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 January 10-12 predictions 
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Extraordinary
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Post January 10-12 predictions
4 new wide releases. Hmm


1917 - 30
Just Mercy - 12
Like a Boss - 9
Underwater - 5 (poor Kstew)


Sat Jan 04, 2020 12:35 pm
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Post Re: January 10-12 predictions
1917 - 25
Just Mercy - 13
Like a Boss - 12
Underwater - 6


Sat Jan 04, 2020 1:29 pm
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Post Re: January 10-12 predictions
1917 - 27
Just Mercy - 17
Like a Boss - 15
Underwater - 8

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Sat Jan 04, 2020 1:47 pm
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Post Re: January 10-12 predictions
3 new wide releases yet the older expansion movie will handily win the opener's battle


Sat Jan 04, 2020 10:03 pm
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Post Re: January 10-12 predictions
Jack Sparrow wrote:
3 new wide releases yet the older expansion movie will handily win the opener's battle


There are 2 new wide releases and 2 movies expanding wide.


Sun Jan 05, 2020 1:45 am
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Post Re: January 10-12 predictions
i.hope wrote:
Jack Sparrow wrote:
3 new wide releases yet the older expansion movie will handily win the opener's battle


There are 2 new wide releases and 2 movies expanding wide.


Didn't realize Just Mercy has been released since December 25 :funny:


Sun Jan 05, 2020 1:51 am
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Post Re: January 10-12 predictions
Just Mercy have been performing very well in limited release and with great reviews an A+ cinemascore I can see a Breakout with long legs.


Sun Jan 05, 2020 2:47 am
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Post Re: January 10-12 predictions
1917 - $27m
Like a Boss - $13m
Underwater - $8m
Just Mercy - $7m

1917 should easily lead the weekend going wide, given how well it held this weekend, increasing 5% from OW. Just Mercy has been tracking closer to On the Basis of Sex than to Selma.


Sun Jan 05, 2020 3:47 am
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Post Re: January 10-12 predictions
Yeah Just Mercy reminds me so much of On The Basis of Sex. It's another solidly reviewed adult drama that was mostly ignored during awards season. This is assuming it doesn't get an Oscar nomination and I wouldn't bet on it. I say no way it opens to double digits.

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Sun Jan 05, 2020 6:01 am
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Post Re: January 10-12 predictions
1917 - $36m
Like a Boss - $15m
Just Mercy - $11m
Underwater - $7m

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Sun Jan 05, 2020 6:40 am
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Post Re: January 10-12 predictions
1917 - $35m
Like a Boss - $12m
Just Mercy - $5m
Underwater - $8m


Sun Jan 05, 2020 6:52 am
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Post Re: January 10-12 predictions
1917 38m
Like A Boss 16m
Just Mercy 8m
Underwater 4m


Sun Jan 05, 2020 7:23 pm
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Post Re: January 10-12 predictions
So how hard will ROTS drop?

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Mon Jan 06, 2020 12:19 am
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Post Re: January 10-12 predictions
55% for sure but I won't be surprised with more. For reference Smaug fell 49% in the coming weekend.


Mon Jan 06, 2020 1:15 am
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Post Re: January 10-12 predictions
GG probably will boost 1917 more this weekend. 30m OW seems more likely.

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Mon Jan 06, 2020 2:09 am
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Post Re: January 10-12 predictions
Hopefully Underwater kicks some ass this weekend cause legend/queen K-Stew deserves it!


Mon Jan 06, 2020 2:14 am
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Post Re: January 10-12 predictions
Those GG wins will certainly help 1917. Think 30m+ is likely.


Mon Jan 06, 2020 2:52 am
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Post Re: January 10-12 predictions
Perfect timing for that 1917 GG win. It’s going over 30m with that.

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Mon Jan 06, 2020 8:52 am
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Post Re: January 10-12 predictions
1917 got some major free advertisement (or was it free?) on the Golden Globes last night. I don't doubt $50m+ OW.


Mon Jan 06, 2020 11:07 am
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Post Re: January 10-12 predictions
1917 - 32.688 Million
Like A Boss - 13.2 Million
Underwater - 6.86 Million
Just Mercy - 6.2 Million

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Mon Jan 06, 2020 3:47 pm
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Post Re: January 10-12 predictions
1917 may actually be the first film EVER to win Best Pic at the Golden Globes and gone wide the following weekend.

That should count for something! Will be interesting to track.

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Tue Jan 07, 2020 2:04 am
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Post Re: January 10-12 predictions
1. 1917 - 36 MILLION (New)
2. JUMANJI: THE NEXT LEVEL - 18.096 MILLION (-31%)
3. STAR WARS: THE RISE OF SKYWALKER - 15.536 MILLION (-55%)
4. LIKE A BOSS - 13.205 MILLION (New)
5. LITTLE WOMEN - 9.528 MILLION (-30%)
6. FROZEN II - 8.060 MILLION (-32%)
7. SPIES IN DISGUISE - 7.381 MILLION (-29%)
8. UNDERWATER - 6.86 MILLION (New)
9. JUST MERCY - 6.216 MILLION
10. KNIVES OUT - 5.973 MILLION
(-33%)
11. UNCUT GEMS - 3.936 MILLION (-48%)
12. THE GRUDGE - 2.736 MILLION (-76%)
13. BOMBSHELL - 2.695 MILLION (-34%)
14. CATS - 1.209 MILLION (-54%)
15. FORD V FERRARI - 1.092 MILLION (-36%)

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Wed Jan 08, 2020 3:24 pm
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Post Re: January 10-12 predictions
TROS is on track to see a 50% decline this weekend. Its 86% behind last Wednesday whereas Smaug was 85% behind from its last Wednesday (on the same day) and ended up dropping 49% though ofcourse Smaug had been in release longer so that could mean a heavier drop for TROS.

When comparing TROS to TLJ its Wednesday was less than 50% of that and the later made $23.7m in the coming weekend. Going by that multiplier TROS will be around $11.8m but then again due to Jan 5-7 holiday effect for TLJ, TROS's Friday and Sunday will be better so around $13m-$14m.

50% drop from last weekend is $17.25m so that's the target for TROS. Anything under $14m would be terrible.


Thu Jan 09, 2020 10:16 pm
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