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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 19399
Location: San Diego
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 October 4-6 predictions Joker: Folie à Deux - 71
This should be doing 100m+ but yeah, presales lok weak. Think it should pick up, unless the early screenings don't generate at least decent WoM.
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| Sat Sep 28, 2024 11:45 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40460
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Re: October 4-6 predictions I'm sticking with my call this has a secret late breaking audience like Venom. But even if it's opens to 80-90 and then has poor legs that's still not that good. Anything below 200 million total is a pretty big failure.
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| Sat Sep 28, 2024 2:05 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 25318
Location: Classified
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Re: October 4-6 predictions Even with all the doom and gloom I'd be stunned to see this to go under $100M opening. If it really does open around Flash / Dial of Destiny it'll top Furiosa as the biggest disaster of the year for me (in terms of potential, not budget.)
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| Sat Sep 28, 2024 11:24 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68295
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Re: October 4-6 predictions I'm with Shack. People will show up for this.
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| Sun Sep 29, 2024 6:59 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22194
Location: Places
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Re: October 4-6 predictions The media is just treating like this like a total non-event, it's very strange.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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| Sun Sep 29, 2024 8:40 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 23323
Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: October 4-6 predictions Joker: Folie à Deux - $85m
Sure, this may not grow OW compared to the first, but I don't see a total dud either.
Maybe Friday will be huge and then early WOM (possibly poor due to the musical aspects) will hurt it during the OW weekend - but the OW total should be OK.
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| Sun Sep 29, 2024 9:54 pm |
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pro1986
The Incredible Hulk
Joined: Wed Sep 02, 2009 7:28 am
Posts: 505
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Re: October 4-6 predictions There is absolutely nothing in pre-sales that suggest it's doing more than 60 million at this point. Unless this has major walk ups I think we are looking at an opening between the marvels and the flash.
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| Mon Sep 30, 2024 10:00 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68295
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Re: October 4-6 predictions Maybe it echoes that the US is in a better place. The first film isn't an uplifting film, yet it did very well. Maybe the US is a healthier country now, and thus not as interested in another downer film.
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| Mon Sep 30, 2024 1:05 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 25318
Location: Classified
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Re: October 4-6 predictions Algren wrote: Maybe it echoes that the US is in a better place. The first film isn't an uplifting film, yet it did very well. Maybe the US is a healthier country now, and thus not as interested in another downer film. So they should have waited to see if Trump got reelected, banking on him making America miserable again? Are you saying WB made the same mistake as Russia???
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| Mon Sep 30, 2024 5:44 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 19399
Location: San Diego
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Re: October 4-6 predictions Baffling this goes below Venom 2... lol I guess this is more ofva drama than a superhero movie but still.
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| Mon Sep 30, 2024 6:36 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68295
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Re: October 4-6 predictions Flava'd vs The World wrote: Algren wrote: Maybe it echoes that the US is in a better place. The first film isn't an uplifting film, yet it did very well. Maybe the US is a healthier country now, and thus not as interested in another downer film. So they should have waited to see if Trump got reelected, banking on him making America miserable again? Are you saying WB made the same mistake as Russia??? I'm not saying either of those things. _________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
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| Tue Oct 01, 2024 11:28 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 19399
Location: San Diego
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Re: October 4-6 predictions After seeing it... yeah, legs will probably be bad.
It's pretty crazy how DC sequels that should have been easy wins (WW1984, Aquaman and now this) end up disappointing.
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| Tue Oct 01, 2024 11:35 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68295
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Re: October 4-6 predictions What they're creating with The Batman / Penguin will probably buck that trend. The Batman 2 should do very well.
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| Tue Oct 01, 2024 11:42 am |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm
Posts: 6324
Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: October 4-6 predictions I feel like The Batman kinda came and went. The first half was brilliant but the second was really disappointing, like if Se7en hadn't had the final twist and it just ended in a generic shootout. I could see the sequel disappointing tbh.
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| Wed Oct 02, 2024 12:13 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6753
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Re: October 4-6 predictions Batman was good. Audience reception was strong. That said sequel's potential is on how good it will be. I think Matt Reeves is much better as a director compared to Todd Philips. So it wont collapse like Joker 2.
On Joker 2 OW I am expecting 8-9m previews including early shows on Monday plus around 60m ish for OW.
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| Wed Oct 02, 2024 1:35 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 25318
Location: Classified
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Re: October 4-6 predictions Checked to see it Joker's sales really were as dire as prophesized ... and yes they are lol. The showing I had booked only had like 10-15 tickets sold (as of yesterday evening) and my entire row D was empty ... except for someone who booked a ticket right next to me? Cancelled that shit immediately. Not trying to make friends at Joker. I'll go see Transformers or Wild Robot again instead lol.
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| Thu Oct 03, 2024 3:20 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40460
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Re: October 4-6 predictions The bomb is ready to launch
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| Thu Oct 03, 2024 3:30 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68295
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Re: October 4-6 predictions Flava'd vs The World wrote: except for someone who booked a ticket right next to me? Cancelled that shit immediately. Not trying to make friends at Joker. You could have met your very own Harley Quinn. Then again, you could have met a DP07. Wise move to cancel.  _________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
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| Thu Oct 03, 2024 3:48 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6753
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Re: October 4-6 predictions its looking worse than 2 days ago. With reviews/reaction being abysmal, its not hitting 50m at this point. final surge would be terrible as well. Just similar to Flash and Marvels last year. Anything DC is cursed at this point.
_________________
The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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| Thu Oct 03, 2024 5:05 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm
Posts: 6324
Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: October 4-6 predictions Twitter posts about mass walkouts are going viral  How did this go from one of the surefire big films of the year to catastrophic career-ending bomb in the space of a few weeks
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| Thu Oct 03, 2024 5:07 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 21527
Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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Re: October 4-6 predictions This is the worst performance for a sequel to a billion dollar movie besides Alice 2
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| Thu Oct 03, 2024 6:30 pm |
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Malcolm
Aspiring Director
Joined: Wed Jan 25, 2023 8:47 am
Posts: 40
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Re: October 4-6 predictions zwackerm wrote: This is the worst performance for a sequel to a billion dollar movie besides Alice 2 (84dom & 206WW) had a bigger fall from Captain Marvel (427dom & 1.13bilWW). Joker: Folie a Deux would have to top out at less than 140milWW total to beat The Marvels in that race to the bottom. Not a great club to be a part of, really, whatever the specific results end up being
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| Thu Oct 03, 2024 7:02 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22194
Location: Places
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Re: October 4-6 predictions Keyser Söze wrote: Anything DC is cursed at this point. I think we all need to realize how quickly WOM spreads in 2024. BAD reviews and WOM will legit lose $20-30m from an opening weekend basically overnight. Add in a horrific marketing campaign? Easy to see how this happened. They rolled this out as if they thought everyone would love it and there be instant huge interest. Turns out the interest was likely heavily tied to reviews and they were not there at all. _________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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| Thu Oct 03, 2024 7:15 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 19399
Location: San Diego
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Re: October 4-6 predictions Playing this at Venice backfired. In the end yeah, the first one worked great as a single film. This new one doesn't enhance it at all.
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| Thu Oct 03, 2024 7:22 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 25318
Location: Classified
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Re: October 4-6 predictions Every film with Joker featured in a prominent role has broken some kind of record (opening weekend twice, August opening and first film to one billion). He's America's favorite fictional villain.
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| Thu Oct 03, 2024 9:28 pm |
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