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November 9-11 Predictions
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Author:  zwackerm [ Tue Nov 06, 2018 11:55 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: November 9-11 Predictions

Magic Mike wrote:
The Grinch is in the top 5 on MT with 5%.

And now it’s behind Smallfoot.

Author:  Magic Mike [ Wed Nov 07, 2018 1:42 am ]
Post subject:  Re: November 9-11 Predictions

zwackerm wrote:
Magic Mike wrote:
The Grinch is in the top 5 on MT with 5%.

And now it’s behind Smallfoot.


Well, you know, discount Tuesday. Showing up so soon though is a fantastic sign. Though totally expected :P.

Author:  Magic Mike [ Wed Nov 07, 2018 1:44 am ]
Post subject:  Re: November 9-11 Predictions

Algren wrote:
Just how badly will Girl in the Spider's Web flop? I see no buzz whatsoever. I see more for Creed II, which is 2 weeks away, than for GitSW which is 2 days away. Hopefully it goes sub-$10m.


Oh it will go sub 10 Million. I've always seen that ever since we got a trailer. I am reminded of Inferno, also from Sony. But this will do worse than that. Nobody cares. That's why I predicted it to lose the most amount of theaters in its third weekend in our Fall/Winter game. Of course I'm not so sure that will happen anymore with the estimated theater count going down to 2,400. I had always thought it would open in over 3,000.

Author:  Magic Mike [ Wed Nov 07, 2018 3:25 am ]
Post subject:  Re: November 9-11 Predictions

1. THE GRINCH - 68.3 MILLION (New)
2. BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY - 26.55 MILLION (-48%)
3. OVERLORD - 10.047 MILLION (New)
4. THE NUTCRACKER & THE FOUR REALMS - 9.362 MILLION (-54%)
5. THE GIRL IN THE SPIDER'S WEB - 8.796 MILLION (New)
6. A STAR IS BORN - 8.472 MILLION (-23%)
7. NOBODY'S FOOL - 7.833 MILLION (-43%)
8. VENOM - 5.67 MILLION (-28%)
9. HALLOWEEN - 4.98 MILLION (-54%)
10. THE HATE U GIVE - 2.28 MILLION (-32%)
11. SMALLFOOT - 1.814 MILLION (-53%)
12. HUNTER KILLER - 1.728 MILLION (-51%)
13. CAN YOU EVER FORGIVE ME? - 1.7 MILLION
14. GOOSEBUMPS: HAUNTED HALLOWEEN - 1.584 MILLION
(-58%)
15. THUGS OF HINDOSTAN - 1.58 MILLION (New)

Author:  Rolling Thunder [ Wed Nov 07, 2018 8:46 am ]
Post subject:  Re: November 9-11 Predictions

Universal is at least confident in The Grinch, their 7th widest release of all time at 4,140 theaters. I still don't see it opening any better than The Peanuts Movie, and really an opening closer to Sing wouldn't surprise me.

Author:  zwackerm [ Wed Nov 07, 2018 5:24 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: November 9-11 Predictions

Not that they will affect it much, but reviews are mixed.

Author:  Rolling Thunder [ Thu Nov 08, 2018 10:00 am ]
Post subject:  Re: November 9-11 Predictions

zwackerm wrote:
Not that they will affect it much, but reviews are mixed.


Reviews won't matter much but I'm a bit surprised they are lukewarm. I guess you can only pad a story so much before it becomes tiresome.

Author:  zwackerm [ Thu Nov 08, 2018 11:09 am ]
Post subject:  Re: November 9-11 Predictions

Rolling Thunder wrote:
zwackerm wrote:
Not that they will affect it much, but reviews are mixed.


Reviews won't matter much but I'm a bit surprised they are lukewarm. I guess you can only pad a story so much before it becomes tiresome.

The only Illumination film to receive really good reviews was the first Despicable Me. Not surprising to me.

Author:  Algren [ Thu Nov 08, 2018 11:15 am ]
Post subject:  Re: November 9-11 Predictions

Its RT score is better than the 2000 Grinch so it's doing something right.

Author:  Rolling Thunder [ Thu Nov 08, 2018 1:45 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: November 9-11 Predictions

So much for Spider's Web being well received. Reviews have basically zapped all the interest I had in seeing it. Sony dropping the TC was a bad sign.

Author:  Magic Mike [ Thu Nov 08, 2018 3:18 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: November 9-11 Predictions

They shouldn't have gotten rid of Mara and shouldn't have basically turned Lisbeth into a superhero of sorts. I'll still see it. Seems like a serviceable action/thriller. But these things are going to annoy me a lot.

Author:  SolC9 [ Thu Nov 08, 2018 4:20 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: November 9-11 Predictions

I'm a little surprised Thugs of Hindostan didn't show up on movietickets. Regularly priced Indian films are rare, and we even got a standee for it. It basically looks like Pirates of the Caribbean with a cast from India.

Author:  SolC9 [ Thu Nov 08, 2018 6:31 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: November 9-11 Predictions

SolC9 wrote:
I'm a little surprised Thugs of Hindostan didn't show up on movietickets. Regularly priced Indian films are rare, and we even got a standee for it. It basically looks like Pirates of the Caribbean with a cast from India.


Okay, now it snuck in at #5 on MT.

Author:  publicenemy#1 [ Fri Nov 09, 2018 4:47 am ]
Post subject:  Re: November 9-11 Predictions

A Star is Born hasn't had a day under 1m yet and could still be top 5 this weekend. What a terrific run!

Author:  MadGez [ Fri Nov 09, 2018 7:54 am ]
Post subject:  Re: November 9-11 Predictions

The Grinch- 60
The Girl in the Spider's Web- 10
Overlord- 11

Author:  Rolling Thunder [ Fri Nov 09, 2018 8:53 am ]
Post subject:  Re: November 9-11 Predictions

Disney has generally owned November, with Fox the runner up for family fare. We'll see if Illumination can get on the board in a big way.

Author:  Magic Mike [ Fri Nov 09, 2018 9:58 am ]
Post subject:  Re: November 9-11 Predictions

Nothing to do with this weekend but I'm surprised Widows has an estimated theater count of 3,000 next weekend. Was thinking more like 2,400.

Author:  Flava'd vs The World [ Fri Nov 09, 2018 5:37 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: November 9-11 Predictions

Breakout for Widows? Could do Orient Express numbers. It is great counter programming for Potter and the reviews are fantastic.

Author:  Rolling Thunder [ Fri Nov 09, 2018 6:17 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: November 9-11 Predictions

Flava'd vs The World wrote:
Breakout for Widows? Could do Orient Express numbers. It is great counter programming for Potter and the reviews are fantastic.


I thought that but the social media footprint is terrible, unless it's one that wouldn't register.

Author:  MadGez [ Fri Nov 09, 2018 6:19 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: November 9-11 Predictions

Widows will be a strong counterprogranming hit.

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