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Birth Predictions!
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Author:  matatonio [ Tue Oct 26, 2004 2:00 pm ]
Post subject:  Birth Predictions!
Release Date: October 29th againts Ray and Saw
Image
Starring: Nicole Kidman, Danny Huston, Lauren Bacall, Anne Heche, Cameron Bright
MPAA Rating: R (for sexuality)
Distributor: New Line Features
Director: Jonathan Glazer (Sexy Beast)
budget: $23M

450 Theaters

PLOT!
A woman in her 30s (Kidman), living in New York City, is surprised to meet a little 10-year-old boy (Bright) who seems to have a crush on her, who then claims to be the reincarnation of her husband, who died ten years ago. In reaction to David's revelation, she starts questioning the decisions she's made over the course of her life, much to the frustration of her family (Bacall plays her mother), best friend (Heche) and fiance (Huston). VERY CONTROVERSCIAL!

Genre: Drama, Female, Romance, Supernatural

IF YOU HAVENT SEEN THE TRAILER, CLICK HERE

WHATS YOUR PREDICTION!!?!?
Author:  Jeff [ Wed Oct 27, 2004 9:51 pm ]
Post subject: 
This is a difficult film to predict. It looks good, and I actually intend to see it, however at the same time it does not look like it will appeal to a wide audience.

I'm going to predict the following:

Weekend 1 (450+ theaters): $3.75 million ($8,300 per theater)

Weekend 2 (2000+ theaters)*: $12 million ($6,000 per theater)

*I'm not certain what the release format for this is. As far as know it is planned for a wide release on November 5th.
Author:  xiayun [ Wed Oct 27, 2004 10:07 pm ]
Post subject: 
It won't have $8300 PTA the first weekend. It's only getting 1 screen and 4-5 shows per theater. There hasn't been enough buzz about it, and I believe it will gross less than 2M this weekend.
Author:  Jeff [ Thu Oct 28, 2004 9:40 am ]
Post subject: 
Guess we will have to wait and see.
Author:  Jeff [ Thu Oct 28, 2004 1:00 pm ]
Post subject: 
I'm curious, is the 450+ theaters the official release or more of a preview release?

I thought it was originally supposed to be receiving a wide release on November 5th?
Author:  A. G. [ Thu Oct 28, 2004 1:10 pm ]
Post subject: 
Anyone else think this movie might hurt Kidman's career?
Author:  El Maskado [ Thu Oct 28, 2004 1:18 pm ]
Post subject: 
Im thinking the same thing to, Archie. Not only does Nicole look like a man in the movie, the subject is rather creepy and will bring bad controversy in the movie. No one would really want to see the movie since it borders on pedophile. The reviews its getting seems to border on rotten and I think the movie will garner a razzie nomination for Nicole. I can't see how this movie will do well at all
Author:  xiayun [ Thu Oct 28, 2004 1:40 pm ]
Post subject: 
Yeah, there are a lot of controversy surrounding the film. It was booed at Venice Film Festival for the scene where Kidman and the boy were naked together in a bath tub. I think this will perform similarly to Meg Ryan's In the Cut, which was released in less than 1000 theaters around the same time last year.
Author:  Algren [ Thu Oct 28, 2004 3:15 pm ]
Post subject: 
Archie, no i dont think it will hurt Kidman';s career ny any means at all. I think it will do her good, shows she's an actress, and a good one at that :D

Ill say:

Opening: $14 Million

Total: $50 Million

Pretty all round legs really, nice enough opening, and a better than average finish for the opening weekend. :)
Author:  Terminator1997 [ Thu Oct 28, 2004 3:16 pm ]
Post subject: 
it's a disturbing premise so i think people will see it out of curiosity

$12.3/$46.7
Author:  Algren [ Thu Oct 28, 2004 4:02 pm ]
Post subject: 
I just seen a tv spot for it, and its reinforced my prediction of $50 Million total after a $14 Million opening, looks good, alot of adults, i imagine, would be interested in this film.
Author:  zingy [ Fri Oct 29, 2004 3:42 pm ]
Post subject: 
For the people who thought this thread was deleted, bump.
Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Fri Oct 29, 2004 3:50 pm ]
Post subject: 
This has pretty much The Human Stain written all over it...

Opening weekend - $1.8 million

Total gross - $7.2 million
Author:  DP07 [ Fri Oct 29, 2004 9:43 pm ]
Post subject: 
Open: 2.4m
Total: 5.5m
Author:  Bradley Witherberry [ Sat Oct 30, 2004 1:23 pm ]
Post subject: 
roidrage wrote:
Not only does Nicole look like a man in the movie...

If Nicole Kidman looks like a man to you, I'd hate to imagine what your idea of a beautiful woman is!

:shock:

This is an adult science fiction movie that addresses mature issues on the nature of love and relationships. It's not going to appeal to the fanboys because they are too close to separating from their own mothers as it is. But it will definitely appeal to adults who are mature enough to enjoy it's serious treatment of a underexplored theme.

I would guess it'll make close to $50million total - there aren't a lot of serious movies out until closer to Xmas, so it's got the market to itself for a while...
Author:  BacktotheFuture [ Sat Oct 30, 2004 2:24 pm ]
Post subject: 
It will not make 50 Mil. And yes she does not look great in this movie. LET THE HAIR GROW.
Author:  jb007 [ Sat Oct 30, 2004 2:25 pm ]
Post subject: 
9 months.
Author:  Jeff [ Sat Oct 30, 2004 7:23 pm ]
Post subject: 
Zingaling wrote:
For the people who thought this thread was deleted, bump.


I was one of those.

I've changed my predictions, by the way:

Opening: $1.5 million
Total: $12 million
Author:  DP07 [ Sat Oct 30, 2004 7:49 pm ]
Post subject: 
Well, it is comfirmed: It's a bomb. It will be lucky to make 3m total.
Author:  Jeff [ Sun Oct 31, 2004 6:48 pm ]
Post subject: 
Should make more than $3 million, but not much more. With an opening weekend of only $1.75 million, its PTA was a decidedly low $3,300.
Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Sun Oct 31, 2004 7:43 pm ]
Post subject: 
Archie Gates wrote:
Anyone else think this movie might hurt Kidman's career?


Nope, not really. This movie is too small to make a dent in her career. With hits like Cold Mountain, The Others and Moulin Rouge behind her belt and the oscar for the highly acclaimed The Hours, she should remain one of Hollywood's leading ladies for a long while.


As for Birth, well, I was pretty close with my $1.8 million prediction. It should cross $4-5 million eventually. As I said before, this movie has "The Human Stain" written all over it.
Author:  Jeff [ Sun Oct 31, 2004 8:04 pm ]
Post subject: 
It certainly will be one of the lower grossing films in her career, but I agree it shouldn't hurt her career.
Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Sun Oct 31, 2004 9:47 pm ]
Post subject: 
RogueCommander wrote:
It certainly will be one of the lower grossing films in her career, but I agree it shouldn't hurt her career.


Well, it will definitely not make less than Birthday Girl and that even opened in over 1000 theatres.
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