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 July 20-22 Predictions 

Will People Accept An Equalizer With Hair?
Yes 57%  57%  [ 4 ]
No 29%  29%  [ 2 ]
King Kong Aint Got Nothing On My Bald Head 14%  14%  [ 1 ]
Total votes : 7

 July 20-22 Predictions 
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The Kramer
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Post July 20-22 Predictions
Alright fellas, we have one more weekend before interesting movies start coming out again.


Mon Jul 16, 2018 12:40 pm
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Post Re: July 20-22 Predictions
Mamma Mia 2 probably wins the weekend...

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Mon Jul 16, 2018 12:42 pm
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Post Re: July 20-22 Predictions
Flava'd vs The World wrote:
Alright fellas, we have one more weekend before interesting movies start coming out again.


I'd consider a potential $40m+ opener in The Equalizer 2 interesting. Denzel is generally anti-sequel, so the script must have been solid enough to take the job.

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Mon Jul 16, 2018 12:44 pm
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The Kramer
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Post Re: July 20-22 Predictions
Another tough weekend to predict. Three* sequels that nobody asked for, but whose primary audiences have been underserved all summer.

Mamma Mia - $28m
Equalizer 2 - $27m
Hotel - $25m

Should be very close with possibly different #1s on all 3 days.


Last edited by Flava'd vs The World on Mon Jul 16, 2018 1:48 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Mon Jul 16, 2018 12:45 pm
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Post Re: July 20-22 Predictions
Unfriended: Dark Web should bomb. Guess that makes 3 sequels opening?

Mamma Mia looks good for $30m+. Equalizer 2 is getting IMAX, so I think it will be fairly close between the two. It's possible nobody asked the EQ2 follow-up, but the first was well-received.

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Mon Jul 16, 2018 1:01 pm
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The Kramer
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Post Re: July 20-22 Predictions
Totally forgot about Darkweb lol.


Mon Jul 16, 2018 1:48 pm
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Post Re: July 20-22 Predictions
MAMMA MIA! HERE WE GO AGAIN - 50.09 Million
EQUALIZER 2 - 32.52 Million
UNFRIENDED: DARK WEB - 4.57 Million


Mon Jul 16, 2018 3:19 pm
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Post Re: July 20-22 Predictions
Magic Mike wrote:
MAMMA MIA! HERE WE GO AGAIN - 50.09 Million
EQUALIZER 2 - 32.52 Million
UNFRIENDED: DARK WEB - 4.57 Million


I hope Mamma Mia does that well, but I just don't see it happening.


Mon Jul 16, 2018 3:30 pm
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Post Re: July 20-22 Predictions
SolC9 wrote:
Magic Mike wrote:
MAMMA MIA! HERE WE GO AGAIN - 50.09 Million
EQUALIZER 2 - 32.52 Million
UNFRIENDED: DARK WEB - 4.57 Million


I hope Mamma Mia does that well, but I just don't see it happening.


All I know is we still haven't sold a ticket to Equalizer 2 Thursday here yet and Mamma Mia's 7:00 was already almost sold out last Monday. I needed tickets for 5 and we had to get really shitty ones. I don't want to go to the 10:00 so I'm hoping they'll add another show closer to the 7:00 so I can just exchange them for better seats. They said they won't know if they'll add another show until they see how many prints they'll have of it. I'm assuming they'll get 2 prints so I should be good to get better seats at a different show. Even the 10:00 has a good amount of seats sold.


Mon Jul 16, 2018 3:44 pm
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Post Re: July 20-22 Predictions
Lol Mamma MIA is not doubling the original. The first is not some beloved classic. Mike has extreme confirmation bias with that prediction. He just loves Mamma Mia so much he can’t see that no one cares.


Mon Jul 16, 2018 4:11 pm
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Post Re: July 20-22 Predictions
zwackerm wrote:
Lol Mamma MIA is not doubling the original. The first is not some beloved classic. Mike has extreme confirmation bias with that prediction. He just loves Mamma Mia so much he can’t see that no one cares.


Make a prediction, bitch.

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shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element

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Mon Jul 16, 2018 4:27 pm
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Post Re: July 20-22 Predictions
Keep in mind, the MM1 adjusts to a $35 mil OW, and had a 5.2 multiplier. (Pitch Perfect went from a $15 mil OW to a $70 mil OW, with only a 4~ multiplier on the first)

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trixster wrote:
shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element

trixster wrote:
chippy is correct

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Fuck Trump


Mon Jul 16, 2018 4:30 pm
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Post Re: July 20-22 Predictions
Chippy wrote:
Keep in mind, the MM1 adjusts to a $35 mil OW, and had a 5.2 multiplier. (Pitch Perfect went from a $15 mil OW to a $70 mil OW, with only a 4~ multiplier on the first)

My prediction is 25/80.


Mon Jul 16, 2018 4:32 pm
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Wallflower
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Post Re: July 20-22 Predictions
zwackerm wrote:
Lol Mamma MIA is not doubling the original. The first is not some beloved classic. Mike has extreme confirmation bias with that prediction. He just loves Mamma Mia so much he can’t see that no one cares.


I gave the first a B+. I'm not obsessed with it. ;)


Mon Jul 16, 2018 5:24 pm
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Post Re: July 20-22 Predictions
Chippy wrote:
Keep in mind, the MM1 adjusts to a $35 mil OW, and had a 5.2 multiplier. (Pitch Perfect went from a $15 mil OW to a $70 mil OW, with only a 4~ multiplier on the first)


Its opening is all the more impressive considering it opened with The Dark Knight. You can say they have different audiences but The Dark Knight appealed to everyone and was an event. Had it not opened against that it could have opened higher.


Mon Jul 16, 2018 6:32 pm
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Post Re: July 20-22 Predictions
The Dark Knight didn't appeal to older female moviegoers, which coincidentally Mamma Mia did.


Mon Jul 16, 2018 7:59 pm
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Post Re: July 20-22 Predictions
Mamma Mia 2 - 37
The Equalizer 2 - 30
Unfriended: Dark Web - 5


Tue Jul 17, 2018 4:48 pm
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Post Re: July 20-22 Predictions
Mamma Mia 2 - 38
The Equalizer 2 - 36

I can see both doing very solid numbers.

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Tue Jul 17, 2018 11:56 pm
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Post Re: July 20-22 Predictions
The Equalizer 2 $40m
Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again $17m


Wed Jul 18, 2018 12:00 am
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Post Re: July 20-22 Predictions
The Equalizer 2 - 37 million
Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again - 34
Unfriended: Dark Web - 3

Dark Web seems destined to plummet from its predecessor. Even more than, say, Sinister 2 did. It is not a Universal release this time, and I swear the film came out of nowhere. I have not seen any advertising.

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Wed Jul 18, 2018 12:14 am
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Post Re: July 20-22 Predictions
Mamma Mia is doing $50 m +. There's a huge audience for the film and the first was very well received.


Wed Jul 18, 2018 1:25 am
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Post Re: July 20-22 Predictions
O wrote:
Mamma Mia is doing $50 m +. There's a huge audience for the film and the first was very well received.


Twitter activity is off the charts and it's true the first had great WOM/legs. $50m would place it as the solid #2 musical opening (only behind BATB), just not sure I can see that happening.

EQ2 reviews are up and I'm a bit discouraged they aren't very good. Kind of surprised by that, not sure I'm interested now. Still seeing it doing $30m+ with no problem.

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Wed Jul 18, 2018 8:42 am
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Post Re: July 20-22 Predictions
Yeah, the target audience for this are not opening weekend booster people. It could get a good total, but it won't be big out of the gate.


Wed Jul 18, 2018 8:45 am
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Post Re: July 20-22 Predictions
The Equalizer 2 will start previews at 4pm. Clearly they are expecting the older demographic as the primary demo. 4pm is ridiculously early.

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Wed Jul 18, 2018 12:44 pm
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Post Re: July 20-22 Predictions
1. MAMMA MIA! HERE WE GO AGAIN - 50.090 MILLION (New)
2. THE EQUALIZER 2 - 32.52 MILLION (New)
3. HOTEL TRANSYLVANIA 3 - 23.8 MILLION (-46%)
4. ANT-MAN & THE WASP - 14.8 MILLION (-49%)
5. SKYSCRAPER - 12.2 MILLION (-51%)
6. INCREDIBLES 2 - 10.4 MILLION (-36%)
7. JURASSIC WORLD: FALLEN KINGDOM - 9.7 MILLION (-40%)
8. THE FIRST PURGE - 4 MILLION (-57%)
9. UNFRIENDED: DARK WEB - 3.368 MILLION (New)
10. SORRY TO BOTHER YOU - 2.946 MILLION (-30%)
11. SICARIO: DAY OF THE SOLDADO - 1.7 MILLION (-56%)
12. WON'T YOU BE MY NEIGHBOR? - 1.46 MILLION (-25%)
13. UNCLE DREW - 1.433 MILLION (-55%)
14. OCEAN'S 8 - 1.395 MILLION (-52%)


Wed Jul 18, 2018 3:23 pm
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