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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18878 Location: San Diego
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April 5-7 predictions
Shazam! - 4,100+ Pet Sematary - 3,400 The Best of Enemies - 1,600+
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Fri Mar 29, 2019 9:55 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18878 Location: San Diego
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Re: April 5-7 predictions
Not sure how I feel regarding how big Shazam will open. Most people I've talked to either have never heard of it or think it looks dumb. WoM will be great though so I'm expecting strong legs, even with Endgame. Anything around the first Ant-Man would be fine, 60m+ is ideal/good. Should be a strong weekend though.
Shazam! - 54 Pet Sematary - 32 The Best of Enemies - 6
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Fri Mar 29, 2019 9:57 pm |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm Posts: 6665
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Re: April 5-7 predictions
Shazam! - 56 Pet Sematary - 23 The Best of Enemies - 7
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Sat Mar 30, 2019 8:26 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: April 5-7 predictions
Only two King films have opened over $20m (1408 barely cracked it) and I doubt Pet Sematary will despite the generous theater count. Marketing has been a mixed bag that doesn't seem to be connecting, especially with the trailer in theaters.
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Sat Mar 30, 2019 12:33 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18878 Location: San Diego
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Re: April 5-7 predictions
Endgame tickets are supposedly going on sale Tuesday morning.
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Sat Mar 30, 2019 3:26 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: April 5-7 predictions
Strong reviews will help PS. I'm definitely reminded of the Evil Dead remake which had the exact same release date. But that felt like it had more hype. Can't see it going over 30 Million but would love to be wrong. Reviews have me really pumped for it.
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Sat Mar 30, 2019 3:26 pm |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm Posts: 6665
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Re: April 5-7 predictions
Sales for Shazam is soft on Fandango today. It is a little behind Dumbo's numbers from last Saturday.
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Sat Mar 30, 2019 4:28 pm |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3129
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Re: April 5-7 predictions
Pet Sematary is clocking in at 80%+ rotten tomatoes. Did not expect that.
$33M - Pet Sematary $55M - Shazam
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
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Sat Mar 30, 2019 4:43 pm |
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Steve
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:09 pm Posts: 1796
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Re: April 5-7 predictions
I could see both openers in the $20-40m range.
Cemetary: $24m Shazam?: $36m
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Sat Mar 30, 2019 4:54 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: April 5-7 predictions
i.hope wrote: Sales for Shazam is soft on Fandango today. It is a little behind Dumbo's numbers from last Saturday. That is concerning in this age for a superhero movie. The reviews definitely help for movies that people have an existing interest to watch but the trailers for Shazam! aren't great enough to generate interest for adults(it looks too childish) though maybe teens might like it (also too childish for them IMO). The walk-ups will be great but I'm unsure of a big OW plus Avengers ticket sales might take away some buzz from it.
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Sat Mar 30, 2019 4:56 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22680 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: April 5-7 predictions
Shazam will come in below $50m OW, as low as $35m is possible also unless it gains major traction this week.
It needed a better release date.
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Sat Mar 30, 2019 11:19 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: April 5-7 predictions
Shazam is really coming out at a bad time. I'm really looking forward to seeing it this week, but it definitely feels like its being overshadowed by Endgame and with tickets for that going on sale this week its only going to look worse. I still have a hard time seeing it go sub $40M though, but I can see Pet Sematary being the real story this weekend, especially if it breaks $30M. I haven't seen much advertising for The Best of Enemies which is a shame, because it looks pretty good.
Shazam - 57 Pet Sematary - 28 The Best of Enemies - 6
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Sun Mar 31, 2019 12:27 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: April 5-7 predictions
Shazam is a tough one for me. It's got DCEU going for it, along with good reviews and a generous theater estimate. On the other hand, it looks a bit silly and not a character everyone is familiar with. I'd be surprised if opens above Ant-Man and I fully expect lower.
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Mon Apr 01, 2019 4:01 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67043
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Re: April 5-7 predictions
Jack Sparrow wrote: Pet Semetary is also hard to pin down given King's adaptation history but given the reviews and theater count and horror movies being hot in the market I'd say $20m. Nothing says hot in the market like a whopping $20m opening. And regarding Shazam, surely it has way more of a hip vibe to it than Dumbo, which should help it to open with more. And surely it will target teenagers, who are more likely to buy tickets closer to the time they see a film (which means early tracking/MT etc. data will be useless).
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Tue Apr 02, 2019 4:58 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23782 Location: Classified
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Re: April 5-7 predictions
Shazam still seems like it’d be a better fit for the CW. I’ll give it $47M though, powered by families and DC stans, but very little crossover.
Stephen King is In right now as are Cats. Zombies are out, but two out of three ain’t band. $35M
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Tue Apr 02, 2019 10:36 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 38006
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Re: April 5-7 predictions
The Shazam marketing confused me. He turns into Shazam right? So why is there still a kid beside him telling him what to do, is that just imaginary?
The film is also in a weird zone where it feels like it's toying with being either a kids movie or a full blown parody/comedy, but isn't committed to either
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Tue Apr 02, 2019 11:16 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23782 Location: Classified
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Re: April 5-7 predictions
Shack wrote: The Shazam marketing confused me. He turns into Shazam right? So why is there still a kid beside him telling him what to do, is that just imaginary? That’s his guy-in-the-chair. Like Felicity or Cisco. I saw an ad for Shazam: “its the best superhero movie .. since last month” then it cuts to Levy saying “what???” So they are definitely going for those Deadpool bucks now, but its probably too late to resell the movie as a farce.
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Tue Apr 02, 2019 11:18 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 38006
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Re: April 5-7 predictions
Flava'd vs The World wrote: That’s his guy-in-the-chair. Like Felicity or Cisco.
Yea after rewatching it I get it now, it's his friend he just looks like the original Billy
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Tue Apr 02, 2019 1:34 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67043
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Re: April 5-7 predictions
Shack wrote: The Shazam marketing confused me. He turns into Shazam right? So why is there still a kid beside him telling him what to do, is that just imaginary? A kid has a best friend. A kid turns into Shazam. Best friend is still best friend.
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Tue Apr 02, 2019 8:51 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: April 5-7 predictions
1. SHAZAM! - 54.5 MILLION (New) 2. PET SEMATARY - 28.158 MILLION (New) 3. DUMBO - 22.075 MILLION (-52%) 4. US - 14.95 MILLION (-55%) 5. CAPTAIN MARVEL - 10.5 MILLION (-49%) 6. THE BEST OF ENEMIES - 7.42 MILLION (New) 7. UNPLANNED - 5.55 MILLION (-13%) 8. FIVE FEET APART - 4.15 MILLION (-33%) 9. HOW TO TRAIN YOUR DRAGON: THE HIDDEN WORLD - 3.19 MILLION (-27%) 10. WONDER PARK - 3.056 MILLION (-39%) 11. HOTEL MUMBAI - 1.885 MILLION (-41%) 12. MADEA'S FAMILY FUNERAL - 1.392 MILLION (-48%)
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Wed Apr 03, 2019 1:30 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: April 5-7 predictions
Curious how Shazam is selling. It feels lost in the dark shadow of Avengers hype.
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
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Wed Apr 03, 2019 1:34 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: April 5-7 predictions
Rolling Thunder wrote: Curious how Shazam is selling. It feels lost in the dark shadow of Avengers hype. Just wait until next week! (I'm really, really hoping Shazam can get over $60 mil OW, but right now I'm just hoping for over $50 mil)
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Wed Apr 03, 2019 3:38 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18878 Location: San Diego
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Re: April 5-7 predictions
Previews start at 4pm tomorrow.
I think Shazam does 45-50m. There just hasn't been momentum for it to go higher [Endgame tickets on Tuesday really didn't help] even with the great reviews. Hopefully it does well the next couple weeks. Heck, it could even have a good hold Endgame weekend with sellouts.
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Wed Apr 03, 2019 9:14 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: April 5-7 predictions
Yeah a $40-$50M opening sounds about right for Shazam, but even then the movie is still a pretty big success with only a $80-$90M budget. It just feels somewhat underwhelming because of the brand name behind it.
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Wed Apr 03, 2019 9:50 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6139 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: April 5-7 predictions
Shazam!: $38M
Pet Sematary: $21M
Both have terrible release dates coming out soon after mega-openers in their respective genres.
_________________ .
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Wed Apr 03, 2019 11:12 pm |
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