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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67000
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Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest 2019 - Pts Update (Feb 3)
It is being heavily pushed on YouTube, FYI. Almost every other ad I get is for it.
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Sun Feb 10, 2019 2:33 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34875 Location: Minnesota
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Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest 2019 - Pts Update (Feb 3)
They did that with The Prodigy too and it didn't work out so well. Not that I think it will disappoint like that.
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Sun Feb 10, 2019 3:11 am |
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Omni
The Antichrist
Joined: Thu Nov 30, 2006 8:04 am Posts: 1742 Location: Calisota
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Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest 2019 - Pts Update (Feb 3)
Okay, with a 34M OW, 100 millions will definitely happen for LM2.
_________________
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Sun Feb 10, 2019 1:18 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest 2019 - Pts Update (Feb 3)
Omni wrote: Okay, with a 34M OW, 100 millions will definitely happen for LM2. Yeah its still going to end up being a BIG disappointment, but with that opening it shouldn't miss $100M.
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Sun Feb 10, 2019 1:57 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67000
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Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest 2019 - Pts Update (Feb 3)
I still think it will miss $100m. It has How to Train Your Dragon 3, Wonder Park, and Captain Marvel to compete with in the coming weeks.
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Sun Feb 10, 2019 9:11 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20302 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest 2019 - Pts Update (Feb 3)
Algren wrote: I still think it will miss $100m. It has How to Train Your Dragon 3, Wonder Park, and Captain Marvel to compete with in the coming weeks. Lol it doesn’t even need a 3x multiple. It has good reviews and holidays coming up. It’s missing 100m when it snows in July.
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Mon Feb 11, 2019 12:45 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67000
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Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest 2019 - Pts Update (Feb 3)
The $34m opening is still an estimate. Kids movies that open with around $30m at this time don't have a high success rate of reach 100.
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Mon Feb 11, 2019 1:31 am |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm Posts: 11808 Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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Weekly Ranking for Feb 10Full chart with all movies: Total Gross ProjectionsCold Pursuit - $30 million A Dog's Way Home - $41 million The Upside - $104 million Glass - $108 million The Kid Who Would Be King - $17.5 million Serenity - $8.6 million Cold Pursuit - $30 million The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Part - $115 million The Prodigy - $12 million What Men Want - $55 million Current Top 51. Glass - $98.3 million 2. The Upside - $85.7 million 3. A Dog's Way Home - $38.9 million 4. The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Part - $34.1 million 5. What Men Want - $18.2 million Current Answers to Box Office Questions#1: #1: Which will gross more in total - the family combination of Dumbo, How to Train Your Dragon 3, and The LEGO Movie 2, or the superhero combination of Captain Marvel, Glass, and Shazam? - The superhero combination of Captain Marvel, Glass, and Shazam (currently $98.3 million)
#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Glass, Happy Death Day 2U, How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World, or The LEGO Movie 2? - The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Part (currently -86.5%)
#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Glass, Happy Death Day 2U, How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World, or The LEGO Movie 2? #6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends? - A Dog's Way Home (currently $38.9 million)
#7: What movie will lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend? - Serenity (-2,278 theaters)
#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? - Dragon Ball Super: Broly (currently $30.6 million)
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Sat Feb 16, 2019 1:25 am |
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stuffp
Keeping it Light
Joined: Wed Apr 08, 2015 8:06 am Posts: 11185 Location: Bright Falls
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Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest 2019 - Pts Update (Feb 10
Off the dreaded 0, hope the rest of the game continues well for me
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Sat Feb 16, 2019 5:26 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18843 Location: San Diego
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Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest 2019 - Pts Update (Feb 10
Wow, Jack is the only one who predicted over $80m for Alita lol
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Mon Feb 18, 2019 2:18 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36917
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Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest 2019 - Pts Update (Feb 10
And I put it in my Top 5. It should cross Lego for sure now let's see if it can pass Glass.
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Mon Feb 18, 2019 7:09 pm |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm Posts: 11808 Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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Weekly Ranking for Feb 17Full chart with all movies: Total Gross ProjectionsA Dog's Way Home - $42 million The Upside - $104 million Glass - $110 million The Kid Who Would Be King - $17 million Serenity - $8.6 million Cold Pursuit - $30 million The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Part - $115 million The Prodigy - $16.5 million What Men Want - $55 million Alita: Battle Angel - $100 million Happy Death Day 2U - $24 million Isn't It Romantic - $43 million Current Top 51. Glass - $104.5 million 2. The Upside - $94.1 million 3. The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Part - $62.5 million 4. A Dog's Way Home - $40.3 million 5. Alita: Battle Angel - $37.0 million Current Answers to Box Office Questions#1: #1: Which will gross more in total - the family combination of Dumbo, How to Train Your Dragon 3, and The LEGO Movie 2, or the superhero combination of Captain Marvel, Glass, and Shazam? - The superhero combination of Captain Marvel, Glass, and Shazam (currently $104.5 million)
#2: Which will gross more in total - the second-tier family combination of Missing Link and Wonder Park, the second-tier superhero combination of Alita: Battle Angel and Hellboy? - The second-tier superhero combination of Alita: Battle Angel and Hellboy (currently $37.0 million)
#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Glass, Happy Death Day 2U, How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World, or The LEGO Movie 2? - Happy Death Day 2U (currently -76.2%)
#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Glass, Happy Death Day 2U, How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World, or The LEGO Movie 2? #6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends? - A Dog's Way Home (currently $40.3 million)
#7: What movie will lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend? - Serenity (-2,278 theaters)
#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? - Dragon Ball Super: Broly (currently $30.6 million)
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Tue Feb 19, 2019 6:46 pm |
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BK
Forum General
Joined: Sun May 13, 2007 8:30 am Posts: 7041
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Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest 2019 - Pts Update (Feb 19
Not really sure where to put this, but I'm pretty sure the March schedule I looked at to predict this game was a lot fuller than it is now.
Currently:
1st: Greta (think this went from limited to wide), Madea 8th: Captain Marvel 15th: Five Feet Apart, Wonder Park 22nd: Us 29th: Dumbo, Unplanned (not sure this was there before)
There definitely wasn't just 6 films scheduled lol.
Chaos Walking was on the 1st but that wasn't ever making its date, then Captive State is now "limited" on the 15th, as is Hotel Mumbai on the 22nd. Greyhound, Where'd You Go Bernadette and the Informer all moved off the 22nd. Thought there were a couple more though.
The whole thing seems like pretty terrible scheduling, but I just can't recall whether it ever looked decent.
I suppose, if Madea/CM/Us/Dumbo are big hits, then what more do you really need if 4/5 weekends have a hit, but this isn't May, it's March. Currently besides Dragon 2 there'll be no holdovers making anything either. Seems pretty terrible.
Even some of the summer months (May, incidentally) seem more "put together" for co-existence or depth.
I guess the following years will continue to test whether the BO needs depth to survive or if tentpoles can carry it throughout an entire year.
_________________ Calls Ghost Rider + Clash of the Titans = 2x Wrath of the Titans + Ghost Rider 2 Lorax over Despicable Me Men in Black 3 Under 100m Madagascar 3 Under 100m Rise of the Guardians over 250m
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Fri Feb 22, 2019 6:42 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34875 Location: Minnesota
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Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest 2019 - Pts Update (Feb 19
I guess everything just wanted to stay away from Captain Marvel. Pretty crazy though how packed the rest of the year seems though.
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Fri Feb 22, 2019 4:37 pm |
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BK
Forum General
Joined: Sun May 13, 2007 8:30 am Posts: 7041
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Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest 2019 - Pts Update (Feb 19
I could potentially get 6 points off last week's wide releases. Making a mini-resurgence since I hit bottom, lol.
_________________ Calls Ghost Rider + Clash of the Titans = 2x Wrath of the Titans + Ghost Rider 2 Lorax over Despicable Me Men in Black 3 Under 100m Madagascar 3 Under 100m Rise of the Guardians over 250m
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Thu Feb 28, 2019 12:03 am |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm Posts: 11808 Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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Weekly Ranking for Feb 24Full chart with all movies: Total Gross ProjectionsA Dog's Way Home - $41.6 million The Upside - $104 million Glass - $110 million The Kid Who Would Be King - $16.8 million Serenity - $8.6 million Cold Pursuit - $31 million The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Part - $108 million The Prodigy - $15.5 million What Men Want - $55 million Alita: Battle Angel - $85 million Fighting with my Family - $21 million Happy Death Day 2U - $27.5 million Isn't It Romantic - $44 million How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World - $200 million Current Top 51. Glass - $107.9 million 2. The Upside - $99.7 million 3. The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Part - $83.3 million 4. Alita: Battle Angel - $61.0 million 5. A Dog's Way Home - $41.2 million Current Answers to Box Office Questions#1: Which will gross more in total - the family combination of Dumbo, How to Train Your Dragon 3, and The LEGO Movie 2, or the superhero combination of Captain Marvel, Glass, and Shazam? - The family combination of Dumbo, How to Train Your Dragon 3, and The LEGO Movie 2 (currently $140.8 million)
#2: Which will gross more in total - the second-tier family combination of Missing Link and Wonder Park, the second-tier superhero combination of Alita: Battle Angel and Hellboy? - The second-tier superhero combination of Alita: Battle Angel and Hellboy (currently $61.0 million)
#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Glass, Happy Death Day 2U, How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World, or The LEGO Movie 2? - Happy Death Day 2U (currently -67.5%)
#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Glass, Happy Death Day 2U, How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World, or The LEGO Movie 2? #6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends? - What Men Want (currently $45.1 million)
#7: What movie will lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend? - Serenity (-2,278 theaters)
#8: How many films will gross over $100 million? #10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? - Dragon Ball Super: Broly (currently $30.7 million)
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Thu Feb 28, 2019 11:42 pm |
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stuffp
Keeping it Light
Joined: Wed Apr 08, 2015 8:06 am Posts: 11185 Location: Bright Falls
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Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest 2019 - Pts Update (Feb 24
Darn, down again. Didn't expect Fighting with my Family to not do better, but I guess it was always just a niche then. Happy Death Day and Dragon surprised everyone.
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Fri Mar 01, 2019 12:10 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34875 Location: Minnesota
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Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest 2019 - Pts Update (Feb 24
Wow I'm #1 for like 2 seconds.
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Fri Mar 01, 2019 9:54 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67000
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Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest 2019 - Pts Update (Feb 24
Yes! In the top ten.
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Fri Mar 01, 2019 10:01 pm |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm Posts: 11808 Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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Weekly Ranking for March 17Big apologies to the delay on this - my free time the past month has basically dropped to 0. Full chart with all movies: Total Gross ProjectionsA Dog's Way Home - $42.1million The Upside - $109 million Glass - $111.1 million The Kid Who Would Be King - $16.8 million Serenity - $8.547 millionCold Pursuit - $31.9 million The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Part - $108 million The Prodigy - $14.9 million What Men Want - $56 million Alita: Battle Angel - $86 million Fighting with my Family - $23.5 million Happy Death Day 2U - $28.1 million Isn't It Romantic - $49.3 million How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World - $163 million Captain Marvel - $440 million Wonder Park - $44 million Captive State - $7 million Current Top 51. Captain Marvel - $264.9 million 2. How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World - $135.6 million 3. Glass - $110.5 million 4. The Upside - $105.9 million 5. The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Part - $101.3 million Current Answers to Box Office Questions#1: Which will gross more in total - the family combination of Dumbo, How to Train Your Dragon 3, and The LEGO Movie 2, or the superhero combination of Captain Marvel, Glass, and Shazam? - The superhero combination of Captain Marvel, Glass, and Shazam (currently $375.3 million)
#2: Which will gross more in total - the second-tier family combination of Missing Link and Wonder Park, the second-tier superhero combination of Alita: Battle Angel and Hellboy? - The second-tier superhero combination of Alita: Battle Angel and Hellboy (currently $81.8 million)
#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Glass, Happy Death Day 2U, How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World, or The LEGO Movie 2? - The LEGO Movie 2 (currently -60.7%)
#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Glass, Happy Death Day 2U, How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World, or The LEGO Movie 2? #6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends? - What Men Want (currently $45.1 million)
#7: What movie will lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend? - Serenity (-2,278 theaters)
#8: How many films will gross over $100 million? - Five (Glass, The Upside, How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World, Captain Marvel, The LEGO Movie 2)
#9: How many films will gross over $200 million? #10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? - Tyler Perry's A Madea Family Funeral (currently $58.8 million)
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Sat Mar 23, 2019 9:20 am |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest 2019 - Pts Update (Mar 17
Captive State almost steals question #7
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Thu Mar 28, 2019 8:43 pm |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm Posts: 6665
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Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest 2019 - Pts Update (Mar 17
Chippy wrote: Captive State almost steals question #7
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Thu Mar 28, 2019 11:59 pm |
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Proud Ryu
Deshi Basara
Joined: Thu Sep 27, 2007 3:36 pm Posts: 5322 Location: The Interstice
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Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest 2019 - Pts Update (Mar 17
i.hope wrote: Chippy wrote: Captive State almost steals question #7 It was my guess. Serenity sucks!
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Mon Apr 01, 2019 1:28 am |
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SolC9
Forum General
Joined: Fri Jun 24, 2005 11:11 pm Posts: 7172 Location: Wisconsin
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Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest 2019 - Pts Update (Mar 17
Nobody is going to get the top 5. How long has this streak gone? Kind of amazing.
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Mon Apr 01, 2019 12:05 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18843 Location: San Diego
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Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest 2019 - Pts Update (Mar 17
Yeah, Dumbo may be what, #5?
It'll likely be Captain Marvel, Us, Shazam, HTTYD and Dumbo? Unless Shazam disappoints.
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Mon Apr 01, 2019 12:27 pm |
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