The Incredibles - Predict the Third Week Drop
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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 14480 Location: Everywhere
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BJ - 24%
JURiNG - 28%
Archangel Supreme - 30%
Goldie - 30%
choubachou - 30.5%
DP07 - 33.4%
Plot - 34.5%
BigMoviePimp - 34.6%
xiayun - 34.7%
Erendis - 35%
micasey300 - 35%
Algren - 35%
Dr. Lecter - 35.9%
matatonio - 36%
Zingaling - 36.17%
Nebs - 37%
torrino - 39%
hans - 40%
BOYFRESH - 45-50%
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Sat Nov 13, 2004 5:07 pm |
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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 14480 Location: Everywhere
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So, the actual drop of 28.7% gives JURiNG the win. :wink:
So, third weekend now?
I'd say somewhat more with more competition. 32.9% drop.
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Mon Nov 15, 2004 9:45 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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35%
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Mon Nov 15, 2004 9:46 pm |
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matatonio
Teh Mexican
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm Posts: 26066 Location: In good ol' Mexico
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34.5%
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Mon Nov 15, 2004 9:47 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25020 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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-31.6%
_________________The Force Awakens
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Mon Nov 15, 2004 10:26 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25020 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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_________________The Force Awakens
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Tue Nov 16, 2004 9:42 pm |
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Steve
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:09 pm Posts: 1796
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-40%
_________________ how am I not myself?
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Wed Nov 17, 2004 2:00 am |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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33.8%.
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Wed Nov 17, 2004 5:20 pm |
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MGKC
---------
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm Posts: 11808 Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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-36.4%
Slight spongey effect.
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Wed Nov 17, 2004 5:35 pm |
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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 14480 Location: Everywhere
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I'm changing mine slightly to 33.5%. I was not expecting to be predicting the lowest drop. :?
Third Weekend Drop:
DP07 - 33.5%
xiayun - 33.8%
matatonio - 34.5%
Zingaling - 35%
micasey300 - 36.4%
newfoundglorysp - 37.4%
BJ - 38.6%
Steve - 40%
Are there anymore predictions?
Last edited by DP07 on Thu Nov 18, 2004 7:35 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Thu Nov 18, 2004 7:27 pm |
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newfoundglorysp
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 8:10 pm Posts: 1093 Location: Montreal, Canada
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37.4
_________________ TOP 5 MOVIES
1. The Life Aquatic With Steve Zissou 2. The Royal Tenenbaums 3. No Country for Old Men 4. Rushmore 5. Being John Malkovich
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Thu Nov 18, 2004 7:32 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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Hmmm, for some reason, the dailies are not too good...
40.5%
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Thu Nov 18, 2004 9:01 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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I'm dropping my prediction as well. It needs 10% increase on Thursday and more than 300% increase on Friday to just get to 30M.
41.2%
Last edited by xiayun on Fri Nov 19, 2004 3:27 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Fri Nov 19, 2004 3:09 am |
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Animosity Reigns
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 8:41 pm Posts: 1777 Location: The Dirty South
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lots of advance tickets for spongebob and nothing for incredibles...hmmmm...could be a big drop....
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Fri Nov 19, 2004 3:14 am |
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BigMoviePimp
Speed Racer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:54 pm Posts: 198 Location: The Real World
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39.5%
_________________ How did you find me?
I'm the man.
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Fri Nov 19, 2004 10:49 am |
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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 14480 Location: Everywhere
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Third Weekend Drop:
DP07 - 34.3%
matatonio - 34.5%
Zingaling - 35%
micasey300 - 36.4%
newfoundglorysp - 37.4%
BJ - 38.6%
BigMoviePimp - 39.5%
Steve - 40%
Dr. Lecter - 40.5%
xiayun - 41.2%
Are there anymore predictions?
Last edited by DP07 on Fri Nov 19, 2004 6:04 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Fri Nov 19, 2004 5:53 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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David, do you still think it'll drop less than 35%, though?
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Fri Nov 19, 2004 5:54 pm |
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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 14480 Location: Everywhere
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Dr. Lecter wrote: David, do you still think it'll drop less than 35%, though?
Yeah, I do. I'll change it to 34.3% though. Shark Tale increased 296% on its third Friday.
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Fri Nov 19, 2004 6:03 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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DP07 wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote: David, do you still think it'll drop less than 35%, though? Yeah, I do. I'll change it to 34.3% though. Shark Tale increased 296% on its third Friday.
It didn't have to face The Polar Express' second weekend and Spongebob's opening. Shark Tale had a very fortunate release date without having to compete with any other family flicks.
Even if The Incredibles gets a 300% increase on Friday and a straight 4 multiplier over the weekend (both of which I do not se happening), its drop will still be 40+%.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Fri Nov 19, 2004 6:17 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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38%
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Fri Nov 19, 2004 6:43 pm |
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JURiNG
ef star star kay
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 7:45 pm Posts: 3016 Location: Cairo, Egypt
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Let's see..
ELF 2003
3rd Friday - 5.41 (+288.8% from Thursday, -25.8% from last Friday)
Saturday - 8.23 (+52.8% from Friday)
Weekend - 18.72 (-28.9% from last weekend, Multiplier = 3.46x)
THE SANTA CLAUSE 2 2002
3rd Friday - 3.57 (+322.4% from Thursday, -40.2% from last Friday)
Saturday - 7.13 (+99.8% from Friday)
Weekend - 15.10 (-38.9% from last weekend, Multiplier = 4.23x)
MONSTERS, INC. 2001
3rd Friday - 5.66 (+265.4% from Thursday, -50.2% from last Friday)
Saturday - 10.63 (+87.8% from Friday)
Weekend - 22.72 (-50.1% from last weekend, Multiplier = 4.01x)
THE INCREDIBLES 2004
3rd Friday - 6.55 (+254% from Thursday, -53% from last Friday)
--- Prediction ---
Saturday - 12.12 (+85% from Friday)
Weekend - 26.43 (-47.4% from last weekend, Multiplier = 4.04x)
Not too bad :?
xiayun is winner, I think
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Sat Nov 20, 2004 3:35 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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xiayun will surely remain the winner. CONGRATS xiayun!
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Sat Nov 20, 2004 4:41 pm |
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JURiNG
ef star star kay
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 7:45 pm Posts: 3016 Location: Cairo, Egypt
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Thanks GOD..
At least it did a bit better than my projection..
Let's move onto 4th weekend..
Monsters, Inc. +5.9%
Elf +15.7%
Santa Clause 2 +18.8%
Avg. = 13.47
If The Incredibles follows..
Monsters, Inc. weekend gross will be ~ 28.3
Elf weekend gross will be ~ 31
Santa Clause 2 weekend gross will be ~ 31.8
Avg. weekend gross will be ~ 30.4
My Prediction - 29.6 (+10.5%)
IT'S NEW RECORD FOR 4TH WEEKEND!!
1 Titanic $28,716,310 | 2,746 | $10,457
2 Spider-Man $28,508,104 | 3,876 | $7,355
3 Star Wars: Episode I - The Phantom Menace $25,632,861 | 3,024 | $8,476
4 Monsters, Inc. $24,055,001 | 3,649 | $6,592
5 Shrek 2 $23,316,920 | 3,843 | $6,067
6 Elf $21,649,842 | 3,202 | $6,761
7 Finding Nemo $21,138,752 | 3,404 | $6,209
8 The Sixth Sense $20,099,149 | 2,763 | $7,274
9 The Passion of the Christ $19,414,377 | 3,250 | $5,973
10 Jurassic Park $18,969,605 | 2,496 | $7,600
I say, It's lock for #3 :wink:
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Sun Nov 21, 2004 4:38 pm |
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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 14480 Location: Everywhere
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For the fourth weekend I give it an increase of 5.4%
Thanksgiving Weekend Drop/Increase:
JURiNG - +10.5%
DP07 - +5.4%
Get your predictions in before the Friday numbers. I should have updated the thread title earlier this week. I've been too busy to post much.
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Fri Nov 26, 2004 9:01 am |
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