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March predictions
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=85420
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Author:  Shack [ Sat Feb 23, 2019 12:01 am ]
Post subject:  March predictions

Winner between Captain Marvel, Us, and Dumbo? What else can do well - Wonder Park?

Author:  Flava'd vs The World [ Sat Feb 23, 2019 12:17 am ]
Post subject:  Re: March predictions

Captain Marvel looks fantastic, but I don’t see it doing above the MCU average ala Black Panther. Women don’t support each other as a community like black people do. See the 2016 election. $105M (D won’t let it fall under WW if it’s close) / $300M.

Us is a huge hit too. Will challenge Halloween for second biggest horror opening.

Dumbo is too sad to breakout. Wonder Park is too cheesy. Captive State should have opened next weekend wide. Will be tough for those outside the top two.

Author:  Algren [ Sat Feb 23, 2019 12:20 am ]
Post subject:  Re: March predictions

I have all three in my draft so I'll go #1 and stay there for a while.

Author:  zwackerm [ Sat Feb 23, 2019 12:34 am ]
Post subject:  Re: March predictions

I think Dumbo will open moderately like 40-50m but haveblegs.

Author:  publicenemy#1 [ Sat Feb 23, 2019 1:58 am ]
Post subject:  Re: March predictions

I see Captain Marvel doing first Hunger Games numbers. Opening in the 150s.

Us is gonna be huge. $200m+

I see Dumbo finishing in the high 100's.

Author:  Shack [ Sat Feb 23, 2019 8:46 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: March predictions

Unplanned - the next God's Not Dead?

Author:  Barrabás [ Sat Feb 23, 2019 9:24 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: March predictions

Captain Marvel looks basic as hell, Marvel-by-the-numbers. I think this is where the decline starts. I see an OW in the high 50s to mid 60s and a total under $180m.

Dumbo should do well but it doesn't seem to have the same event status as the last few Disney live action remakes.

Us has an intriguing premise and it's great to see Lupita finally given a real star vehicle. I see an OW over $30m.

Author:  MadGez [ Sun Feb 24, 2019 12:40 am ]
Post subject:  Re: March predictions

publicenemy#1 wrote:
I see Captain Marvel doing first Hunger Games numbers. Opening in the 150s.

Us is gonna be huge. $200m+

I see Dumbo finishing in the high 100's.


This sounds about right.

Captain Marvel - $380-$410m
Us - $180-$210m
Dumbo - $175-$225m

Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Sun Feb 24, 2019 1:09 am ]
Post subject:  Re: March predictions

Barrabás wrote:
Captain Marvel looks basic as hell, Marvel-by-the-numbers. I think this is where the decline starts.I see an OW in the high 50s to mid 60s and a total under $180m.

Dumbo should do well but it doesn't seem to have the same event status as the last few Disney live action remakes.

Us has an intriguing premise and it's great to see Lupita finally given a real star vehicle. I see an OW over $30m.


Let's take a note of this. There is a chance of decline after Avengers 4 though not immediately with Spidey sequel. Maybe next year. Captain Marvel in this market condition won't do bad. There is a need to big tentpole and it fits the bill perfectly.

Author:  Algren [ Sun Feb 24, 2019 1:12 am ]
Post subject:  Re: March predictions

With every MCU film, someone says it is the start of their decline. And each time someone is wrong.

Author:  Flava'd vs The World [ Sun Feb 24, 2019 1:39 am ]
Post subject:  Re: March predictions

It might underwhelm just because people don't care about prequels. Decline though? Hell no. Some no name Marvel character will still make $300M+ within the next two years.

Author:  Magic Mike [ Sun Feb 24, 2019 3:37 am ]
Post subject:  Re: March predictions

Shack wrote:
Unplanned - the next God's Not Dead?


Doubtful. Especially not with an R rating.

Author:  Shack [ Sun Feb 24, 2019 11:06 am ]
Post subject:  Re: March predictions

March preview: http://wokj.worldofkj.com/captain-marve ... -in-march/

Author:  stuffp [ Sun Feb 24, 2019 11:36 am ]
Post subject:  Re: March predictions

Shack wrote:
Winner between Captain Marvel, Us, and Dumbo?

Dumbo

Shack wrote:
What else can do well?

Trading Paint (Travolta's Driven)

Image

Author:  Dil [ Sun Feb 24, 2019 12:57 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: March predictions

Lol Captain Marvel is not going to flop. With how dead the box office has been for the past two months everything has pretty much been lined up for it to succeed and over perform big time. Also, if the early reactions are anything to go by its going to be a HUGE crowdpleaser just like most Marvel films end up being. I would not be surprised if it pulled a mini BP and grossed $400-$500M domestic, but its a bit too early to tell.

Us should be huge too considering the amount of marketing I have been seeing for it since December. Universal, is obviously very confident in it. Wish I could say the same for Dumbo, but I honestly have no idea what to expect from it anymore. It could go either way between going over $200M or sub $150M IMO.

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