World of KJ
http://worldofkj.com/forum/

KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - FINAL RESULTS
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=84673		 Page 4 of 7
Author:  Magic Mike [ Wed Sep 12, 2018 3:38 am ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018
BK wrote:
Yikes.

Just went through RT scores and read some more information on some of the films and I look screwed on some of them.

Halloween with Jamie Lee Curtis returning, kinda like Scream 4 but retaining the R (which is what I compared it to) but then the grosses were misleading in the BOM franchise tab. My $64m (exactly the same as the Nun) looks Dead Before Arrival. It'll probably make close to $100m and if it's actually good (currently fresh) might make around $120-130m.

Widows looked so, so, so generic. It still does, and although it's not as though Steve McQueen is a draw, perhaps it'll overperform to the tune of the higher predictors in the section.

And though a high RT score doesn't mean a movie will do well, I am on the lower end for A Star is Born, A Simple Favour and would probably miss out on The Hate U Give if that strikes a chord. Interesting to see how it all plays out.

Had a terrible showing last game.



Well, Halloween could honestly open to 64 Million :P. Buzz is huge. I mean it's finally a Halloween movie opening in October. You wouldn't think that would be so rare. Plus H20, which opened in summer, adjusts to over 100 Million.
Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Wed Sep 12, 2018 10:00 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018
Magic Mike wrote:
Well, Halloween could honestly open to 64 Million :P. Buzz is huge. I mean it's finally a Halloween movie opening in October. You wouldn't think that would be so rare. Plus H20, which opened in summer, adjusts to over 100 Million.


Here we go again....
Author:  MGKC [ Sat Sep 15, 2018 9:26 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Overview Page
Box office question charts are now up!

Along with the overview of the backup movies per Mike's request. :)
Author:  Magic Mike [ Sun Sep 16, 2018 2:32 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Overview Page
Dammit. I don't know how I typed 67 Million for Hunter Killer. It was supposed to be 37. That's what I have written down. Now I really hope it overperforms but there's no way it does that well. :(


Anyway thanks for doing the backup charts. :)
Author:  MGKC [ Sun Sep 16, 2018 4:29 pm ]
Post subject: 
Weekly Ranking for Sep 16

First points update of the game! Trying out a new format since we have more movies than players for the first time in awhile.

Image

Total Gross Projections
The Nun - $105 million
The Predator - $52 million
A Simple Favor - $40 million

Current Top 5
1. The Nun - $85.1 million
2. The Predator - $24.0 million
3. A Simple Favor - $16.1 million

Current Answers to Box Office Questions
#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Halloween, The Nun, The Predator, or Suspira?
  • The Nun and The Predator (currently within $61.1 million of each other)

#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends?
  • Peppermint (currently $24.2 million)

#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)?
  • Peppermint (currently $24.2 million)
Author:  MGKC [ Sun Sep 16, 2018 4:49 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
For the points update charts - I'd like your feedback too.

Do you want me to only show:
  • Movies that are being scored currently (Nun, Predator, Simple Favor)
  • Movies that are being scored currently (Nun, Predator, Simple Favor) plus movies that come out next weekend
  • All movies in the game

For the movies I show, which order do you want me to show them?
  • Release date order (I currently am doing this)
  • Alphabetical (it's actually a coincidence that the current movies are also in alphabetical order currently)
Author:  zwackerm [ Sun Sep 16, 2018 8:08 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
Release date order will be easier to read, and only show the movies that are already out.
Author:  Algren [ Sun Sep 16, 2018 8:24 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
Show all movies and in release date order.
Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Sun Sep 16, 2018 8:42 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
Predator is not getting to $50m. I'll get my points with $40m prediction.
Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Sun Sep 16, 2018 8:42 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
Algren wrote:
Show all movies and in release date order.


Yep I'd like that
Author:  David [ Mon Sep 17, 2018 1:27 am ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
I truly believe Overlord is going to flop and be a rare misstep for the J. J. Abrams brand. It feels out-of-place in November, and the trailer just seems niche: Nazi zombies set to AC/DC.
Author:  moviegeek151 [ Mon Sep 17, 2018 2:05 am ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
I like the idea of showing the movies that are out plus the ones from the next week. I would put them in alphabetical order, though, with maybe the unreleased movies at the very bottom. I think it'll start to get confusing to find predictions once there's a lot that have been released.

These charts look great, though! Thanks for your work.
Author:  Price [ Mon Sep 17, 2018 4:59 am ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
I like it the way it's now.
Show just the movies that have been released and in release date order.
Author:  Proud Ryu [ Mon Sep 17, 2018 10:07 am ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
Price wrote:
I like it the way it's now.
Show just the movies that have been released and in release date order.


I agree I really like it. We should test it out this way and then later if people think it's too muddled by not being alphabetical it can be changed.

I definitely don't think all movies need displayed. Maybe next week's as a reminder of what's on deck.

Adding the questions is a great idea.

Really nice new format.
Author:  Algren [ Mon Sep 17, 2018 12:10 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
The order is good. But I want to see what I predicted and what others predicted without having to check my PM to MGKC every time.
Author:  Price [ Mon Sep 17, 2018 2:43 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
Algren wrote:
The order is good. But I want to see what I predicted and what others predicted without having to check my PM to MGKC every time.


Page 3.
Author:  Algren [ Mon Sep 17, 2018 7:55 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
That's just as inconvenient.
Author:  Magic Mike [ Mon Sep 17, 2018 11:55 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
David wrote:
I truly believe Overlord is going to flop and be a rare misstep for the J. J. Abrams brand. It feels out-of-place in November, and the trailer just seems niche: Nazi zombies set to AC/DC.


I think it looks really fun and the AC/DC song works for it. I hope it doesn't totally flop.
Author:  Flava'd vs The World [ Tue Sep 18, 2018 12:16 am ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
Algren wrote:
The order is good. But I want to see what I predicted and what others predicted without having to check my PM to MGKC every time.
You could just post your predictions in the thread. :P

I would be into a rule change that says no more PMs. I always enjoy reading peoples lists and seeing how different they can be. And if everyone has access to the same information then nobody is at a disadvantage.
Author:  Algren [ Tue Sep 18, 2018 12:20 am ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
I also want to see everyone else's while I check my own.. so better to show everyone's predictions.
Author:  stuffp [ Tue Sep 18, 2018 12:48 am ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
I prefer to show the whole prediction table with the scoring as before, it just gives the best overview.
Author:  Flava'd vs The World [ Sat Sep 22, 2018 12:16 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
I was the only one to go Life Itself on the theater drop question and am feeling pretty good about it. Venom and A Star Is Born will take all the screens in two weeks and amazon will probably want to salvage the situation by getting it on Prime a$ap.
Author:  MGKC [ Sun Sep 23, 2018 10:42 pm ]
Post subject: 
Weekly Ranking for Sep 23

Image

Full chart with all movies:
Spoiler: show
Image


Total Gross Projections
The Nun - $124 million
The Predator - $52 million
A Simple Favor - $49 million
Fahrenheit 11/9 - $8 million
The House With A Clock In Its Walls - $81 million

Current Top 5
1. The Nun - $100.9 million
2. The Predator - $40.1 million
3. A Simple Favor - $32.3 million
4. The House With A Clock In Its Walls - $26.9 million
5. Fahrenheit 11/9 - $3.1 million

Current Answers to Box Office Questions
#1: Which will gross more in total - the combination of Mary Poppins Returns and Smallfoot, the combination of Dr. Seuss' The Grinch and The House With A Clock In Its Walls, or the combination of The Nutcracker and the Four Realms and Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse?
  • Dr. Seuss' The Grinch and The House With A Clock In Its Walls (currently $26.9 million)

#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Halloween, The Nun, The Predator, or Suspira?
  • The Nun and The Predator (currently within $61.1 million of each other)

#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends?
  • God Bless the Broken Road (-977 theaters)

#7: What movie will lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend?
  • Peppermint (currently $30.3 million)

#8: How many films will gross over $100 million?
  • One (The Nun)

#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)?
  • Peppermint (currently $30.3 million)
Author:  Proud Ryu [ Tue Sep 25, 2018 3:03 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
Doesn't really matter, but #6 is currently A Simple Favor and #7 is God Bless (which you had as #6).
Author:  Magic Mike [ Fri Sep 28, 2018 5:37 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
So glad I'm one of the top predictors for Holmes & Watson. That's going to do well.
Page 4 of 7 All times are UTC - 5 hours [ DST ]
Powered by phpBB © 2000, 2002, 2005, 2007 phpBB Group
http://www.phpbb.com/