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 Captain Marvel Predictions 
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Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm
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Post Re: Captain Marvel Predictions
The RT trolling had no effect on BP, so I don't see why it would have an effect here. They can down vote the score all they want, but once the reviews come out that's all that's going to matter for general audiences.


Mon Feb 25, 2019 6:42 pm
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Post Re: Captain Marvel Predictions
Did BP really get below 40%? I don't think it's gonna make a humungous difference but if Captain Marvel does below say, 300m, I think people will say this misogony and people being upset by Brie's SJW comments are a reason for an underpergormance.


Mon Feb 25, 2019 8:48 pm
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Post Re: Captain Marvel Predictions
RT has a new layout for Tomatometer and Audience Score. "Want to see" % is no longer showing.

On Captain Marvel page, 13,714 users have indicated "want to see" (about what I estimated previously). It seems RT has disabled downvoting.


Tue Feb 26, 2019 1:40 am
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Post Re: Captain Marvel Predictions
Rotten Tomatoes wrote:
As of February 25, we will no longer show the ‘Want to See’ percentage score for a movie during its pre-release period. Why you might ask? We’ve found that the ‘Want to See’ percentage score is often times confused with the ‘Audience Score’ percentage number. (The ‘Audience Score’ percentage, for those who haven’t been following, is the percentage of all users who have rated the movie or TV show positively – that is, given it a star rating of 3.5 or higher – and is only shown once the movie or TV show is released.)


Tue Feb 26, 2019 3:17 am
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Post Re: Captain Marvel Predictions
So Captain Marvel is basically female superman right? Seems like the same difficulties selling Superman (too strong, too perfect instead of human, etc.) might apply. It also feeds right into the neckbeards "Mary Sue" thing, even though they don't seem to care when a male character like Luke Skywalker or Harry Potter is just as innately special as someone like Rey, which proves they're just using it as an excuse to hate females

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Tue Feb 26, 2019 3:22 am
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Post Re: Captain Marvel Predictions
Dil wrote:
The RT trolling had no effect on BP, so I don't see why it would have an effect here. They can down vote the score all they want, but once the reviews come out that's all that's going to matter for general audiences.

FALSE, the "Not Interested" option on Black Panther never reached 26%. Captain FemiNazi is the first film that achieves that honor...... and it's not trolling, people are tired of the SJW crap on entertainment.

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Tue Feb 26, 2019 9:29 pm
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Post Re: Captain Marvel Predictions
Algren wrote:
Rotten Tomatoes wrote:
As of February 25, we will no longer show the ‘Want to See’ percentage score for a movie during its pre-release period. Why you might ask? We’ve found that the ‘Want to See’ percentage score is often times confused with the ‘Audience Score’ percentage number. (The ‘Audience Score’ percentage, for those who haven’t been following, is the percentage of all users who have rated the movie or TV show positively – that is, given it a star rating of 3.5 or higher – and is only shown once the movie or TV show is released.)


Aka their data analysts showed Warner Bros. it might have negatively impacted some of their films and they yanked it.

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Tue Feb 26, 2019 11:54 pm
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Post Re: Captain Marvel Predictions
Why are people on the internets saying $400m+?

I really think it will fall short.

Still will be wildly successful- beyond my expectations.

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Thu Mar 21, 2019 11:28 am
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Post Re: Captain Marvel Predictions
Seems to me that it will just reach $400m.


Thu Mar 21, 2019 6:23 pm
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Post Re: Captain Marvel Predictions
lilmac wrote:
Why are people on the internets saying $400m+?

I really think it will fall short.

Still will be wildly successful- beyond my expectations.


https://www.boxofficemojo.com/showdowns ... evhgdk.htm

It's running well ahead of first THG and it's 2nd week will be bigger than CF. I don't see how it misses $400m even with Shazam! coming the next week.


Thu Mar 21, 2019 6:45 pm
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Post Re: Captain Marvel Predictions
Jack Sparrow wrote:
lilmac wrote:
Why are people on the internets saying $400m+?

I really think it will fall short.

Still will be wildly successful- beyond my expectations.


https://www.boxofficemojo.com/showdowns ... evhgdk.htm

It's running well ahead of first THG and it's 2nd week will be bigger than CF. I don't see how it misses $400m even with Shazam! coming the next week.

Yeah, but have you seen THG's holds? Aside from weekend 7th, the worst drop it got from the 4th to the 21th weekend is 36.4%.

Best comparison for CM is GotG2. CM was 16M ahead of it on Sunday after a slightly higher weekend. With the same legs, CM gets to 410 millions, but GotG2 had the advantage of better dailies. 400M will probably happen, but it's far from certain.

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Fri Mar 22, 2019 4:23 pm
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Post Re: Captain Marvel Predictions
It won't hold better than THG but it doesn't necessarily need to with the advantage of $17m that it's currently ahead. I was also assuming that CM will hold much better than the estimated $32m this weekend but the sudden loss of IMAX to US didn't help. Though I feel this will help it drop slightly better next weekend against Shazam!


Fri Mar 22, 2019 7:42 pm
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Post Re: Captain Marvel Predictions
I can't believe how big this is for a movie that just felt like middle of the road Marvel. It's going to gross as much as Civil War?

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Sat Mar 23, 2019 1:49 am
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Post Re: Captain Marvel Predictions
Jack Sparrow wrote:
It won't hold better than THG but it doesn't necessarily need to with the advantage of $17m that it's currently ahead. I was also assuming that CM will hold much better than the estimated $32m this weekend but the sudden loss of IMAX to US didn't help. Though I feel this will help it drop slightly better next weekend against Shazam!


Dumbo is next weekend. Shazam the weekend after.


Sat Mar 23, 2019 4:09 am
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Post Re: Captain Marvel Predictions
Well even better then :thumbsup:


Sat Mar 23, 2019 4:21 am
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