30-July 2nd Predictions |
I think it can open over 10m, and finish with like 40m |
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| Author: | Corpse [ Tue Jun 27, 2023 7:27 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: June 30-July 2nd Predictions |
Well, way better than that $180m I saw. Still, this isn't likely to do much DOM or OS and is going to almost certainly lose money. It's such a weird project for DreamWorks. The animation looks 10/15 years outdated, and the marketing that I've seen seems to focus on trying to benefit from mocking The Little Mermaid rather than trying to sell itself. |
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| Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Tue Jun 27, 2023 10:18 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: June 30-July 2nd Predictions |
Yeah it doesn't fit the new animation style we saw in Last Wish and Bad Guys. I bet Teenage Kracken has been in development since right after the opening weekend of Kung Fu Panda.  Another waste of a movie that is gonna make Spiderverse drop harder than it ought to. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Tue Jun 27, 2023 11:26 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: June 30-July 2nd Predictions |
Ruby Gillman doesn’t look cute or goofy enough for little kids, but too kiddie for older kids. |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Wed Jun 28, 2023 12:46 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: June 30-July 2nd Predictions |
Hm... Dolby screening at my local theater for Indy looks kinda weak for Friday and the weekend. Kinda thinking this goes low. Oof. |
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| Author: | Corpse [ Wed Jun 28, 2023 1:36 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: June 30-July 2nd Predictions |
Is The Flash only going to be the second most disappointing film this summer? If Indy opens somewhere between $50-70m which looks to be the range floating around, and its total either misses or barely hits the unadjusted 4/5-day OW of Crystal Skull... Major yikes. Not seeing much good news OS either, so sub-$500m is looking likely at this stage. |
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| Author: | Shack [ Wed Jun 28, 2023 1:48 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: June 30-July 2nd Predictions |
Yeah I'm feeling disaster here considering the brand and the upside if they had recast a new Indy and it went perfectly. Ford Indy is going out like MJ on the Wizards or Tom Brady's last season with the Bucs. |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Wed Jun 28, 2023 2:22 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: June 30-July 2nd Predictions |
Indy opening with less than the Flash would be something... so weird, the trailers have been strong to me. July 8 weekend seems like another slow one but weeks after that will certainly be interesting. |
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| Author: | Algren [ Wed Jun 28, 2023 2:44 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: June 30-July 2nd Predictions |
If Indy disappoints it just boosts M:I's opening. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Wed Jun 28, 2023 7:55 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: June 30-July 2nd Predictions |
I am shocked if this does so poorly. I’d think a drop in admissions from KOTcs but not an as much as 2/3 drop |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Wed Jun 28, 2023 10:44 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: June 30-July 2nd Predictions |
Presales are ahead of Fast X and John Wick 4 according to Variety. Should at least do 65m OW imo. And have a decent multiplier |
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| Author: | Algren [ Fri Jun 30, 2023 2:52 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: June 30-July 2nd Predictions |
Ruby Gillman is coming along at the wrong time for Elemental. Just when it was overcoming the bad smell at Pixar, and now another CG-animated kids movie comes out. It's good for Ruby, though. There's current appetite for a kids movie and it's going to take a slice of that. It looked like an also-ran to me, but it could carve out a decent gross with some nice summer weekdays. |
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