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 KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - FINAL RESULTS 
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KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018

This one should be really fun - we have no clear #1 movie for this season!

Also - we have a couple changes to this game:
1) The Top 5 point rule has changed. You get 1 point if you name a movie that ends up in the top 5. You score another point for that movie if you guess its rank correctly. The bonus for a perfect top 5 has changed from 15 points to 10 points. (Check out the rules section if you're confused.)

2) We will be predicting a record 35 movies this season. There's just so many that are interesting to predict, that I wanted to include them all. This means if you win this season, you will go down as one of the best predictors on this website.

The season's contest covers movies released from September 7th, 2018 to December 28th, 2018. The player with the most points at the end of the game will receive a $25 gift card.

How the Points Work
Spoiler: show
Each player predicts the total domestic box office grosses of 35 movies listed further below. It's the ultimate test in box office predictions: guessing a movie's potential final gross before the season even starts with few, if any, tracking numbers. For each movie, the top 25% of players who predicted most accurately will get 3 points a piece.

Players can also score bonus points. The first is the Top 5. Each players will predict the season's five biggest films. Each movie that you include in your top 5 predictions that ends up somewhere in the top 5 scores 1 point. Each movie that you correctly predict its top 5 rank scores an additional 1 point. An extra bonus of 10 points is given to any player who correctly predicts the Top 5 perfectly. (This has still never been done in the 5+ year history of this game.) Only the 35 movies (and 2 backup movies) that are being predicted are contenders for our Top 5 point system.

Finally, players predict the answers to ten box office questions. A correct answer scores 2 points.

Ties in overall points are broken by who has the lowest total difference between each of their movie predictions and the actual total.

Release changes
TOTAL GROSS PREDICTIONS - Backup movies are in place in case any of the 25 predicted movies change their release date. (Once a movie moves its release date outside our season window, the first backup movie listed comes into play.)
TOP 5 PREDICTIONS - Only the 35 predicted movies (and 2 backup movies) are eligible for the Top 5 ranking, so no blockbuster that gets released last-minute into the season will be eligible. If a movie that appears in over 30% of Top 5 predictions moves out of the season, then affected players' Top 5 predictions will be automatically adjusted with what was their next highest-predicted movie.
BOX OFFICE QUESTIONS - A box office question will be voided in the following scenarios:
-The movie with the release date change is specifically mentioned in the question
-The movie with the release date change appears in over 30% of player responses to the question


Ready?
Fill out the form below and paste in this thread / PM it to me by September 6th, 2018 at 11:59 PM CST. Good luck! :thumbsup:

Predict the Following Films' Total Gross
Alita: Battle Angel
Aquaman
Bad Times at the El Royale
Bohemian Rhapsody
Boy Erased
Bumblebee
Creed 2
Dr. Seuss' The Grinch
Fahrenheit 11/9
Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald
First Man
The Girl in the Spider's Web
Halloween
The Hate U Give
Holmes & Watson
The House With A Clock In Its Walls
Mary Poppins Returns
Mortal Engines
Night School
The Nun
The Nutcracker and the Four Realms
Overlord
The Predator
Ralph Breaks the Internet
Robin Hood
Serenity
The Silence
A Simple Favor
Smallfoot
Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse
A Star is Born
Suspira
Welcome to Marwen
Widows
Venom

Backups
Hunter Killer
Johnny English Strikes Again

Predict the Top 5 Grossing Movies of Fall/Winter 2018
#1:
#2:
#3:
#4:
#5:

The 10 Box Office Questions

#1: Which will gross more in total - the combination of Mary Poppins Returns and Smallfoot, the combination of Dr. Seuss' The Grinch and The House With A Clock In Its Walls, or the combination of The Nutcracker and the Four Realms and Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse?
#2: Which will gross more in total - the combination of Aquaman and Hunter Killer, the combination of Bumblebee and Venom, or the combination of Alita: Battle Angel, Mortal Engines, and Robin Hood?
#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Halloween, The Nun, The Predator, or Suspira?
#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Creed 2, Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald, Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween, Johnny English Strikes Again, or Ralph Breaks the Internet?
#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Creed 2, Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald, Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween, Johnny English Strikes Again, or Ralph Breaks the Internet?
#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends?
#7: What movie will have lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend?
#8: How many films will gross over $100 million?
#9: How many films will gross over $200 million?
#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)?

NOTE on #10: If your movie has its release date moved out of the season window, the question will not be voided. Choose your movie carefully based on potential gross and likelihood of being released in this season's window.

Remember, the season's contest covers movies released from September 7th, 2018 to December 28th, 2018. The deadline for filling out the form is September 6th, 2018 at 11:59 PM CST.


Sun Aug 12, 2018 10:34 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - NEW
Predict the Following Films' Total Gross
Alita: Battle Angel- 50
Aquaman- 290
Bad Times at the El Royale- 35
Bohemian Rhapsody- 100
Boy Erased- 40
Bumblebee- 165
Creed 2- 110
Dr. Seuss' The Grinch- 155
Fahrenheit 11/9- 25
Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald- 240
First Man- 75
The Girl in the Spider's Web- 55
Halloween- 105
The Hate U Give- 18
Holmes & Watson- 90
The House With A Clock In Its Walls- 65
Mary Poppins Returns- 250
Mortal Engines- 65
Night School- 75
The Nun- 120
The Nutcracker and the Four Realms- 100
Overlord- 25
The Predator- 55
Ralph Breaks the Internet- 315
Robin Hood- 45
Serenity- 25
The Silence- 16
A Simple Favor- 70
Smallfoot- 85
Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse- 115
A Star is Born- 130
Suspira- 22
Welcome to Marwen- 45
Widows- 65
Venom- 160

Backups
Hunter Killer- 20
Johnny English Strikes Again- 5

Predict the Top 5 Grossing Movies of Fall/Winter 2018
#1:Ralph Breaks the Internet
#2:Aquaman
#3:Mary Poppins Returns
#4:Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald
#5:Bumblebee

The 10 Box Office Questions

#1: Which will gross more in total - the combination of Mary Poppins Returns and Smallfoot, the combination of Dr. Seuss' The Grinch and The House With A Clock In Its Walls, or the combination of The Nutcracker and the Four Realms and Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse?
#2: Which will gross more in total - the combination of Aquaman and Hunter Killer, the combination of Bumblebee and Venom, or the combination of Alita: Battle Angel, Mortal Engines, and Robin Hood?
#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Halloween, The Nun, The Predator, or Suspira?
#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Creed 2, Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald, Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween, Johnny English Strikes Again, or Ralph Breaks the Internet?
#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Creed 2, Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald, Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween, Johnny English Strikes Again, or Ralph Breaks the Internet?
#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends? Bumblebee
#7: What movie will have lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend? The Hate U Give
#8: How many films will gross over $100 million? 13
#9: How many films will gross over $200 million? 4
#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween

There's a good chance Mary Poppins or Aquaman might not hit number 1 and still be number 1/2/3 of the season. My current guess is Aquaman will be number 1 from the 21-23 and Mary Poppins will be number 1 over the 28-30.

And I'm pretty sure Holmes and Watson is being delayed.

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Last edited by zwackerm on Mon Sep 03, 2018 10:44 am, edited 1 time in total.



Mon Aug 13, 2018 6:22 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - NEW
Alita: Battle Angel - 40
Aquaman - 245
Bad Times at the El Royale - 35
Bohemian Rhapsody - 170
Boy Erased - 20
Bumblebee - 140
Creed II - 125
The Grinch - 320
Fahrenheit 11/9 - 30
Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald - 220
First Man - 180
The Girl in the Spider's Web - 60
Halloween - 95
The Hate U Give - 20
Holmes and Watson - 60
The House with a Clock in Its Walls - 40
Mary Poppins Returns - 265
Mortal Engines - 35
Night School - 75
The Nun - 95
The Nutcracker and the Four Realms - 160
Overlord - 15
The Predator - 65
Ralph Breaks the Internet - 250
Robin Hood - 40
Serenity - 35
The Silence - 10
A Simple Favor - 60
Smallfoot - 80
Spider-Man: Into the Spider Verse - 90
A Star Is Born - 155
Suspiria - 10
Welcome to Marwen - 45
Widows - 85
Venom - 225

Hunter Killer - 35
Johnny English Strikes Again - 10

1. The Grinch
2. Mary Poppins Returns
3. Ralph Breaks the Internet
4. Aquaman
5. Venom

1. The Grinch plus The House with a Clock in Its Walls
2. Bumblebee plus Venom
3. Halloween and The Nun
4. Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween
5. Johnny English Strikes Again
6. The Nutcracker and the Four Realms
7. Overlord
8. Thirteen
9. Six
10. Mary Queen of Scots

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1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game


Mon Aug 13, 2018 9:50 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - NEW
Fascinating season, I hope every single top 5 is different.


Fri Aug 17, 2018 12:32 am
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - NEW
Predict the Following Films' Total Gross
Alita: Battle Angel - $50m
Aquaman - $250m
Bad Times at the El Royale - $35m
Bohemian Rhapsody - $100m
Boy Erased - $15m
Bumblebee - $100m
Creed 2 - $100m
Dr. Seuss' The Grinch - $270m
Fahrenheit 11/9 - $10m
Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald - $210m
First Man - $100m
The Girl in the Spider's Web - $40m
Halloween - $170m
The Hate U Give - $30m
Holmes & Watson - $100m
The House With A Clock In Its Walls - $40m
Mary Poppins Returns - $230m
Mortal Engines - $50m
Night School - $95m
The Nun - $100m
'The Nutcracker and the Four Realms - $75m
Overlord - $30m
The Predator - $75m
Ralph Breaks the Internet - $299m
Robin Hood - $25m
Serenity - $25m
The Silence- $25m
A Simple Favor - $25m
Smallfoot - $100m
Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse - $100m
A Star is Born - $120m
Suspira - $15m
Welcome to Marwen - $80m
Widows - $90m
Venom - $300m

Backups
Hunter Killer - $30m
Johnny English Strikes Again - $5m

Predict the Top 5 Grossing Movies of Fall/Winter 2018
#1: Venom
#2: Ralph
#3: Grinch
#4: Aquaman
#5: Marry Poppins

The 10 Box Office Questions

#1: Which will gross more in total - the combination of Mary Poppins Returns and Smallfoot, the combination of Dr. Seuss' The Grinch and The House With A Clock In Its Walls, or the combination of The Nutcracker and the Four Realms and Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse? Poppinsfoot
#2: Which will gross more in total - the combination of Aquaman and Hunter Killer, the combination of Bumblebee and Venom, or the combination of Alita: Battle Angel, Mortal Engines, and Robin Hood? Venombee
#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Halloween, The Nun, The Predator, or Suspira? The Nun and The Predator
#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Creed 2, Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald, Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween, Johnny English Strikes Again, or Ralph Breaks the Internet? Goosebumps
#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Creed 2, Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald, Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween, Johnny English Strikes Again, or Ralph Breaks the Internet? Beasts
#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends? Mary Poppins Returns
#7: What movie will have lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend? Life Itself
#8: How many films will gross over $100 million? 16
#9: How many films will gross over $200 million? 5
#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? Roma


Last edited by Flava'd vs The World on Thu Sep 06, 2018 11:33 pm, edited 6 times in total.



Fri Aug 17, 2018 12:38 am
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - NEW
Alita: Battle Angel - $59 million
Aquaman - $170 million
Bad Times at the El Royale - $41 million
Bohemian Rhapsody - $50 million
Boy Erased - $25 million
Bumblebee - $115 million
Creed 2 - $94 million
Dr. Seuss' The Grinch - $313 million
Fahrenheit 11/9 - $25 million
Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald - $201 million
First Man - $49 million
The Girl in the Spider's Web - $17 million
Halloween - $74 million
The Hate U Give - $9 million
Holmes & Watson - $188 million
The House With A Clock In Its Walls - $51 million
Mary Poppins Returns - $244 million
Mortal Engines - $115 million
Night School - $84 million
The Nun - $92 million
The Nutcracker and the Four Realms - $85 million
Overlord - $18 million
The Predator - $71 million
Ralph Breaks the Internet - $225 million
Robin Hood - $32 million
Serenity - $57 million
The Silence - $7 million
A Simple Favor - $43 million
Smallfoot - $48 million
Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse - $62 million
A Star is Born - $225 million
Suspira - $16 million
Welcome to Marwen - $26 million
Widows - $52 million
Venom - $111 million

Backups
Hunter Killer - $24 million
Johnny English Strikes Again - $11 million

Predict the Top 5 Grossing Movies of Fall/Winter 2018
#1: Dr. Seuss' The Grinch
#2: Mary Poppins Returns
#3: Ralph Breaks the Internet
#4: A Star is Born
#5: Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald

The 10 Box Office Questions

#1: Which will gross more in total - the combination of Mary Poppins Returns and Smallfoot, the combination of Dr. Seuss' The Grinch and The House With A Clock In Its Walls, or the combination of The Nutcracker and the Four Realms and Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse? Combination of Dr. Seuss' The Grinch and The House With A Clock In Its Walls
#2: Which will gross more in total - the combination of Aquaman and Hunter Killer, the combination of Bumblebee and Venom, or the combination of Alita: Battle Angel, Mortal Engines, and Robin Hood? Combination of Alita: Battle Angel, Mortal Engines, and Robin Hood
#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Halloween, The Nun, The Predator, or Suspira? Halloween and The Predator
#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Creed 2, Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald, Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween, Johnny English Strikes Again, or Ralph Breaks the Internet? Goosebumps 2
#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Creed 2, Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald, Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween, Johnny English Strikes Again, or Ralph Breaks the Internet? Creed 2
#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends? Holmes & Watson
#7: What movie will have lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend? Overlord
#8: How many films will gross over $100 million? Eleven
#9: How many films will gross over $200 million? Five
#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? Instant Family


Sat Aug 18, 2018 4:35 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - NEW
I don't see why the Grinch does 300m when the 2000 Grinch is still so popular. And the trailers have not been very good.

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Sat Aug 18, 2018 6:00 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - NEW
Bad trailers haven’t stopped Illumination before.


Sat Aug 18, 2018 7:56 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - NEW
Flava'd vs The World wrote:
Bad trailers haven’t stopped Illumination before.


Despicable Me 3 only made 264. Illumination is not where it was in 2015-16. No one liked Minions, Pets or Sing, I don't think 300m worth of people will be fooled into seeing The Grinch, even though I'm sure it can muster a decent gross off the Dr. Seuss brand.

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Sat Aug 18, 2018 8:38 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - NEW
People will see Grinch because it's the winter season and Christmas. No one liked Pets or Sing, but they still fucking made loads of money, lol.


Sat Aug 18, 2018 8:49 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - NEW
Algren wrote:
People will see Grinch because it's the winter season and Christmas. No one liked Pets or Sing, but they still fucking made loads of money, lol.


Well, they led to the decrease in gross for Despicable Me 3. I don't see why the Grinch grosses more than that.

Not to mention, the Grinch will open to like max 70m. Then it will drop 50% against Fantastic Beasts and another 50% against Ralph, another 50% post Thanksgiving. Its legs are going to be weak.

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Sat Aug 18, 2018 10:34 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - NEW
I'm glad we have a mystic on this forum. Shack and lilmac should be promoting it on Twitter and Facebook.


Sun Aug 19, 2018 2:28 am
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - NEW
zwackerm wrote:
Algren wrote:
People will see Grinch because it's the winter season and Christmas. No one liked Pets or Sing, but they still fucking made loads of money, lol.


Well, they led to the decrease in gross for Despicable Me 3. I don't see why the Grinch grosses more than that.


Minions is responsible for the decline in gross for Despicable Me 3, IMO.

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Sun Aug 19, 2018 4:12 am
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - NEW
Every time I think I prepare well for the predictions, I do horribly, so just gonna go with my gut now then.

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Ghost Rider + Clash of the Titans = 2x Wrath of the Titans + Ghost Rider 2
Lorax over Despicable Me
Men in Black 3 Under 100m
Madagascar 3 Under 100m
Rise of the Guardians over 250m


Mon Aug 20, 2018 11:01 am
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - NEW
Predict the Following Films' Total Gross
Alita: Battle Angel $65m
Aquaman $238m
Bad Times at the El Royale $130m
Bohemian Rhapsody $128m
Boy Erased $41m
Bumblebee $84m
Creed 2 $74m
Dr. Seuss' The Grinch $168m
Fahrenheit 11/9 $29m
Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald $265m
First Man $145m
The Girl in the Spider's Web $84m
Halloween $64m
The Hate U Give $43m
Holmes & Watson $70m
The House With A Clock In Its Walls $67m
Mary Poppins Returns $238m
Mortal Engines $76m
Night School $80m
The Nun $64m
The Nutcracker and the Four Realms $85m
Overlord $27m
The Predator $82m
Ralph Breaks the Internet $280m
Robin Hood $84m
Serenity $27m
The Silence $43m
A Simple Favor $37m
Smallfoot $73m
Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse $235m
A Star is Born $118m
Suspira $11m
Welcome to Marwen $78m
Widows $41m
Venom $135m

Backups
Hunter Killer $33m
Johnny English Strikes Again $45m

Predict the Top 5 Grossing Movies of Fall/Winter 2018
#1: Wreck It Ralph 2
#2: Fantastic Beasts & the Crimes of GrindelwaldAquaman
#3: Aquaman
#4: Mary Poppins Returns
#5: Spider Man : Into the Spider-Verse

The 10 Box Office Questions

#1: Which will gross more in total - the combination of Mary Poppins Returns and Smallfoot, the combination of Dr. Seuss' The Grinch and The House With A Clock In Its Walls, or the combination of The Nutcracker and the Four Realms and Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse?
#2: Which will gross more in total - the combination of Aquaman and Hunter Killer, the combination of Bumblebee and Venom, or the combination of Alita: Battle Angel, Mortal Engines, and Robin Hood?
#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Halloween, The Nun, The Predator, or Suspira?
#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Creed 2, Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald, Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween, Johnny English Strikes Again, or Ralph Breaks the Internet?
#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Creed 2, Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald, Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween, Johnny English Strikes Again, or Ralph Breaks the Internet?
#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends? Bad Times at the El Royale
#7: What movie will have lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend? Halloween
#8: How many films will gross over $100 million? 11
#9: How many films will gross over $200 million? 5
#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? Goosebumps 2

NOTE on #10: If your movie has its release date moved out of the season window, the question will not be voided. Choose your movie carefully based on potential gross and likelihood of being released in this season's window.

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Calls
Ghost Rider + Clash of the Titans = 2x Wrath of the Titans + Ghost Rider 2
Lorax over Despicable Me
Men in Black 3 Under 100m
Madagascar 3 Under 100m
Rise of the Guardians over 250m


Last edited by BK on Fri Sep 07, 2018 2:53 am, edited 3 times in total.



Mon Aug 20, 2018 11:06 am
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - NEW
zwackerm wrote:
Algren wrote:
People will see Grinch because it's the winter season and Christmas. No one liked Pets or Sing, but they still fucking made loads of money, lol.


Well, they led to the decrease in gross for Despicable Me 3. I don't see why the Grinch grosses more than that.

Not to mention, the Grinch will open to like max 70m. Then it will drop 50% against Fantastic Beasts and another 50% against Ralph, another 50% post Thanksgiving. Its legs are going to be weak.

First, where did you get that 70M max? Jim Carrey's Grinch adjusts to 95M OW, Pets opened above 100M, freaking Lorax opened to 70M 6 years ago.
Second, how in the world is it dropping 50% on Thanksgiving weekend? Megamind dropped 22% against Tangled, Trolls 39% against Moana, and neither of them had the Christmas theme to strengthen their legs.
Third, it's a Christmas movie with no animated competition in December, just explain why it's supposed to have bad legs.
Fourth, Pets and Sing being shitty has nothing to do with DM3 decreasing from the previous installement. The Minions franchise has just followed Shrek's domestic path: successful original, exploding sequel, threequel going very high on OW but getting weak legs because of the "low" quality, fourth installement dropping from #3 and grossing close to the original.

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Sun Aug 26, 2018 4:57 am
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - NEW
Omni wrote:
zwackerm wrote:
Algren wrote:
People will see Grinch because it's the winter season and Christmas. No one liked Pets or Sing, but they still fucking made loads of money, lol.


Well, they led to the decrease in gross for Despicable Me 3. I don't see why the Grinch grosses more than that.

Not to mention, the Grinch will open to like max 70m. Then it will drop 50% against Fantastic Beasts and another 50% against Ralph, another 50% post Thanksgiving. Its legs are going to be weak.

First, where did you get that 70M max? Jim Carrey's Grinch adjusts to 95M OW, Pets opened above 100M, freaking Lorax opened to 70M 6 years ago.
Second, how in the world is it dropping 50% on Thanksgiving weekend? Megamind dropped 22% against Tangled, Trolls 39% against Moana, and neither of them had the Christmas theme to strengthen their legs.
Third, it's a Christmas movie with no animated competition in December, just explain why it's supposed to have bad legs.wr
Fourth, Pets and Sing being shitty has nothing to do with DM3 decreasing from the previous installement. The Minions franchise has just followed Shrek's domestic path: successful original, exploding sequel, threequel going very high on OW but getting weak legs because of the "low" quality, fourth installement dropping from #3 and grossing close to the original.

I was 2 years old when the first Grinch came out, but it really seems that there was so much excitement around that because it was the first full length Dr. Seuss theatrical live action film, based on the most popular Dr. Seuss book, and it starred Jim Carrey. No one wanted another Grinch film as far as I know. I've not heard one person tell me they wanted to see The Grinch. Pets had one of the best marketing campaigns ever. The Grinch I can't remember a single joke from the trailer, and its views haven't been very strong. You're right actually, I forgot that Wreck It Ralph opened on Thanksgiving weekend, so that will soften its drop.

I just think it's going to be bad and people will take their kids to Wreck-It Ralph, Beasts, Aquaman, Bumblebee or Mary Poppins instead.

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Sun Aug 26, 2018 1:50 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - NEW
zwackerm wrote:
I was 2 years old when the first Grinch came out, but it really seems that there was so much excitement around that.


:hahaha:

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Mon Aug 27, 2018 11:17 am
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - NEW
Yes, that was very funny.

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Mon Aug 27, 2018 4:42 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - NEW
Predict the Following Films' Total Gross
Alita: Battle Angel - $48 million
Aquaman - $200 million
Bad Times at the El Royale - $30 million
Bohemian Rhapsody - $86 million
Boy Erased - $24 million
Bumblebee - $140 million
Creed 2 - $90 million
Dr. Seuss' The Grinch - $275 million
Fahrenheit 11/9 - $15 million
Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald - $210 million
First Man - $92 million
The Girl in the Spider's Web - $56 million
Halloween - $105 million
The Hate U Give - $52 million
Holmes & Watson - $130 million
The House With A Clock In Its Walls - $52 million
Mary Poppins Returns - $340 million
Mortal Engines - $60 million
Night School - $95 million
The Nun - $100 million
The Nutcracker and the Four Realms - $42 million
Overlord - $24 million
The Predator - $62 million
Ralph Breaks the Internet - $280 million
Robin Hood - $29 million
Serenity - $19 million
The Silence - $9 million
A Simple Favor - $54 million
Smallfoot - $60 million
Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse - $104 million
A Star is Born - $160 million
Suspira - $30 million
Welcome to Marwen - $33 million
Widows - $75 million
Venom - $155 million

Backups
Hunter Killer - $13 million
Johnny English Strikes Again - $14 million

Predict the Top 5 Grossing Movies of Fall/Winter 2018
#1: Mary Poppins Returns
#2: Wreck-It Ralphs Breaks the Internet
#3: Dr. Seuss' The Grinch
#4: Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald
#5: Aquaman

The 10 Box Office Questions

#1: Which will gross more in total - the combination of Mary Poppins Returns and Smallfoot, the combination of Dr. Seuss' The Grinch and The House With A Clock In Its Walls, or the combination of The Nutcracker and the Four Realms and Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse?
#2: Which will gross more in total - the combination of Aquaman and Hunter Killer, the combination of Bumblebee and Venom, or the combination of Alita: Battle Angel, Mortal Engines, and Robin Hood?
#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Halloween, The Nun, The Predator, or Suspira?
#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Creed 2, Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald, Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween, Johnny English Strikes Again, or Ralph Breaks the Internet?
#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Creed 2, Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald, Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween, Johnny English Strikes Again, or Ralph Breaks the Internet?
#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends? A Star is Born
#7: What movie will have lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend? The Silence
#8: How many films will gross over $100 million? 12
#9: How many films will gross over $200 million? 5
#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? Backseat


Fri Aug 31, 2018 11:14 am
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - NEW
Predict the Following Films' Total Gross
Alita: Battle Angel - $70 million
Aquaman - $190 million
Bad Times at the El Royale - $35 million
Bohemian Rhapsody - $150 million
Boy Erased - $25 million
Bumblebee - $150 million
Creed 2 - $100 million
Dr. Seuss' The Grinch - $275 million
Fahrenheit 11/9 - $18 million
Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald - $205 million
First Man - $112 million
The Girl in the Spider's Web - $60 million
Halloween - $115 million
The Hate U Give - $48 million
Holmes & Watson - $90 million
The House With A Clock In Its Walls - $62 million
Mary Poppins Returns - $300 million
Mortal Engines - $70 million
Night School - $100 million
The Nun - $100 million
The Nutcracker and the Four Realms - $108 million
Overlord - $27 million
The Predator - $65 million
Ralph Breaks the Internet - $240 million
Robin Hood - $27 million
Serenity - $15 million
The Silence - $10 million
A Simple Favor - $50 million
Smallfoot - $105 million
Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse - $104 million
A Star is Born - $150 million
Suspira - $30 million
Welcome to Marwen - $45 million
Widows - $85 million
Venom - $160 million

Backups
Hunter Killer - $18 million
Johnny English Strikes Again - $18 million

Predict the Top 5 Grossing Movies of Fall/Winter 2018
#1: Mary Poppins Returns
#2: Dr. Seuss' The Grinch
#3: Wreck-It Ralphs Breaks the Internet
#4: Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald
#5: Aquaman

The 10 Box Office Questions

#1: Which will gross more in total - the combination of Mary Poppins Returns and Smallfoot, the combination of Dr. Seuss' The Grinch and The House With A Clock In Its Walls, or the combination of The Nutcracker and the Four Realms and Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse?
#2: Which will gross more in total - the combination of Aquaman and Hunter Killer, the combination of Bumblebee and Venom, or the combination of Alita: Battle Angel, Mortal Engines, and Robin Hood?
#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Halloween, The Nun, The Predator, or Suspira?
#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Creed 2, Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald, Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween, Johnny English Strikes Again, or Ralph Breaks the Internet?
#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Creed 2, Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald, Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween, Johnny English Strikes Again, or Ralph Breaks the Internet?
#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends? Bumblebee
#7: What movie will have lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend? The Silence
#8: How many films will gross over $100 million? 18
#9: How many films will gross over $200 million? 4
#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? Nobody's Fool

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Mon Sep 03, 2018 8:56 am
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Due this THUR
Predict the Following Films' Total Gross
Alita: Battle Angel - $45 mil
Aquaman - $300 mil
Bad Times at the El Royale - $42 mil
Bohemian Rhapsody - $85 mil
Boy Erased - $24 mil
Bumblebee - $140 mil
Creed 2 - $122 mil
Dr. Seuss' The Grinch - $270 mil
Fahrenheit 11/9 - $31 mil
Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald - $212 mil
First Man - $140 mil
The Girl in the Spider's Web - $47 mil
Halloween - $155 mil
The Hate U Give - $37 mil
Holmes & Watson - $78 mil
The House With A Clock In Its Walls - $60 mil
Mary Poppins Returns - $280 mil
Mortal Engines - $75 mil
Night School - $70 mil
The Nun - $110 mil
The Nutcracker and the Four Realms - $95 mil
Overlord - $20 mil
The Predator - $67 mil
Ralph Breaks the Internet - $255 mil
Robin Hood - $50 mil
Serenity - $20 mil
The Silence - $12 mil
A Simple Favor - $57 mil
Smallfoot - $90 mil
Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse - $110 mil
A Star is Born - $135 mil
Suspiria - $25 mil
Welcome to Marwen - $58 mil
Widows - $80 mil
Venom - $180 mil

Backups
Hunter Killer - $22 mil
Johnny English Strikes Again - $12 mil

Predict the Top 5 Grossing Movies of Fall/Winter 2018
#1: Aquaman
#2: Mary Poppins Returns
#3: Dr. Seuss' The Grinch
#4: Ralph Breaks the Internet
#5: Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald

The 10 Box Office Questions

#1: Which will gross more in total - the combination of Mary Poppins Returns and Smallfoot, the combination of Dr. Seuss' The Grinch and The House With A Clock In Its Walls, or the combination of The Nutcracker and the Four Realms and Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse? the combination of Mary Poppins Returns and Smallfoot

#2: Which will gross more in total - the combination of Aquaman and Hunter Killer, the combination of Bumblebee and Venom, or the combination of Alita: Battle Angel, Mortal Engines, and Robin Hood? the combination of Bumblebee and Venom

#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Halloween, The Nun, The Predator, or Suspiria? Halloween, The Nun

#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Creed 2, Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald, Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween, Johnny English Strikes Again, or Ralph Breaks the Internet? Johnny English Strikes Again

#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Creed 2, Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald, Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween, Johnny English Strikes Again, or Ralph Breaks the Internet? Creed 2

#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends? First Man

#7: What movie will have lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend? The Silence

#8: How many films will gross over $100 million? 13

#9: How many films will gross over $200 million? 5

#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? Little Women

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Last edited by Chippy on Thu Sep 06, 2018 12:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Wed Sep 05, 2018 6:35 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Due this THUR
Predict the Following Films' Total Gross
Alita: Battle Angel $62
Aquaman $206
Bad Times at the El Royale $35
Bohemian Rhapsody $138
Boy Erased $16
Bumblebee $103
Creed 2 $103
Dr. Seuss' The Grinch $273
Fahrenheit 11/9 $23
Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald $191
First Man $87
The Girl in the Spider's Web $57
Halloween $138
The Hate U Give $13
Holmes & Watson $123
The House With A Clock In Its Walls $48
Mary Poppins Returns $252
Mortal Engines $52
Night School $64
The Nun $101
The Nutcracker and the Four Realms $107
Overlord $36
The Predator $64
Ralph Breaks the Internet $168
Robin Hood $55
Serenity $35
The Silence $12
A Simple Favor $25
Smallfoot $88
Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse $87
A Star is Born $158
Suspira $16
Welcome to Marwen $34
Widows $62
Venom $172

Backups
Hunter Killer $30
Johnny English Strikes Again $7

Predict the Top 5 Grossing Movies of Fall/Winter 2018
#1:The Grinch
#2:Mary Poppins Returns
#3:Aquaman
#4:Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald
#5:Venom

The 10 Box Office Questions

#1: Which will gross more in total - the combination of Mary Poppins Returns and Smallfoot, the combination of Dr. Seuss' The Grinch and The House With A Clock In Its Walls, or the combination of The Nutcracker and the Four Realms and Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse? Mary Poppins Returns and Smallfoot
#2: Which will gross more in total - the combination of Aquaman and Hunter Killer, the combination of Bumblebee and Venom, or the combination of Alita: Battle Angel, Mortal Engines, and Robin Hood? Bumblebee and Venom
#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Halloween, The Nun, The Predator, or Suspira? Halloween and The Nun
#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Creed 2, Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald, Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween, Johnny English Strikes Again, or Ralph Breaks the Internet? Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald
#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Creed 2, Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald, Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween, Johnny English Strikes Again, or Ralph Breaks the Internet? Creed 2
#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends? A Star is Born
#7: What movie will have lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend? Hunter Killer
#8: How many films will gross over $100 million? 14
#9: How many films will gross over $200 million? 3
#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? Instant Family


Last edited by scoobydelite on Thu Sep 06, 2018 11:19 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Wed Sep 05, 2018 11:07 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Due TONIGHT
Deadline is tonight! Hurry up and get your predictions in!!!!


Thu Sep 06, 2018 10:51 am
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter Box Office Contest 2018 - Due TONIGHT
Question regarding #4 and #5... Are we comparing Johnny English to the FIRST one? Or the 2011 one?

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Thu Sep 06, 2018 12:01 pm
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