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 June predictions 
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Post June predictions
Toy Story 4 seems like by far the biggest. Which of Dark Phoenix, Secret Life of Pets 2 and MIB does the best, and which is the flop?

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Tue May 28, 2019 10:45 pm
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Post Re: June predictions
Toy Story 4 is the flop.


Tue May 28, 2019 11:14 pm
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Post Re: June predictions
I'm expecting a gross from highest to lowest in this order

Pets 2
Toy Story 4
MIB
Dark Phoenix


Wed May 29, 2019 12:26 am
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Post Re: June predictions
If you didn't have MIBI in your draft, that would be last.


Wed May 29, 2019 12:42 am
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Post Re: June predictions
Toy Story 4 in 6 hours has sold more than Pets 2 so far in its run. There is zero chance of Pets 2 to beat Toy Story 4. We will get industry tracking numbers this thursday for Toy Story 4. Pets 2 is tracking at 65m and in UK dropped 50% in its OW. if you include previews for 1st Pets movie, Pets 2 dropped 2/3. So expecting big drop for Pets 2. Toy Story could also drop but should have no issues beating pets 2.

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Wed May 29, 2019 1:08 am
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Post Re: June predictions
The difference is that nobody is expecting much from Pets 2, the quick fun sequel to a surprise hit that isn't beloved and did not linger long in the cultural memory bank. But Toy Story 4, coming from Pixar, the industry's darling animation studio, and following the huge successes of Toy Story 3 and Incredibles 2, is expected to do very nicely. But it won't.


Wed May 29, 2019 1:15 am
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Post Re: June predictions
Finding Dory and Incredibles 2 made 500-600 mil and neither of them looked that inspiring quality wise. I think Toy Story is more likely to go over 500 than under 300. Most likely scenario is around 400.

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Wed May 29, 2019 1:44 am
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Post Re: June predictions
Someone has forgotten how Dory actually performed.


Wed May 29, 2019 4:32 am
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Post Re: June predictions
June sucks. Not a single movie worth getting really excited about. Maybe Danny Boyle’s Yesterday will be a sleeper hit.

Pets - $55M/$160M
Dark Phoenix - $40M/$100M
MIB - $33M / $80M
Shaft - $30M / $80M
Toy Story 4 - $90M / $300M
Chucky - $22M / $50M
Annabelle 3 - $35M / $90M
Yesterday - $15M / $60M


Wed May 29, 2019 9:14 am
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Post Re: June predictions
https://ew.com/movies/2019/05/30/toy-st ... edibles-2/

Toy Story 4, the long-awaited Pixar sequel about the secret lives of toys, beat the ticket pre-sale record once held by Incredibles 2.

According to Fandango, the film, opening in theaters on June 21, is the new record-holder for the most first-day pre-sales for an animated title on the ticket-purchasing service. EW has reached out to Fandango regarding specific numbers for the pre-sales, but a release notes it’s more than the pre-sale numbers from last year’s Incredibles 2.

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Thu May 30, 2019 10:02 am
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Post Re: June predictions
stuffp wrote:
I'm expecting a gross from highest to lowest in this order

Pets 2
Toy Story 4


Algren wrote:
Toy Story 4 is the flop.


Flava'd vs The World wrote:
Toy Story 4 - $90M / $300M



God. Damn. Morons.

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Thu May 30, 2019 10:03 am
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Post Re: June predictions
https://deadline.com/2019/05/toy-story- ... 202624173/



Quote:
Disney/Pixar’s Toy Story 4 hit tracking this morning and box office analysts are already buzzing that the fourthquel has a great shot at setting a new opening record for an animation film, besting Incredibles 2‘s 3-day last year of $182.6M. A $200M opening is not out of the question, and in the wake of Disney pulling out all the stops with exhibition on Avengers: Endgame for an all-time domestic start of $357.1M, why shouldn’t we even question Toy Story 4‘s forecast. In the tracking number tea leaves, analysts see Toy Story 4 doing about 10% better than Incredibles 2. Toy Story 4 opens on June 21.



Fandango and Atom Tickets are already reporting that the first day (Tuesday) of movie ticket presales for Toy Story 4 has already set a record for an animated movie and outsold Incredibles 2.



On Fandango, Toy Story 4 outstripped the first 24 hour advance ticket sales of Pixar’s Finding Dory, as well as the live-action titles Beauty and the Beast, and Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2.



On Atom Tickets, Toy Story 4 sold nearly 50% more tickets than their top 3 animated movie pre-sellers combined (for the same time period), which includes Incredibles 2, Ralph Breaks the Internet and Hotel Transylvania 3.

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Thu May 30, 2019 11:12 am
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Post Re: June predictions
200m OW LETS FUCKING GOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

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Thu May 30, 2019 11:19 am
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Post Re: June predictions
400 - Toy Story 4
225 - Secret Life of Pets 2
135 - Dark Phoenix
105 - MIB

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Thu May 30, 2019 12:35 pm
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Post Re: June predictions
Toy Story 4 - $450-$500M
Secret Life of Pets 2 - $170-$200M
Dark Phoenix - $120-$130M
MIB - $100-$110M


Thu May 30, 2019 3:32 pm
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Post Re: June predictions
June predictions http://wokj.worldofkj.com/toy-story-4-l ... miss-june/

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Thu May 30, 2019 7:17 pm
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Post Re: June predictions


Very crisply done. Just couple of suggestions can you put the movie grosses as a list in the bottom. That is how mojo used to do and makes it an easy read on Top 5/10 for the month. Also may be you can look at year to date till May and if June will help and put it further behind?

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Thu May 30, 2019 7:30 pm
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Post Re: June predictions
lol Toy Story 4 is not "long-awaited". Nobody asked for it. Nobody is waiting for it. Nobody cares about it. Flop waiting to happen. Watch it decline from the third.


Thu May 30, 2019 9:43 pm
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Post Re: June predictions
Releasing MIB and Shaft on the same day is foolish. Releasing Child’s Play and Annabelle 3 in back to back weeks was even more foolish.


Thu May 30, 2019 9:52 pm
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Post Re: June predictions
After initial tracking TS4 at 125/390, box office pro increased it to 151/495. Not surprising after trades released tracking info yesterday.

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Fri May 31, 2019 1:39 pm
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Post Re: June predictions
WB's marketing of Shaft has been interesting. it looks like there are some television spots on YouTube but other than a trailer and poster released way back in February it's been a quiet campaign.

It's direct to Netflix everywhere else on 6/28, so maybe they're doing a minimal marketing spend?

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Tue Jun 04, 2019 10:56 am
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Post Re: June predictions
I'm sure by August we will get all these articles on why this summer box office was so down... probably cause of the shitty schedule.

The last week seriously only has Annabelle and Yesterday? Yeesh.

I think MIB is gonna bomb. Don't see it doing over 90m. I'll be surprised if Shaft does well.


Wed Jun 05, 2019 1:53 am
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Post Re: June predictions
Would these movies do better in a world where Disney/Fox saved Spider-Man and Aladdin to be their big summer 2020 movies? MIB opening over July 4th weekend feels right. Same with X-Men over Memorial Day. It wouldn’t make their trailers better but at least they don’t get completely lost in the shuffle.

I’d like to see Crawl outgross every June live action movie.


Wed Jun 05, 2019 2:10 am
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Post Re: June predictions
Dark Phoenix would suck regardless of the situation. MIB would do better but it wouldn’t magically become a 225m+ grosser in a less crowded environment.

The thing is though, TS4/Spider-Man/Lion King/H&S have the potential to be so big that they could make the macro summer numbers look pretty good. Those four movies alone could combine for $1.8B by Labor Day. That would be enough for the overall numbers to look pretty solid. And literally right after summer is over we have It Chp 2 opening which will give a massive boost to the BO.

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You're incredibly overrated and and if they made a Pixar film about you it would gross less than The Good Dinosaur.


Wed Jun 05, 2019 7:50 am
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Post Re: June predictions
Next June:

Wonder Woman 2
Candyman
Pixar Movie
Judd Apatow movie
Lin Manuel miranda movie
Top Gun 2

Now that is a balanced lineup that should encourage healthy grosses for all involved. So expect to see 2/3 thirsty franchise reboots added in here.


Fri Jun 14, 2019 7:04 pm
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