Author |
Message |
Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
|
Re: Jordan Peele's Us - Prediction Thread
Algren wrote: I'm not talking opening weekend. Only fools care about that. Its total will be big. Great for only his second feature. No difficult second album. Great stuff. Oh, absolutely. Glad to see Hollywood still has some genuine talent in the ranks.
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
|
Mon Mar 18, 2019 9:42 am |
|
|
nghtvsn
Extraordinary
Joined: Fri Mar 11, 2005 7:13 pm Posts: 11015 Location: Warren Theatre Oklahoma
|
Re: Jordan Peele's Us - Prediction Thread
45 opening 145 domestic 230 overall
_________________ 2009 World of KJ Fantasy Football World Champion Team MVP : Peyton Manning : Record 11-5 : Points 2669.00 [b]FREE KORRGAN 45TH PRESIDENT OF THE U.S.A. DONALD J. TRUMP #MAGA #KAG! 10,000 post achieved on - Posted: Wed May 16, 2018 7:49 pm
|
Mon Mar 18, 2019 9:49 am |
|
|
i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm Posts: 6665
|
Re: Jordan Peele's Us - Prediction Thread
i.hope wrote: It needs to have strong talking points to leg out to over $200m.
For now, $54m/$181m I think I was wrong. $200m+ is likely. $95m/$243m
|
Mon Mar 18, 2019 7:27 pm |
|
|
publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18870 Location: San Diego
|
Re: Jordan Peele's Us - Prediction Thread
Ugh, would love if this does 90m+.
|
Mon Mar 18, 2019 8:53 pm |
|
|
lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3129
|
Re: Jordan Peele's Us - Prediction Thread
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
|
Thu Mar 21, 2019 11:09 am |
|
|
Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
|
Re: Jordan Peele's Us - Prediction Thread
It's also getting a last minute IMAX release for a week, which is encouraging. Not sure what to make of these presales - can't say I expected anything like that.
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
|
Thu Mar 21, 2019 11:51 am |
|
|
nghtvsn
Extraordinary
Joined: Fri Mar 11, 2005 7:13 pm Posts: 11015 Location: Warren Theatre Oklahoma
|
Re: Jordan Peele's Us - Prediction Thread
100 MILLION?
Twilight Zone is gonna get nice viewership if that's the case. I know I'm gonna sub just for a bit so I can watch some of those episodes but 100 Million? I'd be surprised.
_________________ 2009 World of KJ Fantasy Football World Champion Team MVP : Peyton Manning : Record 11-5 : Points 2669.00 [b]FREE KORRGAN 45TH PRESIDENT OF THE U.S.A. DONALD J. TRUMP #MAGA #KAG! 10,000 post achieved on - Posted: Wed May 16, 2018 7:49 pm
|
Thu Mar 21, 2019 12:13 pm |
|
|
Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
|
Re: Jordan Peele's Us - Prediction Thread
Fandango numbers are very unreliable. I don't buy those but this will open HUGE. $70m is the floor.
|
Thu Mar 21, 2019 6:28 pm |
|
|
Alex Y.
Top Poster
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 4:47 pm Posts: 5705
|
Re: Jordan Peele's Us - Prediction Thread
Count me in the $100m OW club.
|
Thu Mar 21, 2019 10:39 pm |
|
|
lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3129
|
Re: Jordan Peele's Us - Prediction Thread
https://deadline.com/2019/03/us-jordan- ... 202580617/Presales suggested $100m+ but previews more like $50-$60m. Confusing. Will settle for somewhere in the middle.
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
|
Thu Mar 21, 2019 11:01 pm |
|
|
Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67028
|
Re: Jordan Peele's Us - Prediction Thread
No way $100m opening happens. You guys are again setting it up for disappointment.
|
Thu Mar 21, 2019 11:10 pm |
|
|
Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
|
Re: Jordan Peele's Us - Prediction Thread
BOM is predicting $51m for this with the potential of $60m. They are sometimes off but mostly not by 100%. US is exactly the type of movies that BOM is off on their predictions, its definitely getting past $60m but I am still unsure on $100m for this.
|
Thu Mar 21, 2019 11:12 pm |
|
|
Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
|
Re: Jordan Peele's Us - Prediction Thread
lilmac wrote: https://deadline.com/2019/03/us-jordan-peele-weekend-box-office-1202580617/
Presales suggested $100m+ but previews more like $50-$60m. Confusing. Will settle for somewhere in the middle. It's still somewhat early, so those numbers can definitely go up, but even if this movie only does $50-$60M OW that should still be considered a HUGE success IMO. I know its easy to get carried away with pre-sales, but this is why they aren't always reliable. There is so much hype around this flick, especially with Peele coming fresh off the success of Get Out, and that is no doubt driving those advance ticket sales.
|
Thu Mar 21, 2019 11:29 pm |
|
|
lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3129
|
Re: Jordan Peele's Us - Prediction Thread
Aren’t presales as a function of hype and anticipation apply here as for Endgame, Zootopia, Thor Ragnorak, or any other film? What’s different here? Why are some films more preloaded (ticket sales) than others? Open question.
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
|
Fri Mar 22, 2019 1:03 am |
|
|
MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22675 Location: Melbourne Australia
|
Re: Jordan Peele's Us - Prediction Thread
I think the $70m Halloween/Venom OW zone would be amazing. $100m is a big ask even in this "go big or go home" BO era.
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
|
Fri Mar 22, 2019 1:06 am |
|
|
Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
|
Re: Jordan Peele's Us - Prediction Thread
lilmac wrote: Aren’t presales as a function of hype and anticipation apply here as for Endgame, Zootopia, Thor Ragnorak, or any other film? What’s different here? Why are some films more preloaded (ticket sales) than others? Open question. Its got to do with the type of audience a movie is attracting. Often time you see that a movie that attracts female demograph are more pre-sales heavy. MCU movies attract everyone at this point so if their movies are showing bigger pre-sales number then it means the movie is going to explode. US falls under "horror" category or possibly even fan driven event (after Get Out), both of which are traditionally very frontloaded and/or presales heavy. I feel recently the movies targeting black audience are pre-sales heavy as well but there hasn't been as many standalone(original or all-black, BP doesn't count) HUGE openers for them to provide the right data.
|
Fri Mar 22, 2019 1:45 am |
|
|
lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3129
|
Re: Jordan Peele's Us - Prediction Thread
Very helpful thank you.
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
|
Fri Mar 22, 2019 9:47 am |
|
|
Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
|
Re: Jordan Peele's Us - Prediction Thread
Looks likely to double Get Out's OW, which is an incredible feat. Anecdotal WOM last night wasn't universally stellar but no reason to believe it will impact the first week.
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
|
Fri Mar 22, 2019 9:55 am |
|
|