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 The Incredibles - Predict the Third Week Drop 
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Homo Dperious
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BJ - 24%
JURiNG - 28%
Archangel Supreme - 30%
Goldie - 30%
choubachou - 30.5%
DP07 - 33.4%
Plot - 34.5%
BigMoviePimp - 34.6%
xiayun - 34.7%
Erendis - 35%
micasey300 - 35%
Algren - 35%
Dr. Lecter - 35.9%
matatonio - 36%
Zingaling - 36.17%
Nebs - 37%
torrino - 39%
hans - 40%
BOYFRESH - 45-50%


Sat Nov 13, 2004 5:07 pm
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Homo Dperious
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So, the actual drop of 28.7% gives JURiNG the win. :wink:

So, third weekend now?

I'd say somewhat more with more competition. 32.9% drop.


Mon Nov 15, 2004 9:45 pm
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College Boy Z

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35%


Mon Nov 15, 2004 9:46 pm
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Teh Mexican
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34.5%


Mon Nov 15, 2004 9:47 pm
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Killing With Kindness
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-31.6%

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Mon Nov 15, 2004 10:26 pm
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Killing With Kindness
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BJ wrote:
-31.6%


-38.6%

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Tue Nov 16, 2004 9:42 pm
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Indiana Jones IV

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-40%

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Wed Nov 17, 2004 2:00 am
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Extraordinary

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33.8%.


Wed Nov 17, 2004 5:20 pm
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-36.4%

Slight spongey effect.


Wed Nov 17, 2004 5:35 pm
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Homo Dperious
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I'm changing mine slightly to 33.5%. I was not expecting to be predicting the lowest drop. :?

Third Weekend Drop:

DP07 - 33.5%
xiayun - 33.8%
matatonio - 34.5%
Zingaling - 35%
micasey300 - 36.4%
newfoundglorysp - 37.4%
BJ - 38.6%
Steve - 40%

Are there anymore predictions?


Last edited by DP07 on Thu Nov 18, 2004 7:35 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Thu Nov 18, 2004 7:27 pm
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Indiana Jones IV
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37.4

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Thu Nov 18, 2004 7:32 pm
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Hmmm, for some reason, the dailies are not too good...

40.5%

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Thu Nov 18, 2004 9:01 pm
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Extraordinary

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I'm dropping my prediction as well. It needs 10% increase on Thursday and more than 300% increase on Friday to just get to 30M.

41.2%


Last edited by xiayun on Fri Nov 19, 2004 3:27 am, edited 1 time in total.



Fri Nov 19, 2004 3:09 am
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Indiana Jones IV

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lots of advance tickets for spongebob and nothing for incredibles...hmmmm...could be a big drop....


Fri Nov 19, 2004 3:14 am
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Speed Racer
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39.5%

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Fri Nov 19, 2004 10:49 am
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Homo Dperious
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Third Weekend Drop:

DP07 - 34.3%
matatonio - 34.5%
Zingaling - 35%
micasey300 - 36.4%
newfoundglorysp - 37.4%
BJ - 38.6%
BigMoviePimp - 39.5%
Steve - 40%
Dr. Lecter - 40.5%
xiayun - 41.2%

Are there anymore predictions?


Last edited by DP07 on Fri Nov 19, 2004 6:04 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Fri Nov 19, 2004 5:53 pm
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David, do you still think it'll drop less than 35%, though?

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Fri Nov 19, 2004 5:54 pm
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Homo Dperious
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Dr. Lecter wrote:
David, do you still think it'll drop less than 35%, though?


Yeah, I do. I'll change it to 34.3% though. Shark Tale increased 296% on its third Friday.


Fri Nov 19, 2004 6:03 pm
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DP07 wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
David, do you still think it'll drop less than 35%, though?


Yeah, I do. I'll change it to 34.3% though. Shark Tale increased 296% on its third Friday.


It didn't have to face The Polar Express' second weekend and Spongebob's opening. Shark Tale had a very fortunate release date without having to compete with any other family flicks.

Even if The Incredibles gets a 300% increase on Friday and a straight 4 multiplier over the weekend (both of which I do not se happening), its drop will still be 40+%.

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Fri Nov 19, 2004 6:17 pm
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College Boy Z

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38%


Fri Nov 19, 2004 6:43 pm
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ef star star kay
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Let's see..

ELF 2003
3rd Friday - 5.41 (+288.8% from Thursday, -25.8% from last Friday)
Saturday - 8.23 (+52.8% from Friday)
Weekend - 18.72 (-28.9% from last weekend, Multiplier = 3.46x)

THE SANTA CLAUSE 2 2002
3rd Friday - 3.57 (+322.4% from Thursday, -40.2% from last Friday)
Saturday - 7.13 (+99.8% from Friday)
Weekend - 15.10 (-38.9% from last weekend, Multiplier = 4.23x)

MONSTERS, INC. 2001
3rd Friday - 5.66 (+265.4% from Thursday, -50.2% from last Friday)
Saturday - 10.63 (+87.8% from Friday)
Weekend - 22.72 (-50.1% from last weekend, Multiplier = 4.01x)

THE INCREDIBLES 2004
3rd Friday - 6.55 (+254% from Thursday, -53% from last Friday)
--- Prediction ---
Saturday - 12.12 (+85% from Friday)
Weekend - 26.43 (-47.4% from last weekend, Multiplier = 4.04x)

Not too bad :?

xiayun is winner, I think :roll:


Sat Nov 20, 2004 3:35 pm
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xiayun will surely remain the winner. CONGRATS xiayun! :)

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Sat Nov 20, 2004 4:41 pm
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ef star star kay
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Thanks GOD..

At least it did a bit better than my projection..

Let's move onto 4th weekend..

Monsters, Inc. +5.9%
Elf +15.7%
Santa Clause 2 +18.8%
Avg. = 13.47

If The Incredibles follows..

Monsters, Inc. weekend gross will be ~ 28.3
Elf weekend gross will be ~ 31
Santa Clause 2 weekend gross will be ~ 31.8
Avg. weekend gross will be ~ 30.4

My Prediction - 29.6 (+10.5%)

IT'S NEW RECORD FOR 4TH WEEKEND!! :D

1 Titanic $28,716,310 | 2,746 | $10,457
2 Spider-Man $28,508,104 | 3,876 | $7,355
3 Star Wars: Episode I - The Phantom Menace $25,632,861 | 3,024 | $8,476
4 Monsters, Inc. $24,055,001 | 3,649 | $6,592
5 Shrek 2 $23,316,920 | 3,843 | $6,067
6 Elf $21,649,842 | 3,202 | $6,761
7 Finding Nemo $21,138,752 | 3,404 | $6,209
8 The Sixth Sense $20,099,149 | 2,763 | $7,274
9 The Passion of the Christ $19,414,377 | 3,250 | $5,973
10 Jurassic Park $18,969,605 | 2,496 | $7,600

I say, It's lock for #3 :wink:


Sun Nov 21, 2004 4:38 pm
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Homo Dperious
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For the fourth weekend I give it an increase of 5.4%

Thanksgiving Weekend Drop/Increase:

JURiNG - +10.5%
DP07 - +5.4%

Get your predictions in before the Friday numbers. I should have updated the thread title earlier this week. I've been too busy to post much.


Fri Nov 26, 2004 9:01 am
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