Looking at the schedule it seems like it. I think 2016 had the most with 9, and last year had 8.

So...
Captain Marvel
Avengers 4
Aladdin
Spider-Man: Far From Home
The Secret Life of Pets 2
Toy Story 4
The Lion King
It Chapter 2
Wonder Woman 1984
Frozen 2
Episode 9
Jumanji 2

A few of these will probably underperform, but that's 12 potential 300m+ grossers.

This seems like another thread to praise Disney

Jesus this is a crazy year. Disney going HAM

Especially because I think the two most likely to miss it (It 2, Secret Life of Pets) are not Disney.

apparently yes

With all these event films I think it's setting up for the Star Wars disappointment. Maybe out of the top 5

Episode 9 will still do st least 450m.

I feel like Jumanji could miss. The first well received but I feel like it was a fluke.

Yeah Jumanji was lightening in a bottle. Hard to repeat that sort of success. Though $300m can't be ruled out.

Jumanji did well because November and early December underperformed other than Coco and Wonder. It was an event film that massively overperformed due to lack of real options. See Meet The Fockers year for a similar performance that makes no sense.

Next year November has Frozen and some big players. See a big drop for Jumanji this time unless everyone else underperforms.

I definitely think either Lion King or Aladdin will move to 2020 but yea, amazing year for Disney.

Even with WW84 moving 10+ still seems likely.

Will definitely happen: Avengers 4, Toy Story 4, Lion King, Frozen 2, Episode 9

Likely: Captain Marvel, Aladdin, Spider-Man Far From Home, Secret Life of Pets 2, It 2, Jumanji 2

Possible/Wildcard: Detective Pikachu, Joker, Dumbo

Joker doesn't stand a chance, and not all of those will be surefire $300m grossers. Some will outright disappoint. Some will just miss by $10-15 million. This year there has only been five $300m grossers. I just don't see that being doubled next year.

Scheduling should harm a few from making the mark. There will definitely be surprises, just like this year. Nobody thought Solo would flop, but it did. Most had it down for $300m+, and now it won't even make it into the top ten of the year!

I look at all those movies you mentioned and I only see a few guarantees. Avengers 4 and Episode 9. I can make cases for all the rest failing, including Toy Story 4. You can even see the seams tearing from early word re: the trailer/poster. The third one only made $415m. It only needs to have a 30% dropoff and it's not reaching $300m. Even more so for Frozen 2. This is even more plausible for movies where their predecessors grossed between $300-399m, such as Secret Life of Pets 2, Spider-Man Far From Home, IT 2...

And Detective Pikachu ain't getting $300m. Not a single chance. The movie will cannibalize itself before its release.

2016 had 9, can we get to over 10 this year?

1. Captain Marvel
2. Endgame
3. Toy Story 4
4. Lion King
5. Frozen 2
6. Episode 9
7. Spider-Man: Far From Home

Those seem like safe bets. And then...

Detective Pikachu
Aladdin (last trailer got pretty positive buzz, this should be asure thing but *shrug*)
It Chapter 3
Secret Life of Pets 2 (less than 20% decrease from the first would get it to 300m)
Jumanji 3 [less than 30% drop from the last]
Joker (I think this should do very well)


So if all of those make it... 13 over 300m. Crazy. Something may underpeform severely who knows (like idk if anyone thought Solo would do sub-250m)

Only Detective Pikachu will make it of the possibles.

I could also see Toy Story 4 miss. I don’t think it’s guaranteed to fall less than 30% from 3. It doesn’t have much hype and a ton of competition.

viewtopic.php?f=12&t=84808&hilit=300m

This poll, despite its low amount of total votes, suggests 10

lol and both threads were made by the same user

Lol whoops

Crazy that this was the top 4 of all time domestic 4 years ago:
1 Avatar $760,507,625 2009^
2 Titanic $658,672,302 1997^
3 Marvel's The Avengers $623,357,910 2012
4 The Dark Knight $534,858,444 2008^

This could be what it looks like by end of the year:
1 Star Wars: The Force Awakens $936,662,225 2015
2 Avengers End Game $850 m + NEW
[b]3 Star Wars Ep. 9 $780.5 m +25.8% (similar to SW 2/3 bump as a estimate)
[/b]4 Avatar $760,507,625 2009^
5 The Lion King $700 m +? NEW
6 Black Panther $700,059,566 2018
7 Avengers: Infinity War $678,815,482 2018
8 Titanic $659,363,944 1997^
9 Jurassic World Uni. $652,270,625 2015
10 Marvel's The Avengers $623,357,910 2012
11 Star Wars: The Last Jedi $620,181,382 2017
12 Incredibles 2 BV $608,581,744 2018
13 Frozen 2 $550 m +?
14 The Dark Knight $535,234,033 2008^

In 4.5 years:
-Avatar could drop 1st to 4th
-Titanic drops out of the top 5 after 22 years
-The Dark Knight could drop from 4th to 14th or worse if there's another breakout.
-The entire top 10 is $600 m + movies

1 The Lion King $1.1 Billion
2 Avengers End Game $1.0 Billion
3 Star Wars: The Force Awakens $936,662,225
4 Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker $850m
5 Avatar $760,507,625
6 Black Panther $700,059,566
7 Avengers: Infinity War $678,815,482
8 Titanic $659,363,944
9 Jurassic World Uni. $652,270,625
10 Marvel's The Avengers $623,357,910
11 Star Wars: The Last Jedi $620,181,382
12 Incredibles 2 BV $608,581,744
13 Frozen 2 $600m
14 Toy Story 4 550m
15 The Dark Knight $535,234,033

Welp. Those 7 will make it. And Aladdin will very likely join that too. So all Disney and MCU lol

It Ch. 2 is up in the air. Trailer is good but I still see a decrease. Joker may be too dark for that high a gross.


Could we potentially see no 200m grossers? That'd be interesting as last year we had 8.

Aladdin will hit 300m this weekend.

I think we may end up with 9, the last one being Jumanji, It or Joker.

UPDATE.....these 9

Captain Marvel
Endgame
Aladdin
Spider-Man: Far From Home
Toy Story 4
The Lion King
Hobbs & Shaw
Frozen 2
Episode 9

Hobbs and Shaw helllllllll no

I'd say IT is more likely than H&S at this point, even if the latter has a shot.

Hobbs and Shaw only has a shot if it does like 120+m opening weekend... and I don't see it.