Detective Pikachu 350
Joker 275m
It: Chapter 2 270m
Godzilla King of the Monsters 200m
Shazam! 180m
The LEGO Movie 2 175m
The Curse of La Llorona 100m
Margie Claus/Super Intelligence 90m
Annabelle/Conjuring 3 85m
Isn’t It Romantic? 85m
Shaft 75m
The Goldfinch 70m
The Kitchen 65m
The Good Liar 40m
The Sun is Also a Star 25m

Warner Bros. should have a much bigger year than this year. Detective Pikachu should be their biggest film with over 300m as it’s trailer views are insane. Joker has a lot of interest and will make a lot especially if it gets award worthy reviews or if Phoenix gets a lot of nominations. It should be big as well, but the second half of the book is much more divisive and less beloved than the first. Plus the novelty is gone. Godzilla should stay relatively flat with the last one. The trailers have been amazing but the first was badly received and there’s a lot of competition. Shazam! feels like a disappointment to me. Doesn’t look bad but it’s between Captain Marvel and Avengers and it will be tough to stand out. The LEGO Movie 2 should see a big decline after Batman and Ninjago diluted the brand. The Curse of La Llorona looks like a breakout horror film to me. I expect comedies Isn’t it’s Romantic and Super Intelligence will be mid level hits with 65-85m each. Super Intelligence will be helped by its release date and isn’t it romantic has a great trailer. Annabelle/Conjuring 3 will feel a hit from the Nun being badly received and decline below 100m. Shaft looks like it could bomb or maybe be a mid level hit. The Goldfinch looks like a The Girl on the Train level performer to me. The Kitchen will do typical Melissa McCarthy Numbers. The Good Liar and The Sun is also a Star look like small dramas that won’t do much.

It 2

Strong year

1. Joker
2. Detective Pikachu
3. Shazam
4. It 2
5. Godzilla 2

WBs mantra has been to take their mid-level movies to great heights while whiffing on the huge franchise pictures. With that in mind

Overperform:

Detective Pikachu
Joker
Curse of La Llorona
Annabelle 3

Underperform:

Godzilla
Shazam
Lego Movie

It could go either way since it is supposedly ending at 2.

IT Chapter 2 being a hit is a given. It should end up close the the first - at least within 5%.

It: Chapter 2 250m
Shazam! 210m
Detective Pikachu 200
Joker 180m
Godzilla King of the Monsters 140m
The LEGO Movie 2 140m
Annabelle/Conjuring 3 85m
Margie Claus 70m
The Curse of La Llorona 60m
Super Intelligence 60m
Shaft 60m
Isn’t It Romantic? 55m
The Goldfinch 40m
The Good Liar 30m
The Sun is Also a Star 20m

1. It 2 - 280
2. Detective Pikachu - 250
3. Joker - 220
4. Godzilla 2 - 200
5. Shazam - 185

Pikachu and It Chapter 2 (still wish it had been called 'It Returns') will be their biggest hits by far.

Joker is a wildcard based on how good it is and how people react to Joaquin Phoenix's take on the character.

I want Godzilla to succeed because it looks freaking awesome but I wouldn't be surprised if it drops to under $150m.

Can someone tell me why if Wonder Woman already is in post Production is coming out in June 2020? Such a bad idea to sit on it, Was Frozen 2 and Episode IX the reasons? Probably would have killed in August this year.

More testing and reshoots?

Reshoots are a given, all blockbusters have them...


The move probably has more to do with being so close to October's Joker and to have it's previous summer slot. It probably would've killed the November slot though.

Jungle Cruise also finished production recently and isn't released until 2020 either. So *shrug*

I don't feel IT had a lot of buildups to the second chapter. The kids are not the leads in the new movie. I think the grown-up version might decrease a bit from the first.

I mean significant retooling?

You could be right though.

Disney has a crowded schedule in winter 2019. It's reasonable that Disney moved Jungle Cruise to stay away from two other Dwayne Johnson starrers (FF and Jumanji). Warner Brothers has a light late-2019 schedule. But it might want to stay away from Star Wars (It did move from December to November) and Frozen. Joker could be a factor too.

Both Wonder Woman and Bond jumped out of November 2019 and into 2020 - which certainly dropped Nov 19's status from "best ever" to "just OK".

The Joker being so close was probably the reason for the move. 2020 is less congested so i guess it makes sense.

It's probably not that great and needs a lot of rewrites and reshoots. The first one was held together by the perfect casting of Gal Gadot and the freshness of the concept among all the other superhero films (Ancient Greece! World War I! Female empowerment!) but it was pretty mediocre at points. There's a reason Patty Jenkins hadn't worked for a while before that film.

Seems about right