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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18844 Location: San Diego
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Wednesday #s
Mary Poppins Returns - 4.8m
... huh. Guess matinees were stronger than night shows. That's not very good tbh.
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Thu Dec 20, 2018 10:50 am |
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Proud Ryu
Deshi Basara
Joined: Thu Sep 27, 2007 3:36 pm Posts: 5322 Location: The Interstice
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Re: Wednesday #s
I would say it's actually a very good number.
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Thu Dec 20, 2018 11:46 am |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: Wednesday #s
This was estimated to make $7-$8M by Deadline, so seeing these numbers in comparison is definitely disappointing IMO. That said it's still really early and for all we know this movie could explode over the weekend.
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Thu Dec 20, 2018 11:50 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18844 Location: San Diego
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Re: Wednesday #s
I initially thought that this would open soft and explode over Christmas week, so that'll likely happen but we'll see.
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Thu Dec 20, 2018 11:54 am |
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pro1986
The Incredible Hulk
Joined: Wed Sep 02, 2009 7:28 am Posts: 502
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Re: Wednesday #s
These numbers are really not surprising when you look the hype outside of the internet. Kids were not excited about seeing a woman flying around on an umbrella singing and dancing with cartoons. This is a new generation and what work worked for the original Mary Poppins is not going to translate into General audiences today. And it also doesn't help that songs are forgettable and boring. It's also interesting that this got a A minus cinemascore which is pretty low for family Disney film I mean even Christopher Robbins got an A. And it also doesn't help that two family friendly films are opening tomorrow.
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Thu Dec 20, 2018 12:24 pm |
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pepe pippen
The Dark Knight
Joined: Tue Jan 12, 2010 8:25 am Posts: 768
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Re: Wednesday #s
Proud Ryu wrote: I would say it's actually a very good number. Really? One year ago Jumanji did $7.2M+$1.86M from Amazon Prime previews.
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Thu Dec 20, 2018 1:26 pm |
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pepe pippen
The Dark Knight
Joined: Tue Jan 12, 2010 8:25 am Posts: 768
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Re: Wednesday #s
DP.
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Thu Dec 20, 2018 1:27 pm |
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Jiffy
Forum General
Joined: Sat Dec 18, 2004 2:27 pm Posts: 6145 Location: New York
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Re: Wednesday #s
Proud Ryu wrote: I would say it's actually a very good number. Don't think so.
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Thu Dec 20, 2018 1:35 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18844 Location: San Diego
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Re: Wednesday #s
If Poppins underpeforms Disney really should've just released Solo in December.
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Thu Dec 20, 2018 2:04 pm |
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Proud Ryu
Deshi Basara
Joined: Thu Sep 27, 2007 3:36 pm Posts: 5322 Location: The Interstice
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Re: Wednesday #s
Jiffy wrote: Proud Ryu wrote: I would say it's actually a very good number. Don't think so. If you wanted it to make 400+ million, then I guess, no, but if you had realistic expectations, then yes.... Kind of subjective.
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Thu Dec 20, 2018 2:07 pm |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm Posts: 6665
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Re: Wednesday #s
Underwhelming number. It will need very strong legs to get it to over $250m.
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Thu Dec 20, 2018 2:31 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32083 Location: the last free city
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Re: Wednesday #s
It’ll be fine lol in the long run
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
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Thu Dec 20, 2018 2:40 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20302 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Wednesday #s
It’s way too early considering the unusual release pattern to declare anything yet. It could make anywhere from 150-300m based on this number.
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Thu Dec 20, 2018 3:21 pm |
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Proud Ryu
Deshi Basara
Joined: Thu Sep 27, 2007 3:36 pm Posts: 5322 Location: The Interstice
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Re: Wednesday #s
You guys realize that Greatest Showman did half that number, right?
Jumanji is a much worse comparable. It appeals to dudes of all ages plus families. Dudes are not excited about Mary Fucking Poppins. No one should ever have expected Jumanji numbers.
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Thu Dec 20, 2018 3:24 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22646 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: Wednesday #s
publicenemy#1 wrote: If Poppins underpeforms Disney really should've just released Solo in December. I was about to say this. Poppins was always the blocker. Victims of their own success. That said these type should of films tend to do well over the Christmas period so although 300m looks out of reach - 200/250m is still very possible.
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Thu Dec 20, 2018 4:12 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20302 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Wednesday #s
It basically has the entire market for anyone not looking for an action movie for the entire stretch until mid January.
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Thu Dec 20, 2018 5:13 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34875 Location: Minnesota
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Re: Wednesday #s
Yeah remember when we all thought The Greatest Showman was a flop? I'm not worried about MPR at all. It's going to pick up very well starting Christmas day. January is super weak too. Will play well into the new year.
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Thu Dec 20, 2018 5:15 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18844 Location: San Diego
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Re: Wednesday #s
Greatest Showman was an "original" musical and was a WoM/music phenomenon. Poppins is a sequel to an iconic film. Doubt Poppins will do that kind of multiplier but I do think it'll do very well next week.
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Thu Dec 20, 2018 5:43 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20302 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Wednesday #s
publicenemy#1 wrote: Greatest Showman was an "original" musical and was a WoM/music phenomenon. Poppins is a sequel to an iconic film. Doubt Poppins will do that kind of multiplier but I do think it'll do very well next week. Greatest Showman didn’t become a phenomenon until the new year. It only started having crazy drops after New Years. I’m not saying it’s going to do a 20x multiple like that did, just saying I don’t expect a big drop tomorrow
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Thu Dec 20, 2018 6:13 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 37887
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Re: Wednesday #s
I think Poppins has questionable appeal to males and a lot of adults. Might be under 200 mil
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Thu Dec 20, 2018 6:20 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36917
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Re: Wednesday #s
zwackerm wrote: publicenemy#1 wrote: Greatest Showman was an "original" musical and was a WoM/music phenomenon. Poppins is a sequel to an iconic film. Doubt Poppins will do that kind of multiplier but I do think it'll do very well next week. Greatest Showman didn’t become a phenomenon until the new year. It only started having crazy drops after New Years. I’m not saying it’s going to do a 20x multiple like that did, just saying I don’t expect a big drop tomorrow TGS owns the biggest jump % wise on its second weekend for a movie in 3000+ theaters. Now I'm not singing doom for MPR but a sequel to a Disney's beloved classic is definitely not comparable to an original from Fox which is what pe#1 was mentioning in his post
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Fri Dec 21, 2018 2:56 am |
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Proud Ryu
Deshi Basara
Joined: Thu Sep 27, 2007 3:36 pm Posts: 5322 Location: The Interstice
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Re: Wednesday #s
The comparison to TGS stems from the fact that it opened on a Wednesday before the last full weekend before Xmas - it is a way to gauge potential multiplier from opening day.
Poppins has a slight advantage over TGS/Jumanji in that Xmas eve falls on Monday this year, so its Sunday drop will be much better than those movies. Xmas eve falling on Fri-Sun is always a slight disadvantage.
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Fri Dec 21, 2018 10:41 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36917
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Re: Wednesday #s
I can understand that comparison and I'm not against that but they are still different movies in terms of original vs sequel so naturally there is some frontloading with the later. Plus TGS did a lot better during holidays as well it was just overshadowed by Jumanji's numbers.
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Fri Dec 21, 2018 8:32 pm |
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