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 November 9-11 Predictions 

Will The Grinch make 65m OW?
Yes 38%  38%  [ 3 ]
No 63%  63%  [ 5 ]
Total votes : 8

 November 9-11 Predictions 
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Post November 9-11 Predictions
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The Grinch- 56
The Girl in the Spider's Web- 13
Overlord- 8

Bohemian Rhapsody- -54%
Nutcracker- -50%

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Fri Nov 02, 2018 9:22 am
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The Kramer
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Post Re: November 9-11 Predictions
Grinch is definitely opening too early. I’d give it $300M if it had Mortal Engines date.


Fri Nov 02, 2018 3:27 pm
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Wallflower
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Post Re: November 9-11 Predictions
Just my rough estimates before I make official ones:

The Grinch - 70 Million
Overlord - 11 Million
Girl In The Spider's Web - 9.5 Million

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Fri Nov 02, 2018 5:19 pm
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Dont Mess with the Gez
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Post Re: November 9-11 Predictions
The Grinch's release date is just wrong. Should have swapped places with Wreck It Ralph 2.

That said - it feels like it will have a softer than expected OW but strong legs over the next two months (reminds me of Polar Express).

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Sat Nov 03, 2018 9:31 am
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Post Re: November 9-11 Predictions
The Grinch should be good for $64 million. Marketing has been decent. Is it too early? Perhaps a tad, but all stores have changed their seasonal area to Christmas already, so it won't be a surprise to people that a Christmas movie is in release.


Sat Nov 03, 2018 10:29 am
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Wallflower
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Post Re: November 9-11 Predictions
Hallmark Channel started their all day every day Christmas movies like a week before Halloween. I think people will still go see a Christmas movie and this way it plays for much longer. If it opened over Thanksgiving it would only have a month.

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Sat Nov 03, 2018 4:05 pm
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Post Re: November 9-11 Predictions
Hopefully they stay home and watch the other 2 instead

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Sat Nov 03, 2018 7:23 pm
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Wallflower
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Post Re: November 9-11 Predictions
The Jim Carrey one is dumb. I'd rather see the new one.

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Sat Nov 03, 2018 7:39 pm
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Post Re: November 9-11 Predictions
Magic Mike wrote:
The Jim Carrey one is dumb. I'd rather see the new one.


It is from the people who made Minions and Sing. I'm sure it will be dumber.

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Sat Nov 03, 2018 8:40 pm
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Post Re: November 9-11 Predictions
$45m for The Grinch.

It's a bit too early, and the Jim Carey version is too recent and still gets lots of Christmas play.

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Sat Nov 03, 2018 9:20 pm
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Post Re: November 9-11 Predictions
Too early? lol. The Carrey one was 18 years ago. A whole new generation has been born that this new film will appeal to, plus it's animated which differentiates it anyway.


Sat Nov 03, 2018 11:22 pm
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Post Re: November 9-11 Predictions
zwackerm wrote:
Magic Mike wrote:
The Jim Carrey one is dumb. I'd rather see the new one.


It is from the people who made Minions and Sing. I'm sure it will be dumber.


They've made other movies that are good. And this looks good. Minions was dumb though. I'll give you that. Didn't see Sing.

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Sun Nov 04, 2018 3:51 am
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Post Re: November 9-11 Predictions
It is from the producer of Sing. Big deal. And it's from Illumination, but the main roles are not "from the people who made Minions and Sing".

Also, Sing and Minions made $270m and $336m. Here's hoping The Grinch follows suit.


Sun Nov 04, 2018 4:07 am
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Post Re: November 9-11 Predictions
It should get to at least Sing numbers. It should get a second wind in December so it should make it.

Never seen the Carrey version and never felt compelled to. This one I wouldn't mind seeing.

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Sun Nov 04, 2018 4:39 am
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Post Re: November 9-11 Predictions
MadGez wrote:
Never seen the Carrey version

:noway:

An you have kids.


Sun Nov 04, 2018 4:58 am
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Post Re: November 9-11 Predictions
Algren wrote:
MadGez wrote:
Never seen the Carrey version

:noway:

An you have kids.


That's called good parenting. Protecting kids from seeing crappy movies.

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Sun Nov 04, 2018 6:48 am
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Post Re: November 9-11 Predictions
Price wrote:
Algren wrote:
MadGez wrote:
Never seen the Carrey version

:noway:

An you have kids.


That's called good parenting. Protecting kids from seeing crappy movies.


No, that's called fascism. :P

You need to let kids make up their own mind, and you need to let people see crap so they can appreciate the gems.


Sun Nov 04, 2018 9:22 am
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Post Re: November 9-11 Predictions
The Grinch - 67
The Girl in the Spider's Web - 11
Overlord - 8


Sun Nov 04, 2018 8:54 pm
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Post Re: November 9-11 Predictions
Barrabás wrote:
$45m for The Grinch.

It's a bit too early, and the Jim Carey version is too recent and still gets lots of Christmas play.


+1.

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Mon Nov 05, 2018 9:38 am
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Post Re: November 9-11 Predictions
Trailer views are far weaker than Sing, Pets, minions and Despicable Me 3. Not gonna perform anywhere close to those.

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Mon Nov 05, 2018 12:38 pm
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Post Re: November 9-11 Predictions
The Grinch is in the top 5 on MT with 5%.

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Mon Nov 05, 2018 5:12 pm
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Post Re: November 9-11 Predictions
When it comes to printing money I'm done underestimating Illumination Entertainment's films.


Mon Nov 05, 2018 10:59 pm
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Post Re: November 9-11 Predictions
HSX believes The Grinch will flirt with a $70m OW. I just don't see it. Even if it was opening a bit later, I'd be favoring a leggy run instead of a strong bow.

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Tue Nov 06, 2018 11:06 am
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Post Re: November 9-11 Predictions
Rolling Thunder wrote:
HSX believes The Grinch will flirt with a $70m OW. I just don't see it. Even if it was opening a bit later, I'd be favoring a leggy run instead of a strong bow.


Anything over 50m is fine for this. I wouldn't underestimate it though. Smallfoot dropped only 19% this weekend because Nutcracker didn't connect and there's nothing else for kids.


Tue Nov 06, 2018 1:36 pm
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Post Re: November 9-11 Predictions
Just how badly will Girl in the Spider's Web flop? I see no buzz whatsoever. I see more for Creed II, which is 2 weeks away, than for GitSW which is 2 days away. Hopefully it goes sub-$10m.


Tue Nov 06, 2018 10:35 pm
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