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 KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 12/24 
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Hold the door!
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 12
Where is the next game?

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Mon Dec 17, 2018 12:32 pm
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Wallflower
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 12
Proud Ryu wrote:
Mike I'm pretty sure you're going to (permanently) overtake me.


I wouldn't be so sure.

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Tue Dec 18, 2018 2:04 am
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 12
zwackerm wrote:
Where is the next game?

Likely sometime over the next 7 days, with a possible game launch of Jan 11. Absolute latest game launch will be Jan 18.


Wed Dec 19, 2018 10:05 am
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Wallflower
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 12
Well let's get planning! :P

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Thu Dec 20, 2018 5:06 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 12
Damn I was hoping to get points for Poppins on question #6, but no way it passes Star Is Born now. I'll definitely get points for Mortal Engines, Spiderverse Bumblebee nd Aquaman are maybes, Holmes and Marwen are definite nos (wtf was I thinking on WTM?)

Still can hope for a top 3 finish but seems pretty unlikely. :mad:


Sat Dec 22, 2018 2:49 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 12
I think we all predicted too much on Marwen.

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Sat Dec 22, 2018 3:07 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 12
Mary Poppins Returns made the most top 5 predictions, and now there's a pretty decent chance it won't even ran in the final top 5. Has that ever happened before in a game?


Sat Dec 22, 2018 4:37 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 12
It seems these are the most likely rankings for the season

1. Aquaman
2. Grinch
3. Venom
4. A Star is Born
5. Bohemian Rhapsody

6. Ralph Breaks the Internet
7. Mary Poppins Returns
8. Halloween
9. Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald
10. Bumblebee

Everyone was so wildly off on Beasts, Ralph and Poppins.

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Sat Dec 22, 2018 5:28 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 12
Algren should be the only one to get points for all three films I think. I had poppins and ralph both as sub 200m grossers but was pretty wildly off on beasts.


Mon Dec 24, 2018 2:20 am
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Weekly Ranking for Dec 24

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Total Gross Projections
The Nun - $117.45 million
The Predator - $51.024 million
A Simple Favor - $53.7 million
Fahrenheit 11/9 - $6.4 million
The House With A Clock In Its Walls - $68.475 million
Night School - $77.2 million
Smallfoot - $82.4 million
The Hate U Give - $29.6 million
A Star is Born - $202 million
Venom - $213.7 million
Bad Times at the El Royale - $17.839 million
First Man - $44.9 million
Halloween - $159.4 million
Hunter Killer - $15.767 million
Johnny English Strikes Again - $4.286 million
Suspiria - $2.4 million
Bohemian Rhapsody - $190 million
The Nutcracker and the Four Realms - $54.4 million
Dr. Seuss' The Grinch - $280 million
The Girl in the Spider's Web - $14.8 million
Overlord - $21.9 million
Boy Erased - $8.5 million
Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald - $159 million
Widows - $44 million
Creed 2 - $113 million
Ralph Breaks the Internet - $180 million
Robin Hood - $30.6 million
Mortal Engines - $15.5 million
Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse - $125 million
Mary Poppins Returns - $125 million
Aquaman - $250 million
Bumblebee - $90 million
Welcome to Marwen - $8 million

Current Top 5
1. Dr. Seuss' The Grinch - $253.2 million
2. Venom - $213.0 million
3. A Star is Born - $200.1 million
4. Bohemian Rhapsody - $184.7 million
5. Ralph Breaks the Internet - $162.1 million

Current Answers to Box Office Questions
#1: Which will gross more in total - the combination of Mary Poppins Returns and Smallfoot, the combination of Dr. Seuss' The Grinch and The House With A Clock In Its Walls, or the combination of The Nutcracker and the Four Realms and Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse?
  • Dr. Seuss' The Grinch and The House With A Clock In Its Walls (currently $321.7 million)

#2: Which will gross more in total - the combination of Aquaman and Hunter Killer, the combination of Bumblebee and Venom, or the combination of Alita: Battle Angel, Mortal Engines, and Robin Hood?
  • VOID

#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Halloween, The Nun, The Predator, or Suspira?
  • Halloween and The Nun

#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Creed 2, Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald, Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween, Johnny English Strikes Again, or Ralph Breaks the Internet?
  • Johnny English Strikes Again

#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Creed 2, Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald, Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween, Johnny English Strikes Again, or Ralph Breaks the Internet?
  • Creed 2 (currently -1.0%)

#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends?
  • A Star is Born (currently $200.1 million)

#7: What movie will lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend?
  • Life Itself (-2,113 theaters)

#8: How many films will gross over $100 million?
  • Nine (The Nun, Venom, A Star is Born, Halloween, Bohemian Rhapsody, Dr. Seuss' The Grinch, Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald, Ralph Breaks the Internet, Creed II)

#9: How many films will gross over $200 million?
  • Three (Venom, Dr. Seuss' The Grinch, A Star is Born)

#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)?
  • Instant Family (currently $62.5 million)


Mon Dec 24, 2018 12:29 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 12
So the Top 5 is :

1. Aquaman
2. Grinch
3. & 4. Venom/A Star Is Born
5. Bohemian/Ralph

Crazy.

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Sun Jan 06, 2019 10:12 pm
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Deshi Basara
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 12
Jonathan wrote:
Mary Poppins Returns made the most top 5 predictions, and now there's a pretty decent chance it won't even ran in the final top 5. Has that ever happened before in a game?


Even the *top 3* most predicted films in the top 5 did not make it! I'm willing to bet that that has never happened. Despite this the award for biggest surprise in my opinion has to go to Bohemian Rhapsody making the top 5.

We all definitely overestimated the appeal of family-friendly sequels. Presumably The Grinch stole much of the Christmas from those films. Interestingly, we did *not* overestimate comic book superheros or long-standing horror franchises.

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Tue Jan 08, 2019 11:52 am
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 12
I should win for putting Aquaman first.

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Tue Jan 08, 2019 12:19 pm
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Deshi Basara
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 12
So what is left to be determined with this season?

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Most Impressive Openings: Honorable Mentions


Mon Feb 04, 2019 10:26 am
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 12
Proud Ryu wrote:
So what is left to be determined with this season?

The winner is definitely set. :thumbsup: I'm just waiting on the Top 5 movies to shake out (Venom vs. Bohemian Rhapsody vs. A Star is Born) to have a more final chart.


Mon Feb 04, 2019 2:37 pm
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Deshi Basara
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 12
Makes sense - I forgot how crazy close that race was.

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Top 10 Most Impressive Box Office Opening Weekends

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Mon Feb 04, 2019 3:13 pm
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