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 Februrary 8-10 predictions 
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Extraordinary
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Post Februrary 8-10 predictions
Lego Movie 2 - 4,100+
What Men Want - 2,800
The Prodigy - 2,500
Cold Pursuit - 2,500


Mon Feb 04, 2019 8:34 pm
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: Februrary 8-10 predictions
Lego Movie 2 - 48
What Men Want - 15
Cold Pursuit - 8
The Prodigy - 7

It'll be interesting to see if that Neeson article that came out today will affect Cold Pursuit.


Mon Feb 04, 2019 8:36 pm
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Defeats all expectations
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Post Re: Februrary 8-10 predictions
I still maintain that What Men Want will surprise and make close to $30m OW. I have not seen much advertising for it though.

The Prodigy might upset Cold Pursuit, which looks too European to do well.


Mon Feb 04, 2019 8:38 pm
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Orphan

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Post Re: Februrary 8-10 predictions
Will be seeing The Prodigy and Cold Pursuit. Prodigy's more recent marketing is far more promising than the initial teaser I saw a while back. Cold Pursuit looks entertaining in the way most Neeson action movies are.


Mon Feb 04, 2019 8:42 pm
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Post Re: Februrary 8-10 predictions
Lego Movie 2 - 52
What Men Want - 20
Cold Pursuit - 12
The Prodigy - 6


Mon Feb 04, 2019 10:21 pm
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Post Re: Februrary 8-10 predictions
1. LEGO MOVIE 2 - 57.2 MILLION (New)
2. WHAT MEN WANT - 28.7 MILLION (New)
3. COLD PURSUIT - 10.014 MILLION (New)
4. THE PRODIGY - 6.25 MILLION (New)
5. THE UPSIDE - 6.248 MILLION (-28%)
6. GLASS - 5.729 MILLION (-40%)
7. GREEN BOOK - 3.956 MILLION (-9%)
8. MISS BALA - 3.569 MILLION (-48%)
9. AQUAMAN - 3.22 MILLION (-34%)
10. SPIDER-MAN: INTO THE SPIDER-VERSE - 2.456 MILLION (-46%)
11. A DOG'S WAY HOME - 1.988 MILLION (-45%)
12. THE KID WHO WOULD BE KING - 1.839 MILLION (-56.7%)
13. ESCAPE ROOM - 1.779 MILLION (-39%)
14. BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY - 1.218 MILLION (-33%)
15. MARY POPPINS RETURNS - 1.167 MILLION (-42.7%)


Last edited by Magic Mike on Fri Feb 08, 2019 2:18 am, edited 2 times in total.



Tue Feb 05, 2019 2:12 am
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Post Re: Februrary 8-10 predictions
Why is Cold Pursuit projected so much lower than The Commuter?


Tue Feb 05, 2019 2:51 am
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Devil's Advocate
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Post Re: Februrary 8-10 predictions
Is the Prodigy going that low? I thought possessed kids was easy money and it has the most viewed trailer of anything in February I believe

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Tue Feb 05, 2019 3:35 am
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Post Re: Februrary 8-10 predictions
Lego Movie 2 - 55m
What Men Want - 26m
Cold Pursuit - 16m
The Prodigy - 14m

I think it will be one of those weekends where all films fire up and do well. Reasonably common for early February too.

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Tue Feb 05, 2019 8:46 am
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Post Re: Februrary 8-10 predictions
Shack wrote:
Is the Prodigy going that low? I thought possessed kids was easy money and it has the most viewed trailer of anything in February I believe


Orion doesn't have a track record for big openings. I hope it does well, though.

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Tue Feb 05, 2019 9:36 am
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Post Re: Februrary 8-10 predictions
Flava'd vs The World wrote:
Why is Cold Pursuit projected so much lower than The Commuter?


Commuter was over a holiday weekend and actually looked somewhat different for a Neeson movie in that it wasn't really a revenge movie. I'd even argue that Vera Farmiga added a little extra appeal. His movies have mostly been opening in the same range for a while now. But Cold Pursuit is also opening in the wake of his very controversial interview that everyone is talking about. I feel that will shave 1-2 Million off what it may have opened to otherwise. Great reviews will help to counter it though.


Tue Feb 05, 2019 3:36 pm
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Post Re: Februrary 8-10 predictions
I’ve heard The Prodigy has a strange final act/ending that will make or break the film for some people as well as financially so the Cinemascore and box office should be interesting, I’m curious now and may see it tomorrow night


Thu Feb 07, 2019 1:23 am
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Post Re: Februrary 8-10 predictions
j_forest23 wrote:
I’ve heard The Prodigy has a strange final act/ending that will make or break the film for some people as well as financially so the Cinemascore and box office should be interesting, I’m curious now and may see it tomorrow night


I know someone who saw it and was raving about the ending. Definitely makes me even more curious.


Thu Feb 07, 2019 2:21 am
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Post Re: Februrary 8-10 predictions
Will the Neeson controversy really have any impact on Cold Pursuit? It still looks like a solid film that will attract an older demo.

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Thu Feb 07, 2019 11:38 am
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Post Re: Februrary 8-10 predictions
Rolling Thunder wrote:
Will the Neeson controversy really have any impact on Cold Pursuit? It still looks like a solid film that will attract an older demo.


Don't think it will have much impact. Not many people draw a connection between his off comments and the film. And he is not the kind of celebrities that people usually pay attention to when they talk. His comments are a lot to unpack. And he did a damage control interview to dilute the offensiveness. So not many people pay enough attention to impact the box office.


Thu Feb 07, 2019 4:07 pm
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Post Re: Februrary 8-10 predictions
The metacritic score has dropped by ten points since the interview. So thats something.


Thu Feb 07, 2019 9:32 pm
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Post Re: Februrary 8-10 predictions
It will have an effect. We know that the common man is not very intelligent. They hate thinking of life as being complicated. They like right and wrong, yes and no, good and bad, with no grey areas at all. So when the headlines are "Liam Neeson, Racist", people will label him bad and look for a way to show their dissatisfaction. Cold Pursuit will be the victim here.


Thu Feb 07, 2019 10:10 pm
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Post Re: Februrary 8-10 predictions
Liam Neeson is a huge liberal lefty, excuses will be made. Mel Gibson he is not.


Thu Feb 07, 2019 10:12 pm
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Post Re: Februrary 8-10 predictions
zwackerm wrote:
Liam Neeson is a huge liberal lefty, excuses will be made. Mel Gibson he is not.


I mean who is making excuses for him? You can't really. But I'll still watch a movie with him if it looks good and I'll still watch a movie with Mel Gibson if it looks good. Clint Eastwood as well. I hate his politics but he has made some great movies and I'll continue to watch the ones I find appealing. There's really nobody I can't say that about. I don't know how many people will generally boycott a movie over something like that. Unless you're Woody Allen. Which is also bullshit IMO. Now he probably is truly done for the most part.

Anyway his comments won't help and it could make it harder for him to find work in the future. But I don't think it will damage Cold Pursuit all that much.


Thu Feb 07, 2019 11:07 pm
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Post Re: Februrary 8-10 predictions
Algren wrote:
So when the headlines are "Liam Neeson, Racist", people will label him bad and look for a way to show their dissatisfaction. Cold Pursuit will be the victim here.


That'd be a way better "revenge" than going out in black areas to look to hurt a random someone.


Thu Feb 07, 2019 11:10 pm
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Post Re: Februrary 8-10 predictions
zwackerm wrote:
Liam Neeson is a huge liberal lefty, excuses will be made. Mel Gibson he is not.


lol. Yes, that is right. But nobody is suggesting that Liam Neeson will be banished from the business for a decade. Just that his movie that comes out in the same week as his racist controversy will be affected because of it, which it will.

Mel Gibson is literally at the other end of the spectrum. You should have chosen someone a bit closer to make your point.


Thu Feb 07, 2019 11:51 pm
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Post Re: Februrary 8-10 predictions
Lego Movie 2 - 46
What Men Want - 27.5
Cold Pursuit - 12
The Prodigy - 6


Fri Feb 08, 2019 2:43 am
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Post Re: Februrary 8-10 predictions
$1.5m for Lego 2 seems a bit soft. Could miss Lego Batman with that.

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Fri Feb 08, 2019 11:34 am
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Post Re: Februrary 8-10 predictions
Lego 2 was surely going to miss Lego Batman. I still don't think $150m will be easy for this.


Fri Feb 08, 2019 1:16 pm
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