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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm Posts: 6665
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June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
Theater count est: Incredibles 2 - 4,200 Tag - 3,300+ Superfly (opens Wednesday) - 2,200
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Sat Jun 09, 2018 9:38 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67028
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Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
Better with those images! The Incredibles 2 $135mTag $14mSuperfly $2.25m (5-day)
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Sat Jun 09, 2018 9:46 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23758 Location: Classified
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Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
Tag looks like a late-August sleeper hit. Honestly can’t believe it is coming out this week.
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Sat Jun 09, 2018 12:26 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am Posts: 34865 Location: Maryland
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Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
Incredibles 2 - 112 million Superfly - 17 (three-day); 25 (five-day) Tag - 12
_________________1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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Sat Jun 09, 2018 12:36 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
David wrote: Incredibles 2 - 112 million Superfly - 17 (three-day); 25 (five-day) Tag - 12 I must be totally disconnected with Superfly. Is there significant anticipation for this?
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Sat Jun 09, 2018 12:52 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23758 Location: Classified
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Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
Rolling Thunder wrote: David wrote: Incredibles 2 - 112 million Superfly - 17 (three-day); 25 (five-day) Tag - 12 I must be totally disconnected with Superfly. Is there significant anticipation for this? Future curated the soundtrack with a bunch of his buddies, ala Kendrick with the Black Panther soundtrack. Not sure if that will translate into box office, but awareness will be high among the target demo.
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Sat Jun 09, 2018 1:11 pm |
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Steve
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:09 pm Posts: 1795
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Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
Personally I'm kind of excited to see Incredibles 2, far more interested than I was for Finding Dory. But I don't think general anticipation is as high. Will be interesting to see its gross.
Never heard of Superfly. And Tag seems like it could have been a hit, in another month or another era. That poster is awful.
Incredibles 2: $105-125m? Tag: $8-20m? Superfly: $1-15m?
??????????? ?? ?????????????
_________________ how am I not myself?
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Sat Jun 09, 2018 1:29 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6138 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
I think Incredibles 2's problem is that the marketing makes it look exactly the same as the original. The posters are indistinguishable from the first. Where are the flashy new supporting characters? Who's the new villain? I've been exposed to months of marketing for it and I still can't tell. At least Dory had the whole aquarium setting that made it stand apart from the first one. It's still going to open huge, but I don't think as huge as it could've been.
Incredibles 2: $120m
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Sat Jun 09, 2018 2:39 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32095 Location: the last free city
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Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
Incredibles 2 $175m Tag $30m Superfly $10m 5-day
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
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Sat Jun 09, 2018 6:34 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 21880 Location: Places
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Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
Incredibles 2 is the new Jurassic World- a sequel everybody has wanted and a total breath of fresh air.
$150m+ incoming BE PREPARED
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Sat Jun 09, 2018 7:07 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18870 Location: San Diego
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Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
The fact that there hasn't been an animated/family film in awhile will do wonders for Incredibles. I see 135m+.
I feel like Tag will do just ok. I think with bigger stars attached it could've done 20m+ but i see around 12.
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Sat Jun 09, 2018 7:50 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67028
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Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
Barrabás wrote: I think Incredibles 2's problem is that the marketing makes it look exactly the same as the original. Yeah, that matters to kids. Oh yeah, no it doesn't! Finding Dory is a perfect example.
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Sat Jun 09, 2018 8:28 pm |
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Darth Indiana Bond
007
Joined: Wed Jul 20, 2005 11:43 pm Posts: 11004 Location: Wouldn't you like to know
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Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
What company is distributing Tag? Because they are greatly hurting its OW
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Sat Jun 09, 2018 9:00 pm |
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Passionate Thug
Top Poster
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:01 am Posts: 5261 Location: Wakanda
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Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
The moment Superfly's Teaser trailer was released it was DOA. The community has major backlash against it for 2 reasons. #1 you dont remake a classic especially without a Curtis Mayfield soundtrack... Future is no Kendrick. #2 After Black Panther there is no interest in going backward with wanna be Gangsta/ dope boy stories. No way this does 5 million in the first 5 days.
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Sat Jun 09, 2018 9:22 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67028
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Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
Warner Bros.
I don't think they care. They did a similar thing with 12 Strong (released same weekend as Den of Thieves).
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Sat Jun 09, 2018 9:24 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
The Incredibles 2 - 140 Tag - 13 Superfly - 8/12(5-Day)
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Sun Jun 10, 2018 10:35 am |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm Posts: 6665
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Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
TC estimate for Incredibles 2 at BOM increases to 4,400!
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Tue Jun 12, 2018 10:33 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67028
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Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
I saw an article today saying that Incredibles 2 will open to $130m. So I guess that's the benchmark now. If it falls below, it's failed. If it's above it's done well.
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Tue Jun 12, 2018 10:40 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
Superfly is DOA. We've assigned it a double digit auditorium - generally those are for holdovers 3+ weeks in release.
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Wed Jun 13, 2018 8:48 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
Rolling Thunder wrote: Superfly is DOA. We've assigned it a double digit auditorium - generally those are for holdovers 3+ weeks in release. I'm doubtful it will even hit $1m today.
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
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Wed Jun 13, 2018 4:04 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67028
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Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
Kentucky is 91% white, so no surprises there.
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Wed Jun 13, 2018 7:29 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
Algren wrote: Kentucky is 91% white, so no surprises there. Hey, we turn out in droves for Madea, Black Panther, and anything starring Denzel!
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
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Wed Jun 13, 2018 7:31 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67028
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Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
This is a noticeably different type of black picture. No star, no franchise precedence, etc.
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Wed Jun 13, 2018 7:40 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
Rolling Thunder wrote: Rolling Thunder wrote: Superfly is DOA. We've assigned it a double digit auditorium - generally those are for holdovers 3+ weeks in release. I'm doubtful it will even hit $1m today. It scraped by with $1.2m. Bombs away.
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Thu Jun 14, 2018 12:48 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
So, who is pumped up for Tag?
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Thu Jun 14, 2018 2:25 pm |
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