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January 17-20 predictions
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=86546
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Author:  publicenemy#1 [ Sun Jan 12, 2020 4:01 pm ]
Post subject:  January 17-20 predictions

Not really feeling either of these tbh. Hopefully both can hit 30m for the 4-day but I feel like Dolittle will flop.

Bad Boys For Life - 30 (4-day)
Dolittle - 23 (4-day)

Author:  Barrabás [ Sun Jan 12, 2020 5:21 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: January 17-20 predictions

Flop and floppier. No one asked for another set of tired retreads.

Bad Boys for Life: $27M 4-day
Dolittle: $21M 4-day

Author:  pro1986 [ Sun Jan 12, 2020 5:50 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: January 17-20 predictions

Dolittle will flop. BB3 was tracking for a 40 million 4 day. Just Mercy and 1917 should see strong holds

Author:  MadGez [ Sun Jan 12, 2020 6:34 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: January 17-20 predictions

Bad Boys For Life - $40m (4-day)
Dolittle - $28m (4-day)

I don't think either will be a disaster but will underwhelm in comparison to their budgets.

The story of the weekend will be how good 1917 and Just Mercy hold.

Author:  Chippy [ Mon Jan 13, 2020 11:27 am ]
Post subject:  Re: January 17-20 predictions

Dolittle doesn't appear to have a storyline... So I can't imagine parents giving their kids the option to see it.

Author:  Dil [ Mon Jan 13, 2020 2:39 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: January 17-20 predictions

Bad Boys For Life - 40 (4-Day)
Dolittle - 30 (4-Day)

I'm hoping both do better than expected, but the main story of this weekend will definitely be about how good the holdovers will be for 1917 and Just Mercy.

Author:  MadGez [ Tue Jan 14, 2020 8:04 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: January 17-20 predictions

We'll see an increase (4-day vs last week) for Mercy. 1917 may see a small decrease - i.e. 10% or is an increase on the cards?

Author:  DP07 [ Tue Jan 14, 2020 9:45 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: January 17-20 predictions

As I expected the Monday numbers indicate 1917 won’t have a big percentage effect since it is already earning so much. Plus, it’s nominations were expected based on the globe wins and largely factored into OW. Normally I would have expected about a 70% Monday drop for 1917. Don’t expect more than a 15% difference this weekend. Should still drop at least 20% 3 day.

Parasite, Jojo Rabbit, and even FvF had much better Monday holds since they were earning less.

Author:  Magic Mike [ Wed Jan 15, 2020 4:14 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: January 17-20 predictions

I'm just predicting 3-Day.

1. BAD BOYS FOR LIFE - 32.5 MILLION (New)
2. 1917 - 29.6 MILLION (-20%)
3. DOLITTLE - 18.576 MILLION (New)
4. JUMANJI: THE NEXT LEVEL - 10.223 MILLION (-27%)
5. STAR WARS: THE RISE OF SKYWALKER - 9.264 MILLION (-39%)
6. JUST MERCY - 7.576 MILLION (-22%)
7. LIKE A BOSS - 6.407 MILLION (-36%)
8. LITTLE WOMEN - 5.773 MILLION (-26%)
9. FROZEN II - 4.432 MILLION (-25%)
10. SPIES IN DISGUISE - 3.931 MILLION (-24%)
11. KNIVES OUT - 3.768 MILLION (-33%)
12. UNDERWATER - 3.223 MILLION (-54%)
13. PARASITE - 1.833 MILLION
14. UNCUT GEMS - 1.308 MILLION
(-61%)
15. BOMBSHELL - $693,882 (-52%)

Will likely update Parasite when there's an official theater count. Doesn't look like it's seeing a huge expansion this weekend so I'm guessing around 470 theaters.

Author:  i.hope [ Wed Jan 15, 2020 4:19 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: January 17-20 predictions

Awful reviews for Dolittle and decent for Bad Boys for Life, which should win the 4-day weekend with over $35m.

Author:  Keyser Söze [ Wed Jan 15, 2020 4:52 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: January 17-20 predictions

Bad Boys will easily win. PS wise its like 5-6x Dolittle level. I am thinking 4 day weekend of 50m for Bad Boys and low 20's for do little.

Author:  Rev [ Wed Jan 15, 2020 8:32 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: January 17-20 predictions

Bad Boys For Life - 50m (4-day)
Dolittle - 20m (4-day)

Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Wed Jan 15, 2020 9:55 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: January 17-20 predictions

I wonder with those awful reviews how low Dolittle will open. If the reviews were great I think it would have done decent but now I think it will be yet another movie that got dumped in January.

Author:  MadGez [ Thu Jan 16, 2020 12:43 am ]
Post subject:  Re: January 17-20 predictions

RDJ + kids film - you'd think it would at least crack $20m 4-day (as awful as that would be). Who knows.

With kids/families having gone to see Frozen/Jumanji/Spies/Star Wars I don't think the appetite exists at the moment. The next family hit will be Sonic.

Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Thu Jan 16, 2020 1:51 am ]
Post subject:  Re: January 17-20 predictions

I think there is a good chance it misses $20m 4-day now. Its an original movie and RDJ is not a draw. The difference between him and Depp is that Pirates was a comparatively smaller effort and Depp did other commercial roles in between. RDJ only has super non-commercial "The Judge" since 2012 (Sherlock was before that and I don't think he was household name before the first Avengers). Also it seems he is doing the same Iron Man shtick which can be irritating.

Author:  publicenemy#1 [ Thu Jan 16, 2020 3:30 am ]
Post subject:  Re: January 17-20 predictions

A lot of theaters around me are playing Weathering With You, wonder how wide it's going. Seeing it tomorrow

Author:  lilmac [ Thu Jan 16, 2020 7:37 am ]
Post subject:  Re: January 17-20 predictions

Last two Bad Boys had decent multipliers. Reviews are much better for this one and with MLK Day giving it a boost this could hold well next weekend. I think BB3 will be the first $100m grosser of 2020.

Author:  Rolling Thunder [ Fri Jan 17, 2020 10:46 am ]
Post subject:  Re: January 17-20 predictions

Small sample so far, but Bad Boys with a very impressive 96% audience score from previews.

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