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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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 Re: May 24-27 predictions The difference is crazy people see the declining to run ads for Unplanned as "RAWR WE'RE BEING SILENCED! RAWR!" and go and support the film for... reasons?, and regular people see the declining to run ads for Booksmart as "that sucks, that's a stupid decision" and aren't really inclined to see the film more than they were.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Tue May 21, 2019 3:32 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: May 24-27 predictions Chippy wrote: The difference is crazy people see the declining to run ads for Unplanned as "RAWR WE'RE BEING SILENCED! RAWR!" and go and support the film for... reasons?, and regular people see the declining to run ads for Booksmart as "that sucks, that's a stupid decision" and aren't really inclined to see the film more than they were. The reviews for Booksmart are outstanding. It's the kind of film that should do well in theory, but UA distributing doesn't inspire confidence.
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Making Predictions Great Again!
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| Tue May 21, 2019 3:37 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 23775
Location: Classified
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Re: May 24-27 predictions It’s so difficult to sell a pure comedy these days. Someone is going to be offended no matter what and then someone will be offended by that person getting offended. It’s as much of a minefield as talking about politics.
Plus most blockbusters are funny these days so people can get their laughs from Marvel along with everything else.
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| Tue May 21, 2019 3:43 pm |
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j_forest23
Star Trek XI
Joined: Fri Aug 05, 2016 4:16 pm
Posts: 386
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Re: May 24-27 predictions I really hope Booksmart does well, saw it last Friday and loved it! Hate the notion that comedies aren’t doing well these days when they’re one of the best genres of film, thank god for Girls Trip or I’d be worried
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| Tue May 21, 2019 10:16 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: May 24-27 predictions I'll be surprised if Aladdin can even hit a $70m 3-day.
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Making Predictions Great Again!
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| Wed May 22, 2019 10:55 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 34876
Location: Minnesota
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Re: May 24-27 predictions 1. ALADDIN - 90.67 MILLION (New)
2. JOHN WICK: CHAPTER 3 - PARABELLUM - 25.568 MILLION (-55%)
3. AVENGERS: ENDGAME - 19.78 MILLION (-34%)
4. DETECTIVE PIKACHU - 16.069 MILLION (36%)
5. BRIGHTBURN - 12.827 MILLION (New)
6. A DOG'S JOURNEY - 6.9 MILLION (-14%)
7. BOOKSMART - 6.069 MILLION (New)
8. THE HUSTLE - 3.99 MILLION (-35%)
9. LONG SHOT - 2.4 MILLION (-28%)
10. THE INTRUDER - 2.249 MILLION (-44%)
11. THE SUN IS ALSO A STAR - 1.4 MILLION (-44%)
12. POMS - 1.024 MILLION (-53%)
13. UGLYDOLLS - $800,827 (-55%)
14. BREAKTHROUGH - $605,628 (-44%)
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| Wed May 22, 2019 2:24 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6166
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Re: May 24-27 predictions Rolling Thunder wrote: I'll be surprised if Aladdin can even hit a $70m 3-day. BO.com is predicting 75m over 4 days. That is around the final tracking that trades reported. Fandango ticket sales however are not bad. Wonder if reviews makes it front loaded.
_________________
The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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| Wed May 22, 2019 6:42 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32102
Location: the last free city
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Re: May 24-27 predictions Aladdin 105m 4-day (Disney Magic bitches)
John Wick 3 35m 4-day
Brightburn 25m 4-day
Endgame 23m 4-day
Detective Pikachu 18m 4-day
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Is it 2024 yet?
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| Wed May 22, 2019 7:44 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 23775
Location: Classified
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Re: May 24-27 predictions What the heck happened on Tuesday? Wick only up 13.5%, Pokemon ~10%, Avengers down 10%. Was Monday inflated by anything?
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| Wed May 22, 2019 11:33 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67039
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Re: May 24-27 predictions Flava'd vs The World wrote: What the heck happened on Tuesday? Wick only up 13.5%, Pokemon ~10%, Avengers down 10%. Was Monday inflated by anything? Monday was 520 Day, which in China (and I assume for Chinks in the US too) is a "love day". But I don't think that would have much (if any) effect on the US box office.
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| Wed May 22, 2019 11:39 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6166
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Re: May 24-27 predictions Flava'd vs The World wrote: What the heck happened on Tuesday? Wick only up 13.5%, Pokemon ~10%, Avengers down 10%. Was Monday inflated by anything? Holiday in Canada. According one of the folks at BOT with access to comscore, Endgame was super strong and was actually no: 1 in canada (even over the weekend).
_________________
The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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| Thu May 23, 2019 12:12 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67039
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Re: May 24-27 predictions Ah, good find. It was Victoria Day in Canada.
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| Thu May 23, 2019 12:40 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 18876
Location: San Diego
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Re: May 24-27 predictions Flava'd vs The World wrote: Should get near Solo #s but if reviews are positive it could swing it over $100M 3-day. Then again if it lands with a thud on rottentomatoes it reinforces the narrative this movie has had to deal with all along. This is the biggest moment for critics in a long time, maybe even more than Justice League.
<20%: $55M 3-day
50-70%: $75M
90%+: $90M Looks like Disney dodged a bullet again. I knew this movie was gonna pull a Bohemian Rhapsody; mediocre reviews but a crowdpleaser.
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| Mon May 27, 2019 1:52 am |
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