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 Friday/Weekend estimates 
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Defeats all expectations
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Post Friday/Weekend estimates
1917 - $13,970,000
Like a Boss - $3,900,000
Just Mercy - $3,650,000
Underwater - 2,492,000

https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office-chart/daily/2020/01/10

Weekend projections:

1. 1917 - $37m
2. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker - $14.8m (-57%)
3. Jumanji: The Next Level - $12.9m (-51%)
4. Like a Boss - $10.2m
5. Just Mercy - $10m
6. Little Women - $7.8m (-43%)
7. Frozen II - $6.9m (-42%)
8. Underwater - $6.5m
9. Spies in Disguise - $6.2m (-40%)
10. Knives Out - $5.8m (-35%)
11. Uncut Gems - $3.5m (-34%)
12. The Grudge - $3.3m (-71%)

https://www.boxofficepro.com/weekend-estimates-1917-star-wars-rise-of-skywalker-like-a-boss-just-mercy-underwater/


Sat Jan 11, 2020 3:47 pm
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Post Re: Friday/Weekend estimates
World War I finally getting its cinematic due

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Sat Jan 11, 2020 4:28 pm
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Post Re: Friday/Weekend estimates
That would be an awful multiplier for TROS but it has been behind in multipliers with comparable movies. I was thinking with $3.9m it will cross $15.5m for the weekend.

1917 ended up close to our predictions rather than a massive breakout


Sat Jan 11, 2020 5:50 pm
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Post Re: Friday/Weekend estimates
Star Wars is gonna limp to 500m.

Jumanji probably isn't gonna top 300m. So less than 800m total for Jumanji and SW while the 2017 entries combined for a billion.


Sat Jan 11, 2020 6:05 pm
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Post Re: Friday/Weekend estimates
can someone explain to me why 1917 previews/OD ratio was so high? It doesn't feel like the type of film to get 24%.

lol Star Wars.

Jumanji is set to do 280m+ and likely 700m+ WW. Pretty damn great numbers given the expected big drop off.

Uncut Gems is going to break 50m+ which is awesome.

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Sat Jan 11, 2020 6:28 pm
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Post Re: Friday/Weekend estimates
Like a Boss should have done a bit better.

Nice and as expected for 1917. String launching pad considering it could make 30m plus over the 4-day weekend. Though also surprised by the preview to weekend ratio considering Revenant example.

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Sat Jan 11, 2020 8:51 pm
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Post Re: Friday/Weekend estimates
It’s been 4 years since Revenant. I’m pretty sure preview share has increased since then. Seems to me that previews are higher than comps from a few years ago most of the time.


Sat Jan 11, 2020 10:36 pm
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Post Re: Friday/Weekend estimates
Ok interesting. I’ve never paid all that much attention to previews but I guess they act more as an opening night these days. Films have opened on Thursday here in Oz for years so I wouldn’t be surprised if North America heads the same way eventually.

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Sun Jan 12, 2020 2:22 am
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Post Re: Friday/Weekend estimates
DP07 wrote:
It’s been 4 years since Revenant. I’m pretty sure preview share has increased since then. Seems to me that previews are higher than comps from a few years ago most of the time.


They are but 1917 had a noticeably higher share than what FvF did too. And 1917 has been in 11 markets for two weeks so shed some demand already.

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Sun Jan 12, 2020 11:07 am
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Post Re: Friday/Weekend estimates
Disney should be embarrassed by TrOs performance.

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Sun Jan 12, 2020 11:32 am
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Post Re: Friday/Weekend estimates
1 (17) 1917 $36,500,000 (+5,809%) $39,221,279
2 (1) Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker $15,059,000 (-56%) $478,169,690
3 (2) Jumanji: The Next Level $14,000,000 (-47%) $257,124,981
4 (28) Just Mercy $10,000,000 (+12,952%) $10,435,988
4 (N) Like a Boss $10,000,000 $10,000,000
6 (3) Little Women $7,650,000 (-44%) $74,031,009
7 (N) Underwater $7,003,000 $7,003,000
8 (4) Frozen II $5,761,000 (-51%) $459,384,042
9 (7) Knives Out $5,725,000 (-36%) $139,621,744
10 (6) Spies in Disguise $5,108,000 (-51%) $54,616,429
11 (5) The Grudge $3,500,000 (-69%) $17,906,715
11 (8) Uncut Gems $3,500,000 (-54%) $43,466,672

https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office-chart/weekend/2020/01/10


Sun Jan 12, 2020 2:29 pm
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Post Re: Friday/Weekend estimates
1917 is gonna have a great drop next weekend with Oscar noms and holiday weekend.


Sun Jan 12, 2020 3:47 pm
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Post Re: Friday/Weekend estimates
1917 is doing so well, they got the timing exactly right avoiding the Christmas releases, then the Globes wins, and Oscar noms tomorrow where it will most likely get BP/BD.

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Sun Jan 12, 2020 5:21 pm
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Post Re: Friday/Weekend estimates
Drops were harsh following the holiday effect last week.

As to be expected TROS continues to trail comparisons.

Parasite expanded, but pta dropped. But it will beat Bombshell and Cats. Who would have predicted that?


Sun Jan 12, 2020 5:38 pm
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Post Re: Friday/Weekend estimates
Interestingly - 1917 opened to about the same amount (unadjusted) that the Star Wars Ep IV re-issue smashed the January OW record with back in 1997.

Both amazing results.

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Mon Jan 13, 2020 12:12 am
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Post Re: Friday/Weekend estimates
I think the GG win had to have made some people rush out on Thursday.

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Mon Jan 13, 2020 11:32 am
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