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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm Posts: 6665
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June 8-10 Predictions
Theater count: Hereditary - unknown Hotel Artemis - 2,000 Ocean's 8 - 4,000
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Mon Jun 04, 2018 9:26 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67043
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Re: June 8-10 Predictions
You should leave these threads to zwackerm. At least he gets the same size images.
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Mon Jun 04, 2018 9:34 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20346 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: June 8-10 Predictions
I won’t have regular access to a computer for 9 weeks, and I can’t make the image on my phone, so please feel free to make these threads!
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Mon Jun 04, 2018 10:13 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67043
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Re: June 8-10 Predictions
Permission granted. You may do as you please.
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Mon Jun 04, 2018 10:20 am |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm Posts: 6665
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Re: June 8-10 Predictions
Actually I like them different sizes lol
Ocean's 8 - 43 Hereditary - 9 Hotel Artemis - 4
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Mon Jun 04, 2018 10:20 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: June 8-10 Predictions
Ocean's won't crack $40m OW, but I hope it's entertaining and hangs around awhile. Hereditary looks like a can't miss for horror fans.
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Mon Jun 04, 2018 10:30 am |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: June 8-10 Predictions
Ocean's 8 - 38 Hereditary - 7 Hotel Artemis - 4
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Mon Jun 04, 2018 11:24 am |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm Posts: 6665
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Re: June 8-10 Predictions
The prominent featuring of the kid character in Hereditary is a good selling point and is going to propel it past The Witch and It Comes at Night. But I still have doubt about A24's advertising reach. Hopefully it will beat history and be the first $10m+ opener from A24.
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Mon Jun 04, 2018 11:24 am |
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stay_cool
Child Actor
Joined: Sat Sep 07, 2013 11:33 am Posts: 37
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Re: June 8-10 Predictions
Why are people predicting a sub 40 million opening for Oceans 8?
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Mon Jun 04, 2018 12:35 pm |
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MGKC
---------
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm Posts: 11808 Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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Re: June 8-10 Predictions
stay_cool wrote: Why are people predicting a sub 40 million opening for Oceans 8? They crazy. Sanda Bullock can pull some big numbers on her higher-profile films, and it's been 5+ years since her last one, so I think they'll turn out even bigger for this. I'm still predicting Ocean's 8 to do a $55 million opening with a $180 million finish.
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Mon Jun 04, 2018 12:40 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23782 Location: Classified
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Re: June 8-10 Predictions
Hereditary is getting excellent reviews. I think it will be a mini breakout at $15m or so.
$40m sounds about right for Ocean’s.
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Mon Jun 04, 2018 12:56 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: June 8-10 Predictions
I could see Oceans going over $40M, but it's hard to gauge just how much interest there is in it when the marketing is so muted IMO. Yes it has Bullock and I'm sure women over 25 will show up in droves, but I'm not seeing huge buzz for it. Then again I also didn't see AQP ending up nowhere near as big as it was.
Reviews might be strong for Hereditary, but I've seen no tv spots for it and apparently it's nothing like the trailers make it look which could be a problem for mainstream audiences .
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Mon Jun 04, 2018 1:11 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: June 8-10 Predictions
stay_cool wrote: Why are people predicting a sub 40 million opening for Oceans 8? I'm staying in the 30's only because of the remake factor. If it's good, the dividends will be in the legs, not the opening.
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Mon Jun 04, 2018 1:18 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: June 8-10 Predictions
Dil wrote: Reviews might be strong for Hereditary, but I've seen no tv spots for it and apparently it's nothing like the trailers make it look which could be a problem for mainstream audiences . But that would hurt its longevity more than it would its OW.
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Mon Jun 04, 2018 4:24 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: June 8-10 Predictions
Magic Mike wrote: Dil wrote: Reviews might be strong for Hereditary, but I've seen no tv spots for it and apparently it's nothing like the trailers make it look which could be a problem for mainstream audiences . But that would hurt its longevity more than it would its OW. Is this going to be another horror offering that's more warmly embraced by critics? I was looking forward to it.
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Mon Jun 04, 2018 4:34 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: June 8-10 Predictions
Rolling Thunder wrote: Magic Mike wrote: Dil wrote: Reviews might be strong for Hereditary, but I've seen no tv spots for it and apparently it's nothing like the trailers make it look which could be a problem for mainstream audiences . But that would hurt its longevity more than it would its OW. Is this going to be another horror offering that's more warmly embraced by critics? I was looking forward to it. I've heard different things from a couple of friends who have seen it. Both loved the hell out of it. But one said audiences should dig it and the other said audiences will hate it. So we'll see. I just hear it's not a Blumhouse style jump-scare movie. And audiences love their jump scares. They usually only like the ones that are filled with them. Hereditary is the kind I like so I'm expecting to really love it. I actually requested off work Thursday night for it. I want to see it right away. Plus I don't want to chance having it ruined for me.
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Mon Jun 04, 2018 6:00 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67043
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Re: June 8-10 Predictions
Ocean's 8 will not attract males or kids or families or older people that are sick of remakes. $23m opening
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Mon Jun 04, 2018 7:34 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22680 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: June 8-10 Predictions
The market is open enough for Ocean's 8 to have a strong opening weekend.
Hereditary will open solidly but cant see it breaking out despite the strong reviews.
Hotel Artemis looks like the most interesting of the three films IMO. Have no idea what it will open to as buzz seems fairly low. On another note, I hope the similarly themed Bad Times at the El Royale gets alot more attention upon release.
Ocean's 8 - 45 Hereditary - 11 Hotel Artemis - 6
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Mon Jun 04, 2018 8:22 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: June 8-10 Predictions
I'm not seeing a whole lot of excitement for Ocean's 8. It will do fine but I expected more with the stacked cast and mostly female premise.
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Tue Jun 05, 2018 11:00 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: June 8-10 Predictions
OCEAN'S 8 - 38.9 Million HEREDITARY - 11.756 Million HOTEL ARTEMIS - 2.4 Million
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Wed Jun 06, 2018 12:41 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67043
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Re: June 8-10 Predictions
I doubt Hereditary becomes A24's largest ever opener.
A24 is great at finding great films. What A24 is not good at is deciding which films to platform and which films to release wide. The Disaster Artist and Ex Machina would have been much more successful if released wide, and The Witch and It Comes At Night should not have been anywhere near a fucking 2,000+ opening.
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Wed Jun 06, 2018 12:49 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: June 8-10 Predictions
I disagree. The Disaster Artist was a niche film. It opened in the places it would do well which is why it did terrifically at first and fell fast when expanded.
Hereditary is an easy sell. Sure audiences probably won't like it but it should definitely open wide. The trailer is great and horror is an easy sell. The Witch as well which did pretty solid considering they didn't spend much on buying it TV ads. I do think if they pushed it harder The Witch could have opened much higher. But it at least held up solidly.
Now It Comes At Night, well, that probably shouldn't have been a wide release. Or at least should have been a more muted one (like 800-1,000 theaters).
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Wed Jun 06, 2018 2:47 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6139 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: June 8-10 Predictions
Ocean's 8: $32m
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Wed Jun 06, 2018 5:50 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: June 8-10 Predictions
Hereditary will be the first A24 film I check out, hope I enjoy it. I've considered watching The Witch a few times but never have.
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
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Thu Jun 07, 2018 9:45 am |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm Posts: 6665
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Re: June 8-10 Predictions
Rolling Thunder wrote: Hereditary will be the first A24 film I check out, hope I enjoy it. I've considered watching The Witch a few times but never have. Surprising you haven't watched any of their films considering they have released over 50 films in the last five years.
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Thu Jun 07, 2018 9:52 am |
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