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 $1b movies of 2019 

$1b movies
Poll ended at Sun Jan 06, 2019 9:17 am
Captain Marvel 1%  1%  [ 1 ]
Dumbo 1%  1%  [ 1 ]
Avengers 4 18%  18%  [ 19 ]
Aladdin 5%  5%  [ 5 ]
The Secret Life of Pets 2 1%  1%  [ 1 ]
Men in Black Spin-Off 1%  1%  [ 1 ]
Toy Story 4 11%  11%  [ 12 ]
Spider-Man 2 2%  2%  [ 2 ]
The Lion King 15%  15%  [ 16 ]
Hobbs & Shaw (F&F Spin-Off) 2%  2%  [ 2 ]
Joker 1%  1%  [ 1 ]
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood 1%  1%  [ 1 ]
It 2 4%  4%  [ 4 ]
Gemini Man 1%  1%  [ 1 ]
Frozen 2 16%  16%  [ 17 ]
Jumanji 2 2%  2%  [ 2 ]
Cats 1%  1%  [ 1 ]
Star Wars 9 17%  17%  [ 18 ]
ANOTHER MOVIE (please specify) 1%  1%  [ 1 ]
SOME RANDOM CHINESE FILM 1%  1%  [ 1 ]
Total votes : 107

 $1b movies of 2019 
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Extraordinary
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Post $1b movies of 2019
Yes, it's this time of the year - 2019 is only 4 months away...

You can re-vote in the poll until the poll closes...

Movies not included in the poll:
Glass
Dark Phoenix
How to Train Your Dragon 3
Pet Sematary
Shazam!
The Voyage of Doctor Dolittle
Detective Pikochu
Godzilla 2
Rocketman
Gambit
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Artemis Fowl
It 2
The Addams Family
Terminator
Fox/Marvel (November)
Masters of the Universe

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Last edited by mark66 on Sun Dec 30, 2018 9:44 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Mon Sep 03, 2018 9:17 am
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2019
5
Avengers 4, Hobbs/Shaw, Toy Story 4, Star Wars 9, and Frozen 2.

I think The Lion King and Aladdin miss the mark.


Mon Sep 03, 2018 9:26 am
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2019
I'm going with 5 Disneys plus 007 (if JB25 stays in 2019) right now:

Dumbo
Avengers 4
Aladdin
The Lion King
James Bond 25
Star Wars 9

Once the big trailers come out during the Holiday Season I will probably change my selection...

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Mon Sep 03, 2018 9:35 am
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2019
WW84 n Captain Marvel will top a billion. The Gods demand it!

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Mon Sep 03, 2018 12:50 pm
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2019
... Disney galore.

Avengers 4
The Lion King
Aladdin
Toy Story 4
Frozen 2
Wonder Woman 1984
Episode 9


Mon Sep 03, 2018 1:40 pm
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2019
Aladdin is a little too sandwiched and MD releases have been disappointing for years, so I'd take it out.
Wonder Woman 1984 likely maxed out its potential domestically, and I don't see how it could overtake the OS grosses of Thor3 and SpiderMan: HC, especially with LA currencies being on a downhill.

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Mon Sep 03, 2018 2:01 pm
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2019
Aladdin will do HUGE in OS like Harry potter numbers so it should reach the mark even with unfavorable release date.


Mon Sep 03, 2018 10:19 pm
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2019
All the Disney films plus Fast Rock.


Tue Sep 04, 2018 12:42 am
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2019
Still cant believe they will release Aladdin and TLK 2 months apart.

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Tue Sep 04, 2018 10:04 am
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2019
Avengers 4
Toy Story 4
The Lion King
Frozen 2
Jumanji 2
Star Wars 9
A Local Chinese Product

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Tue Sep 04, 2018 10:42 am
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2019
I do not see any Chinese film reaching $1 billion worldwide. Wolf Warriors 2, their highest-grossing film of all-time, could only reach $870 million. American movies have made billions before. Seems silly to predict that a Chinese one will make it when one never has before, and when you have completely no idea of the films that will be released.


Tue Sep 04, 2018 8:18 pm
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2019
Well the market seems to be expanding in terms of local movies each year so the chances of a billion $$ domestic movie happening first in China are higher. nghtvsn just predicts it earlier though I feel this year we will get a $900m domestic movie from China.


Tue Sep 04, 2018 8:27 pm
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2019
The Chinese market is too unpredictable, mostly because nobody has their finger on the pulse. Your $900m prediction and nghtvsn's $1 billion prediction are based on absolutely nothing besides a punt that the market is growing and so it must happen eventually.


Tue Sep 04, 2018 8:50 pm
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2019
Mine is also based on that the last two years the record for the highest domestic movie of all time in the market was broken and this year the record would have been broken if two biggest movies of the year didn't clash on the same release date.


Wed Sep 05, 2018 5:35 am
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2019
There is no way of knowing that at all.


Wed Sep 05, 2018 5:56 am
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2019
Algren wrote:
There is no way of knowing that at all.


It's a prediction. Calm down. If one doesn't happen come back and say I told you so.

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Wed Sep 05, 2018 7:31 am
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2019
It wasn't a prediction. It was a claim that if x hadn't happened, y would have.


Wed Sep 05, 2018 9:14 am
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2019
Well pretty much every Disney film with the exception of probably Dumbo and Aladdin should easily cross the mark, but I could also see Bond 25, Wonder Woman 1984 and Jumanji 2 getting there as well. All three might decrease from their predecessors domestically, but I can still see some increases happening OS.


Wed Sep 05, 2018 2:03 pm
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2019
Algren wrote:
It wasn't a prediction. It was a claim that if x hadn't happened, y would have.


This is a prediction thread


Wed Sep 05, 2018 8:24 pm
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2019
Algren wrote:
There is no way of knowing that at all.

That's why the prediction


Wed Sep 05, 2018 8:25 pm
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2019
It's not a prediction at all because there will never be an answer (as it's already taken place). Predictions are for what will happen, not what could have happened in the past.


Wed Sep 05, 2018 8:57 pm
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2019
I've no idea what you just said. We were predicting for 2019 based on the past performances in the market. It's simple!! Don't complicate it with you said this and that


Wed Sep 05, 2018 9:41 pm
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2019
This is the conversation:

Jack Sparrow wrote:
this year the record would have been broken if two biggest movies of the year didn't clash on the same release date.


Algren wrote:
There is no way of knowing that at all.


nghtvsn wrote:
It's a prediction. Calm down. If one doesn't happen come back and say I told you so.


Algren wrote:
It wasn't a prediction. It was a claim that if x hadn't happened, y would have.


Doesn't seem complicated to me.


Wed Sep 05, 2018 11:27 pm
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2019
I knew you would bring that. I wasn't claiming that but yes good job you caught me with yet another wrong wording. I meant there was a chance instead of saying it would have. Still not a claim and there was enough uncertainty in the sentence. Anyways....


Last edited by Jack Sparrow on Thu Sep 06, 2018 1:02 am, edited 1 time in total.



Thu Sep 06, 2018 12:57 am
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2019
Algren wrote:
I do not see any Chinese film reaching $1 billion worldwide. Wolf Warriors 2, their highest-grossing film of all-time, could only reach $870 million. American movies have made billions before. Seems silly to predict that a Chinese one will make it when one never has before, and when you have completely no idea of the films that will be released.


The whole conversation started because of this sentence. You cannot say that one hasn't even made before so no movie will ever make it. What adds to this is that you use words like "silly" for a prediction. I mean how many times have you been wrong (much like all of us).

**stops ranting**


Thu Sep 06, 2018 1:01 am
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