Register  |  Sign In
View unanswered posts | View active topics It is currently Sun Nov 17, 2019 2:19 am



Reply to topic  [ 174 posts ]  Go to page Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7  Next
 KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - FINAL RESULTS 
Author Message
Wallflower
User avatar

Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 33238
Location: Minnesota
Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018
BK wrote:
Yikes.

Just went through RT scores and read some more information on some of the films and I look screwed on some of them.

Halloween with Jamie Lee Curtis returning, kinda like Scream 4 but retaining the R (which is what I compared it to) but then the grosses were misleading in the BOM franchise tab. My $64m (exactly the same as the Nun) looks Dead Before Arrival. It'll probably make close to $100m and if it's actually good (currently fresh) might make around $120-130m.

Widows looked so, so, so generic. It still does, and although it's not as though Steve McQueen is a draw, perhaps it'll overperform to the tune of the higher predictors in the section.

And though a high RT score doesn't mean a movie will do well, I am on the lower end for A Star is Born, A Simple Favour and would probably miss out on The Hate U Give if that strikes a chord. Interesting to see how it all plays out.

Had a terrible showing last game.



Well, Halloween could honestly open to 64 Million :P. Buzz is huge. I mean it's finally a Halloween movie opening in October. You wouldn't think that would be so rare. Plus H20, which opened in summer, adjusts to over 100 Million.

_________________
Image


Wed Sep 12, 2018 3:38 am
Profile
Why is the rum gone???
User avatar

Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 30230
Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018
Magic Mike wrote:
Well, Halloween could honestly open to 64 Million :P. Buzz is huge. I mean it's finally a Halloween movie opening in October. You wouldn't think that would be so rare. Plus H20, which opened in summer, adjusts to over 100 Million.


Here we go again....


Wed Sep 12, 2018 10:00 pm
Profile
---------
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm
Posts: 11798
Location: Kansas City, Kansas
Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Overview Page
Box office question charts are now up!

Along with the overview of the backup movies per Mike's request. :)


Sat Sep 15, 2018 9:26 pm
Profile
Wallflower
User avatar

Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 33238
Location: Minnesota
Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Overview Page
Dammit. I don't know how I typed 67 Million for Hunter Killer. It was supposed to be 37. That's what I have written down. Now I really hope it overperforms but there's no way it does that well. :(


Anyway thanks for doing the backup charts. :)

_________________
Image


Sun Sep 16, 2018 2:32 pm
Profile
---------
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm
Posts: 11798
Location: Kansas City, Kansas
Post 
Weekly Ranking for Sep 16

First points update of the game! Trying out a new format since we have more movies than players for the first time in awhile.

Image

Total Gross Projections
The Nun - $105 million
The Predator - $52 million
A Simple Favor - $40 million

Current Top 5
1. The Nun - $85.1 million
2. The Predator - $24.0 million
3. A Simple Favor - $16.1 million

Current Answers to Box Office Questions
#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Halloween, The Nun, The Predator, or Suspira?
  • The Nun and The Predator (currently within $61.1 million of each other)

#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends?
  • Peppermint (currently $24.2 million)

#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)?
  • Peppermint (currently $24.2 million)


Sun Sep 16, 2018 4:29 pm
Profile
---------
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm
Posts: 11798
Location: Kansas City, Kansas
Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
For the points update charts - I'd like your feedback too.

Do you want me to only show:
  • Movies that are being scored currently (Nun, Predator, Simple Favor)
  • Movies that are being scored currently (Nun, Predator, Simple Favor) plus movies that come out next weekend
  • All movies in the game

For the movies I show, which order do you want me to show them?
  • Release date order (I currently am doing this)
  • Alphabetical (it's actually a coincidence that the current movies are also in alphabetical order currently)


Sun Sep 16, 2018 4:49 pm
Profile
Hold the door!
User avatar

Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 14818
Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
Release date order will be easier to read, and only show the movies that are already out.

_________________
Image


Sun Sep 16, 2018 8:08 pm
Profile
now we know
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 63722
Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
Show all movies and in release date order.


Sun Sep 16, 2018 8:24 pm
Profile
Why is the rum gone???
User avatar

Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 30230
Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
Predator is not getting to $50m. I'll get my points with $40m prediction.


Sun Sep 16, 2018 8:42 pm
Profile
Why is the rum gone???
User avatar

Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 30230
Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
Algren wrote:
Show all movies and in release date order.


Yep I'd like that


Sun Sep 16, 2018 8:42 pm
Profile
Pure Phase
User avatar

Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34867
Location: Maryland
Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
I truly believe Overlord is going to flop and be a rare misstep for the J. J. Abrams brand. It feels out-of-place in November, and the trailer just seems niche: Nazi zombies set to AC/DC.

_________________
ImageImageImage

1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game


Mon Sep 17, 2018 1:27 am
Profile
Child Actor
User avatar

Joined: Fri Apr 26, 2013 9:28 pm
Posts: 38
Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
I like the idea of showing the movies that are out plus the ones from the next week. I would put them in alphabetical order, though, with maybe the unreleased movies at the very bottom. I think it'll start to get confusing to find predictions once there's a lot that have been released.

These charts look great, though! Thanks for your work.


Mon Sep 17, 2018 2:05 am
Profile
Gamaur's sex slave
User avatar

Joined: Tue Dec 20, 2005 7:15 pm
Posts: 8867
Location: Los Pollos Hermanos
Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
I like it the way it's now.
Show just the movies that have been released and in release date order.

_________________
Image


Mon Sep 17, 2018 4:59 am
Profile
Deshi Basara
User avatar

Joined: Thu Sep 27, 2007 3:36 pm
Posts: 5310
Location: The Interstice
Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
Price wrote:
I like it the way it's now.
Show just the movies that have been released and in release date order.


I agree I really like it. We should test it out this way and then later if people think it's too muddled by not being alphabetical it can be changed.

I definitely don't think all movies need displayed. Maybe next week's as a reminder of what's on deck.

Adding the questions is a great idea.

Really nice new format.

_________________
Top 10 Most Impressive Box Office Opening Weekends

Most Impressive Openings: Honorable Mentions


Mon Sep 17, 2018 10:07 am
Profile
now we know
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 63722
Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
The order is good. But I want to see what I predicted and what others predicted without having to check my PM to MGKC every time.


Mon Sep 17, 2018 12:10 pm
Profile
Gamaur's sex slave
User avatar

Joined: Tue Dec 20, 2005 7:15 pm
Posts: 8867
Location: Los Pollos Hermanos
Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
Algren wrote:
The order is good. But I want to see what I predicted and what others predicted without having to check my PM to MGKC every time.


Page 3.

_________________
Image


Mon Sep 17, 2018 2:43 pm
Profile
now we know
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 63722
Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
That's just as inconvenient.


Mon Sep 17, 2018 7:55 pm
Profile
Wallflower
User avatar

Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 33238
Location: Minnesota
Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
David wrote:
I truly believe Overlord is going to flop and be a rare misstep for the J. J. Abrams brand. It feels out-of-place in November, and the trailer just seems niche: Nazi zombies set to AC/DC.


I think it looks really fun and the AC/DC song works for it. I hope it doesn't totally flop.

_________________
Image


Mon Sep 17, 2018 11:55 pm
Profile
The Kramer
User avatar

Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 15823
Location: Classified
Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
Algren wrote:
The order is good. But I want to see what I predicted and what others predicted without having to check my PM to MGKC every time.
You could just post your predictions in the thread. :P

I would be into a rule change that says no more PMs. I always enjoy reading peoples lists and seeing how different they can be. And if everyone has access to the same information then nobody is at a disadvantage.


Tue Sep 18, 2018 12:16 am
Profile
now we know
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 63722
Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
I also want to see everyone else's while I check my own.. so better to show everyone's predictions.


Tue Sep 18, 2018 12:20 am
Profile
Online
Keeping it Light
User avatar

Joined: Wed Apr 08, 2015 8:06 am
Posts: 9703
Location: Bright Falls
Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
I prefer to show the whole prediction table with the scoring as before, it just gives the best overview.


Tue Sep 18, 2018 12:48 am
Profile
The Kramer
User avatar

Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 15823
Location: Classified
Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
I was the only one to go Life Itself on the theater drop question and am feeling pretty good about it. Venom and A Star Is Born will take all the screens in two weeks and amazon will probably want to salvage the situation by getting it on Prime a$ap.


Sat Sep 22, 2018 12:16 pm
Profile
---------
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm
Posts: 11798
Location: Kansas City, Kansas
Post 
Weekly Ranking for Sep 23

Image

Full chart with all movies:
Spoiler: show
Image


Total Gross Projections
The Nun - $124 million
The Predator - $52 million
A Simple Favor - $49 million
Fahrenheit 11/9 - $8 million
The House With A Clock In Its Walls - $81 million

Current Top 5
1. The Nun - $100.9 million
2. The Predator - $40.1 million
3. A Simple Favor - $32.3 million
4. The House With A Clock In Its Walls - $26.9 million
5. Fahrenheit 11/9 - $3.1 million

Current Answers to Box Office Questions
#1: Which will gross more in total - the combination of Mary Poppins Returns and Smallfoot, the combination of Dr. Seuss' The Grinch and The House With A Clock In Its Walls, or the combination of The Nutcracker and the Four Realms and Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse?
  • Dr. Seuss' The Grinch and The House With A Clock In Its Walls (currently $26.9 million)

#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Halloween, The Nun, The Predator, or Suspira?
  • The Nun and The Predator (currently within $61.1 million of each other)

#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends?
  • God Bless the Broken Road (-977 theaters)

#7: What movie will lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend?
  • Peppermint (currently $30.3 million)

#8: How many films will gross over $100 million?
  • One (The Nun)

#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)?
  • Peppermint (currently $30.3 million)


Sun Sep 23, 2018 10:42 pm
Profile
Deshi Basara
User avatar

Joined: Thu Sep 27, 2007 3:36 pm
Posts: 5310
Location: The Interstice
Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
Doesn't really matter, but #6 is currently A Simple Favor and #7 is God Bless (which you had as #6).

_________________
Top 10 Most Impressive Box Office Opening Weekends

Most Impressive Openings: Honorable Mentions


Tue Sep 25, 2018 3:03 pm
Profile
Wallflower
User avatar

Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 33238
Location: Minnesota
Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
So glad I'm one of the top predictors for Holmes & Watson. That's going to do well.

_________________
Image


Fri Sep 28, 2018 5:37 pm
Profile
Display posts from previous:  Sort by  
Reply to topic   [ 174 posts ]  Go to page Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7  Next

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: stuffp and 4 guests


You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot post attachments in this forum

Search for:
Jump to:  
cron
Powered by phpBB © 2000, 2002, 2005, 2007 phpBB Group.
Designed by STSoftware for PTF.