World of KJ :: View topic - June predictions

Quote:

Disney/Pixar’s Toy Story 4 hit tracking this morning and box office analysts are already buzzing that the fourthquel has a great shot at setting a new opening record for an animation film, besting Incredibles 2‘s 3-day last year of $182.6M. A $200M opening is not out of the question, and in the wake of Disney pulling out all the stops with exhibition on Avengers: Endgame for an all-time domestic start of $357.1M, why shouldn’t we even question Toy Story 4‘s forecast. In the tracking number tea leaves, analysts see Toy Story 4 doing about 10% better than Incredibles 2. Toy Story 4 opens on June 21.

Fandango and Atom Tickets are already reporting that the first day (Tuesday) of movie ticket presales for Toy Story 4 has already set a record for an animated movie and outsold Incredibles 2.

On Fandango, Toy Story 4 outstripped the first 24 hour advance ticket sales of Pixar’s Finding Dory, as well as the live-action titles Beauty and the Beast, and Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2.

On Atom Tickets, Toy Story 4 sold nearly 50% more tickets than their top 3 animated movie pre-sellers combined (for the same time period), which includes Incredibles 2, Ralph Breaks the Internet and Hotel Transylvania 3.

Author:	Shack [ Tue May 28, 2019 10:45 pm ]
Post subject:	June predictions
Toy Story 4 seems like by far the biggest. Which of Dark Phoenix, Secret Life of Pets 2 and MIB does the best, and which is the flop?

Author:	Algren [ Tue May 28, 2019 11:14 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: June predictions
Toy Story 4 is the flop.

Author:	stuffp [ Wed May 29, 2019 12:26 am ]
Post subject:	Re: June predictions
I'm expecting a gross from highest to lowest in this order Pets 2 Toy Story 4 MIB Dark Phoenix

Author:	Algren [ Wed May 29, 2019 12:42 am ]
Post subject:	Re: June predictions
If you didn't have MIBI in your draft, that would be last.

Author:	Keyser Söze [ Wed May 29, 2019 1:08 am ]
Post subject:	Re: June predictions
Toy Story 4 in 6 hours has sold more than Pets 2 so far in its run. There is zero chance of Pets 2 to beat Toy Story 4. We will get industry tracking numbers this thursday for Toy Story 4. Pets 2 is tracking at 65m and in UK dropped 50% in its OW. if you include previews for 1st Pets movie, Pets 2 dropped 2/3. So expecting big drop for Pets 2. Toy Story could also drop but should have no issues beating pets 2.

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June predictions http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=85833	Page 1 of 2

Author:	Algren [ Wed May 29, 2019 1:15 am ]
Post subject:	Re: June predictions
The difference is that nobody is expecting much from Pets 2, the quick fun sequel to a surprise hit that isn't beloved and did not linger long in the cultural memory bank. But Toy Story 4, coming from Pixar, the industry's darling animation studio, and following the huge successes of Toy Story 3 and Incredibles 2, is expected to do very nicely. But it won't.

Author:	Shack [ Wed May 29, 2019 1:44 am ]
Post subject:	Re: June predictions
Finding Dory and Incredibles 2 made 500-600 mil and neither of them looked that inspiring quality wise. I think Toy Story is more likely to go over 500 than under 300. Most likely scenario is around 400.

Author:	Algren [ Wed May 29, 2019 4:32 am ]
Post subject:	Re: June predictions
Someone has forgotten how Dory actually performed.

Author:	Flava'd vs The World [ Wed May 29, 2019 9:14 am ]
Post subject:	Re: June predictions
June sucks. Not a single movie worth getting really excited about. Maybe Danny Boyle’s Yesterday will be a sleeper hit. Pets - $55M/$160M Dark Phoenix - $40M/$100M MIB - $33M / $80M Shaft - $30M / $80M Toy Story 4 - $90M / $300M Chucky - $22M / $50M Annabelle 3 - $35M / $90M Yesterday - $15M / $60M

Author:	Keyser Söze [ Thu May 30, 2019 10:02 am ]
Post subject:	Re: June predictions
https://ew.com/movies/2019/05/30/toy-st ... edibles-2/ Toy Story 4, the long-awaited Pixar sequel about the secret lives of toys, beat the ticket pre-sale record once held by Incredibles 2. According to Fandango, the film, opening in theaters on June 21, is the new record-holder for the most first-day pre-sales for an animated title on the ticket-purchasing service. EW has reached out to Fandango regarding specific numbers for the pre-sales, but a release notes it’s more than the pre-sale numbers from last year’s Incredibles 2.

Author:	Keyser Söze [ Thu May 30, 2019 11:12 am ]
Post subject:	Re: June predictions
https://deadline.com/2019/05/toy-story- ... 202624173/ Quote: Disney/Pixar’s Toy Story 4 hit tracking this morning and box office analysts are already buzzing that the fourthquel has a great shot at setting a new opening record for an animation film, besting Incredibles 2‘s 3-day last year of $182.6M. A $200M opening is not out of the question, and in the wake of Disney pulling out all the stops with exhibition on Avengers: Endgame for an all-time domestic start of $357.1M, why shouldn’t we even question Toy Story 4‘s forecast. In the tracking number tea leaves, analysts see Toy Story 4 doing about 10% better than Incredibles 2. Toy Story 4 opens on June 21. Fandango and Atom Tickets are already reporting that the first day (Tuesday) of movie ticket presales for Toy Story 4 has already set a record for an animated movie and outsold Incredibles 2. On Fandango, Toy Story 4 outstripped the first 24 hour advance ticket sales of Pixar’s Finding Dory, as well as the live-action titles Beauty and the Beast, and Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2. On Atom Tickets, Toy Story 4 sold nearly 50% more tickets than their top 3 animated movie pre-sellers combined (for the same time period), which includes Incredibles 2, Ralph Breaks the Internet and Hotel Transylvania 3.

Author:	nghtvsn [ Thu May 30, 2019 12:35 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: June predictions
400 - Toy Story 4 225 - Secret Life of Pets 2 135 - Dark Phoenix 105 - MIB

Author:	Dil [ Thu May 30, 2019 3:32 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: June predictions
Toy Story 4 - $450-$500M Secret Life of Pets 2 - $170-$200M Dark Phoenix - $120-$130M MIB - $100-$110M

Author:	Shack [ Thu May 30, 2019 7:17 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: June predictions
June predictions http://wokj.worldofkj.com/toy-story-4-l ... miss-june/

Author:	Keyser Söze [ Thu May 30, 2019 7:30 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: June predictions
Shack wrote: June predictions http://wokj.worldofkj.com/toy-story-4-l ... miss-june/ Very crisply done. Just couple of suggestions can you put the movie grosses as a list in the bottom. That is how mojo used to do and makes it an easy read on Top 5/10 for the month. Also may be you can look at year to date till May and if June will help and put it further behind?

Author:	Keyser Söze [ Fri May 31, 2019 1:39 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: June predictions
After initial tracking TS4 at 125/390, box office pro increased it to 151/495. Not surprising after trades released tracking info yesterday.

Author:	lesterg [ Tue Jun 04, 2019 10:56 am ]
Post subject:	Re: June predictions
WB's marketing of Shaft has been interesting. it looks like there are some television spots on YouTube but other than a trailer and poster released way back in February it's been a quiet campaign. It's direct to Netflix everywhere else on 6/28, so maybe they're doing a minimal marketing spend?

Author:	Flava'd vs The World [ Wed Jun 05, 2019 2:10 am ]
Post subject:	Re: June predictions
Would these movies do better in a world where Disney/Fox saved Spider-Man and Aladdin to be their big summer 2020 movies? MIB opening over July 4th weekend feels right. Same with X-Men over Memorial Day. It wouldn’t make their trailers better but at least they don’t get completely lost in the shuffle. I’d like to see Crawl outgross every June live action movie.

Author:	Algren [ Thu May 30, 2019 9:43 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: June predictions
lol Toy Story 4 is not "long-awaited". Nobody asked for it. Nobody is waiting for it. Nobody cares about it. Flop waiting to happen. Watch it decline from the third.

Author:	Flava'd vs The World [ Thu May 30, 2019 9:52 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: June predictions
Releasing MIB and Shaft on the same day is foolish. Releasing Child’s Play and Annabelle 3 in back to back weeks was even more foolish.

Author:	publicenemy#1 [ Wed Jun 05, 2019 1:53 am ]
Post subject:	Re: June predictions
I'm sure by August we will get all these articles on why this summer box office was so down... probably cause of the shitty schedule. The last week seriously only has Annabelle and Yesterday? Yeesh. I think MIB is gonna bomb. Don't see it doing over 90m. I'll be surprised if Shaft does well.

Author:	Flava'd vs The World [ Fri Jun 14, 2019 7:04 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: June predictions
Next June: Wonder Woman 2 Candyman Pixar Movie Judd Apatow movie Lin Manuel miranda movie Top Gun 2 Now that is a balanced lineup that should encourage healthy grosses for all involved. So expect to see 2/3 thirsty franchise reboots added in here.

Author:	Flava'd vs The World [ Sat Jun 15, 2019 11:27 am ]
Post subject:	Re: June predictions
Well nothing is guaranteed but my point was that they are not opening against a bunch of other similar films, like MIB, Shaft, Pets, Chucky, etc... So there is room for non-Disney breakouts next year.

Author:	Shack [ Sat Jun 15, 2019 6:58 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: June predictions
A month like this could really use a Sandler, Ferrell of this generation

Author:	publicenemy#1 [ Sat Jun 15, 2019 7:01 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: June predictions
Think Booksmart should've opened this last weekend with Annabelle and Yesterday. Probably would've kept more screens for its first 3 weekends and made more. Oh well.

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