Old Disney $4 billion dom in 2019, New Disney $12 billion WW
Old Disney $4 billion domestic tracking in calendar year 2019 (Status: passed $1.01 billion or 25% as of April 29)
Reasons
- Strongest lineup ever for any studio in movie history
Captain Marvel, Dumbo, Penguins (Disneynature), Avengers: Endgame, Aladdin, Toy Story 4, The Lion King, Artemis Fowl, Maleficent: Mistress of Evil, Frozen 2, and Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
- Some films already known to be mega-successful: Captain Marvel and giga-successful Avengers: Endgame
Obstacles
- Disastrous tracking from 2018 films: Mary Poppins Returns, Ralph Breaks the Internet, and The Nutcracker and the Four Realms have just $90 million combined in 2019
- One film was already flopped: Dumbo and documentary film Penguins is not helping much
- Cutoff point of December 31, 2019 so even if Frozen 2 and Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker have good legs in 2020, they'll not be counted.
- Very high goal, almost a billion or 30% higher than Disney's highest point last year of $3,092.3 billion.
- Since New Disney also has to distribute films transferred from Fox, the marketing of some Disney films might be 'mercy' to Fox films (like Dark Phoenix and The New Mutants) and hurt Old Disney box office revenue.
New Disney $12 billion Worldwide tracking in calendar year 2019 (Status: passed $3 billion according to ERCBoxOffice tweet on April 30, no date given)
- Previous record is $7.6 billion also by Disney in 2016. I'd love to use Old Disney but it's hard to get the exact worldwide number as box office website is not reliable in worldwide data and Disney will definitely combine eleven films transferred from Fox as announced in Cinemacon in its year-end box office report. They're Breakthrough, Tolkien, Dark Phoenix, Ad Astra, Stuber, The New Mutants, Spies in Disguise, The Art of Racing in the Rain, The Woman in the Window, Ford v Ferrari, and Call of the Wild.
- If Old Disney Worldwide exact number is somehow available, the bar will be $10 billion, which I think is harder to achieve but $9 billion is definitely too easy.