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 November 2 - 4 Predictions 

How Much Will Halloween Drop in its 3rd Weekend?
Poll ended at Thu Nov 01, 2018 10:55 am
59.99% or less 45%  45%  [ 5 ]
60-64.99% 36%  36%  [ 4 ]
65-69.99% 18%  18%  [ 2 ]
70% or more 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
Total votes : 11

 November 2 - 4 Predictions 
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Veteran

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Post November 2 - 4 Predictions
Bohemian Rhapsody - $45M
Nutcracker - $22M
Nobody's Fool - $14M

Halloween - 66.66%


Sat Oct 27, 2018 10:55 am
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Post Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions
Right around 65% sounds right.

$35-40M for Rhapsody. Right around $20M for Nutcracker.

I hope Suspiria expands far and wide.


Sat Oct 27, 2018 11:09 am
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Post Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions
Rhapsody will barely edge out Nutcracker. Only see low 20s for BR. Don't see Nutcracker hitting $20m.

Though Halloween (the day) will have come and gone, it still may not fall apart right away. I see it dropping about 60%.

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Sat Oct 27, 2018 11:56 am
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Post Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions
Flava'd vs The World wrote:
I hope Suspiria expands far and wide.


It's expanding to around 250 theaters.


Sat Oct 27, 2018 1:39 pm
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Post Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions
Magic Mike wrote:
Flava'd vs The World wrote:
I hope Suspiria expands far and wide.


It's expanding to around 250 theaters.


Are there plans to go wider (1,000+) later?


Sat Oct 27, 2018 2:40 pm
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Post Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions
i.hope wrote:
Magic Mike wrote:
Flava'd vs The World wrote:
I hope Suspiria expands far and wide.


It's expanding to around 250 theaters.


Are there plans to go wider (1,000+) later?


At the moment they haven't said anything but as long as it does fine next weekend I'm sure it will expand more. Not sure if it reaches 1,000 at any point but it's possible. Doesn't help though that November is pretty packed with big movies.


Sat Oct 27, 2018 3:01 pm
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Post Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions
ASIB will start overtaking Halloween’s weekend numbers by its 7th weekend (Halloween’s 5th). Nov 16th weekend

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Sat Oct 27, 2018 4:12 pm
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Post Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions
Magic Mike wrote:
i.hope wrote:
Magic Mike wrote:
Flava'd vs The World wrote:
I hope Suspiria expands far and wide.


It's expanding to around 250 theaters.


Are there plans to go wider (1,000+) later?


At the moment they haven't said anything but as long as it does fine next weekend I'm sure it will expand more. Not sure if it reaches 1,000 at any point but it's possible. Doesn't help though that November is pretty packed with big movies.


Good. I plan on seeing it.


Sat Oct 27, 2018 7:04 pm
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Post Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions
I think Bohemian Rhapsody will do $30m+.


Sat Oct 27, 2018 7:10 pm
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Post Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions
Bohemian Rhapsody - 36
Nobody's Fool - 18
Nutcracker - 17

Disney potentially having the weakest opener. I think this was Dark Phoenix's original date lol


Sun Oct 28, 2018 12:35 am
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Post Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions
Nutcracker and the Four Realms $18m
Bohemian Rhapsody $17m
Nobody's Fool $15m

Halloween 58%


Sun Oct 28, 2018 3:49 am
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Post Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions
i.hope wrote:
I think Bohemian Rhapsody will do $30m+.


I'm glad I'm not the only one that thinks that.


Sun Oct 28, 2018 12:13 pm
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Post Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions
bl1222 wrote:
i.hope wrote:
I think Bohemian Rhapsody will do $30m+.


I'm glad I'm not the only one that thinks that.


Seems like we have some divisive opinions on where this will land. Should be interesting to see how it plays out.

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Sun Oct 28, 2018 12:17 pm
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Post Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions
Bohemian Rhapsody - 38
Nutcracker - 20
Nobody's Fool - 13


Sun Oct 28, 2018 2:51 pm
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Post Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions
Bohemian Rhapsody - $41m
Nutcracker - $22m
Nobody's Fool - $18m

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Sun Oct 28, 2018 7:27 pm
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Post Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions
Bohemian Rhapsody- 28
Nutcracker- 19
Nobody’s Fool- 21


Sun Oct 28, 2018 10:25 pm
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Post Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions
Nobody’s fool will do well. Tiffany Haddish is a way hotter Star right now than Perry usually recruits. That should give it at least 20m, IMO.


Sun Oct 28, 2018 10:27 pm
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Post Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions
Well, KJ is the leader at underestimating black movie appeal.


Sun Oct 28, 2018 10:31 pm
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Post Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions
Rhapsody in the top 5 on MT with 4.9%.


Mon Oct 29, 2018 11:44 am
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Post Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions
Rhapsody has already climbed to 13.5% for some reason. Didn't expect that on Tuesday.

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Tue Oct 30, 2018 7:45 am
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Post Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions
1. BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY - 48.895 MILLION (New)
2. THE NUTCRACKER & THE FOUR REALMS - 23.3 MILLION (New)
3. NOBODY'S FOOL - 14.086 MILLION (New)
4. HALLOWEEN - 11.625 MILLION (-63%)
5. A STAR IS BORN - 8 MILLION (-43%)
6. VENOM - 5.965 MILLION (-44%)
7. HUNTER KILLER - 3.792 MILLION (-43%)
8. THE HATE U GIVE - 3.265 MILLION (-36%)
9. SMALLFOOT - 3.19 MILLION (-33%)
10. GOOSEBUMPS: HAUNTED HALLOWEEN - 3.059 MILLION (-58%)
11. FIRST MAN - 2.092 MILLION (-57%)
12. MID90'S - 1.46 MILLION (-51%)
13. NIGHT SCHOOL - 1.39 MILLION (-57%)
14. THE OLD MAN & THE GUN - 1.357 MILLION (-23%)
15. SUSPIRIA - 1.2 MILLION


Last edited by Magic Mike on Wed Oct 31, 2018 7:42 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Tue Oct 30, 2018 9:03 am
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Post Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions
No surprise for BR - legs may not be strong but it's OW will be BIG.

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Tue Oct 30, 2018 9:11 am
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Post Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions
Magic Mike wrote:
1. BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY - 48.895 MILLION (New)
2. THE NUTCRACKER & THE FOUR REALMS - 19.3 MILLION (New)
3. NOBODY'S FOOL - 14.086 MILLION (New)
4. HALLOWEEN - 11.625 MILLION (-63%)
5. A STAR IS BORN - 8 MILLION (-43%)
6. VENOM - 5.965 MILLION (-44%)
7. HUNTER KILLER - 3.792 MILLION (-43%)
8. THE HATE U GIVE - 3.265 MILLION (-36%)
9. SMALLFOOT - 3.19 MILLION (-33%)
10. GOOSEBUMPS: HAUNTED HALLOWEEN - 3.059 MILLION (-58%)
11. FIRST MAN - 2.092 MILLION (-57%)
12. MID90'S - 1.46 MILLION (-51%)
13. NIGHT SCHOOL - 1.39 MILLION (-57%)
14. THE OLD MAN & THE GUN - 1.357 MILLION (-23%)
15. SUSPIRIA - 1.2 MILLION


Gone Girl held well against Interstellar and Argo held well against Skyfall. I think a drop closer to the very high 30s is more sensible. As for Nutcracker, it's presales on Fandango are tracking above CR (according to BOT). We'll see how reviews go for it but I doubt it's going sub-20m.


Tue Oct 30, 2018 9:14 am
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Post Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions
Bohemian Rhapsody 60m
Nobody’s Fool 20m
Nutcracker 15m

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Tue Oct 30, 2018 8:09 pm
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Post Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions
I'm feeling the hype for Bohemian Rhapsody, everyone around me wants to see it.


Wed Oct 31, 2018 4:02 am
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