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 June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag) 
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Defeats all expectations
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Post June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
ImageImageImage

Theater count est:
Incredibles 2 - 4,200
Tag - 3,300+
Superfly (opens Wednesday) - 2,200


Sat Jun 09, 2018 9:38 am
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Post Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
Better with those images! ;)

The Incredibles 2 $135m
Tag $14m
Superfly $2.25m (5-day)


Sat Jun 09, 2018 9:46 am
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Post Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
Tag looks like a late-August sleeper hit. Honestly can’t believe it is coming out this week.


Sat Jun 09, 2018 12:26 pm
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Post Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
Incredibles 2 - 112 million
Superfly - 17 (three-day); 25 (five-day)
Tag - 12

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Sat Jun 09, 2018 12:36 pm
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Post Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
David wrote:
Incredibles 2 - 112 million
Superfly - 17 (three-day); 25 (five-day)
Tag - 12


I must be totally disconnected with Superfly. Is there significant anticipation for this?

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Sat Jun 09, 2018 12:52 pm
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Post Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
Rolling Thunder wrote:
David wrote:
Incredibles 2 - 112 million
Superfly - 17 (three-day); 25 (five-day)
Tag - 12


I must be totally disconnected with Superfly. Is there significant anticipation for this?
Future curated the soundtrack with a bunch of his buddies, ala Kendrick with the Black Panther soundtrack. Not sure if that will translate into box office, but awareness will be high among the target demo.


Sat Jun 09, 2018 1:11 pm
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Post Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
Personally I'm kind of excited to see Incredibles 2, far more interested than I was for Finding Dory. But I don't think general anticipation is as high. Will be interesting to see its gross.

Never heard of Superfly. And Tag seems like it could have been a hit, in another month or another era. That poster is awful.

Incredibles 2: $105-125m?
Tag: $8-20m?
Superfly: $1-15m?

??????????? ?? ?????????????

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Sat Jun 09, 2018 1:29 pm
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Post Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
I think Incredibles 2's problem is that the marketing makes it look exactly the same as the original. The posters are indistinguishable from the first. Where are the flashy new supporting characters? Who's the new villain? I've been exposed to months of marketing for it and I still can't tell. At least Dory had the whole aquarium setting that made it stand apart from the first one. It's still going to open huge, but I don't think as huge as it could've been.

Incredibles 2: $120m

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Sat Jun 09, 2018 2:39 pm
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Post Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
Incredibles 2 $175m
Tag $30m
Superfly $10m 5-day

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Sat Jun 09, 2018 6:34 pm
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Post Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
Incredibles 2 is the new Jurassic World- a sequel everybody has wanted and a total breath of fresh air.

$150m+ incoming BE PREPARED

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Sat Jun 09, 2018 7:07 pm
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Post Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
The fact that there hasn't been an animated/family film in awhile will do wonders for Incredibles. I see 135m+.

I feel like Tag will do just ok. I think with bigger stars attached it could've done 20m+ but i see around 12.


Sat Jun 09, 2018 7:50 pm
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Post Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
Barrabás wrote:
I think Incredibles 2's problem is that the marketing makes it look exactly the same as the original.


Yeah, that matters to kids. Oh yeah, no it doesn't! Finding Dory is a perfect example.


Sat Jun 09, 2018 8:28 pm
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Post Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
What company is distributing Tag? Because they are greatly hurting its OW

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Sat Jun 09, 2018 9:00 pm
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Post Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
The moment Superfly's Teaser trailer was released it was DOA. The community has major backlash against it for 2 reasons. #1 you dont remake a classic especially without a Curtis Mayfield soundtrack... Future is no Kendrick. #2 After Black Panther there is no interest in going backward with wanna be Gangsta/ dope boy stories. No way this does 5 million in the first 5 days.


Sat Jun 09, 2018 9:22 pm
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Post Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
Warner Bros.

I don't think they care. They did a similar thing with 12 Strong (released same weekend as Den of Thieves).


Sat Jun 09, 2018 9:24 pm
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Post Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
The Incredibles 2 - 140
Tag - 13
Superfly - 8/12(5-Day)


Sun Jun 10, 2018 10:35 am
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Defeats all expectations
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Post Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
TC estimate for Incredibles 2 at BOM increases to 4,400!


Tue Jun 12, 2018 10:33 pm
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Post Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
I saw an article today saying that Incredibles 2 will open to $130m. So I guess that's the benchmark now. If it falls below, it's failed. If it's above it's done well.


Tue Jun 12, 2018 10:40 pm
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Post Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
Superfly is DOA. We've assigned it a double digit auditorium - generally those are for holdovers 3+ weeks in release.

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Wed Jun 13, 2018 8:48 am
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Post Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
Rolling Thunder wrote:
Superfly is DOA. We've assigned it a double digit auditorium - generally those are for holdovers 3+ weeks in release.


I'm doubtful it will even hit $1m today.

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Wed Jun 13, 2018 4:04 pm
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Post Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
Kentucky is 91% white, so no surprises there.


Wed Jun 13, 2018 7:29 pm
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Post Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
Algren wrote:
Kentucky is 91% white, so no surprises there.


Hey, we turn out in droves for Madea, Black Panther, and anything starring Denzel!

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Wed Jun 13, 2018 7:31 pm
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Post Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
This is a noticeably different type of black picture. No star, no franchise precedence, etc.


Wed Jun 13, 2018 7:40 pm
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Post Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
Rolling Thunder wrote:
Rolling Thunder wrote:
Superfly is DOA. We've assigned it a double digit auditorium - generally those are for holdovers 3+ weeks in release.


I'm doubtful it will even hit $1m today.


It scraped by with $1.2m. Bombs away.

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Thu Jun 14, 2018 12:48 pm
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Post Re: June 15-17 Predictions (Incredibles 2, Superfly, Tag)
So, who is pumped up for Tag?

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Thu Jun 14, 2018 2:25 pm
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