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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018
BK wrote: Yikes.
Just went through RT scores and read some more information on some of the films and I look screwed on some of them.
Halloween with Jamie Lee Curtis returning, kinda like Scream 4 but retaining the R (which is what I compared it to) but then the grosses were misleading in the BOM franchise tab. My $64m (exactly the same as the Nun) looks Dead Before Arrival. It'll probably make close to $100m and if it's actually good (currently fresh) might make around $120-130m.
Widows looked so, so, so generic. It still does, and although it's not as though Steve McQueen is a draw, perhaps it'll overperform to the tune of the higher predictors in the section.
And though a high RT score doesn't mean a movie will do well, I am on the lower end for A Star is Born, A Simple Favour and would probably miss out on The Hate U Give if that strikes a chord. Interesting to see how it all plays out.
Had a terrible showing last game. Well, Halloween could honestly open to 64 Million . Buzz is huge. I mean it's finally a Halloween movie opening in October. You wouldn't think that would be so rare. Plus H20, which opened in summer, adjusts to over 100 Million.
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Wed Sep 12, 2018 3:38 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018
Magic Mike wrote: Well, Halloween could honestly open to 64 Million . Buzz is huge. I mean it's finally a Halloween movie opening in October. You wouldn't think that would be so rare. Plus H20, which opened in summer, adjusts to over 100 Million. Here we go again....
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Wed Sep 12, 2018 10:00 pm |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm Posts: 11808 Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Overview Page
Box office question charts are now up! Along with the overview of the backup movies per Mike's request.
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Sat Sep 15, 2018 9:26 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Overview Page
Dammit. I don't know how I typed 67 Million for Hunter Killer. It was supposed to be 37. That's what I have written down. Now I really hope it overperforms but there's no way it does that well. Anyway thanks for doing the backup charts.
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Sun Sep 16, 2018 2:32 pm |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm Posts: 11808 Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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Weekly Ranking for Sep 16First points update of the game! Trying out a new format since we have more movies than players for the first time in awhile. Total Gross ProjectionsThe Nun - $105 million The Predator - $52 million A Simple Favor - $40 million Current Top 51. The Nun - $85.1 million 2. The Predator - $24.0 million 3. A Simple Favor - $16.1 million Current Answers to Box Office Questions#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Halloween, The Nun, The Predator, or Suspira? - The Nun and The Predator (currently within $61.1 million of each other)
#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends? - Peppermint (currently $24.2 million)
#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? - Peppermint (currently $24.2 million)
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Sun Sep 16, 2018 4:29 pm |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm Posts: 11808 Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
For the points update charts - I'd like your feedback too. Do you want me to only show: - Movies that are being scored currently (Nun, Predator, Simple Favor)
- Movies that are being scored currently (Nun, Predator, Simple Favor) plus movies that come out next weekend
- All movies in the game
For the movies I show, which order do you want me to show them? - Release date order (I currently am doing this)
- Alphabetical (it's actually a coincidence that the current movies are also in alphabetical order currently)
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Sun Sep 16, 2018 4:49 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20369 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
Release date order will be easier to read, and only show the movies that are already out.
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Sun Sep 16, 2018 8:08 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67059
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Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
Show all movies and in release date order.
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Sun Sep 16, 2018 8:24 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
Predator is not getting to $50m. I'll get my points with $40m prediction.
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Sun Sep 16, 2018 8:42 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
Algren wrote: Show all movies and in release date order. Yep I'd like that
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Sun Sep 16, 2018 8:42 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am Posts: 34865 Location: Maryland
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Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
I truly believe Overlord is going to flop and be a rare misstep for the J. J. Abrams brand. It feels out-of-place in November, and the trailer just seems niche: Nazi zombies set to AC/DC.
_________________1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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Mon Sep 17, 2018 1:27 am |
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moviegeek151
Child Actor
Joined: Fri Apr 26, 2013 9:28 pm Posts: 38
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Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
I like the idea of showing the movies that are out plus the ones from the next week. I would put them in alphabetical order, though, with maybe the unreleased movies at the very bottom. I think it'll start to get confusing to find predictions once there's a lot that have been released.
These charts look great, though! Thanks for your work.
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Mon Sep 17, 2018 2:05 am |
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Price
Gamaur's sex slave
Joined: Tue Dec 20, 2005 7:15 pm Posts: 8889 Location: Los Pollos Hermanos
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Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
I like it the way it's now. Show just the movies that have been released and in release date order.
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Mon Sep 17, 2018 4:59 am |
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Proud Ryu
Deshi Basara
Joined: Thu Sep 27, 2007 3:36 pm Posts: 5322 Location: The Interstice
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Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
Price wrote: I like it the way it's now. Show just the movies that have been released and in release date order. I agree I really like it. We should test it out this way and then later if people think it's too muddled by not being alphabetical it can be changed. I definitely don't think all movies need displayed. Maybe next week's as a reminder of what's on deck. Adding the questions is a great idea. Really nice new format.
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Mon Sep 17, 2018 10:07 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67059
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Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
The order is good. But I want to see what I predicted and what others predicted without having to check my PM to MGKC every time.
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Mon Sep 17, 2018 12:10 pm |
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Price
Gamaur's sex slave
Joined: Tue Dec 20, 2005 7:15 pm Posts: 8889 Location: Los Pollos Hermanos
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Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
Algren wrote: The order is good. But I want to see what I predicted and what others predicted without having to check my PM to MGKC every time. Page 3.
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Mon Sep 17, 2018 2:43 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67059
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Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
That's just as inconvenient.
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Mon Sep 17, 2018 7:55 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
David wrote: I truly believe Overlord is going to flop and be a rare misstep for the J. J. Abrams brand. It feels out-of-place in November, and the trailer just seems niche: Nazi zombies set to AC/DC. I think it looks really fun and the AC/DC song works for it. I hope it doesn't totally flop.
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Mon Sep 17, 2018 11:55 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23831 Location: Classified
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Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
Algren wrote: The order is good. But I want to see what I predicted and what others predicted without having to check my PM to MGKC every time. You could just post your predictions in the thread. I would be into a rule change that says no more PMs. I always enjoy reading peoples lists and seeing how different they can be. And if everyone has access to the same information then nobody is at a disadvantage.
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Tue Sep 18, 2018 12:16 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67059
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Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
I also want to see everyone else's while I check my own.. so better to show everyone's predictions.
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Tue Sep 18, 2018 12:20 am |
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stuffp
Keeping it Light
Joined: Wed Apr 08, 2015 8:06 am Posts: 11217 Location: Bright Falls
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Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
I prefer to show the whole prediction table with the scoring as before, it just gives the best overview.
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Tue Sep 18, 2018 12:48 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23831 Location: Classified
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Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
I was the only one to go Life Itself on the theater drop question and am feeling pretty good about it. Venom and A Star Is Born will take all the screens in two weeks and amazon will probably want to salvage the situation by getting it on Prime a$ap.
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Sat Sep 22, 2018 12:16 pm |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm Posts: 11808 Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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Weekly Ranking for Sep 23Full chart with all movies: Total Gross ProjectionsThe Nun - $124 million The Predator - $52 million A Simple Favor - $49 million Fahrenheit 11/9 - $8 million The House With A Clock In Its Walls - $81 million Current Top 51. The Nun - $100.9 million 2. The Predator - $40.1 million 3. A Simple Favor - $32.3 million 4. The House With A Clock In Its Walls - $26.9 million 5. Fahrenheit 11/9 - $3.1 million Current Answers to Box Office Questions#1: Which will gross more in total - the combination of Mary Poppins Returns and Smallfoot, the combination of Dr. Seuss' The Grinch and The House With A Clock In Its Walls, or the combination of The Nutcracker and the Four Realms and Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse? - Dr. Seuss' The Grinch and The House With A Clock In Its Walls (currently $26.9 million)
#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Halloween, The Nun, The Predator, or Suspira? - The Nun and The Predator (currently within $61.1 million of each other)
#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends? - God Bless the Broken Road (-977 theaters)
#7: What movie will lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend? - Peppermint (currently $30.3 million)
#8: How many films will gross over $100 million? #10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? - Peppermint (currently $30.3 million)
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Sun Sep 23, 2018 10:42 pm |
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Proud Ryu
Deshi Basara
Joined: Thu Sep 27, 2007 3:36 pm Posts: 5322 Location: The Interstice
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Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
Doesn't really matter, but #6 is currently A Simple Favor and #7 is God Bless (which you had as #6).
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Tue Sep 25, 2018 3:03 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Pts Update 9/
So glad I'm one of the top predictors for Holmes & Watson. That's going to do well.
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Fri Sep 28, 2018 5:37 pm |
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