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 $100 million movies of 2020 
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Extraordinary
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Post $100 million movies of 2020
... after calling Dark Phoenix a lock last year, not gonna use the term anymore.

Very Likely
Birds of Prey
No Time to Die
Black Widow
Onward
Mulan
Fast and Furious 9
Wonder Woman 1984
A Quiet Place II
Soul
Top Gun: Maverick
Eternals
Trolls World Tour
Minions II
The Croods II
Ghostbusters: Afterlife
Tenet
Jungle Cruise
Venom 2
Godzilla vs. Kong
Raya and the Last Dragon
Dune

Maybe
Bad Boys For Life
Doolittle
Sonic The Hedgehog
Scoob
Spongebob
Tom and Jerry
Free Guy
Morbius
Death on the Nile
The Conjuring 3
Candyman

Low Chance
Call of the Wild
New Mutants
The King's Man


Last edited by publicenemy#1 on Tue Dec 24, 2019 12:35 am, edited 1 time in total.



Mon Dec 23, 2019 10:15 pm
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Post Re: $100 million movies of 2020
I agree on the maybe's...the low chances are really low chances I think.

And i'd group Dune, Death on the Nile, Conjuring 3 and Candyman in the maybe category too.


Tue Dec 24, 2019 12:26 am
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Post Re: $100 million movies of 2020
After watching the trailer, I'd say Scoob is very likely.


Tue Dec 24, 2019 12:30 am
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Post Re: $100 million movies of 2020
stuffp wrote:
I agree on the maybe's...the low chances are really low chances I think.

And i'd group Dune, Death on the Nile, Conjuring 3 and Candyman in the maybe category too.


Yeah, agreed with all but I'll keep Dune in very likely just cause it's the only big December release as or now. Didn't realize Murder on the Orient Express finished at 102m


Tue Dec 24, 2019 12:34 am
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Post Re: $100 million movies of 2020
I think Coming 2 America, West Side Story and Many Saints of Newark are maybes.

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Tue Dec 24, 2019 12:35 am
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Post Re: $100 million movies of 2020
As are Bios and Halloween Kills (very likely)

In the Heights may also have a decent chance.

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Tue Dec 24, 2019 12:36 am
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Post Re: $100 million movies of 2020
Birds is by no means a lock

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Wed Dec 25, 2019 5:13 pm
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Post Re: $100 million movies of 2020
lilmac wrote:
Birds is by no means a lock

For 100 million it’s definitely a lock

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Wed Dec 25, 2019 6:05 pm
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Post Re: $100 million movies of 2020
lilmac wrote:
Birds is by no means a lock


What are you expecting Alita #s? Lol


Wed Dec 25, 2019 6:47 pm
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Post Re: $100 million movies of 2020
In the Heights is good chance I’d say. Should attract musical fans and non white audiences in droves.

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Wed Dec 25, 2019 7:06 pm
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Post Re: $100 million movies of 2020
zwackerm wrote:
In the Heights is good chance I’d say. Should attract musical fans and non white audiences in droves.


Agreed. As long as it's good.

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Thu Dec 26, 2019 1:37 pm
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Post Re: $100 million movies of 2020
publicenemy#1 wrote:
lilmac wrote:
Birds is by no means a lock


What are you expecting Alita #s? Lol



$80-$100m for Birds


Malignant Man is a possibility. Written and directed by James Wan.

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Wed Jan 01, 2020 2:11 pm
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Post Re: $100 million movies of 2020
Coming to America 2 could do Crocodile Dundee in LA numbers. It could also do 150+ plus. Eddie Murphy is the epitome of "that moment" and marketing. We'll need a trailer for that.

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Fri Jan 03, 2020 7:59 am
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Post Re: $100 million movies of 2020
I think Coming to America has a string cult following. It has a real shot at 100m+

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Fri Jan 03, 2020 9:01 am
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Post Re: $100 million movies of 2020
Yeah, Coming 2 America should do very well.

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Fri Jan 03, 2020 11:24 am
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Post Re: $100 million movies of 2020
Movie - Days to $100m

1. Bad Boys For Life (9)

Off to a good start. By end of February we may be at 3 if Sonic does well.


Sun Jan 26, 2020 2:22 pm
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Post Re: $100 million movies of 2020
Could the coronavirus situation kill Mulan's box office? Especially in China, but also elsewhere. If this becomes an actual pandemic how many people will want to go to theatres period, especially for a film that's bound to have a higher than usual Chinese audience in attendance? Remember China has the largest diaspora worldwide, there are hardly any major cities anywhere without a substantial Chinese population.

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Sun Jan 26, 2020 4:00 pm
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Post Re: $100 million movies of 2020
publicenemy#1 wrote:
Movie - Days to $100m

1. Bad Boys For Life (9)

Off to a good start. By end of February we may be at 3 if Sonic does well.


Sonic is close to a lock at this point, it's tracking at 45m+ OW. I'd be surprised if it missed. Even if it is bad, I doubt it would do sub 100m. Dolittle will probably gross 75m+ and it's a turd, Sonic should have similar family appeal.

I also think that The Invisible Man could be a 100m candidate if it got great reviews. Call of the Wild looks like a flop, though I could see it do 80-90m off the Dog's Purpose audience, plus a Disney marketing boost. So 100m is unlikely for it, but not out of the question.

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Sun Jan 26, 2020 5:22 pm
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Post Re: $100 million movies of 2020
zwackerm wrote:
publicenemy#1 wrote:
Movie - Days to $100m

1. Bad Boys For Life (9)

Off to a good start. By end of February we may be at 3 if Sonic does well.


Sonic is close to a lock at this point, it's tracking at 45m+ OW. I'd be surprised if it missed. Even if it is bad, I doubt it would do sub 100m. Dolittle will probably gross 75m+ and it's a turd, Sonic should have similar family appeal.

I also think that The Invisible Man could be a 100m candidate if it got great reviews. Call of the Wild looks like a flop, though I could see it do 80-90m off the Dog's Purpose audience, plus a Disney marketing boost. So 100m is unlikely for it, but not out of the question.


My kids have been super excited for Sonic (despite the character being from my childhood not theirs). The tracking is no surprise. The film also has good will thanks to Paramount listening to fans and changing the Sonic design. Good buzz that follows initial bad buzz is good news for the BO. $100m plus for Sonic.

Invisible Mam is a good shot for 100m too.

And yes not sure why the high expectations for Call of the Wild here on KJ. Something like 70m would be huge IMO.

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Sun Jan 26, 2020 7:10 pm
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Post Re: $100 million movies of 2020
Barrabás wrote:
Could the coronavirus situation kill Mulan's box office? Especially in China, but also elsewhere. If this becomes an actual pandemic how many people will want to go to theatres period, especially for a film that's bound to have a higher than usual Chinese audience in attendance? Remember China has the largest diaspora worldwide, there are hardly any major cities anywhere without a substantial Chinese population.


Possibly in China yes. Well unless it’s just delayed which is likely.

In NA and elsewhere? Impact won’t be as great unless things get substantially worse from here. There have been official cases here in Oz and also in Canada. So time will tell.

I think regardless - Mulan is good for 150m but I have doubts it can get past 250m domestic.

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Sun Jan 26, 2020 7:13 pm
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Post Re: $100 million movies of 2020
MadGez wrote:
Barrabás wrote:
Could the coronavirus situation kill Mulan's box office? Especially in China, but also elsewhere. If this becomes an actual pandemic how many people will want to go to theatres period, especially for a film that's bound to have a higher than usual Chinese audience in attendance? Remember China has the largest diaspora worldwide, there are hardly any major cities anywhere without a substantial Chinese population.


Possibly in China yes. Well unless it’s just delayed which is likely.

In NA and elsewhere? Impact won’t be as great unless things get substantially worse from here. There have been official cases here in Oz and also in Canada. So time will tell.

I think regardless - Mulan is good for 150m but I have doubts it can get past 250m domestic.


Deaths/confirmed infected is increasing exponentially. They are saying it has a two-week incubation period and can be spread before symptoms show up. Worst case scenario is a Spanish Flu situation. That killed 3% of the world's population at the time. If that actually happens I think a couple studios may go bankrupt altogether, let alone individual movies flopping.

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Sun Jan 26, 2020 10:15 pm
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Post Re: $100 million movies of 2020
Movie - Days to $100m

1. Bad Boys For Life (9)
2. Sonic the Hedgehog (10)


Last edited by publicenemy#1 on Sun Feb 23, 2020 7:17 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sun Feb 23, 2020 1:15 pm
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Post Re: $100 million movies of 2020
Birds is out.

Call of the Wild is still a chance. Invisible Man is a small chance too.

Next up is Onward.

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Sun Feb 23, 2020 6:46 pm
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Post Re: $100 million movies of 2020
Next one should be Onward don't see any movie reaching this mark before that.


Sun Feb 23, 2020 6:49 pm
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Post Re: $100 million movies of 2020
I'd almost say Coming to America was a lock a year ago. I think in a lot of ways it's Eddie Murphy's most evergreen movie, (It can be played on family channels with minimal editing), and there were a LOT shout-outs to it in the run-up to Black Panther.


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