The anime also opened on a Wednesday so the opening would’ve been ever higher. Of course then its legs would be among the worst ever. It dropped 60% second weekend as is. Who does that in 1999?
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Wed Nov 14, 2018 10:00 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Detective Pikachu predictions |
YT views at 30m, over a million likes, most liked video on WB's page. |
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| Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Wed Nov 14, 2018 10:01 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Detective Pikachu predictions |
The anime also opened on a Wednesday so the opening would’ve been ever higher. Of course then its legs would be among the worst ever. It dropped 60% second weekend as is. Who does that in 1999?
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| Author: | Barrabás [ Wed Nov 14, 2018 10:29 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Detective Pikachu predictions |
The 1999 movie, which was basically a TV-quality cash grab, made $91m adjusted in five days. Keep that in mind when predicting this. |
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| Author: | MadGez [ Thu Nov 15, 2018 2:23 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Detective Pikachu predictions |
Flava'd vs The World wrote: The anime also opened on a Wednesday so the opening would’ve been ever higher. Of course then its legs would be among the worst ever. It dropped 60% second weekend as is. Who does that in 1999? Yes i forgot it was a 5-day opener! I recall being shocked how big it opened and also shocked at how terrible the legs were. Very few films were that front loaded back then. |
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| Author: | Thegun [ Thu Nov 15, 2018 8:42 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Detective Pikachu predictions |
If it can pull The Muppets numbers that would be a major win |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Thu Nov 15, 2018 9:09 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Detective Pikachu predictions |
I think realistically the floor is like 70m OW if it can maintain hype. But it is still scheduled to come right between Avengers and Aladdin, neither of which have marketing in full swing, so it may be difficult to maintain the current hype. |
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| Author: | lilmac [ Fri Nov 16, 2018 12:56 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Detective Pikachu predictions |
I was in theaters the weekend the first of the animated Pokémon movies opened and the theater was packed. Thar’s gold in in them their franchise. Consider the immense nostalgic factor, continued popularity, and as someone mentioned, what looks like a bonafide live action Pokémon movie with a built in world. $240m domestic is the floor. Hope they don’t skimp on showing Pokémon battles. Yes that’s not the focus of this movie but you gotta pay fan service. The battle depiction should be more than that one scene in the trailer with the dragon Pokémon which looks like it might be a battle. |
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| Author: | Barrabás [ Fri Nov 16, 2018 1:11 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Detective Pikachu predictions |
The one thing that is conspicuously absent from the trailer is Pokeballs. If they show that and Team Rocket in the next trailer, oh boy... |
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| Author: | Thegun [ Fri Nov 16, 2018 6:35 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Detective Pikachu predictions |
Can we stop using "the floor" as a thing. It can easily make less than 70 million OW and gross under 240 million. I mean have some respect guys. Anything over 70 total would be great for this. |
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| Author: | Brian [ Sat Nov 17, 2018 1:33 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Detective Pikachu predictions |
Barrabás wrote: Brian wrote: zwackerm wrote: It looks good. I hope it makes more than Toy Story 4. Lol, even if TS4 sucks, it wouldn't be possible. ?? Pokemon is one of the biggest brands in the world and this film has 20+ years of pent up demand to see a live action version. Toy Story 3 only made $1b WW. It's really not that impossible. Don't get me wrong, I want this to be huge because I love Pokémon and I also liked the trailer, however it's not beating TS4, at least domestically |
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| Author: | Thegun [ Sat Nov 17, 2018 10:17 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Detective Pikachu predictions |
Lol Pent up Demand. Pokemon at best was a fad. Like Pogs or Yoyos to Tamagachis's and ferbys. If it was a legit Pokemon film it would flop in the states right now. Ryan Reynolds gives it a little bit of an edge. That's it. |
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| Author: | Dil [ Sat Nov 17, 2018 12:15 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Detective Pikachu predictions |
I am really hoping the hype for this does end up being overblown and people are dissapointed if it only makes something like a $150M domestic. I'll admit that after how Venom blew up its hard for me to discount the massive trailer views, but there is such a thing as setting your expectations too high. It's way too early to start saying this will cross $200-$300M domestic. |
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| Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Sat Nov 17, 2018 12:43 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Detective Pikachu predictions |
Thegun wrote: Lol Pent up Demand. Pokemon at best was a fad. Like Pogs or Yoyos to Tamagachis's and ferbys. If it was a legit Pokemon film it would flop in the states right now. Ryan Reynolds gives it a little bit of an edge. That's it. I’ll make a crazy club if nobody else will. 
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| Author: | Barrabás [ Sat Nov 17, 2018 8:18 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Detective Pikachu predictions |
Thegun wrote: Lol Pent up Demand. Pokemon at best was a fad. Like Pogs or Yoyos to Tamagachis's and ferbys. If it was a legit Pokemon film it would flop in the states right now. Ryan Reynolds gives it a little bit of an edge. That's it. You...don't understand Pokemon at all if you think it's comparable to freaking Tamagotchi's. You will be very surprised come May next year. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Sat Nov 17, 2018 11:11 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Detective Pikachu predictions |
Barrabás wrote: Thegun wrote: Lol Pent up Demand. Pokemon at best was a fad. Like Pogs or Yoyos to Tamagachis's and ferbys. If it was a legit Pokemon film it would flop in the states right now. Ryan Reynolds gives it a little bit of an edge. That's it. You...don't understand Pokemon at all if you think it's comparable to freaking Tamagotchi's. You will be very surprised come May next year. Thegun is obviously just trolling. |
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| Author: | Algren [ Sun Nov 18, 2018 3:52 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Detective Pikachu predictions |
zwackerm, don't be a knob. Claiming someone is trolling every time a difference of opinion is shared is really infantile. Thegun is also guilty of this, though. But it needs to stop. |
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| Author: | Thegun [ Sun Nov 18, 2018 9:33 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Detective Pikachu predictions |
Barrabás wrote: Thegun wrote: Lol Pent up Demand. Pokemon at best was a fad. Like Pogs or Yoyos to Tamagachis's and ferbys. If it was a legit Pokemon film it would flop in the states right now. Ryan Reynolds gives it a little bit of an edge. That's it. You...don't understand Pokemon at all if you think it's comparable to freaking Tamagotchi's. You will be very surprised come May next year. That's a silly argument. That's like saying a Yoshi movie would make 300 million because Mario Kart is usually the most popular game. To this day only 2 video game adaptations have ever made more than 100 total, and Pokemon already had 5 chances. I'll give you inflation and say 150 million and that is extremely generous and if all goes right. But if you don't think this alienates the core fanbase then I can't convince you otherwise. |
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| Author: | DP07 [ Sun Nov 18, 2018 7:18 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Detective Pikachu predictions |
Flava'd vs The World wrote: Thegun wrote: Lol Pent up Demand. Pokemon at best was a fad. Like Pogs or Yoyos to Tamagachis's and ferbys. If it was a legit Pokemon film it would flop in the states right now. Ryan Reynolds gives it a little bit of an edge. That's it. I’ll make a crazy club if nobody else will. Yeah, I’ve always been amazed at how well and long the online buzz numbers have held up. The movies were limited by quality, and I doubt many parents were interested in seeing it again. Simply making a movie parents won’t avoid doubles potential. And the age range is wider after all the years of sales. |
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| Author: | Barrabás [ Sun Nov 18, 2018 11:27 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Detective Pikachu predictions |
Thegun wrote: Barrabás wrote: Thegun wrote: Lol Pent up Demand. Pokemon at best was a fad. Like Pogs or Yoyos to Tamagachis's and ferbys. If it was a legit Pokemon film it would flop in the states right now. Ryan Reynolds gives it a little bit of an edge. That's it. You...don't understand Pokemon at all if you think it's comparable to freaking Tamagotchi's. You will be very surprised come May next year. That's a silly argument. That's like saying a Yoshi movie would make 300 million because Mario Kart is usually the most popular game. To this day only 2 video game adaptations have ever made more than 100 total, and Pokemon already had 5 chances. I'll give you inflation and say 150 million and that is extremely generous and if all goes right. But if you don't think this alienates the core fanbase then I can't convince you otherwise. Cheap crappy 2D animation movies = / = a mega budget live action film. This is Pokemon's 'Transformers 2007' moment. |
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| Author: | Algren [ Mon Nov 19, 2018 12:04 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Detective Pikachu predictions |
This probably alienates the core Japanese fanbase that love the 2D hand drawn look, but for western audiences it's all about 3D. Or did you mean it alienates the core fanbase because it's focusing on just Pikachu and not the group? |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Tue Feb 26, 2019 1:37 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Detective Pikachu predictions |
https://youtu.be/bILE5BEyhdo This is gonna be massive. |
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| Author: | Jonathan [ Tue Feb 26, 2019 2:03 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Detective Pikachu predictions |
Jonathan wrote: $300+ million domestic, booking it down now. *$400 million |
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| Author: | Rolling Thunder [ Tue Feb 26, 2019 2:07 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Detective Pikachu predictions |
I'm clearly out of the loop. I thought the Pokémon phase died out a couple of years ago when the Pokémon Go craze subsided. |
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| Author: | Dil [ Tue Feb 26, 2019 2:39 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Detective Pikachu predictions |
Yeah this is definitely opening over $100M now. I was pessimistic before, but fans are really going to eat that trailer up. As for the casuals other than Godzilla and John Wick which are aiming for different audiences anyways nothing really looks that appealing in May, especially for family audiences. I mean do we really need to bring up Aladdin? Also, its coming out a good two weeks after Endgame which is great timing IMO. |
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| Author: | Brian [ Tue Feb 26, 2019 9:19 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Detective Pikachu predictions |
$125/405 |
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