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| March 15-17 predictions http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=85480 |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Fri Mar 08, 2019 8:47 pm ] |
| Post subject: | March 15-17 predictions |
Wonder Park - 3,500 Five Feet Apart - 2,600 Captive State - 2,200 |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Fri Mar 08, 2019 8:49 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: March 15-17 predictions |
Wonder Park looks so blah. I can't imagine it doing more than low teens. Not sure if Cole Sprouse can generate movie tickets but I guess we'll see. Wonder Park - 12 Five Feet Apart - 12 Captive State - a little |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Sun Mar 10, 2019 3:47 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: March 15-17 predictions |
Gonna go with a slightly bigger drop than IW for Captain Marvel, 56% drop, $67.3m. |
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| Author: | Magic Mike [ Mon Mar 11, 2019 5:28 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: March 15-17 predictions |
WONDER PARK - 11.35 Million FIVE FEET APART - 5.8 Million CAPTIVE STATE - 2.77 Million |
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| Author: | Rev [ Mon Mar 11, 2019 5:54 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: March 15-17 predictions |
Wonder Park 10m Five Feet Apart - 6m Captive State - 4m |
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| Author: | Algren [ Mon Mar 11, 2019 6:36 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: March 15-17 predictions |
Just saw a Captive State TV spot and it's different than what I remember from the trailer. They're definitely targeting the black demo now. Everything's all "let's get 'em dawg" instead of what I remember being a cool looking sci-fi movie. |
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| Author: | Magic Mike [ Wed Mar 13, 2019 2:55 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: March 15-17 predictions |
1. CAPTAIN MARVEL - 67.5 MILLION (-56%) 2. WONDER PARK - 10.597 MILLION (New) 3. HOW TO TRAIN YOUR DRAGON: THE HIDDEN WORLD - 8.22 MILLION (-44%) 4. FIVE FEET APART - 7.82 MILLION (New) 5. A MADEA FAMILY FUNERAL - 6.1 MILLION (-51%) 6. NO MANCHES FRIDA 2 - 2.886 MILLION (New) 7. CAPTIVE STATE - 2.77 MILLION (New) 8. LEGO MOVIE 2: THE SECOND PART - 2.088 MILLION (-46%) 9. ALITA: BATTLE ANGEL - 1.5 MILLION (-53%) 10. GREEN BOOK - 1.255 MILLION (-50%) 11. ISN'T IT ROMANTIC - 1.1 MILLION (-51%) 12. FIGHTING WITH MY FAMILY - $960,964 (-56%) 13. GRETA - $897,256 (-59%) Increased my prediction for Five Feet Apart. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Wed Mar 13, 2019 11:34 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: March 15-17 predictions |
I think Captain Marvel drops 60%. I think WOM is just okay, and there seems to have been significant rush for it. The only thing helping it avoid that IMO is lack of a big opener. |
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| Author: | lilmac [ Fri Mar 15, 2019 3:04 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: March 15-17 predictions |
No way WOM (I’m talking true WOM) is good enough to withstand a steep drop. I am predicting mid $60s. |
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| Author: | Algren [ Fri Mar 15, 2019 8:11 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: March 15-17 predictions |
Everyone I know that's seen it has criticised it. |
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| Author: | Rolling Thunder [ Fri Mar 15, 2019 12:04 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: March 15-17 predictions |
CM actually increased 8% yesterday. Surprising. |
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| Author: | Rolling Thunder [ Fri Mar 15, 2019 12:24 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: March 15-17 predictions |
Wonder Park is poorly reviewed. Too bad, it looked cute for what it is. |
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| Author: | SolC9 [ Fri Mar 15, 2019 3:39 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: March 15-17 predictions |
Rolling Thunder wrote: CM actually increased 8% yesterday. Surprising. I've randomly asked people what they thought of Captain Marvel after their shows. Two people were meh on it. Around 10 liked it. Five loved it. WOM will be better than people realize. Supporting this is the continued increase in RT audience score and IMDB score after it's initial scores, which usually trend down, not up, as time goes on. Whether it's reflected in box office remains to be seen. Any drop under 60% is fine, if it's drop is less than 55% that would be very good considering the size of the opening. |
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| Author: | Dil [ Fri Mar 15, 2019 9:58 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: March 15-17 predictions |
Yeah CM is going to hold really well, but Wonder Park possible opening to $20M+ is a pretty big surprise IMO. I know I went high for it in the Spring Contest, but I had little to no faith in it after seeing so little marketing for it and of course the terrible reviews. I never saw any marketing for Captive State and Five Feet Apart either. |
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| Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Sat Mar 16, 2019 12:07 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: March 15-17 predictions |
$18-19M Friday for Captain Marvel. Should get close to $70M weekend with that. |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Sat Mar 16, 2019 12:33 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: March 15-17 predictions |
The first THG with $18.6m Friday (with a much lower Thursday) did $58m second weekend. Yes CM will skew more families still $70m is not yet locked with that number. |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Sat Mar 16, 2019 11:28 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: March 15-17 predictions |
I knew Five Feet Apart would do 10m+. Cole Sprouse's Riverdale fans showed up, he has a big following online. |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Tue Mar 19, 2019 2:44 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: March 15-17 predictions |
publicenemy#1 wrote: Gonna go with a slightly bigger drop than IW for Captain Marvel, 56% drop, $67.3m. Damn, .7 off lol |
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