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 KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2019 
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2019
I'm so sorry everyone - I thought my free time was 0 a few months ago, but now it's somehow even below that. I will try to provide an update when I'm free next (and close out the summer game).


Wed Nov 06, 2019 4:19 pm
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2019
Oh wow. I predicted highest for Joker and its gonna do more than that lol


Wed Nov 06, 2019 11:29 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2019
MGKC wrote:
I'm so sorry everyone - I thought my free time was 0 a few months ago, but now it's somehow even below that. I will try to provide an update when I'm free next (and close out the summer game).


Thank you KC :thumbsup:


Thu Nov 07, 2019 12:10 am
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2019
Doctor Sleep with 2,379 beats Arctic Dogs 1,964 with highest theater drop in 3rd weekend.


Tue Nov 26, 2019 12:48 am
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2019
That's ridiculous. Though Jexi actually would have won (-2000) if not for the abysmal performance of Sleep.

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Tue Nov 26, 2019 12:51 am
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2019
Jack Sparrow wrote:
Doctor Sleep with 2,379 beats Arctic Dogs 1,964 with highest theater drop in 3rd weekend.


It pisses me off Arctic Dogs lost over 500 in WEEK TWO! Not fair.

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Wed Nov 27, 2019 5:05 am
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Defeats all expectations
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2019
Magic Mike wrote:
Jack Sparrow wrote:
Doctor Sleep with 2,379 beats Arctic Dogs 1,964 with highest theater drop in 3rd weekend.


It pisses me off Arctic Dogs lost over 500 in WEEK TWO! Not fair.


+1


Wed Nov 27, 2019 3:04 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2019
Curious if anyone/KC would be willing to do a little prediction video for the Spring game? Similar to the one he did with his girlfriend.

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Wed Dec 04, 2019 11:43 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2019
I'm so glad Honey Boy won't have to be moved into the game.

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Sun Dec 08, 2019 1:48 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2019
Will we be doing another of these soon?

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Thu Dec 19, 2019 2:54 am
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2019
Damn, if Skywalker has shit legs and barely passes 500m and Frozen goes above 500m I could possibly get the top 5 lol


Sat Dec 21, 2019 10:45 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2019
Is there going to be an update before year end?


Sat Dec 21, 2019 11:13 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2019
i.hope wrote:
Is there going to be an update before year end?

Yes I will make that happen.

However, I don't think I have the time anymore to run next season's game, especially with how crappy I've run the last two. If anyone is interested, let me know!


Sun Dec 22, 2019 2:42 am
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Wallflower
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2019
Bummer. I love doing these. But thanks for doing it as long as you have. :)

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Sun Dec 22, 2019 1:06 pm
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Deshi Basara
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2019
It's just as well with the fall of boxofficemojo. I was already leaning heavily toward not playing anymore box office games because of that. Old mojo made them a lot of fun. At any rate it's been fun KC thank you.

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Sun Dec 29, 2019 12:34 am
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2019
They're only a little more challenging now. I use The Numbers to make predictions for Fantasy Movie League and that works well enough.

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Sun Dec 29, 2019 10:30 am
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2019
Weekly Ranking for Dec 29

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Total Gross Projections
It: Chapter Two - $211.593 million
The Goldfinch - $5.332 million
Hustlers - $104.955 million
Ad Astra
Downton Abbey
Rambo: Last Blood
Abominable
Joker
Addams Family
Gemini Man
Jojo Rabbit
Lighthouse
Maleficent: Mistress of Evil
Zombieland 2: Double Tap
Harriet
Terminator: Dark Fate
Doctor Sleep
Last Christmas
Midway
Playing with Fire
Charlie's Angels
Ford v. Ferrari
21 Bridges
A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
Frozen 2
Knives Out
Jumanji: The Next Level
Bombshell
Cats
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
Little Women
Spies in Disguise

Current Top 5
1. Frozen II - $421.3 million
2. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker - $361.8 million
3. Joker - $333.5 million
4. It Chapter Two - $211.6 million
5. Jumanji: The Next Level - $175.5 million

Current Answers to Box Office Questions
#1: Which will gross more - the total gross of Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker or double the total gross of It: Chapter Two?
  • The total gross of Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker

#2: Which will gross more in total - the combo of Frozen 2 and The Addams Family or the combo of Jumanji: The Next Level and Maleficent: Mistress of Evil?
  • The combo of Frozen 2 and The Addams Family

#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Cats, Doctor Sleep, Gemini Man, and Joker?
  • Doctor Sleep and Gemini Man ($17.1 million difference)

#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Frozen 2, It: Chapter Two, Jumanji: The Next Level, Maleficent: Mistress of Evil, Rambo: Last Blood, Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker, Terminator: Dark Fate, or Zombieland 2: Double Tap?
  • Jumanji: The Next Level (-56.6%)

#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Frozen 2, It: Chapter Two, Jumanji: The Next Level, Maleficent: Mistress of Evil, Rambo: Last Blood, Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker, Terminator: Dark Fate, or Zombieland 2: Double Tap?
  • Zombieland: Double Tap (-3.7%)

#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends?
  • Knives Out (currently $110.2 million)

#7: What movie will lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend?
  • Doctor Sleep (-2,379 theaters)

#8: How many films will gross over $100 million?
  • Nine (It Chapter Two, Joker, Hustlers, Maleficent: Mistress of Evil, Frozen II, Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker, Ford v. Ferrari, Jumanji: The Next Level, Knives Out)

#9: How many films will gross over $200 million?
  • Four (It Chapter Two, Joker, Frozen II, Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker)

#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)?
  • Queen and Slim (currently $40.2 million)


Sun Dec 29, 2019 4:59 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2019
Lol wait, am I going to get the top 5???

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Sun Dec 29, 2019 5:48 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2019
Holy crap! Come on Frozen! Need you to leg it out lol.

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Sun Dec 29, 2019 6:26 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2019
Ya it's looking unlikely that Skywalker will gross less than 500m and Frozen is looking to end up in high 400s but it looks like they may have pretty similar grosses


Sun Dec 29, 2019 6:44 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2019
So I’ll lose two points but gain two when Jumanji passes It and another two on question four when Maleficent becomes the right answer. Feeling decent about my chances but I know that if anyone gets top 5 exactly right then they’d go way down.

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Sun Dec 29, 2019 7:14 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2019
Chippy got the top 5 right, right?

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Thu Mar 05, 2020 10:18 am
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